Proposes a Coulomb-like model for international trade flows, fitting real-world data.
problem Describing and predicting international trade flows between countries.
method Formulated a coulomb force model where GDP represents charge and distance is influenced by various factors.
result Developed a trade strength distribution equation that fits real-world data well.
The paper identifies clusters in the World Trade Network using communicability distances.
problem Identifying clusters in the World Trade Network.
method Uses Estrada and vibrational communicability distances to find clusters maximizing a modularity function.
result Identifies specific distance thresholds that maximize modularity, revealing unique relationships between countries.
World trade atlas reveals hyperbolic geometry of international connections.
problem Understanding the complex architecture of international trade networks.
method Gravity model predicting trade channels and analysis of trade distances.
result Trade distances are hyperbolic, not flat, reflecting a hierarchical international trade system.
In the economic literature, geographic distances are considered fundamental factors to be included in any theoretical model whose aim is the quantification of the trade between countries. Quantitatively, distances enter into the so-called gravity models that successfully predict the weight of non-zero trade flows. Howe…
Globalization is one of the central concepts of our age. The common perception of the process is that, due to declining communication and transport costs, distance becomes less and less important. However, the distance coefficient in the gravity model of trade, which grows in time, indicates that the role of distance i…
Based on the approach of flow distances, the international trade flow system is studied from the perspective of multi-layer flow network. A model of multi-layer flow network is proposed for modelling and analyzing multiple types of flows in flow systems. Then, flow distances are introduced, and symmetric minimum flow d…
Trade data reveals geopolitical information about countries.
problem Understanding geopolitical information from trade data.
method Spectral decomposition of the Graph Laplacian for nonlinear dimensionality reduction.
result Remarkable geopolitical information can be extracted from trade volumes.
New method selects stock pairs for pairs trading considering lead-lag relationship.
problem Identifying best stock pairs for pairs trading considering lead-lag relationship.
method Proposes a new distance measure incorporating lead-lag relationship.
result Selected pairs consistently generate best profit compared to other measures.
This paper explores the relationships between migration and trade using a complex-network approach. We show that: (i) both weighted and binary versions of the networks of international migration and trade are strongly correlated; (ii) such correlations can be mostly explained by country economic/demographic size and ge…
In a spatially embedded network, that is a network where nodes can be uniquely determined in a system of coordinates, links' weights might be affected by metric distances coupling every pair of nodes (dyads). In order to assess to what extent metric distances affect relationships (link's weights) in a spatially embedde…
QCML improves bond similarity learning in illiquid markets.
problem Improving similarity learning for illiquid corporate bonds.
method Quantum Cognition Machine Learning (QCML) for supervised distance metric learning.
result QCML outperforms classical tree-based models in high-yield markets.
Optimal trading speeds are reduced by small quadratic costs, with specific velocity regimes identified.
problem Optimal trading speeds in the presence of linear and quadratic costs.
method Matched asymptotic expansion techniques to analyze the effects of small quadratic costs.
result Trading speeds inside a band are reduced by the one-third power of quadratic costs, with specific velocity regimes identified.
This paper analyzes correlations in patterns of trading of different members of the London Stock Exchange. The collection of strategies associated with a member institution is defined by the sequence of signs of net volume traded by that institution in hour intervals. Using several methods we show that there are signif…
This paper refines MMD for domain adaptation by balancing intra-class and inter-class distances.
problem Balancing intra-class and inter-class distances for better feature discriminability in domain adaptation.
method The paper theoretically proves two facts about MMD and proposes a novel discriminative MMD method to balance intra-class and inter-class distances.
result The proposed method improves feature discriminability and outperforms state-of-the-art methods.
This paper begins to explore the determinants of the topological properties of the international - trade network (ITN). We fit bilateral-trade flows using a standard gravity equation to build a "residual" ITN where trade-link weights are depurated from geographical distance, size, border effects, trade agreements, and …
Paper relaxes differential privacy for correlated features, improving privacy-utility trade-off.
problem Standard differential privacy ignores feature correlation, leading to suboptimal privacy-utility balance.
method Introduces CorrDP framework that accounts for feature correlation, using total variation distance for quantification.
result CorrDP algorithms outperform standard DP in synthetic and real-world datasets with insensitive features.
BEGAN improves GANs by balancing generator and discriminator, achieving high visual quality.
problem Training GANs to achieve high visual quality and balance diversity and quality.
method Proposes a new equilibrium enforcing method with a Wasserstein distance loss, providing a convergence measure and controlling trade-offs.
result Achieves high visual quality in image generation tasks, even at higher resolutions, using a simple model architecture.
