We propose a statistical learning-based traffic speed estimation method that uses sparse vehicle trajectory information. Using a convolutional encoder-decoder based architecture, we show that a well trained neural network can learn spatio-temporal traffic speed dynamics from time-space diagrams. We demonstrate this for…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,657 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “traffic speed estimation”
New method improves traffic speed estimation from sparse data.
problem Incomplete and noisy traffic speed data from sparse sensors.
method Laplacian-enhanced low-rank tensor kriging (LETC) framework.
result LETC achieves state-of-the-art kriging performance under low observation rates.
Traffic speed prediction is a critically important component of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Recently, with the rapid development of deep learning and transportation data science, a growing body of new traffic speed prediction models have been designed, which achieved high accuracy and large-scale predicti…
Accurate traffic speed prediction is an important and challenging topic for transportation planning. Previous studies on traffic speed prediction predominately used spatio-temporal and context features for prediction. However, they have not made good use of the impact of urban traffic incidents. In this work, we aim to…
MSCT predicts post-crash traffic speed using causal inference.
problem Time-varying confounding bias in post-crash traffic prediction.
method Marginal Structural Causal Transformer (MSCT) incorporating Marginal Structural Models and balanced loss function.
result MSCT outperforms state-of-the-art models in multi-step-ahead prediction.
DistPre predicts traffic speeds efficiently for large networks.
problem Fine-grained, accurate speed prediction for large-scale transportation networks.
method Customizes LSTM models on a cluster, sharing trained models between detectors.
result Efficient and accurate fine-grained traffic-speed prediction.
This paper tackles traffic volume estimation challenges with a deep learning method.
problem Underdetermined and non-equilibrium traffic flows.
method Graph-based deep learning method with adaptive attention mechanisms.
result The proposed model achieves high accuracy even with low sensor coverage.
This paper presents a mesoscopic traffic flow model that explicitly describes the spatio-temporal evolution of the probability distributions of vehicle trajectories. The dynamics are represented by a sequence of factor graphs, which enable learning of traffic dynamics from limited Lagrangian measurements using an effic…
The expected low market penetration of connected vehicles (CVs) in the near future could be a constraint in estimating traffic flow parameters, such as average travel speed of a roadway segment and average space headway between vehicles from the CV broadcasted data. This estimated traffic flow parameters from low penet…
Heteroscedastic Gaussian processes for uncertainty modeling in large-scale crowdsourced traffic datastat.ML
Accurately modeling traffic speeds is a fundamental part of efficient intelligent transportation systems. Nowadays, with the widespread deployment of GPS-enabled devices, it has become possible to crowdsource the collection of speed information to road users (e.g. through mobile applications or dedicated in-vehicle dev…
This paper proposes a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based method that learns traffic as images and predicts large-scale, network-wide traffic speed with a high accuracy. Spatiotemporal traffic dynamics are converted to images describing the time and space relations of traffic flow via a two-dimensional time-space …
Kriformer uses graph transformers to estimate data in sparse sensor areas.
problem Sparse sensor deployment and unreliable data in spatiotemporal kriging tasks.
method Graph transformer model with positional encoding and attention mechanisms.
result Kriformer excels in representing unobserved locations in spatiotemporal kriging tasks.
Advanced travel information and warning, if provided accurately, can help road users avoid traffic congestion through dynamic route planning and behavior change. It also enables traffic control centres mitigate the impact of congestion by activating Intelligent Transport System (ITS) proactively. Deep learning has beco…
Traffic speed data imputation is a fundamental challenge for data-driven transport analysis. In recent years, with the ubiquity of GPS-enabled devices and the widespread use of crowdsourcing alternatives for the collection of traffic data, transportation professionals increasingly look to such user-generated data for m…
IGANI: Iterative Generative Adversarial Networks for Imputation with Application to Traffic Datastat.ML
IGANI uses iterative GANs to improve traffic data imputation.
problem Imputation of traffic data in the absence of sensor data.
method Iterative Generative Adversarial Networks (IGANI) for unsupervised learning.
result IGANI produces more accurate imputation results compared to previous methods.
