A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Inpatient care is a large share of total health care spending, making analysis of inpatient utilization patterns an important part of understanding what drives health care spending growth. Common features of inpatient utilization measures include zero inflation, over-dispersion, and skewness, all of which complicate st…
Estimating the effect of a treatment on a given outcome, conditioned on a vector of covariates, is central in many applications. However, learning the impact of a treatment on a continuous temporal response, when the covariates suffer extensively from measurement error and even the timing of the treatments is uncertain…
Adaptive designs achieve strong Neyman regret guarantees for ATE estimation.
problem Estimating unbiased average treatment effect in sequential experiments.
method Proposed adaptive designs with O(logT) Neyman regret under boundedness assumptions and O(T) multigroup Neyman regret in covariate-based settings.
result Adaptive designs outperform non-adaptive designs in terms of Neyman regret, especially in covariate-based settings.
The paper assesses the risk of negative treatment effects using bounds and inference.
problem Risk of negative treatment effects on a significant portion of the population.
method Characterizes tight bounds on the conditional value at risk (CVaR) of the individual treatment effect (ITE) distribution using covariate-conditional average treatment effect (CATE) function.
result Developed a debiasing method to estimate these bounds efficiently from data and construct confidence intervals, even in complex scenarios.
Factorization Machine (FM) is a widely used supervised learning approach by effectively modeling of feature interactions. Despite the successful application of FM and its many deep learning variants, treating every feature interaction fairly may degrade the performance. For example, the interactions of a useless featur…
We describe and extract time-ordered multibody interactions from complex systems.
problem Complex systems with temporal and multibody dependencies.
method Decompose multivariate Markov chains into time-ordered multibody interactions. Algorithm to extract interactions from data. Measure complexity of interaction ensembles.
result Robust and efficient algorithm to infer time-ordered multibody interactions from data.
Dropout regularizes against high-order interactions by canceling interaction rates.
problem Overfitting to high-order interactions in neural networks.
method Analyzes Dropout through the lens of interaction effects, showing how it effectively cancels out the probability of surviving interactions of different orders.
result Dropout regularizes against high-order interactions by effectively canceling out the probability of surviving interactions of different orders.
Understanding how features interact with each other is of paramount importance in many scientific discoveries and contemporary applications. Yet interaction identification becomes challenging even for a moderate number of covariates. In this paper, we suggest an efficient and flexible procedure, called the interaction …
Multitask Gaussian process (MTGP) is powerful for joint learning of multiple tasks with complicated correlation patterns. However, due to the assembling of additive independent latent functions, all current MTGPs including the salient linear model of coregionalization (LMC) and convolution frameworks cannot effectively…
Most existing knowledge graphs suffer from incompleteness, which can be alleviated by inferring missing links based on known facts. One popular way to accomplish this is to generate low-dimensional embeddings of entities and relations, and use these to make inferences. ConvE, a recently proposed approach, applies convo…
Interpreting neural networks is a crucial and challenging task in machine learning. In this paper, we develop a novel framework for detecting statistical interactions captured by a feedforward multilayer neural network by directly interpreting its learned weights. Depending on the desired interactions, our method can a…
We introduce interactive structure discovery, a generic framework that encompasses many interactive learning settings, including active learning, top-k item identification, interactive drug discovery, and others. We adapt a recently developed active learning algorithm of Tosh and Dasgupta (2017) for interactive structu…
We study the power of interactivity in local differential privacy. First, we focus on the difference between fully interactive and sequentially interactive protocols. Sequentially interactive protocols may query users adaptively in sequence, but they cannot return to previously queried users. The vast majority of exist…