Research compares ML and Time Series methods for generating trading signals.
problem Efficiency of on-line learning Algorithms in generating trading signals.
method Used technical indicators and ensemble of Random Forests, also Kalman Filter.
result Kalman Filter outperformed Random Forests in on-line learning predictions of stock prices.
HERMES model predicts nonstationary fashion trends using social media data.
problem Forecasting nonstationary fashion time series for optimal inventory decisions.
method Hybrid model combining parametric models, seasonal components, and recurrent neural networks with external signals.
result State-of-the-art results on fashion dataset and M4 competition time series.
A new variational mode decomposition (VMD) based deep learning approach is proposed in this paper for time series forecasting problem. Firstly, VMD is adopted to decompose the original time series into several sub-signals. Then, a convolutional neural network (CNN) is applied to learn the reconstruction patterns on the…
Study combines VICReg and TNC for better encoding of non-stationary seismic signals.
problem Ineffective self-supervised learning on non-stationary time series.
method Combines VICReg and Temporal Neighborhood Coding (TNC).
result Effective for self-supervised learning on non-stationary seismic signals.
A nonparametric method for time series analysis extracts envelopes, detects peaks, and clusters data.
problem Extracting envelopes, detecting peaks, and clustering in time series data.
method Iterative procedure that minimizes L1 drift to create upper and lower bounding signals, using Viterbi-like path tracking and optimal elimination rules. result Efficiently calculated solution with near-linear time complexities for various applications.
A new method for automatically aligning and clustering time series data.
problem Challenges in aligning and clustering time series data, especially without a template signal.
method TROUT (Temporal Registration using Optimal Unitary Transformations) method based on a novel dissimilarity measure.
result TROUT outperforms competitors in clustering time series data.
Paper establishes a comprehensive benchmark for ECG time-series analysis.
problem Incomplete understanding of ECG signal properties and limitations in evaluation metrics.
method Categorization of downstream applications, identification of limitations, introduction of a novel metric, benchmarking of time-series models.
result Validation of the effectiveness of the proposed metric and model architecture.
RISE framework unifies and improves time series learning with missing data.
problem Learning from time series with missing data.
method RISE framework unifies and improves time series learning with missing data.
result RISE instances always benefit from encoders that learn representations for numerical values.
New clustering algorithm for time series data using RNN and variational Bayes.
problem Lack of generative model-based clustering methods for time series data.
method Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) with variational Bayes method.
result Robustness against phase shift, amplitude, and signal length variations.
Paper uses topological data analysis for time series classification.
problem Classifying univariate time series data, especially physiological signals.
method Persistent homology for feature engineering, followed by machine learning.
result Higher accuracy achieved with fewer features compared to traditional methods.
TNC learns time series representations by leveraging temporal neighborhoods.
problem Complex, unlabeled time series data.
method Temporal Neighborhood Coding (TNC) with a debiased contrastive objective.
result TNC outperforms other unsupervised methods in time series clustering and classification.
We introduce Contrastive Multivariate Singular Spectrum Analysis, a novel unsupervised method for dimensionality reduction and signal decomposition of time series data. By utilizing an appropriate background dataset, the method transforms a target time series dataset in a way that evinces the sub-signals that are enhan…
Due to the dynamic nature, chaotic time series are difficult predict. In conventional signal processing approaches signals are treated either in time or in space domain only. Spatio-temporal analysis of signal provides more advantages over conventional uni-dimensional approaches by harnessing the information from both …
Motion Code models time series dynamics with sparse approximations.
problem Challenges in time series classification and forecasting on noisy data.
method Motion Code views time series as stochastic processes, assigning unique signatures to distinct dynamics.
result Motion Code outperforms benchmarks in noisy datasets, including real-world Parkinson's disease tracking.
The paper optimizes sensor selection for network time series data.
problem Optimizing sensor selection for network time series data with minimal error.
method Data-driven strategies to turn off sensors or select a sampling set of nodes.
result Proposes and compares various data-driven strategies for sensor selection.
