Generative model predicts NFT collection transactions based on early history.
problem Predict future transactions of newly minted NFT collections.
method Unsupervised learning to extract contexts, then generate future transactions.
result Projected market value of new NFT collections.
Paper improves transaction-based Ponzi detection on Ethereum.
problem Low accuracy of current transaction-based Ponzi detection models.
method Employ time-series features to improve accuracy.
result Up to 30% higher F1-scores achieved with new features.
New method improves blockchain analysis by handling temporal changes and scalability.
problem Limited focus on evolving nature and scalability of blockchain transaction networks.
method Incremental approach with Metropolis-Hastings random walks.
result Comparable performance in node classification tasks with reduced computational overhead.
TLMG4Eth combines language and graph models for Ethereum fraud detection.
problem Current fraud detection methods fail to consider semantic and similarity patterns in Ethereum transactions.
method TLMG4Eth uses a transaction language model and graph-based methods to capture semantic, similarity, and structural features.
result TLMG4Eth detects anomalies in Ethereum transactions more effectively than existing methods.
Bank transactions help predict macroeconomic indexes faster and more accurately.
problem Lag in macroeconomic index availability and autoregressive models' limitations in complex scenarios.
method Use financial transactions data to estimate macroeconomic indexes using neural networks and smart sampling.
result Neural network approach outperforms baseline methods on hand-crafted features based on transactions.
Transaction costs appear in financial markets in more than one form. There are several results in the literature on small proportional transaction cost and not that many on fixed transaction cost. In the present work, we heuristically study the effect of both types of transaction cost by focusing on a portfolio optimiz…
LineMVGNN improves AML detection by integrating multi-view graph learning.
problem Ineffective and scalable AML systems using rule-based methods.
method LineMVGNN combines multi-view graph neural networks with line-graph features.
result LineMVGNN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in detecting money laundering.
The paper optimizes portfolios with transaction costs in a large asset universe.
problem Optimizing portfolios with transaction costs in a large asset universe.
method Mean-variance optimization with nonconvex penalty for proportional and quadratic transaction costs.
result The proposed models show satisfactory performance and highlight the importance of transaction costs.
A novel method uses blockchain transaction graphs for Bitcoin price prediction.
problem Insufficient effectiveness of manually designed features for Bitcoin price prediction.
method Mining patterns from Bitcoin transactions using k-order transaction graphs and proposing a novel prediction method.
result The proposed method outperforms state-of-the-art Bitcoin price prediction methods.
Money flow models are essential tools to understand different economical phenomena, like saving propensities and wealth distributions. In spite of their importance, most of them are based on synthetic transaction networks with simple topologies, e.g. random or scale-free ones, as the characterisation of real networks i…
A new approach models credit card transactions using HMMs to detect fraud.
problem Detecting credit card fraud using isolated event analysis.
method Model sequences from three perspectives using HMMs and combine likelihoods as features.
result Improved fraud detection effectiveness compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Study reveals dynamic causal relationships between Ethereum transaction fees and economic subsystems.
problem Historical gas fee volatility caused economic disequilibria and stakeholder challenges.
method Time-varying Granger causality analysis using data on active wallets and transaction volume.
result Dynamic bidirectional causal relationships between transaction fees and economic subsystems across Ethereum.
This paper tackles credit card fraud detection using graph-based learning methods.
problem Detecting credit card fraud to reduce financial losses.
method Graph p-Laplacian based semi-supervised learning combined with undersampling techniques.
result Graph p-Laplacian semi-supervised learning outperforms current methods.
Machine learning and data mining techniques have been used extensively in order to detect credit card frauds. However, most studies consider credit card transactions as isolated events and not as a sequence of transactions. In this article, we model a sequence of credit card transactions from three different perspectiv…
Deep learning shows ETF imbalances are more informative than market imbalances.
problem Determining causality between ETF and market imbalances.
method Deep learning econometric methodology applied to stock and ETF transactions.
result ETF imbalance messages are more informative than market imbalance messages.
Extends super-replication theorem with dynamic strategies and transaction costs.
problem Dynamic super-replication under proportional transaction costs.
method Generalizes admissible strategies and defines a well-defined super-replication price process.
result Well-defined super-replication price process in dynamic setting.
