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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for trace moment bounds

New method estimates log-determinant using trace powers, avoiding classical limitations.

problem Estimating log-determinant of large matrices efficiently and accurately.
method Interpolating moment-generating function and its derivative at zero using trace powers.
result No continuous estimator using finite moments can be uniformly accurate over unbounded conditioning.

Deform moment map on symplectic connections using star product algebras.

problem Understanding symplectic connections and their deformations.
method Study vector bundle of Fedosov star product algebras, formal connection, curvature, and star product trace.
result Showed star product trace as a formal symplectic form and moment map.

Study resolvent convergence for random matrices with general covariance profiles.

problem Analyzing resolvent convergence for random matrices with non-identically distributed columns.
method Using moments of quadratic forms and deterministic equivalents, the study provides bounds on the trace of matrix products.
result The trace of matrix products is close to the trace of a deterministic equivalent, controlled by matrix norms.

We prove optimal subspace embedding conjecture up to sub-polylogarithmic factors.

problem Optimal dimension and sparsity of subspace embeddings.
method Iterative decoupling technique to analyze higher-order trace moment bounds.
result Sub-polylogarithmic factors in dimension and sparsity of subspace embeddings.

The scalable calculation of matrix determinants has been a bottleneck to the widespread application of many machine learning methods such as determinantal point processes, Gaussian processes, generalised Markov random fields, graph models and many others. In this work, we estimate log determinants under the framework o…

2017-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.

problem Identifying and characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Using only marginal central moments of potential outcomes, the paper identifies and bounds central moments of individual causal effects.
result Identification and bounding of central moments of ICE using marginal moments of POs.

New bounds on machine learning model generalization error moments.

problem Understanding the performance of machine learning models.
method Information-theoretic bounds on the moments of the generalization error of learning algorithms.
result Proposed bounds on generalization error moments and their high-probability bounds.

This paper examines how data affects risk measures in uncertain distributions.

problem How does distributional ambiguity affect risk measures?
method Formulated and derived simpler dual problems for infinite and finite dimensional robust moment problems.
result Developed theory and conducted experiments in inventory control and portfolio management.

Estimates matrix trace optimization with statistical learning theory.

problem Optimizing trace of parameter-dependent matrices.
method Monte Carlo estimator with bounds derived from epsilon nets and generic chaining.
result Predicts small sampling amount for matrices with small off-diagonal mass.

Let O be a symplectic toric 2n-dimensional orbifold with a fixed T^n-action and with a toric Kahler metric g. We previously explored whether, when O is a manifold, the equivariant spectrum of the Laplace operator acting on smooth functions on (O,g) determines the moment polytope of O, and hence by Delzant's theorem det…

2011-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

New bounds on generalization error using information density moments.

problem Bounding the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms.
method Derives bounds on average and tail probabilities of generalization error using mth central moments of the information density.
result Explicit bounds on generalization error are derived, showing better dependence on confidence level with higher-order information density moments.

We show how to compute lower bounds for the supremum Bayes error if the class-conditional distributions must satisfy moment constraints, where the supremum is with respect to the unknown class-conditional distributions. Our approach makes use of Curto and Fialkow's solutions for the truncated moment problem. The lower …

2011-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A semicontinuous semifinite trace is constructed on the C*-algebra generated by the finite propagation operators acting on the L^2-sections of a hermitian vector bundle on an amenable open manifold of bounded geometry. This trace is the semicontinuous regularization of a functional already considered by J. Roe. As an a…

2001-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Study differentially private linear regression with heavy-tailed data.

problem Differentially private 1\ell_1-norm linear regression with heavy-tailed data.
method Exponential mechanism for 2\ell_2-norm bounded second moment; relaxation to 2\ell_2-norm bounded θθ-th moment; coordinate-wise bounded moments.
result Achieved upper bounds for privacy-preserving linear regression under various moment conditions.

Obstructions found for closed Fedosov star products on symplectic and Kähler manifolds.

problem Existence of closed Fedosov star products on symplectic and Kähler manifolds.
method Normalized trace of Fedosov star product, cohomology classes, and formal 2-forms.
result Integral invariants attached to symplectic and Kähler manifolds as obstructions to closed Fedosov star products.

Study trace systoles on surfaces, finding optimal bounds and implications.

problem Optimal systolic inequalities on hyperbolic manifolds and non-Fuchsian representations.
method Defined trace systole, used Markoff maps correspondence, computed bounds.
result Explicit optimal bounds for one-holed torus, four-holed sphere, and non-orientable surface of genus 3.

The paper examines higher moments in insurance, focusing on coskewness and its impact on actuarial quantities.

problem The impact of higher-order moments on actuarial applications, particularly expected shortfall and life annuity valuation.
method Derives analytical bounds for mixed moments under unspecified dependence structure, applies copula-based mixture model.
result Coskewness and odd-order mixed moments exhibit a monotonic relationship with expected shortfall and annuity premiums.

