Smartphone data shows promise but accuracy issues remain.
problem Inaccurate travel surveys from smartphone data.
method Training algorithms on data quality and validating labels.
result Machine learning methods are limited by data quality.
Over the last few years, traffic data has been exploding and the transportation discipline has entered the era of big data. It brings out new opportunities for doing data-driven analysis, but it also challenges traditional analytic methods. This paper proposes a new Divide and Combine based approach to do K means clust…
Study highlights fairness issues in travel behavior prediction models.
problem Ethical challenges in travel behavior analysis using machine learning.
method Operationalized computational fairness by equality of opportunity; compared DNN and DCM; introduced absolute correlation regularization.
result Both DNN and DCM predict disparities across social groups, with DNN outperforming DCM in prediction disparities.
In this paper, we implement an information-theoretic approach to travel behaviour analysis by introducing a generative modelling framework to identify informative latent characteristics in travel decision making. It involves developing a joint tri-partite Bayesian graphical network model using a Restricted Boltzmann Ma…
This study uses Twitter to analyze traveler behavior in Manhattan.
problem Analyzing traveler behavior using social media data.
method Systematic method to extract displacement information from geo-tagged tweets.
result Twitter reveals unique demographics and travel behavior patterns.
Bayesian calibration improves ABMs for predicting travel patterns.
problem Calibrating ABMs for accurate travel pattern predictions.
method Gaussian Process emulator with deep learning dimensionality reduction for high-dimensional, non-stationary data.
result Improved accuracy in predicting travel patterns using traffic flow data.
Semi-supervised Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are developed in the context of travel mode inference with uni-dimensional smartphone trajectory data. We use data from a large-scale smartphone travel survey in Montreal, Canada. We convert GPS trajectories into fixed-sized segments with five channels (variables).…
We develop ensemble Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to classify the transportation mode of trip data collected as part of a large-scale smartphone travel survey in Montreal, Canada. Our proposed ensemble library is composed of a series of CNN models with different hyper-parameter values and CNN architectures. In o…
We survey the correct definition of a generalized Dirac operator on a Space--Time and the classical result about propagation of singularities. This says that light travels along light--like geodesics. Finally we show this is also true for generalized Dirac operators.
Logit models are usually applied when studying individual travel behavior, i.e., to predict travel mode choice and to gain behavioral insights on traveler preferences. Recently, some studies have applied machine learning to model travel mode choice and reported higher out-of-sample predictive accuracy than traditional …
A sufficient knowledge of the demographics of a commuting public is essential in formulating and implementing more targeted transportation policies, as commuters exhibit different ways of traveling. With the advent of the Automated Fare Collection system (AFC), probing the travel patterns of commuters has become less i…
This paper surveys RL for combinatorial optimization, focusing on TSP.
problem Optimizing solutions for combinatorial optimization problems.
method Reinforcement learning applied to combinatorial optimization problems, specifically the TSP.
result Deep learning mechanisms enhance RL algorithms for near-optimal solutions.
Traffic signal control is an important and challenging real-world problem, which aims to minimize the travel time of vehicles by coordinating their movements at the road intersections. Current traffic signal control systems in use still rely heavily on oversimplified information and rule-based methods, although we now …
The increasing accessibility of data provides substantial opportunities for understanding user behaviors. Unearthing anomalies in user behaviors is of particular importance as it helps signal harmful incidents such as network intrusions, terrorist activities, and financial frauds. Many visual analytics methods have bee…
We survey some results on travel time tomography. The question is whether we can determine the anisotropic index of refraction of a medium by measuring the travel times of waves going through the medium. This can be recast as geometry problems, the boundary rigidity problem and the lens rigidity problem. The boundary r…
The Euclidean traveller explores various geometric spaces, seeing different places in each.
problem Understanding the Euclidean traveller's itinerary in different geometric spaces.
method Analyzing the geometric spaces and the traveller's paths.
result The traveller sees a variety of places in different geometric spaces, including tori, closed hyperbolic surfaces, and manifolds.
Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.
Method estimates travel times on urban roads using Uber data.
problem Estimating travel times on urban roads where data is scarce.
method Graph representation, trip sampling, least-squares optimization.
result Estimates travel times on arterial roads using aggregated Uber data.
New proofs confirm travel time data determine simple metrics on a disc.
problem Determining a simple Riemannian metric from travel time data.
method Proofs based on Myers-Steenrod theorem, Lipschitz-type stability estimate.
result Travel time data determine a simple Riemannian metric on a disc up to natural gauge.
Method recovers obstacles from travel times on curved surfaces.
problem Recovering obstacles from travel times on curved surfaces.
method Extending Noakes and Stoyanov's method to Riemannian surfaces with curvature constraints.
result Obstacles can be recovered from travel times on Riemannian surfaces under certain curvature conditions.
Paper addresses travel time tomography stability and statistical inversion.
problem Determining conformal factors of metrics from geodesic lengths.
method Established forward and inverse stability estimates; applied to Bayesian statistical inversion.
result Consistency of statistical inversion technique for travel time tomography.
This paper distills a complex travel mode choice model into simpler, interpretable models.
problem Lack of interpretability in complex machine learning models for travel behavior.
method Model distillation combined with market segmentation.
result Generated interpretable models that closely match the predictions of the original complex model.
Study analyzes how discounts affect train ticket purchases and rescheduling in Switzerland.
problem Understanding how discounts influence train ticket buying and rescheduling behavior.
method Machine learning techniques, including causal machine learning, to analyze survey data.
result Increasing a discount rate by 1% increases the rescheduled trip share by 0.16% among always buyers.
Financial derivatives based on road travel times for hedging and pricing.
problem Market risk in crypto and banking sectors.
method Modeling travel time data with CARMA models and applying risk-neutral pricing.
result Derivatives pricing based on travel time and its volatility.
Recover simple irreversible Finsler geometry from travel time data
problem Stable recovery of a simple irreversible Finsler geometry
method Use a Gromov-Hausdorff distance adapted to irreversible metric spaces
result Unique and Lipschitz-stable recovery
Billiard trajectories in curved spaces have predictable travel times.
problem Understanding travel times in billiard trajectories on curved surfaces.
method Analyzing geodesic flows and sectional curvature to prove time-preserving conjugacy.
result Billiard trajectories with almost identical obstacles have identical shapes.
Same travelling times imply identical obstacles in Riemannian manifolds.
problem Determining if two sets of obstacles are identical based on travel times.
method Analyzing curvature conditions and geodesic intersections.
result Disjoint convex obstacles with identical travel times are identical.
Study uses neural networks to predict travel times for public transportation.
problem Inaccurate travel time predictions due to road traffic irregularities.
method Developed two neural network models (MLP and LSTM) using OD travel time matrix.
result Both models can make near-accurate predictions, but LSTM is more susceptible to noise.
In building intelligent transportation systems such as taxi or rideshare services, accurate prediction of travel time and distance is crucial for customer experience and resource management. Using the NYC taxi dataset, which contains taxi trips data collected from GPS-enabled taxis [23], this paper investigates the use…
A large GPS dataset reveals that a single route often covers 60% of travel observations.
problem Limited insights from small GPS datasets on route choice behavior.
method Evaluation of path generation algorithms including link penalty, link elimination, simulation, and via-node methods.
result Modified link penalty method achieves 97% coverage, significantly higher than previous studies.
Study shows stability of travel time data reconstruction from closed subsets.
problem Reconstruction of length spaces from travel time data on a closed subset.
method Lipschitz stability proof for certain types of length spaces.
result Reconstruction of length spaces is Lipschitz stable from travel time data on a closed subset.