This paper proposes a new method to optimize portfolio allocation with transaction costs using Wiener chaos expansion.
problem Optimizing portfolio allocation with transaction costs in multi-period settings.
method Wiener chaos expansion approach to represent and solve the optimization problem.
result The proposed method finds an optimal strategy for portfolio allocation with transaction costs.
A new method detects financial fraud using graph transformers.
problem Detecting fraudulent transactions in financial data.
method Spatial-Temporal-Aware Graph Transformer (STA-GT) integrating GNNs and transformers.
result STA-GT outperforms general GNN models on financial fraud detection.
In finance, durations between successive transactions are usually modeled by the autoregressive conditional duration model based on a continuous distribution omitting zero values. Zero or close-to-zero durations can be caused by either split transactions or independent transactions. We propose a discrete model allowing…
This paper examines the intra-day seasonality of transacted limit and market orders in the DEM/USD foreign exchange market. Empirical analysis of completed transactions data based on the Dealing 2000-2 electronic inter-dealer broking system indicates significant evidence of intraday seasonality in returns and return vo…
The M and A transactions represent a wide range of unique business optimization opportunities in the corporate transformation deals, which are usually characterized by the high level of total risk. The M and A transactions can be successfully implemented by taking to an account the size of investments, purchase price, …
A digital euro protocol offers complete privacy and offline transactions using Groth-Sahai proofs.
problem Fragile digital payment solutions with privacy and offline transaction issues.
method Design and implementation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) using Groth-Sahai zero-knowledge proofs.
result Complete privacy and offline transaction capability with retroactive double-spending detection.
We consider the problem of optimizing the expected logarithmic utility of the value of a portfolio in a binomial model with proportional transaction costs with a long time horizon. By duality methods, we can find expressions for the boundaries of the no-trade-region and the asymptotic optimal growth rate, which can be …
Investigates portfolio selection with transaction costs and stochastic volatility, using deep learning for computation.
problem Optimal portfolio selection with transaction costs and stochastic volatility.
method Two-factor stochastic volatility model, option-implied utility function, deep learning policy iteration.
result Deep learning method effectively computes optimal investment decisions under transaction costs and stochastic volatility.
New method calculates super-hedging prices with transaction costs.
problem Super-hedging European contingent claims under proportional transaction costs.
method Explicit recursive scheme based on convex duality and Legendre-Fenchel transform.
result Computes super-hedging price and optimal strategy without martingale arguments.
We generalize the momentum indicator idea taking into account the volume of transactions as a multiplicative factor. We compare returns obtained following strategies based on the classical or the generalized technical analysis, taking into account a sort of risk investor criterion.
The cryptocurrency market is a very huge market without effective supervision. It is of great importance for investors and regulators to recognize whether there are market manipulation and its manipulation patterns. This paper proposes an approach to mine the transaction networks of exchanges for answering this questio…
Framework detects suspicious money laundering flows in large transaction graphs.
problem Detecting money laundering in large, complex transaction networks.
method Adapted framework for domain-specific constraints, including weighting method for edge significance.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art solutions in efficiency and effectiveness for large datasets.
This research develops heuristics to detect CoinJoin transactions on Bitcoin blockchain.
problem Compromised privacy in Bitcoin transactions due to CoinJoin.
method Analyzed open-source CoinJoin implementations to develop heuristics.
result Refined heuristics for identifying CoinJoin transactions on the blockchain.
Study utility maximization with costs, proving convergence and strategies.
problem Utility maximization with proportional transaction costs.
method Extended weak convergence theory and Meyer--Zheng topology.
result Prove convergence of utility maximization problems and optimal trading strategies.
Machine learning predicts Bitcoin returns but trading performance drops with costs.
problem Trading Bitcoin predictions with transaction costs.
method XGBoost, LSTM, iTransformer models evaluated in walk-forward protocol; cost-aware execution filter implemented.
result Cost-aware execution filter restores profitability; XGBoost strategy outperforms.
This paper presents a large Bitcoin transaction graph dataset for research.
problem Lack of a comprehensive dataset for Bitcoin research.
method Created a large-scale transactions graph dataset with timestamps.
result Established a large publicly available dataset for advanced research.
