Jointly optimizes tree index and deep model for better recommendation accuracy.
problem Improving recommendation accuracy in large-scale recommender systems.
method Develops a joint optimization framework for tree index and user preference model.
result Significantly improves recommendation accuracy on real-world datasets.
Novel pricing method for equity-indexed annuities under uncertain volatility and stochastic interest rate.
problem Pricing equity-indexed annuities with early surrender risk under uncertain market conditions.
method Advanced financial modeling techniques, including uncertain volatility framework and Hull-White model for interest rate dynamics. Numerical algorithm using tree-based framework with local volatility optimization.
result High effectiveness of the proposed numerical algorithm compared to machine learning-based methods.
TreeDOX predicts chaotic systems without hyperparameter tuning.
problem Forecasting chaotic systems requires hyperparameter tuning, limiting adoption.
method TreeDOX uses time delay overembedding and Extra-Trees Regressors.
result TreeDOX achieves state-of-the-art performance on chaotic systems.
Study forecasts vegetable prices in Nepal using a novel index and ensemble model.
problem High volatility and cultural influences on agricultural commodity prices.
method Developed KVPI, created features, evaluated multiple models, introduced Momentum-Corrected Online Stacking Ensemble.
result Achieved RMSE of 1.771, MAPE of 0.68%, and R-squared of 0.845 at 90-day horizon.
This paper uses natural language processing to create the first machine-coded democracy index, which I call Automated Democracy Scores (ADS). The ADS are based on 42 million news articles from 6,043 different sources and cover all independent countries in the 1993-2012 period. Unlike the democracy indices we have today…
Machine learning improves kidney transplant outcomes prediction.
problem Improving prediction of kidney transplant success.
method Random forest machine learning model trained on kidney donor risk index data.
result Random forest predicted 2,148 more successful transplants than the risk index.
New trees-based models handle correlated data better.
problem Standard trees-based models ignore correlation structure.
method Explicitly accounts for correlation structure in splitting criterion, stopping rules, and fitted values.
result New approach superior to standard models in simulations and real data.
Study reviews tree-based methods and introduces new ensemble strategies.
problem Improving the efficiency and performance of tree-based machine learning models.
method Review of tree-based methods, introduction of ISLE framework, ARM model combination strategy, and modified ISLEs.
result Performance evaluation of modified ISLEs on real data sets.
The main goal of this paper is to study the geometric structures associated with the representation of tensors in subspace based formats. To do this we use a property of the so-called minimal subspaces which allows us to describe the tensor representation by means of a rooted tree. By using the tree structure and the d…
New method improves feature selection in tree-based models.
problem Previous feature selection methods in tree-based models lack sufficient regularization and sub-optimal performance.
method Developed a new gain penalization approach for tree-based models that allows for flexible feature-specific importance weights.
result The new method improves out-of-sample performance, especially with correlated features.
Corrects bias in feature importance measures of tree-based methods.
problem Bias in feature importance measures of tree-based methods.
method Corrects bias by incorporating out-of-sample split-improvement.
result Better summaries and screening tools of feature importance.
Enhanced tree-based classifiers use derivatives and geometry for better function classification.
problem Improving classification of high-dimensional time series data.
method Integrates Functional Data Analysis with tree-based ensemble techniques, leveraging derivative and geometric features.
result Significant improvements over traditional approaches in function classification.
Simulation study evaluates tree-based imputation methods for multi-level data.
problem Ignoring dependencies in hierarchical data can compromise imputation accuracy.
method Chained Random Forests and Extreme Gradient Boosting (mixgb) adapted for multi-level data.
result Adapted boosting methods outperform traditional MICE for Level-1 variables at higher missingness rates.
Extends geometrical description of tensor manifolds in tree-based formats.
problem Geometrical description of tensor manifolds in tree-based formats.
method Provided a new geometrical description of manifolds of tensors in tree-based format.
result Geometrical description compatible with Tucker format.
The paper considers the problem of global optimization in the setup of stochastic process bandits. We introduce an UCB algorithm which builds a cascade of discretization trees based on generic chaining in order to render possible his operability over a continuous domain. The theoretical framework applies to functions u…
The paper introduces a method to control false splits in tree-based data aggregation.
problem Identifying the correct subgroups to treat as a single entity in tree-based data.
method Introduces the 'false split rate' and proposes a multiple hypothesis testing algorithm for tree-based aggregation.
result The proposed algorithm controls the false split rate, demonstrating its effectiveness on stock volatility and taxi fare data.