This paper uses machine learning to estimate how different types of crashes affect highway traffic.
problem Estimating the heterogeneous causal effects of crashes on highway traffic.
method Neyman-Rubin Causal Model, Conditional Shapley Value Index, Structural Causal Model, Doubly Robust Learning.
result Different types of crashes have varying impacts on traffic, with rear-end crashes causing the most severe congestion.
Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecastingcs.LG
Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term prediction tasks and often neglect spatial and temporal dependencies. In this paper, we propose a nove…
Traffic forecasting problem remains a challenging task in the intelligent transportation system due to its spatio-temporal complexity. Although temporal dependency has been well studied and discussed, spatial dependency is relatively less explored due to its large variations, especially in the urban environment. In thi…
Critical incident stages identification and reasonable prediction of traffic incident duration are essential in traffic incident management. In this paper, we propose a traffic incident duration prediction model that simultaneously predicts the impact of the traffic incidents and identifies the critical groups of tempo…
Transportation and traffic are currently undergoing a rapid increase in terms of both scale and complexity. At the same time, an increasing share of traffic participants are being transformed into agents driven or supported by artificial intelligence resulting in mixed-intelligence traffic. This work explores the impli…
Accurate and reliable traffic forecasting for complicated transportation networks is of vital importance to modern transportation management. The complicated spatial dependencies of roadway links and the dynamic temporal patterns of traffic states make it particularly challenging. To address these challenges, we propos…
A deep learning model is applied for predicting block-level parking occupancy in real time. The model leverages Graph-Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNN) to extract the spatial relations of traffic flow in large-scale networks, and utilizes Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) with Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) to capture …
Study compares deep learning models for traffic forecasting, highlighting graph elements' impact.
problem Challenges in forecasting spatial-temporal traffic patterns.
method In-depth comparative study of four deep neural network models with different basic elements.
result Graph attention improves long-term predictions in traffic forecasting models.
This paper describes our UNet based deep convolutional neural network approach on the Traffic4cast challenge 2019. Challenges task is to predict future traffic flow volume, heading and speed on high resolution whole city map. We used UNet based deep convolutional neural network to train predictive model for the short t…
Develops a new model for controllable and realistic traffic simulation.
problem Lack of models that offer both controllability and realism in traffic simulation.
method Guided Conditional Diffusion (CTG) model using diffusion modeling and differentiable logic.
result Improves controllability-realism tradeoff over strong baselines.
Non-recurring traffic congestion is caused by temporary disruptions, such as accidents, sports games, adverse weather, etc. We use data related to real-time traffic speed, jam factors (a traffic congestion indicator), and events collected over a year from Nashville, TN to train a multi-layered deep neural network. The …
Enhances traffic forecasting with dynamic regression incorporating error modeling.
problem Improving accuracy of traffic forecasts using deep spatiotemporal models.
method Integrates matrix-variate autoregressive (AR) model into loss function for error series of base model.
result Improved traffic forecasting performance on SOTA models with interpretable AR coefficients.
A new method for filling in missing traffic data improves accuracy over existing techniques.
problem Incomplete spatiotemporal traffic data.
method Low-rank autoregressive tensor completion (LATC) framework.
result LATC framework better captures spatiotemporal consistency and local consistency.
The goal of the IARAI competition traffic4cast was to predict the city-wide traffic status within a 15-minute time window, based on information from the previous hour. The traffic status was given as multi-channel images (one pixel roughly corresponds to 100x100 meters), where one channel indicated the traffic volume, …
QTIP improves traffic prediction in sudden disruptions.
problem Traffic models fail during sudden disruptions.
method Simulation-based framework for real-time adaptation.
result QTIP improves traffic prediction in critical minutes of incidents.
The goal of this project is to introduce and present a machine learning application that aims to improve the quality of life of people in Singapore. In particular, we investigate the use of machine learning solutions to tackle the problem of traffic congestion in Singapore. In layman's terms, we seek to make Singapore …
IVMs help identify dangerous traffic conditions in real-time.
problem Real-time crash risk analysis in urban traffic systems.
method Import Vector Machines (IVMs) applied to historical crash and traffic data.
result IVMs successfully identify dangerous traffic conditions with computational advantage.