The electronic platform has been increasingly popular for executing large corporate bond orders by asset managers, who in turn have to assess the quality of their executions via Transaction Cost Analysis (TCA). One of the challenges in TCA is to build a realistic benchmark for the expected transaction cost and to chara…
The family of admissible positions in a transaction costs model is a random closed set, which is convex in case of proportional transaction costs. However, the convexity fails, e.g. in case of fixed transaction costs or when only a finite number of transfers are possible. The paper presents an approach to measure risks…
Investment strategy optimized in markets with transaction costs and search delays.
problem Maximizing wealth in an illiquid market with transaction costs and search frictions.
method Characterized no-trade region and provided asymptotic expansions of value function for small transaction costs.
result The effects of transaction costs are more pronounced in illiquid markets.
Paper generates synthetic financial transactions for AML model testing.
problem Insufficient real data for AML model training.
method Agent-based generator calibrated to real transactions.
result Synthetic datasets improve model comparison by providing complete ground truth.
Proves FTAP in markets with or without transaction costs.
problem Applying FTAP to markets with transaction costs.
method Proof based on strict no-arbitrage condition, no concatenation or boundedness properties required.
result FTAP proven for both frictionless and markets with transaction costs.
The study examines portfolio optimization with quadratic transaction costs, complicating the optimization process.
problem Portfolio optimization with quadratic transaction costs is more challenging than with linear costs.
method Introduced numerical algorithms to solve the optimization problem with quadratic transaction costs.
result Quadratic transaction costs significantly impact the expected returns of optimized portfolios.
Study detects unusual trading patterns on crypto exchanges using complexity measures.
problem Detecting artificial trading activity on cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Complexity and statistical-structure measures derived from high-frequency trade-level data.
result Unusual trading patterns detected on Bitget for BTC and ETH after mid-May 2025.
In this note, we study the utility maximization problem on the terminal wealth under proportional transaction costs and bounded random endowment. In particular, we restrict ourselves to the numéraire-based model and work with utility functions only supporting R+. Under the assumption of existence of consistent price sy…
We consider a discrete time financial market with proportional transaction costs under model uncertainty, and study a numéraire-based semi-static utility maximization problem with an exponential utility preference. The randomization techniques recently developed in \cite{BDT17} allow us to transform the original proble…
It is widely believed that fluctuations in transaction volume, as reflected in the number of transactions and to a lesser extent their size, are the main cause of clustered volatility. Under this view bursts of rapid or slow price diffusion reflect bursts of frequent or less frequent trading, which cause both clustered…
Paper predicts transaction confirmation time in Ethereum blockchain using machine learning.
problem Estimating transaction confirmation time in Ethereum blockchain.
method Uses machine learning, specifically Random Forest Regressor and Multilayer Perceptron, to predict transaction confirmation time.
result Proposed model shows improved accuracy in predicting transaction confirmation time compared to statistical models.
Model shows how price impact and transaction costs affect trading behavior and profits.
problem Analyzing trading behavior and profits in markets with transaction costs and price impact.
method Proves the existence of an equilibrium in a model with transaction costs and price impact.
result Existence of a strictly positive optimal transaction cost from the exchange's perspective.
Deep neural network solves portfolio optimization with MGARCH and small transaction costs.
problem Optimizing portfolios with MGARCH and small transaction costs.
method Fixed-point RL algorithm using neural networks.
result NN algorithm shows positive testing performance.
A note on utility maximization with costs, proving trading strategies.
problem Utility maximization with proportional transaction costs and stability of optimal portfolios.
method Proof of a limit theorem using a dual approach.
result Established a uniqueness result for optimal trading strategies.
The Bitcoin transaction graph is a public data structure organized as transactions between addresses, each associated with a logical entity. In this work, we introduce a complete probabilistic model of the Bitcoin Blockchain. We first formulate a set of conditional dependencies induced by the Bitcoin protocol at the bl…
The study examines pricing American options with both exogenous and endogenous transaction costs.
problem Pricing American options with transaction costs and liquidity risks.
method Modeling liquidity risks as a mean-reverting process and transaction costs as proportional to trading amount. Two nonlinear PDEs are used to characterize option values. Numerical solution via ADI method and model calibration using maximum likelihood estimation.
result The model incorporating liquidity risks significantly outperforms the Leland model.