Semi-supervised GANs improve travel mode inference from GPS data.
problem Travel mode inference from GPS trajectories.
method Developed semi-supervised GANs and compared them with CNNs on a large-scale smartphone dataset.
result Best semi-supervised GAN model achieved 83.4% prediction accuracy.
Ensemble CNNs improve mode classification in smartphone travel surveys.
problem Classifying transportation modes from smartphone travel survey data.
method Developed an ensemble of CNN models with different architectures and hyper-parameters, combined using average voting, majority voting, optimal weights, and a Random Forest meta-learner.
result The ensemble method with Random Forest as meta-learner achieved 91.8% accuracy, surpassing other methods.
Recent years have witnessed an increased focus on interpretability and the use of machine learning to inform policy analysis and decision making. This paper applies machine learning to examine travel behavior and, in particular, on modeling changes in travel modes when individuals are presented with a novel (on-demand)…
This paper distills a complex travel mode choice model into simpler, interpretable models.
problem Lack of interpretability in complex machine learning models for travel behavior.
method Model distillation combined with market segmentation.
result Generated interpretable models that closely match the predictions of the original complex model.
Identifying the distribution of users' transportation modes is an essential part of travel demand analysis and transportation planning. With the advent of ubiquitous GPS-enabled devices (e.g., a smartphone), a cost-effective approach for inferring commuters' mobility mode(s) is to leverage their GPS trajectories. A maj…
New method clusters travel behavior data from 1990-2017.
problem Challenges in analyzing large-scale travel data.
method Divide and Combine K-means clustering on time series data.
result Activity-travel patterns can be grouped into three clusters.
Logit models are usually applied when studying individual travel behavior, i.e., to predict travel mode choice and to gain behavioral insights on traveler preferences. Recently, some studies have applied machine learning to model travel mode choice and reported higher out-of-sample predictive accuracy than traditional …
Alt-GNNs improve travel mode choice modeling by integrating graph neural networks with GEV models.
problem Capturing alternative dependence in discrete choice models with predefined, symmetric, and uniform dependence.
method Introducing Alternative Graph Neural Networks (Alt-GNNs) that embed alternative dependence within a unified framework.
result Alt-GNNs significantly improve predictive performance over benchmark models in travel mode choice datasets.
In this paper, we implement an information-theoretic approach to travel behaviour analysis by introducing a generative modelling framework to identify informative latent characteristics in travel decision making. It involves developing a joint tri-partite Bayesian graphical network model using a Restricted Boltzmann Ma…
TripDecoder recovers metro routes and travel times from smart card data.
problem Recover unknown routes and travel times in metro systems.
method Decouples two inference tasks: travel time and route preference.
result TripDecoder improves accuracy and efficiency compared to competitors.
Study improves cross-modal bike-share and transit demand prediction.
problem Cross-modal ripple effects in urban transportation demand.
method Transfer learning and stacked LSTM models for cross-modal demand prediction.
result Transfer learning models outperform unimodal models in cross-modal demand prediction.
We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to day. The second shortcoming is the wide-spread use of Gaussian probability dens…
This paper presents a bus travel time prediction system using deep neural networks.
problem Accurate travel time predictions for urban buses to compete with other modes of transport.
method Multi-output, multi-time-step deep neural network combining convolutional and LSTM layers.
result The proposed model significantly outperforms other methods and detects small irregular peaks quickly.
A new MCMC method improves HMC for distant multi-modal sampling.
problem Sampling from multi-modal distributions, especially when modes are far apart.
method Improves Hamiltonian dynamics and uses variational distribution.
result The method can converge to target distributions effectively.
Study examines active travel in Chicago communities, revealing mixed perceptions.
problem Transport disadvantage and lack of active mobility in underserved communities.
method Focus groups, qualitative discourse analysis, quantitative text-mining (topic modeling, sentiment analysis).
result Residents view active travel as both necessity and symbol of privilege, influenced by local culture.
The paper develops methods to infer modes of linear systems from noisy data.
problem Detecting oscillations in power flow in AC electrical networks.
method Develops methods to infer modes (real or complex) from observations of linear systems forced by Gaussian noise.
result Inference of damping rates, frequencies, and mode shapes for real and complex modes.