TSSC images enhance chaotic signal classification using ConvNets.
problem Classifying chaotic signals accurately and robustly.
method Triad State Space Construction (TSSC) for image encoding, Convolutional Neural Network (ConvNet) for classification.
result TSSC-ConvNet achieves high accuracy and robustness in chaotic signal classification.
The paper presents new machine learning methods: signal composition, which classifies time-series regardless of length, type, and quantity; and self-labeling, a supervised-learning enhancement. The paper describes further the implementation of the methods on a financial search engine system using a collection of 7,881 …
Proposes a GNN for multivariate time-series prediction with filtering.
problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in complex systems data.
method Integrates a spatial-temporal GNN with a matrix filtering module to generate filtered graphs.
result Proposed model outperforms baseline approaches in multivariate time-series prediction.
I propose a frequency domain adaptation of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm to group a family of time series in classes of similar dynamic structure. It does this by viewing the magnitude of the discrete Fourier transform (DFT) of each signal (or power spectrum) as a probability density/mass function (pdf/pm…
A new diffusion model improves time-series forecasting by preserving seasonal patterns.
problem Improving time-series forecasting accuracy, especially for seasonal data.
method A forward diffusion process that decomposes signals into spectral components, altering only the diffusion process.
result The method maintains high signal-to-noise ratios for dominant frequencies, improving long-term pattern recovery.
Coherent Multiplex analyzes real-time wavelet coherence among multiple signals.
problem Identifying and visualizing coherence among multiple time series.
method Fast spectral similarity based on cosine similarity metrics of Fourier-transformed signals and sparse time-frequency wavelet coherence.
result Scalable real-time system for low-latency inference and monitoring of inter-signal relationships.
Improved signal classification using multiple wavelets and their smooth coefficients.
problem Signal classification accuracy declines with reduced attributes.
method Transform data with multiple wavelets, combine outputs, apply ensemble classifiers.
result Proposed technique outperforms raw data and single wavelet approaches.
STRIC detects anomalies in time series by analyzing residual signals.
problem Anomaly detection in multivariate time series data.
method End-to-end differentiable neural network architecture with Sequential Probability Ratio Test on residuals.
result STRIC outperforms state-of-the-art methods on multiple benchmarks.
Neural RDEs extend CDEs to irregular time series.
problem Modeling long irregular time series efficiently.
method Representing time series through log-signature and solving RDEs.
result Significant training speed-ups and improved model performance.
The paper proposes an ensemble of convolution-based methods for fault detection in gearboxes.
problem Fault detection in planetary gearboxes using vibration signals.
method Ensemble of three convolution kernel-based methods (ROCKET, 1D CNN with ResNet, FCN).
result Outperforms other approaches with over 98.8% accuracy.
This paper describes a time-series-based classification approach to identify similarities between bio-medical-based situations. The proposed approach allows classifying collections of time-series representing bio-medical measurements, i.e., situations, regardless of the type, the length and the quantity of the time-ser…
Missing values, irregularly collected samples, and multi-resolution signals commonly occur in multivariate time series data, making predictive tasks difficult. These challenges are especially prevalent in the healthcare domain, where patients' vital signs and electronic records are collected at different frequencies an…
We investigate the presence of residual multifractal background for monofractal signals which appears due to the finite length of the signals and (or) due to the long memory the signals reveal. This phenomenon is investigated numerically within the multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) for artificially g…
Paper uses diffusion model to denoise financial time series data.
problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in financial time series data.
method Conditional diffusion model for progressive noise addition and removal.
result Denoised financial time series improve future return classification and trading performance.
We tackle anomaly detection in sparse time series data.
problem Sparse time series with low signal-to-noise ratios and non-uniform performance.
method We introduce a novel generative procedure for benchmark datasets and demonstrate how anomaly score smoothing improves performance.
result Anomaly score smoothing consistently improves performance in low-count time series anomaly detection.
Study uses LCRN to detect driver distraction from EEG signals.
problem Improving road safety by detecting driver distraction.
method Used a Long-term Recurrent Convolutional Network (LCRN) for EEG-based driver distraction detection.
result LCRN model outperformed state-of-the-art TSC models in detecting driver distraction.
