Proposes a graph neural network for traffic forecasting in WANs.
problem Traffic forecasting challenges in WANs due to dynamic and large data volumes.
method Dynamic diffusion convolutional recurrent neural networks for multistep traffic forecasting.
result Significant improvements in forecasting accuracy compared to classical methods.
PSTN improves traffic condition forecasting with deep neural networks.
problem Challenges in accurately forecasting traffic conditions due to complex spatiotemporal correlations.
method Proposes PSTN with three modules: graph convolutional network, temporal convolutional network, and gated recurrent unit framework.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art benchmarks in short-term traffic conditions forecasting.
Transfer learning improves highway traffic forecasting using graph neural networks.
problem Lack of historical data for traffic forecasting on large highway networks.
method Developed a transfer learning approach for DCRNN, a graph neural network for highway forecasting.
result TL-DCRNN can forecast traffic on unseen regions of the highway network with high accuracy.
Enhances traffic forecasting with dynamic regression incorporating error modeling.
problem Improving accuracy of traffic forecasts using deep spatiotemporal models.
method Integrates matrix-variate autoregressive (AR) model into loss function for error series of base model.
result Improved traffic forecasting performance on SOTA models with interpretable AR coefficients.
Traffic forecasting is a particularly challenging application of spatiotemporal forecasting, due to the time-varying traffic patterns and the complicated spatial dependencies on road networks. To address this challenge, we learn the traffic network as a graph and propose a novel deep learning framework, Traffic Graph C…
Stacked LSTM networks improve traffic volume forecasting.
problem Accurate traffic volume prediction for better planning.
method Applying stacked Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for time series forecasting.
result Stacked LSTM networks enhance the accuracy of traffic volume predictions.
Accurate and reliable traffic forecasting for complicated transportation networks is of vital importance to modern transportation management. The complicated spatial dependencies of roadway links and the dynamic temporal patterns of traffic states make it particularly challenging. To address these challenges, we propos…
Traffic forecasting approaches are critical to developing adaptive strategies for mobility. Traffic patterns have complex spatial and temporal dependencies that make accurate forecasting on large highway networks a challenging task. Recently, diffusion convolutional recurrent neural networks (DCRNNs) have achieved stat…
FC-GAGA forecasts traffic using a novel gating mechanism.
problem Forecasting multivariate time-series, especially with graph relationships.
method Learnable fully connected hard graph gating mechanism for fully connected time-series forecasting.
result Competitive or better performance than existing algorithms without graph knowledge.
Accurate and real-time traffic forecasting plays an important role in the Intelligent Traffic System and is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic management, and traffic control. However, traffic forecasting has always been considered an open scientific issue, owing to the constraints of urban road …
Spatiotemporal forecasting has various applications in neuroscience, climate and transportation domain. Traffic forecasting is one canonical example of such learning task. The task is challenging due to (1) complex spatial dependency on road networks, (2) non-linear temporal dynamics with changing road conditions and (…
The paper proposes a model to forecast traffic motion from sensor data.
problem Accurately predicting traffic motion for safe vehicle maneuvers.
method Implicit latent variable model using interaction graphs and graph neural networks.
result Achieves state-of-the-art motion forecasting and interaction understanding.
Neural networks predict traffic flow in smart cities.
problem Forecasting stochastic and nonlinear traffic flow.
method Various recurrent neural networks trained on intersection data.
result Vector output model with gated recurrent units performed best.
AGCRN forecasts traffic using adaptive graph and recurrent learning.
problem Forecasting traffic dynamics with complex spatial and temporal correlations.
method Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network (AGCRN) with Node Adaptive Parameter Learning (NAPL) and Data Adaptive Graph Generation (DAGG).
result AGCRN outperforms state-of-the-art models without pre-defined graphs.
BusTr predicts bus travel times from real-time traffic forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of bus travel time predictions.
method Neural sequence model trained on real-time traffic forecasts.
result BusTr outperforms DeepTTE by 30% in Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
This study evaluates methods to measure traffic forecasting model confidence.
problem Lack of consensus on uncertainty types and techniques for traffic forecasting models.
method Reviews and compares different uncertainty estimation techniques using real traffic data.
result Empirical evidence shows benefits and caveats of various techniques.