Paper infers human mobility from sparse trajectories.
problem Modeling and inferring human mobility from sparse trajectory data.
method Proposes a single trajectory inference algorithm and a deep learning architecture for multiple trajectories.
result Deep learning model achieves 2x overall accuracy improvement on sparse trajectories.
Graph neural nets improve discrete choice modeling with network effects.
problem Modeling network effects in discrete choice problems.
method Graph Convolutional Neural Network (GCNN) architecture.
result Higher predictive performance than standard models with interpretability.
FMA-ETA predicts travel time using FFN with attention.
problem Estimating travel time from spatial-temporal data.
method FFN with Multi-factor self-attention mechanism.
result FMA-ETA outperforms state-of-the-art methods in prediction accuracy with faster inference.
Study improves choice model accuracy and heterogeneity representation using mixture models.
problem Improving prediction accuracy and heterogeneity representation in choice models.
method Semi-nonparametric Latent Class Choice Model with mixture models and EM algorithm.
result Mixture models enhance prediction accuracy and heterogeneity representation without sacrificing interpretability.
Framework orders categories and measures differences from real data.
problem Inferring orders and differences between categories.
method Nonparametric Estimation statistics framework.
result Scalable framework for large datasets.
Mathematical analysis shows annealing prevents mode collapse in Gaussian mixtures.
problem Mode collapse in variational inference for multimodal distributions.
method Analyzed annealing strategies for Gaussian mixtures, derived formulas, and tested on neural networks.
result Appropriately chosen annealing schemes can robustly prevent mode collapse.
The emergence of data-driven demand analysis has led to the increased use of generative modelling to learn the probabilistic dependencies between random variables. Although their apparent use has mostly been limited to image recognition and classification in recent years, generative machine learning algorithms can be a…
ProbETA models travel time correlations between trips for better navigation.
problem Trip correlations not captured by existing methods.
method Deep hierarchical joint probabilistic model with learnable link representations.
result ProbETA outperforms state-of-the-art methods with 12.60% MAPE reduction.
Improved Bayesian neural network inference by selectively removing redundant modes.
problem Redundant modes in Bayesian neural network posteriors complicate approximate inference.
method Structured partial stochasticity and deterministic subset selection of weights.
result Improved performance of approximate inference schemes with simplified posterior distribution.
This work proposes a new feature for transportation mode classification using GPS trajectories.
problem Classifying transportation modes from GPS trajectories to optimize urban mobility.
method The Ordinal Pattern Transition Graph and its self-transition probability are used for classification.
result The proposed feature outperforms existing methods in transportation mode classification.
In this paper a highly abstracted view on the historical development of Genetic Algorithms for the Traveling Salesman Problem is given. In a meta-data analysis three phases in the development can be distinguished. First exponential growth in interest till 1996 can be observed, growth stays linear till 2011 and after th…
A sufficient knowledge of the demographics of a commuting public is essential in formulating and implementing more targeted transportation policies, as commuters exhibit different ways of traveling. With the advent of the Automated Fare Collection system (AFC), probing the travel patterns of commuters has become less i…
Stacking improves inference for multimodal Bayesian posterior distributions.
problem Difficulty of MCMC in moving between modes and underestimation of posterior uncertainty.
method Parallel runs of MCMC, variational, or mode-based inference, combined using Bayesian stacking.
result Stacking efficiently samples from multimodal posterior distributions and represents uncertainty better than variational inference.
Theoretical work on mode collapse in variational inference models.
problem Mode collapse in variational inference models, where models focus on a few modes instead of all possible ones.
method Theoretical investigation of mode collapse in Gaussian mixture models, identifying key low-dimensional statistics and equations governing their evolution.
result Mode collapse is present even in favorable scenarios, driven by mean alignment and vanishing weight mechanisms.
MFVI mode collapse explained; RoVI proposed to mitigate.
problem Mode collapse in MFVI for mixture distributions.
method Introducing ε-separateness, deriving bounds, proposing RoVI.
result MFVI optimizers collapse to a single component when components are ε-separated.
New deep learning method solves TSP faster and more efficiently.
problem Approximately solving the Travelling Salesman Problem on 2D Euclidean graphs.
method Uses Graph Convolutional Networks for efficient TSP graph representations and non-autoregressive beam search.
result Significantly reduces optimality gap for large problem instances.
