Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.
problem Timeliness of write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes versus firm-specific issues.
method Comparative analysis of write-downs driven by macroeconomic and industry outcomes versus firm-specific outcomes.
result Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.
A very simple event frequency approximation algorithm that is sensitive to event timeliness is suggested. The algorithm iteratively updates categorical click-distribution, producing (path of) a random walk on a standard n-dimensional simplex. Under certain conditions, this random walk is self-similar and corresponds …
Ever growing volume and velocity of data coupled with decreasing attention span of end users underscore the critical need for real-time analytics. In this regard, anomaly detection plays a key role as an application as well as a means to verify data fidelity. Although the subject of anomaly detection has been researche…
TIP-Search optimizes market prediction accuracy and timeliness under uncertain load.
problem Real-time market prediction requires accurate predictions before a deadline.
method Filters feasible models, dispatches workers, trades accuracy for deadline risk.
result Optimized pool achieves 0.991 timely accuracy and 0.994 raw accuracy.
The timeliness of detection of a sepsis event in progress is a crucial factor in the outcome for the patient. Machine learning models built from data in electronic health records can be used as an effective tool for improving this timeliness, but so far the potential for clinical implementations has been largely limite…
Bayesian approach models neurodegenerative diseases without clinical labels.
problem Personalized, predictive modeling of neurodegenerative diseases.
method Probabilistic programmed deep kernel learning combining Gaussian processes and neural networks.
result Surpasses deep learning in accuracy and timeliness of predicting neurodegeneration.
Generative AI boosts analyst reports but increases forecast errors.
problem Improving financial analyst reports with AI.
method Natural experiment using FactSet's AI platform.
result AI-assisted reports are more comprehensive but lead to higher forecast errors.
Financial markets are extremely data-driven and regulated. Participants rely on notifications about significant events and background information that meet their requirements regarding timeliness, accuracy, and completeness. As one of Europe's leading providers of financial data and regulatory solutions vwd processes a…
Proposes a transformer-based approach for anomaly detection in time series data.
problem Inadequate evaluation metrics and inability to capture temporal features in time series anomaly detection.
method Introduces a proper evaluation metric and proposes a transformer-based approach for anomaly detection in time series data.
result Transformer-based approach outperforms state-of-the-art detectors in detecting sequential anomalies.
To be prepared against cyberattacks, most organizations resort to security information and event management systems to monitor their infrastructures. These systems depend on the timeliness and relevance of the latest updates, patches and threats provided by cyberthreat intelligence feeds. Open source intelligence platf…
A new method improves recommendation accuracy by learning from multiple networks and time-dependent user preferences.
problem Incomplete user profiles and dynamic user preferences degrade recommender quality.
method A cross-network time-aware recommender that learns from multiple source networks and develops current user models.
result The proposed solution achieves superior performance in accuracy, novelty, and diversity.
This paper benchmarks econometric and machine learning methods in nowcasting GDP growth.
problem Lack of comprehensive comparison of nowcasting methodologies.
method Examines 12 methodologies including traditional econometrics and machine learning.
result LSTM and BVAR are the top two performing methodologies.
Indoor localization based on SIngle Of Fingerprint (SIOF) is rather susceptible to the changing environment, multipath, and non-line-of-sight (NLOS) propagation. Building SIOF is also a very time-consuming process. Recently, we first proposed a GrOup Of Fingerprints (GOOF) to improve the localization accuracy and reduc…
The study maps ML quality dimensions to fairness, enhancing the QF4SA framework.
problem Ensuring fairness in ML applications at NSOs to avoid social impacts.
method Employing the QF4SA framework, the study maps quality dimensions to fairness and investigates their interactions.
result Fairness is identified as a new quality dimension in the QF4SA framework.
Develops an LLM-based agent for superior cryptocurrency trading.
problem Lack of LLMs in cryptocurrency trading due to its unique data types.
method Combines on-chain and off-chain data analysis with a reflective mechanism.
result Demonstrates superior performance in maximizing returns compared to traditional strategies.
This study proposes a new model for predicting financial distress in SMEs using machine learning.
problem Challenges in predicting financial distress for SMEs due to ambiguity and limited data.
method Feature selection algorithm based on element credits and data source collection. Incorporates financial statements, governance qualities, and market data with a Relevant Vector Machine.
result The proposed model improves financial distress prediction efficiency with fewer characteristic factors.
Hybrid Deep Embedding for aspect-level explanations in recommendations.
problem Challenges in personalization, dynamic explanations, and aspect-level granularity in recommendation systems.
method Proposes Hybrid Deep Embedding (HDE) to learn dynamic embeddings for user and item preferences, and aspect-level quality vectors.
result Demonstrates improved recommending performance and dynamic aspect-level explanations.
Study categorizes time series anomaly detection metrics based on evaluation challenges.
problem Challenges in evaluating time series anomaly detection due to diverse application objectives and metric assumptions.
method Problem-oriented framework categorizing metrics into six dimensions based on evaluation challenges.
result Quantifies each metric's discriminative ability and reveals limitations of widely used metrics.
The prevalence of online media has attracted researchers from various domains to explore human behavior and make interesting predictions. In this research, we leverage heterogeneous social media data collected from various online platforms to predict Taiwan's 2016 presidential election. In contrast to most existing res…
Study finds average 2.02 bps loss in automated market maker routing.
problem Measuring sub-optimality in automated market maker routing.
method Three reproducible optimal benchmarks: SCO, FVO, G-FVO; bisection-based algorithm for optimal routing.
result Average 2.02 bps loss per trade, \$24 million total loss.
HOLMES improves real-time model serving for ICU patients, balancing accuracy and speed.
problem Real-time model serving is crucial in ICU due to urgency and cost.
method Online model ensemble serving framework for healthcare applications.
result HOLMES achieves high accuracy and sub-second latency for model ensemble serving.
This paper proposes a communication-efficient deep anomaly detection framework for industrial IoT.
problem Accurately detecting anomalies in time-series data from edge devices in industrial IoT.
method A federated learning-based approach with an Attention Mechanism-based Convolutional Neural Network-Long Short Term Memory (AMCNN-LSTM) model and gradient compression.
result The proposed framework accurately and timely detects anomalies with reduced communication overhead.
Polymarket users exploit mispriced assets for profit.
problem Arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets.
method Empirical analysis using on-chain historical order book data.
result 40 million USD of profit extracted from arbitrage opportunities.