Detects anomalies in astronomical time series data.
problem Identifying new and interesting transients in large astronomical surveys.
method Two novel methods: a probabilistic neural network and a Bayesian parametric model.
result Neural networks are less suitable for anomaly detection in time series data compared to parametric models.
New Roman pipeline detects astronomical transients.
problem Automated detection of transients from Roman Space Telescope data.
method Machine learning model RuBR for distinguishing real from fake detections.
result Effective real-bogus classification in Roman era.
We present a sparse and invariant representation with low asymptotic complexity for robust unsupervised transient and onset zone detection in noisy environments. This unsupervised approach is based on wavelet transforms and leverages the scattering network from Mallat et al. by deriving frequency invariance. This frequ…
Predicts the age of astronomical transients from real-time data.
problem Improving understanding of transients and their progenitor systems.
method Bayesian probabilistic recurrent neural network.
result Accurately predicts the age of transients with robust uncertainties.
CNNs improve transient detection in DES-SN images.
problem Automated identification of transients in astronomical images.
method Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) for image classification.
result CNNs achieve efficiency in identifying non-artifacts from artifacts.
Random matrix theory explains transient signal detectability in early-stopped gradient flow.
problem Transient signal detectability in early-stopped gradient flow.
method Random matrix theory applied to gradient flow in a linear teacher-student setting.
result Transient Baik-Ben Arous-Péché (BBP) transition in learning dynamics due to anisotropy and noise.
Study examines the training process of an unsupervised learning model for detecting gravitational-wave transient noise.
problem Transient noise in gravitational-wave detector data causes instability and signal overlap.
method Unsupervised deep learning with variational autoencoder and invariant information clustering applied to the Gravity Spy dataset.
result Training process of the unsupervised learning architecture is examined and reported.
A new compressed sensing system speeds up PSTE detection.
problem Accurately detecting fast, small optical events (PSTEs) is challenging.
method Developed a novel compressed sensing algorithm for rolling shutter systems.
result Accurately recovered PSTEs with spatial undersampling, showing speed and quality advantages.
Preventing early progression of epilepsy and so the severity of seizures requires an effective diagnosis. Epileptic transients indicate the ability to develop seizures but humans overlook such brief events in an electroencephalogram (EEG) what compromises patient treatment. Traditionally, training of the EEG event dete…
Bayesian BIC for multi-trial data improves VAR model order selection.
problem Optimal VAR model order selection for multi-trial event-based data.
method Derive and apply Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) for multi-trial ensemble data.
result Multi-trial BIC successfully recovers real model order and estimates small model order.
Many iterative procedures in stochastic optimization exhibit a transient phase followed by a stationary phase. During the transient phase the procedure converges towards a region of interest, and during the stationary phase the procedure oscillates in that region, commonly around a single point. In this paper, we devel…
Calculates the transient number of knots using homology groups.
problem Determining the minimal number of arcs needed to trivialize a knot.
method Uses the rank of the first homology group of the double branched cover of the knot.
result Calculates transient numbers for many knots and shows existence of knots with arbitrarily large transient numbers.
Transient market impact explained via Nash equilibrium in a game.
problem Understanding the transient nature of market impact.
method Analyzing a game between a trader and an arbitrageur, deriving decay kernels.
result Implied transient impact can be derived from trader behavior at Nash equilibrium.
Study non-rectangular robust MDPs for average-reward, finding optimal policies and transient values.
problem Non-rectangular robust Markov decision processes under average-reward criterion.
method Proves history-dependent policies are robust-optimal, introduces transient-value framework, constructs epoch-based policy.
result Existence and properties of robust optimal policies, transient value bounds.
New method decomposes Markov chain rewards into persistent and transient components.
problem Ambiguity in classical evaluation methods for Markov chains with reducible and periodic states.
method Minimal exact quotient by the real peripheral invariant subspace, decomposing rewards into persistent and transient components.
result Exact comparison with classical methods shows that the new decomposition reallocates the same information, making persistent modes explicit.
We present RAPID (Real-time Automated Photometric IDentification), a novel time-series classification tool capable of automatically identifying transients from within a day of the initial alert, to the full lifetime of a light curve. Using a deep recurrent neural network with Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs), we present th…
Study solves utility maximization in a transient price impact market.
problem Utility maximization in a market with transient price impact.
method Developed a discrete-time model and removed market depth and resilience process restrictions.
result Solved the utility maximization problem without convexity of attainable portfolio values.