Timely prediction of clinically critical events in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) is important for improving care and survival rate. Most of the existing approaches are based on the application of various classification methods on explicitly extracted statistical features from vital signals. In this work, we propose to elim…
PerCDL learns personalized dictionaries for physiological signals combining global and local structures.
problem Representing datasets with both global and local structures in human physiological signals.
method Personalized Convolutional Dictionary Learning (PerCDL) that combines a global and personalized local dictionary.
result PerCDL effectively learns interpretable representations for human locomotion data.
New method phenotypes sleep apnea patients using time series analysis.
problem Traditional diagnosis of sleep apnea is insufficient for capturing its multi-faceted outcomes.
method Fuzzy clustering in time and frequency domains, and persistent homology for topological analysis.
result Phenotyping patients improves understanding of sleep apnea.
The construction of synthetic complex-valued signals from real-valued observations is an important step in many time series analysis techniques. The most widely used approach is based on the Hilbert transform, which maps the real-valued signal into its quadrature component. In this paper, we define a probabilistic gene…
We propose a graph spectral representation of time series data that 1) is parsimoniously encoded to user-demanded resolution; 2) is unsupervised and performant in data-constrained scenarios; 3) captures event and event-transition structure within the time series; and 4) has near-linear computational complexity in both …
Research into time series classification has tended to focus on the case of series of uniform length. However, it is common for real-world time series data to have unequal lengths. Differing time series lengths may arise from a number of fundamentally different mechanisms. In this work, we identify and evaluate two cla…
Detects lead-lag clusters in US equity market time series.
problem Identifying lead-lag relationships in multivariate time series.
method Directed network clustering of lead-lag relationships.
result Validated on US equity market data, detects statistically significant lead-lag clusters.
Develops a deep learning approach for statistical arbitrage.
problem Temporal price differences between similar assets.
method Constructs arbitrage portfolios using latent asset pricing factors and a convolutional transformer for time series signals.
result High risk-adjusted returns and Sharpe ratios with optimal trading policy.
Within the context of multivariate time series segmentation this paper proposes a method inspired by a posteriori optimal trading. After a normalization step time series are treated channel-wise as surrogate stock prices that can be traded optimally a posteriori in a virtual portfolio holding either stock or cash. Line…
Study geodesic properties of time series data using Wasserstein metric.
problem Modeling nonlinear time series with transport-based metrics.
method Generalized Wasserstein metric and signed cumulative distribution transforms.
result Geodesic properties provide added interpretability and robustness in time series classifiers.
Generative adversarial networks (GANs) are recently highly successful in generative applications involving images and start being applied to time series data. Here we describe EEG-GAN as a framework to generate electroencephalographic (EEG) brain signals. We introduce a modification to the improved training of Wasserst…
This work uses self-supervised learning to generate better labels for financial time-series data.
problem Lack of reliable labels for financial time-series data due to noise and non-stationarity.
method Inspired by image classification, applies computer vision techniques to financial time-series data to generate denoised labels.
result Generated denoised labels improve the performance of downstream learning algorithms.
New method for separating mixed signals with nonlinear functions.
problem Recovering source signals from nonlinear mixtures.
method Optimisation-based function approximation to minimize mutual statistical dependence.
result The method can recover source signals from nonlinear mixtures under certain conditions.
Hundreds of millions of surgical procedures take place annually across the world, which generate a prevalent type of electronic health record (EHR) data comprising time series physiological signals. Here, we present a transferable embedding method (i.e., a method to transform time series signals into input features for…
We present a novel blind source separation (BSS) method, called information geometric blind source separation (IGBSS). Our formulation is based on the log-linear model equipped with a hierarchically structured sample space, which has theoretical guarantees to uniquely recover a set of source signals by minimizing the K…
We present a loss function for neural networks that encompasses an idea of trivial versus non-trivial predictions, such that the network jointly determines its own prediction goals and learns to satisfy them. This permits the network to choose sub-sets of a problem which are most amenable to its abilities to focus on s…
Deep learning transforms time series into images for anomaly detection in industrial assets.
problem Detecting anomalies in time series data from industrial assets.
method Transforming time series data into image-like representations and using them as inputs for deep learning models.
result Some encodings provide competitive results for anomaly detection in industrial asset monitoring.