RL improves market making with historical data time travel.
problem Limited ability to simulate and fully appraise the impact of actions in competitive systems.
method Introduces 'consistent data time travel' to adjust historical data time index.
result Significant improvement in agent's gain with data time travel.
FlowVAT improves variational inference for multi-modal distributions.
problem Mode-seeking behavior and collapse in variational inference for complex posteriors.
method Conditional tempering approach for normalizing flow variational inference.
result FlowVAT outperforms traditional and adaptive annealing methods in multi-modal distributions, finding more modes and achieving better ELBO values.
The Euclidean traveller explores various geometric spaces, seeing different places in each.
problem Understanding the Euclidean traveller's itinerary in different geometric spaces.
method Analyzing the geometric spaces and the traveller's paths.
result The traveller sees a variety of places in different geometric spaces, including tori, closed hyperbolic surfaces, and manifolds.
Bayesian framework predicts post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
problem Uncertainty in post-disruption travel times in metro networks.
method Bayesian spatiotemporal modeling framework capturing train interactions and non-Gaussian distributional characteristics.
result The proposed models consistently outperform baseline specifications in point prediction and uncertainty quantification.
Simple mode exploration methods do not improve performance in neural networks.
problem Improving predictive probabilities in neural networks.
method Exploring local regions around diverse solutions using simple methods.
result Simple mode exploration methods do not improve performance.
Transformers infer tasks from context via two modes, geometrically shaped task vectors explain their behavior.
problem Understanding how transformers infer tasks from context and the geometric properties of task vectors.
method Synthetic setting to train small transformers, mathematical characterization of task-vector geometry and inference modes.
result Task-vector geometry shapes in-distribution and out-of-distribution behavior of transformers.
This study uses Twitter to analyze traveler behavior in Manhattan.
problem Analyzing traveler behavior using social media data.
method Systematic method to extract displacement information from geo-tagged tweets.
result Twitter reveals unique demographics and travel behavior patterns.
A new method improves Bayesian inference for multimodal posteriors.
problem Insensitivity to well-separated modes in multimodal posteriors.
method Weighted Kernel Stein Discrepancy method.
result Significantly improved mode sensitivity compared to standard KSD-Bayes.
EikoNet uses deep learning to solve the Eikonal equation quickly and efficiently.
problem Solving the Eikonal equation for first-arrival-time fields in complex 3D structures.
method Grid-free deep learning approach that optimizes network parameters to minimize equation violations.
result EikoNet provides accurate travel time solutions without violating the Eikonal equation.
Method estimates travel times on urban roads using Uber data.
problem Estimating travel times on urban roads where data is scarce.
method Graph representation, trip sampling, least-squares optimization.
result Estimates travel times on arterial roads using aggregated Uber data.
Hybrid model for multimodal distributions using diffusion and classification.
problem Sampling from multimodal distributions with correct proportions.
method Divide-and-conquer strategy: identify modes, train classifiers, diffusion models, bridge sampling.
result Framework effectively handles multimodal distributions in high dimensions.
Smartphone data shows promise but accuracy issues remain.
problem Inaccurate travel surveys from smartphone data.
method Training algorithms on data quality and validating labels.
result Machine learning methods are limited by data quality.
New proofs confirm travel time data determine simple metrics on a disc.
problem Determining a simple Riemannian metric from travel time data.
method Proofs based on Myers-Steenrod theorem, Lipschitz-type stability estimate.
result Travel time data determine a simple Riemannian metric on a disc up to natural gauge.
Bayesian taut splines estimate modes in probability densities.
problem Estimating the number of modes in probability density functions.
method Bayesian inference with flexible kernel estimators and compositional splines.
result The new method provides more accurate results than traditional approaches.
OrderNet learns to sort sequences from training data.
problem Sorting unordered sequences where correct order is not easily defined.
method OrderNet is a neural architecture designed to be permutation equivariant and capable of rich interactions.
result OrderNet outperforms previous techniques in generalizing to longer sequences.
Method recovers obstacles from travel times on curved surfaces.
problem Recovering obstacles from travel times on curved surfaces.
method Extending Noakes and Stoyanov's method to Riemannian surfaces with curvature constraints.
result Obstacles can be recovered from travel times on Riemannian surfaces under certain curvature conditions.