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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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72144215287 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for time-varying graphs

Paper tackles dynamic graph topology identification in time-varying graphs.

problem Dynamic graph topology identification in time-varying graphs.
method Proposes an online algorithm for time-varying optimization, with intrinsic temporal regularization.
result Demonstrates performance on Gaussian graphical model problem.

A new method learns dynamic graph representations from time-varying data.

problem Learning dynamic graph representations from time-varying data.
method Higher-order skip-gram with negative sampling (HOSGNS) for tensor factorization.
result HOSGNS outperforms state-of-the-art methods in downstream tasks.

One of the cornerstones of the field of signal processing on graphs are graph filters, direct analogues of classical filters, but intended for signals defined on graphs. This work brings forth new insights on the distributed graph filtering problem. We design a family of autoregressive moving average (ARMA) recursions,…

2016-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

From social networks to Internet applications, a wide variety of electronic communication tools are producing streams of graph data; where the nodes represent users and the edges represent the contacts between them over time. This has led to an increased interest in mechanisms to model the dynamic structure of time-var…

2014-03-14abs ↗pdf ↗

DynDepNet learns dynamic brain graphs from fMRI data for better prediction performance.

problem Static brain graphs from fMRI data lead to poor GNN performance.
method Dynamic Graph Structure Learning for time-varying brain connectivity.
result DynDepNet achieves state-of-the-art sex classification accuracy on real-world fMRI data.

New algorithm reduces high-probability regret for time-varying feedback graphs.

problem High-probability regret bounds for adversarial bandits with time-varying feedback graphs.
method Online mirror descent framework with innovative techniques for pessimistic loss estimators.
result Achieves optimal high-probability regret bound for general and weakly observable graphs.

Algorithm estimates parameters over time-varying graphs without special assumptions.

problem Estimating parameters over time-varying graphs without assuming independence.
method Decentralized online regularized learning with innovation, consensus, and regularization terms.
result Estimations converge almost surely under certain conditions.

Unified framework infers time-varying graphs from incomplete signals.

problem Jointly inferring time-varying network topologies and imputing missing data from partial observations.
method Unified non-convex optimization framework with Proximal Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (PADMM) algorithm.
result Superior robustness in high missing-data regimes, demonstrated through extensive numerical experiments.

Novel algorithm for decentralized optimization in time-varying networks with delays.

problem Decentralized optimization in networks with communication delays.
method DT-GO algorithm, applicable to general directed graphs, converges to same complexity as centralized SGD.
result Algorithm DT-GO achieves convergence rates for convex and non-convex objectives, similar to centralized SGD.

BASS efficiently learns time-varying graphs with low complexity and automatic tuning.

problem Estimating time-varying graphical models with efficient and automatic parameter tuning.
method BASS uses temporally-dependent spike-and-slab priors and variational inference to learn graph structures efficiently.
result BASS outperforms existing methods in recovering true graphs, especially for high-dimensional cases.

We present a distributed (non-Bayesian) learning algorithm for the problem of parameter estimation with Gaussian noise. The algorithm is expressed as explicit updates on the parameters of the Gaussian beliefs (i.e. means and precision). We show a convergence rate of O(1/k)O(1/k) with the constant term depending on the numb…

2016-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates time-varying network connections using multi-stage smoothing.

problem Estimating edge probabilities of time-varying networks.
method Multi-stage smoothing: temporal local smoothing followed by node-domain smoothing.
result Captures both smooth temporal evolution and structural patterns in connectivity.

Attention-based GNNs can't prevent oversmoothing, leading to homogeneous node representations.

problem The issue of oversmoothing in attention-based GNNs.
method Viewed attention-based GNNs as nonlinear time-varying dynamical systems and used tools from the theory of products of inhomogeneous matrices and the joint spectral radius.
result Graph attention mechanism cannot prevent oversmoothing and loses expressive power exponentially.

This research introduces dynamic portfolio cuts using a spectral approach for graph-theoretic diversification.

problem Traditional methods for estimating asset-return covariance assume statistical time-invariance, failing to capture the nonstationary nature of asset price movements.
method Introduces graph spectral estimators that account for nonstationarity, partitioning the market graph into time-evolving clusters for dynamic portfolio cuts.
result Demonstrates the advantages of the proposed framework over traditional methods through numerical case studies using real-world price data.

Undirected graphs are often used to describe high dimensional distributions. Under sparsity conditions, the graph can be estimated using 1\ell_1 penalization methods. However, current methods assume that the data are independent and identically distributed. If the distribution, and hence the graph, evolves over time t…

2008-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

We discuss a variant of `blind' community detection, in which we aim to partition an unobserved network from the observation of a (dynamical) graph signal defined on the network. We consider a scenario where our observed graph signals are obtained by filtering white noise input, and the underlying network is different …

2019-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

AdaCGP learns dynamic graph topology from time series data, improving over existing methods.

problem Learning dynamic graph topology from time-varying signals, especially in real-time applications.
method AdaCGP is a sparsity-aware adaptive algorithm that recursively estimates the Graph Shift Operator (GSO) through variable splitting.
result AdaCGP outperforms state-of-the-art methods in GSO estimation, achieving improvements exceeding 83%.