This paper considers the problem of detection in distributed networks in the presence of data falsification (Byzantine) attacks. Detection approaches considered in the paper are based on fully distributed consensus algorithms, where all of the nodes exchange information only with their neighbors in the absence of a fus…
Novel method uses information theory to measure causal influences during transient neural events.
problem Characterizing network interactions during transient neural events.
method Structural Causal Models, Information Theory, Transfer Entropy, Dynamic Causal Strength, Relative Dynamic Causal Strength.
result Introduced a novel measure, relative Dynamic Causal Strength, with theoretical and empirical support.
Unsupervised learning classifies transient noise in gravitational wave detectors.
problem Transient noise interferes with gravitational wave signals, causing instability.
method Combines variational autoencoder and invariant information clustering.
result Consistent classification with Gravity Spy project labels.
Paper proposes a new method to detect convergence in SGD.
problem Detecting the transition from fast progress to oscillation in SGD.
method Analyzes Pflug's test and proposes a novel statistical procedure.
result The novel procedure accurately detects stationarity in SGD.
The paper analyzes convergence in SGD with momentum and proposes a diagnostic test.
problem Detecting convergence in stochastic gradient descent with momentum.
method Analyzes the transient and stationary phases of SGD with momentum, constructs a statistical diagnostic test.
result The proposed diagnostic test effectively detects convergence in the stationary phase of SGD with momentum.
We discuss an "extrinsic" property of knots in a 3-subspace of the 3-sphere S3 to characterize how the subspace is embedded in S3. Specifically, we show that every knot in a subspace of the 3-sphere is transient if and only if the exterior of the subspace is a disjoint union of handlebodies, i.e. regular neighbor…
Optimal trading strategy adapts to signals in markets with price impact.
problem Optimal liquidation in markets with linear price impact and predictive signals.
method Formulated as a stochastic control problem, solved using probabilistic and convex analytic techniques.
result Explicit solution for optimal trading strategy in terms of SDEs.
In emerging Internet-of-Nano-Thing (IoNT), information will be embedded and conveyed in the form of molecules through complex and diffusive medias. One main challenge lies in the long-tail nature of the channel response causing inter-symbol-interference (ISI), which deteriorates the detection performance. If the channe…
We study a multiplicative transient price impact model for an illiquid financial market, where trading causes price impact which is multiplicative in relation to the current price, transient over time with finite rate of resilience, and non-linear in the order size. We construct explicit solutions for the optimal contr…
New method uses machine learning to analyze catalyst reactions.
problem Understanding complex reaction mechanisms in catalytic materials.
method Combining transient kinetics and machine learning.
result Correct estimates of micro-kinetic coefficients and mechanism.
Study optimal execution in a transient price impact model with multiple traders.
problem Optimal execution among multiple traders with transient price impact.
method Analyzed N-player optimal execution games in an Obizhaeva--Wang model with and without regularization. Derived equilibrium solutions and explained their behavior. result Existence of equilibrium restored with a specific time-dependent cost on block trades, and equilibrium is tractable.
New algorithm improves understanding of decentralized SBO transient iteration complexity.
problem Limited understanding of how network topology, data heterogeneity, and nested structures affect SBO.
method D-SOBA framework with two variants: D-SOBA-SO and D-SOBA-FO, providing non-asymptotic convergence analysis and transient iteration complexity.
result First theoretical understanding of how network topology, data heterogeneity, and nested structures influence decentralized SBO.
FAL improves formation resistivity prediction from cased boreholes with noise resistance.
problem Noise and high-frequency disaster in predicting formation resistivity from cased boreholes.
method Frequency-aware framework and temporal anti-noise block for LSTM.
result FAL achieves a 24.3% improvement in R2 over LSTM, reaching R2=0.91.
SMC analysis reveals key transient effects in macroeconomic ABM.
problem Analysis of complex ABMs is challenging and often relies on ad hoc methods.
method Statistical model checking (SMC) implemented through MultiVeStA.
result Clear contrast across parameter families in macro-financial and structural sweeps.
Improves inverse uncertainty quantification for time-dependent data using PCA and deep neural networks.
problem Efficiently quantify model input uncertainties from time-dependent experimental data.
method Functional PCA for dimensionality reduction, deep neural networks for surrogate modeling, Bayesian neural networks for uncertainty estimation.
result The proposed method reduces the computational cost and improves the agreement with experimental data.
