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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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147294441588 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for traffic speed prediction

Model predicts traffic speed using urban incidents.

problem Accurately predicting traffic speed in urban areas.
method Deep Incident-Aware Graph Convolutional Network (DIGC-Net).
result Model outperforms competing benchmarks in traffic speed prediction.

DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.

problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.

MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.

problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.

Deep neural network reconstructs traffic speeds from sparse vehicle data.

problem Reconstructing traffic speeds from limited probe vehicle data.
method Convolutional neural network architecture for spatio-temporal learning.
result The method can reconstruct traffic speeds with low probe vehicle penetration.

DALC customizes LSTM models for detectors in large-scale traffic networks.

problem Fine-grained traffic prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Formulated as a finite Markov decision process, introduced ALC algorithm for automatic customization, and developed DALC for distributed customization.
result DALC provides higher prediction accuracy than Apache Spark MLlib approaches.

Predicts traffic flow using reinforcement learning and sensor data.

problem Accurately predict expanding and evolving long-term streaming traffic networks.
method Formulates the problem as a continuous reinforcement learning task, where the agent predicts future traffic based on sensor data.
result The approach improves accuracy in predicting traffic flow by updating the agent's state representation over time.

Predict real-time crash risks during hurricane evacuations using connected vehicle data.

problem Mitigate crash risks during hurricane evacuations by predicting high-risk locations.
method Used connected vehicle data to predict crash risks in real-time, considering weather and traffic features.
result Gaussian Process Boosting and Extreme Gradient Boosting models performed best, with recall of 0.91.

Study compares deep learning models for traffic forecasting, highlighting graph elements' impact.

problem Challenges in forecasting spatial-temporal traffic patterns.
method In-depth comparative study of four deep neural network models with different basic elements.
result Graph attention improves long-term predictions in traffic forecasting models.

New method combines heuristics and search techniques to speed up cooperative planning for autonomous vehicles.

problem Efficient cooperative planning for autonomous vehicles in complex traffic scenarios.
method Combining learned heuristics with Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) to guide search towards promising actions.
result Better solutions at lower computational costs achieved through accelerated planning.

Deep learning predicts road GHG emissions with speed, density, and past ERs.

problem Predicting GHG emissions from road networks to mitigate environmental impact.
method Developed a deep learning framework using LSTM networks with exogenous variables.
result LSTM with speed, density, GHG ER, and in-links speed from previous minutes performs best.

The goal of the IARAI competition traffic4cast was to predict the city-wide traffic status within a 15-minute time window, based on information from the previous hour. The traffic status was given as multi-channel images (one pixel roughly corresponds to 100x100 meters), where one channel indicated the traffic volume, …

2019-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

CP improves robustness against distribution shift using physics-informed structural causal models.

problem Uncertainty in machine learning predictions under distributional shift.
method Physics-informed structural causal model (PI-SCM) to upper bound coverage difference.
result PI-SCM improves coverage robustness across confidence levels and test domains.

This paper tackles traffic volume estimation challenges with a deep learning method.

problem Underdetermined and non-equilibrium traffic flows.
method Graph-based deep learning method with adaptive attention mechanisms.
result The proposed model achieves high accuracy even with low sensor coverage.

This paper presents a mesoscopic traffic flow model that explicitly describes the spatio-temporal evolution of the probability distributions of vehicle trajectories. The dynamics are represented by a sequence of factor graphs, which enable learning of traffic dynamics from limited Lagrangian measurements using an effic…

2018-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uncovers uncertainty in traffic prediction models across cities.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for traffic prediction.
method Investigated uncertainty quantification methods for image-based traffic prediction.
result Meaningful uncertainty estimates can be recovered for traffic prediction.

CONTINA provides adaptive confidence intervals for traffic demand prediction.

problem Uncertainty in future traffic demand predictions and the need for valid confidence intervals.
method Adaptive confidence interval method that adjusts based on deployment errors.
result Valid confidence intervals with shorter lengths and theoretical coverage guarantee.

Bayesian model improves traffic prediction with uncertainty estimates.

problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep-learning traffic models.
method Proposes a Bayesian recurrent neural network with spectral normalization.
result Spectral normalization improves uncertainty estimates and generalizability.

Develops a new model for controllable and realistic traffic simulation.

problem Lack of models that offer both controllability and realism in traffic simulation.
method Guided Conditional Diffusion (CTG) model using diffusion modeling and differentiable logic.
result Improves controllability-realism tradeoff over strong baselines.

In its simplest form, the traffic flow prediction problem is restricted to predicting a single time-step into the future. Multi-step traffic flow prediction extends this set-up to the case where predicting multiple time-steps into the future based on some finite history is of interest. This problem is significantly mor…

2018-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.

problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.

Enhances traffic forecasting with dynamic regression incorporating error modeling.

problem Improving accuracy of traffic forecasts using deep spatiotemporal models.
method Integrates matrix-variate autoregressive (AR) model into loss function for error series of base model.
result Improved traffic forecasting performance on SOTA models with interpretable AR coefficients.