Traffic forecasting approaches are critical to developing adaptive strategies for mobility. Traffic patterns have complex spatial and temporal dependencies that make accurate forecasting on large highway networks a challenging task. Recently, diffusion convolutional recurrent neural networks (DCRNNs) have achieved stat…
The increasing complexity of mobility plus the growing population in cities, together with the importance of privacy when sharing data from vehicles or any device, makes traffic forecasting that uses data from infrastructure and citizens an open and challenging task. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach to deal…
Novel Bayesian meta-reinforcement learning framework improves traffic signal control robustness.
problem Lack of robustness and stability in adaptation for traffic signal control.
method Value-based Bayesian meta-reinforcement learning framework BM-DQN with fast-adaptation variation and DQN fast-update advantage.
result Framework adapts more quickly and robustly to new scenarios than previous methods.
Multistep traffic forecasting on road networks is a crucial task in successful intelligent transportation system applications. To capture the complex non-stationary temporal dynamics and spatial dependency in multistep traffic-condition prediction, we propose a novel deep learning framework named attention graph convol…
Predict real-time crash risks during hurricane evacuations using connected vehicle data.
problem Mitigate crash risks during hurricane evacuations by predicting high-risk locations.
method Used connected vehicle data to predict crash risks in real-time, considering weather and traffic features.
result Gaussian Process Boosting and Extreme Gradient Boosting models performed best, with recall of 0.91.
Predicts traffic flow using reinforcement learning and sensor data.
problem Accurately predict expanding and evolving long-term streaming traffic networks.
method Formulates the problem as a continuous reinforcement learning task, where the agent predicts future traffic based on sensor data.
result The approach improves accuracy in predicting traffic flow by updating the agent's state representation over time.
Proposes a neural network for estimating traffic density uncertainty.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep learning traffic prediction models.
method Quantile Graph Wavenet, a Spatio-Temporal neural network trained to estimate density.
result Produces uncertainty estimates efficiently without sampling.
New Perspectives on the Use of Online Learning for Congestion Level Prediction over Traffic Datacs.LG
Online learning improves traffic congestion prediction over time.
problem Model degradation due to concept drift in traffic data.
method Incremental learning from non-stationary time series data.
result Performance of models degrades with increased prediction horizon.
Over the past decade, several approaches have been introduced for short-term traffic prediction. However, providing fine-grained traffic prediction for large-scale transportation networks where numerous detectors are geographically deployed to collect traffic data is still an open issue. To address this issue, in this …
New method estimates traffic congestion delays using statistical causality.
problem Accurate estimation of traffic congestion delays during accidents.
method Proposes a novel time delay estimation method using lag-specific transfer entropy (TE) and Markov bootstrap techniques.
result Validated the method's efficacy using simulated and real data.
Method uses deep learning to estimate traffic intensity.
problem Estimating stochastic intensity of traffic processes.
method Deep neural networks for nonlinear filtering.
result Deep learning method accurately estimates traffic intensity.
We provide a model to understand how adverse weather conditions modify traffic flow dynamic. We first prove that the microscopic Free Flow Speed of the vehicles is changed and then provide a rule to model this change. For this, we consider a thresholded linear model, corresponding to an application of a MARS model to r…
Deep RL mimics human driving for collision avoidance in self-driving cars.
problem Developing human-like driving policies for autonomous vehicles in mixed traffic environments.
method Model-free, deep reinforcement learning approach using a combination of rule-based and expert-driven data.
result Demonstrated human-like driving policies through Gaussian process modeling of track position and speed distributions.
Bayesian model improves traffic prediction with uncertainty estimates.
problem Lack of uncertainty estimates in deep-learning traffic models.
method Proposes a Bayesian recurrent neural network with spectral normalization.
result Spectral normalization improves uncertainty estimates and generalizability.
Study uses open data to improve traffic emissions estimation.
problem Estimating accurate link level traffic emissions.
method Data-driven framework integrating MOVES, GPS, OSM, and satellite imagery.
result Neural network reduces RMSE by over 50% for key pollutants.
The robustness and integrity of IP networks require efficient tools for traffic monitoring and analysis, which scale well with traffic volume and network size. We address the problem of optimal large-scale flow monitoring of computer networks under resource constraints. We propose a stochastic optimization framework wh…