Tree-based models outperform deep learning on tabular data, especially for medium-sized datasets.
problem Understanding why tree-based models outperform deep learning on tabular data.
method Extensive benchmarks of tree-based and deep learning models on 45 datasets, accounting for hyperparameters.
result Tree-based models remain state-of-the-art on medium-sized tabular data, even without hyperparameter optimization.
Develops fair feature importance scores for tree-based models to interpret fairness.
problem Ensuring fairness in machine learning models, especially tree-based ones.
method Inspired by decision trees, proposes a novel fair feature importance score based on mean decrease in group bias.
result Valid interpretations of fairness for tree-based ensembles and surrogates of other ML systems.
FREEtree improves tree-based methods for correlated longitudinal data.
problem Poor performance of Random Forests in high dimensional longitudinal data with correlated features.
method FREEtree uses a piecewise random effects model and clustering with WGCNA to select features and maintain interpretability.
result FREEtree outperforms other tree-based methods in prediction and feature selection accuracy.
We present the first tree-based regressor whose convergence rate depends only on the intrinsic dimension of the data, namely its Assouad dimension. The regressor uses the RPtree partitioning procedure, a simple randomized variant of k-d trees.
Tree-based model averaging improves CATE estimation from diverse sites.
problem Limited sample size and privacy concerns prevent accurate personalized treatment effect estimation.
method Tree-based model averaging approach to estimate CATEs from multiple heterogeneous sites.
result Improved accuracy in estimating conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) across sites.
Improved Shapley Values for tree-based models, more accurate than existing methods.
problem Inaccurate Shapley Values in tree-based models leading to poor explanations.
method Introduced two new estimators exploiting tree structure, derived correct approach for categorical variables.
result More accurate Shapley Values for tree-based models, demonstrated through simulations.
A new tree-based model for varying coefficients using CGBM.
problem Modeling varying coefficients with high dimensionality and complex interactions.
method Tree-based varying coefficient model with CGBM for varying coefficients, dimension-wise early stopping, and feature importance scores.
result The model produces comparable out-of-sample loss to neural networks, demonstrating effectiveness.
This work analyzes tree-based methods from a ranking perspective, providing insights and new statistics.
problem Understanding the effectiveness of tree-based methods in finite-sample settings, especially symbolic feature selection.
method Local ranking perspective, finite-sample analysis, oracle bounds, posterior contraction results, concordant divergence statistics.
result New insights and statistics for evaluating symbolic feature mappings.
A new approach uses partial likelihood to improve tree-based density estimation and inference.
problem Inference on tree-based models suffers from overfitting and reduced efficiency due to data-independent partitioning.
method Proposes a partial likelihood approach to data-dependent partitioning of tree-based models.
result Significant gains in estimation accuracy and computational efficiency from adopting partial likelihood.
Study compares tree-based imputation methods to MICE PMM for missing data.
problem Missing data in empirical studies.
method Various imputation methods including MICE PMM, RF, missRanger, and MIXGBoost.
result Tree-based imputations, especially RF and missRanger with PMM, perform better.
Model-based methods for recommender systems have been studied extensively in recent years. In systems with large corpus, however, the calculation cost for the learnt model to predict all user-item preferences is tremendous, which makes full corpus retrieval extremely difficult. To overcome the calculation barriers, mod…
SCORE improves tree-based predictions with boosted residual extraTrees.
problem Improving tree-based prediction models with reduced errors.
method Inspired by representation learning, SCORE uses boosting, regularized regression, and variable selection.
result SCORE provides comparable or superior performance compared to other models.
A new tree-based model improves uncertainty estimation in sequential optimization.
problem Improving uncertainty estimation in sequential model-based optimization.
method Proposed a new ensemble of randomized trees (BwO forest) with bagging and oversampling.
result BwO forest outperforms existing tree-based models in various optimization scenarios.
Improves tree-based models' interpretability for medical applications.
problem Lack of explainability in tree-based models.
method Developed new algorithms and tools for local and global model understanding.
result Combining local explanations reveals global model structure and identifies non-linear interactions.
nTreeClus clusters categorical sequences using tree-based learners and k-mers.
problem Challenges in clustering categorical and sequential data.
method nTreeClus uses Tree-based Learners, k-mers, and autoregressive models for categorical time series.
result nTreeClus outperformed baseline methods in various validation metrics.
We generate counterfactual explanations for tree-based boosting ensembles.
problem Understanding how tree-based models make predictions.
method Extending a method for random forests to GBDTs, accounting for tree sequential dependency and negative gradients.
result A method to generate counterfactual explanations for GBDTs.