One major hurdle in the road toward a low carbon economy is the present entanglement of developed economies with oil. This tight relationship is mirrored in the correlation between most of economic indicators with oil price. This paper addresses the role of oil compared to the other three main energy commodities -coal,…
Study detects spoofing in high-frequency trading using micro-structural analysis.
problem Challenges in detecting spoofing due to complex electronic platforms and high-frequency trading.
method Micro-structural study in a simplified setting, optimization of spoofing strategy, monitoring with Wasserstein distance.
result Optimal spoofing strategy and its impact on market imbalance quantified.
New measures quantify mutual dependence between multiple random vectors.
problem Measuring mutual dependence between multiple random vectors.
method Proposes three measures based on generalized distance covariance.
result Empirical and simplified empirical measures effectively test mutual independence.
Pairs trading strategy fails to outperform market benchmarks, but performs well during bear markets.
problem The validity of pairs trading as a profitable strategy in modern markets.
method Used common distance and cointegration methods on US equities from 1990 to 2020, including the Covid-19 crisis.
result The pairs trading strategy does not consistently outperform market benchmarks, but performs well during bear markets.
This paper examines how regional trade agreements affect global trade relationships.
problem The relationship between regional trade agreements and global trade purity.
method Defined and decomposed synthesized trade resistance, separated natural and artificial factors, used expectation maximization algorithm to optimize parameters, and quantified trade purity indicator.
result Regional trade agreements contribute to the relative prosperity of EU and NAFTA countries, but weaken the role of trade unions and accelerate multilateral trade liberalization.
New insights into image compression trade-offs with private randomness.
problem Trade-off between compression rate and perceptual quality in image compression.
method Characterization of rate-distortion trade-off with private randomness under different realism constraints.
result Encoder private randomness is not useful if compression rate is below source entropy, even with limited common and decoder private randomness.
GRNF embeds graphs into vectors preserving distances.
problem Representing graph data in a vector space while preserving distances.
method Graph Random Neural Features (GRNF) using graph neural networks.
result GRNF preserves graph metric structure and distances.
We study the ever more integrated and ever more unbalanced trade relationships between European countries. To better capture the complexity of economic networks, we propose two global measures that assess the trade integration and the trade imbalances of the European countries. These measures are the network (or indire…
A new dynamic portfolio strategy using MST network clustering for Chinese stock markets.
problem Portfolio optimization in asset management.
method Clustering approach based on MST networks and market conditions.
result Central portfolios outperform peripheral portfolios under different market conditions.
New clustering method uses Wasserstein distance to analyze simulation outputs.
problem Analyzing stochastic simulation outputs to uncover relationships and patterns.
method Agglomerative clustering using regularized Wasserstein distance.
result Identifies staffing plans yielding similar performance outcomes.
New method trades off adversarial robustness for accuracy.
problem Trade-off between adversarial robustness and accuracy.
method Decomposes robust error into natural and boundary errors, provides a tight upper bound, and designs TRADES defense.
result TRADES method outperforms in adversarial vision challenge.
PrAda-GAN improves synthetic data generation under differential privacy.
problem Generating synthetic data under differential privacy with marginal-based methods.
method Sequential generator architecture integrating GAN and marginal-based approaches, with adaptive regularization of Bayes network structure.
result PrAda-GAN outperforms existing methods in privacy-utility trade-off on synthetic and real-world datasets.
New metrics improve quantum ensemble learning efficiency and power.
problem Quantum ensembles' distances poorly understood due to measurement constraints.
method Introduce MMD-k hierarchy of integral probability metrics for quantum ensembles. result MMD-k requires fewer samples for full discriminative power at higher k. Paper extends multivariate rank tests for robust subspace detection.
problem Testing distributional similarity in multivariate data.
method Soft and subspace robust multivariate rank tests based on entropy regularized optimal transport.
result Trade-off between detection power and false alarm rate via projections.
Unified method for deep active learning improves performance and efficiency.
problem Improving deep active learning performance and efficiency.
method Unified and principled approach using Wasserstein distance for querying and training.
result Consistently better empirical performance and time-efficient query strategy compared to baselines.