TripDecoder recovers metro routes and travel times from smart card data.
problem Recover unknown routes and travel times in metro systems.
method Decouples two inference tasks: travel time and route preference.
result TripDecoder improves accuracy and efficiency compared to competitors.
STAD improves travel time estimation by learning from real traffic data.
problem Travel time estimation using GPS traces is inaccurate and requires offline optimization.
method STAD uses machine learning and real-time trip data to adjust travel time estimates.
result STAD reduces median absolute errors by 14% in Doha and New York City, and 29% in Porto.
Study travel time tomography for transversely isotropic media using modified pseudodifferential calculus.
problem Travel time tomography problem for transversely isotropic media.
method Modified scattering pseudodifferential calculus to solve the tomography problem.
result Construction and use of modified pseudodifferential calculus to solve the tomography problem.
Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.
problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.
Enhanced travel time prediction using deep neural networks and road network information.
problem Improving travel time estimation using deep learning models.
method Proposes incorporating road network information into deep learning models for travel time prediction.
result Improved travel time prediction, especially with limited training data.
Recent years have witnessed an increased focus on interpretability and the use of machine learning to inform policy analysis and decision making. This paper applies machine learning to examine travel behavior and, in particular, on modeling changes in travel modes when individuals are presented with a novel (on-demand)…
ProbETA models travel time correlations between trips for better navigation.
problem Trip correlations not captured by existing methods.
method Deep hierarchical joint probabilistic model with learnable link representations.
result ProbETA outperforms state-of-the-art methods with 12.60% MAPE reduction.
Study shows curves converge to traveling waves under specific conditions.
problem Global stability of traveling waves for area-preserving curvature flow.
method Area-preserving curvature flow with contact angle condition.
result Moving curves converge to traveling waves starting from embedded convex curves.
Boosting algorithms improve delivery time prediction in postal services.
problem Challenges in long-term travel time prediction for postal services.
method Investigated linear regression models, tree-based ensembles (random forest, bagging, boosting), and compared their performance.
result Boosting algorithms, especially light gradient boosting and catboost, outperform other methods in accuracy and runtime efficiency.
Two novel models predict bus travel times with uncertainty, improving connection assurance.
problem Improving bus connection assurance by handling travel time uncertainty.
method Two novel approaches: Deep Quantile Regression (DQR) and Bayesian Recurrent Neural Networks (BRNN).
result DQR model performs best for 80%, 90%, and 95% prediction intervals, with small underestimation.
Study on travel time formulas in a lake with wind flow.
problem Travel time in a lake with wind flow.
method Geometric approach using Finsler metrics.
result Formulas for distances and travel times derived.
Dynamic linear models improve travel time prediction for congested freeways.
problem Accurate travel time prediction for congested freeways.
method Dynamic linear models (DLMs) with time-varying parameters.
result Significant improvements in travel time prediction accuracy, especially for short-term predictions.
Bayesian model identifies three types of travelers adapting to feedback.
problem Capturing adaptive, feedback-driven travel behavior in heterogeneous individuals.
method Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model with Variational Bayes estimation.
result Three distinct traveler classes identified: context-dependent, persistent exploitative, and exploratory.
Accurate and reliable travel time predictions in public transport networks are essential for delivering an attractive service that is able to compete with other modes of transport in urban areas. The traditional application of this information, where arrival and departure predictions are displayed on digital boards, is…
New model predicts travel demand uncertainty with high accuracy.
problem Uncertainty and sparsity in sparse travel demand prediction.
method Spatial-Temporal Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Graph Neural Network (STZINB-GNN).
result STZINB-GNN outperforms benchmarks in predicting travel demand uncertainty.
We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to day. The second shortcoming is the wide-spread use of Gaussian probability dens…
Simultaneously estimates travel times and route choice model parameters.
problem Interdependent estimation of arc travel times and route choice model parameters.
method Maximum likelihood estimation for any differentiable route choice model.
result Strong performance in real-world data, even compared to arc travel time estimation methods.