A novel approach using graph learning and synthetic long positions for statistical arbitrage in options markets.
problem Exploiting statistical arbitrage opportunities in options markets using machine learning.
method Two-stage graph learning approach: first stage defines a novel prediction target isolating pure arbitrages via synthetic bonds; second stage proposes SLSA positions.
result Statistically significant outperformance of GL baselines and consistent positive returns with an average P&L-contract information ratio of 0.1627.
Paper improves anomaly detection using tree-based ensembles with active learning.
problem Configuring anomaly detectors with true labels to minimize false positives.
method Develops batch and streaming active learning algorithms for tree-based ensembles.
result Significantly more anomalies discovered with active learning compared to baselines.
In this paper we propose a function space approach to Representation Learning and the analysis of the representation layers in deep learning architectures. We show how to compute a weak-type Besov smoothness index that quantifies the geometry of the clustering in the feature space. This approach was already applied suc…
The paper predicts travel times using tree-based ensembles.
problem Predicting travel times between urban points over short and long horizons.
method Tree-based ensemble methods trained on taxi trip records with additional features from weather and routing data.
result Adding routing data improves model performance and short-term predictions require less data.
Machine learning models classify celestial objects like pulsars and black holes.
problem Classifying high-energy celestial objects using photometric data.
method Applied tree-based models and RNN to classify pulsars and black holes.
result RNN showed potential for real-time object discrimination and classification.
New research finds tree-based GAMs are most trustworthy and fair.
problem Variability in GAM algorithms leads to inconsistent models.
method Quantitative and qualitative analysis of various GAM algorithms.
result Tree-based GAMs are the most trustworthy and fair.
The paper proposes tree-based methods for automatically learning similarity measures.
problem Automatically learning similarity measures in feature spaces.
method Formulates similarity learning as a pairwise bipartite ranking problem and uses recursive tree-based ROC optimization.
result Validates iterative partitioning procedures for similarity learning and proposes efficient algorithms.
Tree-based models biased when trained on imbalanced data, requiring new calibration methods.
problem Bias in tree-based models trained on imbalanced datasets.
method Analytical calibration of random forest models, demonstrating bias in decision trees.
result Calibrating tree-based models on imbalanced data negatively impacts predictions, especially for the minority class.
This paper is concerned with the approximation of high-dimensional functions in a statistical learning setting, by empirical risk minimization over model classes of functions in tree-based tensor format. These are particular classes of rank-structured functions that can be seen as deep neural networks with a sparse arc…
Tree-based synthesis improves forecast accuracy in GDP and inflation.
problem Improving forecast accuracy in GDP and inflation.
method Developed a nonparametric synthesis function using regression trees.
result Tree-based synthesis leads to improved forecast accuracy.
Local MDI+ improves feature importance for tree-based models, enhancing interpretability and performance.
problem Lack of instance-specific feature importance for tree-based models.
method Local MDI+ extends MDI+ framework to provide instance-specific feature importances.
result Local MDI+ outperforms existing baselines, improving predictive performance by 10%.
A tree-based IDS detects cyber-attacks in AV networks.
problem Cyber-attacks in AV and IoV networks.
method Tree-structure machine learning models, ensemble learning, feature selection.
result High detection rate and low computational cost achieved.
The paper shows tree models are vulnerable to adversarial examples and develops a robust algorithm.
problem Vulnerability of tree-based models to adversarial examples.
method Develops a novel algorithm to learn robust trees by optimizing performance under worst-case perturbation of input features.
result The proposed algorithms substantially improve the robustness of tree-based models against adversarial examples.
Decision trees improve performance in various fields.
problem Improving performance in machine learning and data mining.
method Introduce tree-based models and training techniques.
result Highlight probabilistic characteristics and practical benefits.
Enhances functional classifier performance with new tree-based methods and unbiased feature importance assessment.
problem Challenges of high-dimensional functional data and biased feature importance assessment.
method Augmented functional classification trees and random forests with ad-hoc conditional permutations for unbiased feature importance.
result Significant enhancement in predictive power of functional classifiers through new feature importance assessment.
New algorithm speeds up robustness verification for tree-based models.
problem Formal robustness verification of tree-based models, especially ensembles.
method Reformulated as max-clique problem on a multi-partite graph with bounded boxicity; developed efficient multi-level verification algorithm.
result Tight lower bounds on robustness of decision tree ensembles, hundreds of times faster than previous approach.