Improved traffic forecasting model handles missing data.
problem Short-term traffic forecasting with missing values.
method Proposed SBU-LSTM architecture with bidirectional and unidirectional LSTM.
result Superior performance in accuracy and robustness for network-wide traffic prediction.
Traffic flow forecasting, especially the short-term case, is an important topic in intelligent transportation systems (ITS). This paper does a lot of research on network-scale modeling and forecasting of short-term traffic flows. Firstly, we propose the concepts of single-link and multi-link models of traffic flow fore…
A3T-GCN improves traffic forecasting by capturing spatial and temporal dependencies.
problem Accurate real-time traffic forecasting in complex road networks.
method Attention Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (A3T-GCN) integrating recurrent units and graph convolutional network.
result Improved prediction accuracy through attention mechanism and global temporal information.
New framework predicts urban traffic with high accuracy.
problem Urban traffic prediction challenges.
method Interpretable attention-based neural network combining multiple modules.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art alternatives.
Deep learning model predicts traffic flows across entire network for multiple steps ahead.
problem Accurately forecasting future traffic flows across all network links.
method Spatial-Temporal Sequence to Sequence (STSeq2Seq) model combining seq2seq and graph convolution.
result STSeq2Seq achieves state-of-the-art performance in traffic forecasting.
Timely accurate traffic forecast is crucial for urban traffic control and guidance. Due to the high nonlinearity and complexity of traffic flow, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements of mid-and-long term prediction tasks and often neglect spatial and temporal dependencies. In this paper, we propose a nove…
H-STGCN predicts traffic using navigation data and improves accuracy.
problem Limited accuracy in traffic forecasting due to lack of contextual information.
method Proposes H-STGCN, a hybrid spatio-temporal graph convolutional network.
result H-STGCN outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, especially for non-recurring congestion.
A deep learning model for traffic forecasting in telecommunication networks.
problem Complex spatial-temporal dependency in traffic forecasting.
method Spatio-Temporal Hybrid Graph Convolutional Network (STHGCN) combining GRUs and hybrid-GCN.
result The proposed model outperforms classical and state-of-the-art methods.
New neural network predicts traffic flow across different cities.
problem Forecasting traffic flow across different cities is challenging due to spatio-temporal correlations.
method Proposes a local-spacetime neural network (STNN) that captures universal spatio-temporal correlations.
result Improves prediction accuracy by 4% over state-of-the-art methods.
Traffic forecasting problem remains a challenging task in the intelligent transportation system due to its spatio-temporal complexity. Although temporal dependency has been well studied and discussed, spatial dependency is relatively less explored due to its large variations, especially in the urban environment. In thi…
Study predicts traffic congestion based on population mobility data.
problem Predicting traffic congestion in multimodal transport networks.
method Machine learning methods applied to population mobility data.
result Likely prediction of congestion based on population movements.
Researchers forecast VoIP traffic in mobile networks using multivariate time series analysis.
problem Predicting VoIP traffic behavior in real mobile networks for better resource allocation.
method Multivariate time series analysis, Vector Autoregressive models, machine learning techniques.
result Forecasting accuracy and insights into VoIP traffic dynamics.
New method improves traffic forecasting models by adapting to spatial shifts.
problem Improving traffic forecasting models' ability to handle spatial shifts over years.
method Proposes a novel Mixture of Experts (MoE) framework for spatiotemporal models.
result Significant improvement in performance for handling spatial distribution shifts.
Traffic flow forecasting is hot spot research of intelligent traffic system construction. The existing traffic flow prediction methods have problems such as poor stability, high data requirements, or poor adaptability. In this paper, we define the traffic data time singularity ratio in the dropout module and propose a …
Traffic forecasting is of great importance to transportation management and public safety, and very challenging due to the complicated spatial-temporal dependency and essential uncertainty brought about by the road network and traffic conditions. Latest studies mainly focus on modeling the spatial dependency by utilizi…
A novel spatio-temporal graph neural network with a learnable Tweedie head improves vessel traffic flow prediction in sparse maritime data.
problem Accurate vessel traffic flow prediction in sparse maritime data.
method A model-agnostic learnable Tweedie head attached to ST-GNN backbones.
result The proposed head consistently improves RMSE across multiple ST-GNN backbones, especially on non-zero events.