The high-frequency cross-correlation existing between pairs of stocks traded in a financial market are investigated in a set of 100 stocks traded in US equity markets. A hierarchical organization of the investigated stocks is obtained by determining a metric distance between stocks and by investigating the properties o…
Fragmented exchanges arise due to speed advantages in high-activity regions.
problem Fragmentation of distributed securities exchanges due to speed advantages in high-activity regions.
method Economic model and Monte Carlo simulations of a decentralized exchange with two miner clusters.
result Speed advantage increases with infrastructure asymmetry between regions.
We propose a simple model for the behaviour of longterm investors on a stock market, consisting of three particles, which represent the current price of the stock and the opinion of the buyers, respectively sellers, about the right trading price. As time evolves, both groups of traders update their opinions with respec…
New method estimates covariance in deep heteroscedastic regression without labels.
problem Estimating covariance in deep heteroscedastic models is challenging due to sample-dependent covariance and lack of ground truth.
method Proposes a self-supervised approach using KL Divergence and 2-Wasserstein distance for covariance estimation and a neighborhood-based heuristic for pseudo labels.
result Demonstrates effective pseudo labels and a computationally cheaper yet accurate deep heteroscedastic regression.
Proposes a new metric learning method for image recognition.
problem Improving image recognition performance using learned distance representations.
method Introduces a Generalized Hybrid Metric Loss (GHM-Loss) to learn hybrid proximity features combining geometric and probabilistic spaces.
result Demonstrates superior performance compared to existing methods on public datasets.
Unified four trade-off curves for assessing generative model proximity.
problem Quantitative assessment of proximity between two probability distributions.
method Unified four existing curves: PR, Lorenz, ROC, and Rényi divergence frontiers.
result Explicit relationship between PR and Lorenz curves with domain adaptation bounds.
SCORE resolves the robustness vs accuracy trade-off by redefining robust error.
problem The inherent trade-off between robustness and accuracy in adversarial training.
method SCORE defines local equivariance as the ideal robust behavior, leading to a new robust error metric.
result SCORE reconciles robustness and accuracy, improving model performance on RobustBench.
Study validates low latency's impact on trading profits.
problem Determining the impact of low latency on trading profits.
method Agent-based simulation of trading strategies in a controlled environment.
result Latency inversely affects trading profits; latency rank is key.
The paper analyzes the trade-off between computational savings and statistical error in approximating diffusions and Markov chains.
problem The trade-off between computational savings and statistical error in approximating diffusions and Markov chains.
method Develops general results on the Wasserstein distance between equilibrium distributions of two diffusions, and applies these results to derive finite-sample error bounds for approximate Langevin dynamics and zig-zag sampling.
result Characterizes the computational-statistical trade-off and provides insights into when approximate methods can lead to more accurate samples.
Study of electronic corn futures trading shows discrete price changes and non-Gaussian distributions.
problem Discrepancy between theoretical continuous price models and actual intra-day trading data.
method Analysis of discrete price increments, volume, and profit strategies using statistical distributions and probability theory.
result Kumaraswamy distribution better fits waiting times than Weibull, and price jumps resemble branching reactions.
New method clusters financial time series into volatility regimes.
problem Finding the number of volatility regimes in nonstationary financial time series.
method Change point detection and clustering of segment distributions.
result Optimized trading strategy based on learned volatility regimes.
A new Bayesian perspective on counterfactual explanations improves model interpretability.
problem Improving interpretability of machine learning models through counterfactual explanations.
method Introducing a generalized Bayes perspective on counterfactual explanations, using a Gibbs posterior and distance-based priors.
result Counterfactual explanations are mathematically equivalent to the MAP estimate within the generalized Bayes framework.
Paper proposes a robust metric learning algorithm.
problem Robustness of metric learning against adversarial perturbations is insufficient.
method Proposes a novel Mahalanobis distance metric learning algorithm.
result Certifiable robustness improvement over Euclidean distance.
A new SBM for non-negative zero-inflated edge weights in networks.
problem Modeling international trading networks with non-negative zero-inflated edge weights.
method Restricted Tweedie distribution and nodal information accounting.
result Efficient two-step algorithm for estimating covariate effects.
This study analyzes Peru's export performance using a gravity model.
problem Understanding factors affecting Peru's export performance.
method Augmented gravity model of trade, panel data analysis.
result Positive coefficients for economic size, negative for distance.
The paper presents a framework to quantify the trade-off between synthetic and real data.
problem Improving generalization with synthetic data when real data is scarce.
method Learning-theoretic framework leveraging algorithmic stability to derive generalization error bounds.
result Optimal synthetic-to-real data ratio minimizing expected test error as a function of Wasserstein distance.