First-passage times in random walks have a vast number of diverse applications in physics, chemistry, biology, and finance. In general, environmental conditions for a stochastic process are not constant on the time scale of the average first-passage time, or control might be applied to reduce noise. We investigate mome…
A new kernel improves statistical surrogates for stochastic manifolds with diverse data.
problem Handling statistical surrogates for stochastic manifolds with heterogeneous data.
method A transient anisotropic kernel is introduced to improve statistical surrogates for stochastic manifolds with heterogeneous data.
result The transient anisotropic kernel provides a better representation of statistical dependencies in the learned probability measure.
A new ML method speeds up PDE simulations without needing classical training.
problem Accelerating transient PDE simulations using machine learning.
method Online-learned preconditioners using a bandit algorithm.
result One-shot acceleration of PDE simulations.
This study examines how market makers balance risk and impact in foreign exchange markets.
problem Balancing risk management with market impact in foreign exchange markets.
method An intermediate scenario approach considering both instantaneous and permanent market impact components.
result Transient market impact is more prevalent than previously thought, challenging traditional market impact models.
We solve the superhedging problem for European options in an illiquid extension of the Black-Scholes model, in which transactions have transient price impact and the costs and the strategies for hedging are affected by physical or cash settlement requirements at maturity. Our analysis is based on a convenient choice of…
We study the problem of the optimal execution of a large trade in the presence of nonlinear transient impact. We propose an approach based on homotopy analysis, whereby a well behaved initial strategy is continuously deformed to lower the expected execution cost. We find that the optimal solution is front loaded for co…
Optimal energy trading strategy for intraday markets using Hawkes processes.
problem Optimal execution in intraday energy markets with specific trading patterns.
method Calibrated Hawkes process model with transient price impact.
result Substantial cost reductions in TWAP and VWAP benchmarks.
Sharp pseudospectral bounds prevent transient amplification in coupled gradient descent.
problem Transient amplification in coupled gradient descent systems.
method Developed a sharp pseudospectral theory for block-triangular Jacobians, proving Kreiss constant bounds and matching minimax lower bounds.
result Obtained a finite-horizon iteration-complexity bound of O(K(J)2log(1/δ)) for stochastic coupled descent. Study shows randomized strategies can't be Nash equilibria in markets with transient price impact.
problem Existence of pure Nash equilibria in markets with transient price impact.
method Considered randomized strategies and showed that they cannot be Nash equilibria.
result Nash equilibria cannot contain randomized strategies.
Deep RL agents suffer from transient non-stationarity, which ITER mitigates.
problem Transient non-stationarity in deep RL agents affects generalization.
method Iterated Relearning (ITER) transfers knowledge between networks to reduce non-stationarity.
result ITER improves deep RL agents' performance on generalization benchmarks.
EGFC learns from streaming data to classify power quality disturbances.
problem Real-time detection and classification of power quality disturbances.
method Evolving Gaussian Fuzzy Classification (EGFC) framework with semi-supervised learning.
result Encouraging classification results from online data streams.
The last decades have not only been characterized by an explosive growth of data, but also an increasing appreciation of data as a valuable resource. Their value comes with the ability to extract meaningful patterns that are of economic, societal or scientific relevance. A particular challenge is the identification of …
We consider a market impact game for n risk-averse agents that are competing in a market model with linear transient price impact and additional transaction costs. For both finite and infinite time horizons, the agents aim to minimize a mean-variance functional of their costs or to maximize the expected exponential u…
We study portfolio selection in a model with both temporary and transient price impact introduced by Garleanu and Pedersen (2016). In the large-liquidity limit where both frictions are small, we derive explicit formulas for the asymptotically optimal trading rate and the corresponding minimal leading-order performance …
Ranger improves DNNs' fault resilience without re-computation.
problem Transient faults in DNNs cause errors, reducing reliability.
method Range restriction to transform critical faults to benign faults.
result Significant improvement in error resilience (3x to 50x) with no accuracy loss.
Trading algorithms that execute large orders are susceptible to exploitation by order anticipation strategies. This paper studies the influence of order anticipation strategies in a multi-investor model of optimal execution under transient price impact. Existence and uniqueness of a Nash equilibrium is established unde…