Wireless traffic prediction is a fundamental enabler to proactive network optimisation in beyond 5G. Forecasting extreme demand spikes and troughs due to traffic mobility is essential to avoiding outages and improving energy efficiency. Current state-of-the-art deep learning forecasting methods predominantly focus on o…
Predicts morning traffic congestion using social media data from the previous evening.
problem Challenges in predicting early morning traffic dynamics.
method Mining Twitter messages to understand evening/midnight work and rest patterns.
result People's tweeting patterns before the morning commute are associated with traffic congestion.
Proposes a framework to handle missing data in traffic forecasting with sensor blackouts.
problem Missing data in traffic forecasting due to sensor blackouts, especially when correlated with traffic conditions.
method Latent state-space framework that models traffic dynamics and sensor dropout probabilities.
result Improves traffic forecasting by reducing blackout imputation RMSE from 7.02 to 4.23, with MNAR modeling providing additional gains.
The increasing complexity of mobility plus the growing population in cities, together with the importance of privacy when sharing data from vehicles or any device, makes traffic forecasting that uses data from infrastructure and citizens an open and challenging task. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach to deal…
Study improves prediction of UK road accidents' severity using AI.
problem Improving prediction of UK road traffic accident severity.
method Combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data.
result XGBoost model with RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087 outperforms naive forecasting.
Paper uses DMD to embed time in spatiotemporal forecasting.
problem Forecasting long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal data.
method Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) for time representation.
result DMD-based embedding improves long-horizon forecasting accuracy.
GACAN combines multi-granularity time series for traffic forecasting.
problem High dynamics and complex spatial-temporal dependency of road networks in traffic forecasting.
method Graph Attention-Convolution-Attention Networks (GACAN) with Att-Conv-Att (ACA) block.
result GACAN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in traffic forecasting.
Study compares deep learning models for traffic forecasting, highlighting graph elements' impact.
problem Challenges in forecasting spatial-temporal traffic patterns.
method In-depth comparative study of four deep neural network models with different basic elements.
result Graph attention improves long-term predictions in traffic forecasting models.
New method allows backtesting of systemic risk forecasts.
problem Systemic risk measures are not elitable and identifiable, making backtesting impossible.
method Introduces multi-objective elicitability and Diebold--Mariano type tests.
result Proposes a traffic-light approach for backtesting.
ProGen improves spatiotemporal forecasting with SDEs and diffusion models.
problem Complex spatial and temporal dependencies in spatiotemporal data.
method ProGen uses Stochastic Differential Equations and diffusion-based generative models.
result ProGen outperforms state-of-the-art models on traffic datasets.
Project promoters, forecasters, and managers sometimes object to two things in measuring inaccuracy in travel demand forecasting: (1) using the forecast made at the time of making the decision to build as the basis for measuring inaccuracy and (2) using traffic during the first year of operations as the basis for measu…
The transport literature is dense regarding short-term traffic predictions, up to the scale of 1 hour, yet less dense for long-term traffic predictions. The transport literature is also sparse when it comes to city-scale traffic predictions, mainly because of low data availability. In this work, we report an effort to …
Improved NODEs for long-term time series forecasting.
problem Dealing with complex, multi-frequency data.
method Progressive learning paradigm with curriculum learning.
result Performance improved by over 64%.
This article presents results from the first statistically significant study of traffic forecasts in transportation infrastructure projects. The sample used is the largest of its kind, covering 210 projects in 14 nations worth US$59 billion. The study shows with very high statistical significance that forecasters gener…
Study identifies transitions between traffic modes on Cologne motorways.
problem Understanding transitions between different traffic modes.
method Constructed state transition network, identified dominant states using PageRank algorithm.
result Identified seasonal dependence in traffic modes.
Study improves crash rate forecasting in Washington, D.C. using stochastic volatility model.
problem Forecasting crash rates in areas with irregular traffic patterns and exogenous events.
method Adopted a stochastic volatility model to capture heterogeneity and temporal instability.
result The stochastic volatility model outperforms conventional models in forecasting crash rates in Washington, D.C.