Study the Bochner-Schrödinger operator's trace in semiclassical limit.

problem Trace formula for Bochner-Schrödinger operator on tensor powers of line and vector bundles.
method Semiclassical analysis of the Bochner-Schrödinger operator HpH_p on tensor powers of a Hermitian line bundle and vector bundle.
result Complete asymptotic expansion of the trace of φ(Hp)\varphi(H_p) in the semiclassical limit pop o \infty.

Develops hypothesis tests for conditional distributions using learning-theoretic bounds.

problem Testing differences in conditional distributions and functionals.
method Transforming learning-theoretic bounds into hypothesis tests for conditional expectations.
result Establishes comprehensive foundation for conditional testing, including theoretical guarantees and practical implementations.

Bounds on spectral gaps of hyperbolic 3-manifolds and orbifolds.

problem Constraining the spectra of Laplace operators on hyperbolic manifolds and orbifolds.
method Linear programming and spectral identities derived from the conformal bootstrap and Selberg trace formula.
result Upper bounds on the first and second Laplacian eigenvalues, and spectral gaps of hyperbolic 3-manifolds and orbifolds.

For a single cusped hyperbolic 3-manifold, Hodgson proved that there are only finitely many Dehn fillings of it whose trace fields have bounded degree. In this paper, we conjecture the same for manifolds with more cusps, and give the first positive results in this direction. For example, in the 2-cusped case, if a mani…

2013-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

We show that the moment explosion time in the rough Heston model [El Euch, Rosenbaum 2016, arxiv:1609.02108] is finite if and only if it is finite for the classical Heston model. Upper and lower bounds for the explosion time are established, as well as an algorithm to compute the explosion time (under some restrictions…

2018-01-29abs ↗pdf ↗

TRACE analyzes risk changes in models trained on shifted data.

problem Understanding performance changes when a model trained on shifted data is used.
method TRACE framework decomposes risk change into four factors: generalization gaps, model change penalty, and covariate shift penalty.
result TRACE provides a diagnostic tool to understand and quantify risk changes due to covariate shift.

Uniform deviation bounds limit the difference between a model's expected loss and its loss on an empirical sample uniformly for all models in a learning problem. As such, they are a critical component to empirical risk minimization. In this paper, we provide a novel framework to obtain uniform deviation bounds for loss…

2017-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

GL-LowPopArt improves minimax-optimal estimation for trace regression.

problem Minimizing estimation error in generalized low-rank trace regression.
method Two-stage approach: nuclear norm regularization followed by matrix Catoni estimation.
result Achieves instance-wise optimal error bounds up to condition number.

The wave trace of certain convex domains can be smooth near some points in the length spectrum.

problem Understanding the relationship between the wave trace and the length spectrum of convex domains.
method Constructing silent periodic billiard orbits with the same length but different Maslov indices, using a microlocal parametrix for wave invariants.
result The wave trace can be smooth near some points in the length spectrum, showing potential limitations for inverse spectral problems.

Our main result is that for all sufficiently large x0>0x_0>0, the set of commensurability classes of arithmetic hyperbolic 2- or 3-orbifolds with fixed invariant trace field kk and systole bounded below by x0x_0 has density one within the set of all commensurability classes of arithmetic hyperbolic 2- or 3-orbifolds wit…

2015-04-20abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper sets limits on the accuracy of macroeconomic forecasts based on statistical moments and trade volumes.

problem Uncertainty in predicting macroeconomic variables like prices and returns.
method Defines theoretical lower bounds of uncertainty and upper limits on forecast accuracy based on statistical moments and trade volumes.
result Accuracy of forecasts of probabilities of macroeconomic variables doesn't exceed Gaussian approximations.

Paper tackles moment estimation under covariate shift with a two-stage algorithm.

problem Estimating moments under covariate shift when source and target distributions differ.
method Proposes a two-stage algorithm: first, an optimal estimator for the source distribution; second, likelihood ratio reweighting for calibration.
result Achieves minimax optimal bound for moment estimation.

Paper develops DP methods for low-rank matrix estimation with near-optimal performance.

problem Estimating a low-rank matrix under differential privacy constraints.
method Introduced computationally efficient DP-initialization and Riemannian optimization-based DP-RGrad algorithm.
result DP-RGrad achieves near-optimal convergence rate under weak differential privacy constraints.

We prove explicit upper and lower bounds for the L1L^1-moment spectra for the Brownian motion exit time from extrinsic metric balls of submanifolds PmP^m in ambient Riemannian spaces NnN^{n}. We assume that PP and NN both have controlled radial curvatures (mean curvature and sectional curvature, respectively) as view…

2010-09-07abs ↗pdf ↗