Graph convolutional networks adapt the architecture of convolutional neural networks to learn rich representations of data supported on arbitrary graphs by replacing the convolution operations of convolutional neural networks with graph-dependent linear operations. However, these graph-dependent linear operations are d…

2017-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a novel technique to track structures in time varying graphs. The method uses a maximum a posteriori approach for adjusting a three-dimensional co-clustering of the source vertices, the destination vertices and the time, to the data under study, in a way that does not require any hyper-parameter t…

2016-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Many applications donot have the benefit of the laws of physics to derive succinct descriptive models for observed data. In alternative, interdependencies among NN time series {xnk,k>0}n=1N\{ x_{nk}, k>0 \}_{n=1}^{N} are nowadays often captured by a graph or network GG that in practice may be very large. The network itself may …

2018-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a model to estimate treatment effects in complex multiagent systems over time.

problem Challenges in evaluating interventions in multiagent systems, especially with time-varying relationships and covariates.
method Interpretable counterfactual recurrent network leveraging graph variational recurrent neural networks and domain knowledge.
result Achieved lower estimation errors and more effective treatment timing than baselines in simulated and real-world scenarios.

Causality graphs are routinely estimated in social sciences, natural sciences, and engineering due to their capacity to efficiently represent the spatiotemporal structure of multivariate data sets in a format amenable for human interpretation, forecasting, and anomaly detection. A popular approach to mathematically for…

2019-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New method clusters evolving networks using spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.

problem Clustering communities in time-varying graphs.
method Extends spectral clustering to dynamic graphs using CCA and spatio-temporal graph Laplacian.
result The spatio-temporal graph Laplacian clearly interprets cluster evolution over time.

A new method uses GATs to optimise portfolios of mid-cap firms, outperforming traditional methods.

problem Optimising portfolios of mid-cap firms considering interdependencies and firms at risk of default.
method Graph Attention Networks (GATs) applied to large-scale financial data.
result The GAT-based portfolio outperforms traditional benchmarks over a long period.

In this paper, we study time-varying graphical models based on data measured over a temporal grid. Such models are motivated by the needs to describe and understand evolving interacting relationships among a set of random variables in many real applications, for instance the study of how stocks interact with each other…

2018-04-11abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to modelling sparse time-varying networks. A positive parameter is associated to each node of a network, which models the sociability of that node. Sociabilities are assumed to evolve over time, and are modelled via a dynamic point process model. The model is a…

2016-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph-based methods for signal processing have shown promise for the analysis of data exhibiting irregular structure, such as those found in social, transportation, and sensor networks. Yet, though these systems are often dynamic, state-of-the-art methods for signal processing on graphs ignore the dimension of time, tr…

2016-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Scattering transforms are non-trainable deep convolutional architectures that exploit the multi-scale resolution of a wavelet filter bank to obtain an appropriate representation of data. More importantly, they are proven invariant to translations, and stable to perturbations that are close to translations. This stabili…

2019-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends tracking guarantees for time-varying variational inequalities.

problem Tracking solutions of time-varying variational inequalities.
method Extends existing results to sublinear solution paths and periodic problems.
result Discrete dynamical systems of periodic time-varying VI can exhibit chaotic behavior or converge to the solution.

This paper considers the problem of adaptively searching for an unknown target using multiple agents connected through a time-varying network topology. Agents are equipped with sensors capable of fast information processing, and we propose a decentralized collaborative algorithm for controlling their search given noisy…

2015-11-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study tackles causal effects of close contact on MRSA infections from entangled treatment data.

problem Estimating causal effects of close contact on MRSA infections from observational data with entangled treatments.
method NEAT method that models treatment assignment mechanism and mitigates confounding biases.
result NEAT method effectively estimates causal effects from entangled treatment data.

Paper proposes efficient methods for forecasting with large datasets.

problem Forecasting with large, high-dimensional economic data sets.
method Bayesian hierarchical priors, factor graphs, message passing algorithms, Generalized Approximate Message Passing (GAMP).
result The proposed methods outperform traditional approaches in forecasting U.S. price inflation.

Develops a method to predict stock returns with time-varying risk premia.

problem Predicting stock returns with time-varying risk premia while maintaining no-arbitrage restrictions.
method Penalized two-pass regression with time-varying factor loadings, incorporating penalization in the first pass and grouping in the second pass.
result The proposed method reduces prediction errors compared to other approaches.

Analyzing the temporal behavior of nodes in time-varying graphs is useful for many applications such as targeted advertising, community evolution and outlier detection. In this paper, we present a novel approach, STWalk, for learning trajectory representations of nodes in temporal graphs. The proposed framework makes u…

2017-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