Meta-learning for Koopman spectral analysis with short time-series data.
problem Lack of long time-series for training embedding functions in Koopman spectral analysis.
method Meta-learning approach using bidirectional LSTM and neural network to estimate embedding functions from short time-series.
result The proposed method achieves better performance in eigenvalue estimation and future prediction compared to existing methods.
Boosted embeddings improve time series forecasting models.
problem Improving time series forecasting accuracy.
method Gradient boosting with DNN weak learners and incremental weight updates.
result DeepGB model outperforms state-of-the-art models.
Study geodesic properties of time series data using Wasserstein metric.
problem Modeling nonlinear time series with transport-based metrics.
method Generalized Wasserstein metric and signed cumulative distribution transforms.
result Geodesic properties provide added interpretability and robustness in time series classifiers.
LaT-PFN model predicts time series with zero-shot capability.
problem Zero-shot time series forecasting.
method In-context latent space learning with JEPA and PFN integration.
result Superior zero-shot predictions compared to baselines.
New method preserves distances in time series data.
problem Preserving distances in time series data under interpolation.
method Developed lines-preserving terminal embeddings.
result First dimension-free coresets for Fréchet distance clustering.
Framework for dynamic node embeddings from graph streams.
problem Temporal prediction-based applications using graph stream data.
method ε-graph time-series representation, temporal reachability graphs, weighted temporal summary graphs.
result Dynamic embedding methods achieve better predictive performance.
MTHetGNN models complex relations in multivariate time series forecasting.
problem Complex relations among variables in multivariate time series forecasting.
method Designs a relation embedding module and a temporal embedding module, using graph neural networks and CNNs.
result Achieves state-of-the-art results in multivariate time series forecasting.
New method embeds correlation networks to reveal underlying time series patterns.
problem Analyzing correlation networks derived from time series data.
method Spectral embedding of noisy correlation networks, leveraging Fourier basis elements.
result Spectral embedding recovers true vertex-level latent representations under suitable assumptions.
TSFMs embed non-stationary time series data, revealing specific types of changes.
problem Understanding non-stationarity in TSFMs' embedding spaces.
method Examined mean shifts, variance changes, linear trends, and persistence in TSFMs.
result Different TSFMs exhibit distinct failure modes in detecting non-stationarity.
OracleAD detects multivariate time series anomalies without labels.
problem Rare and unlabeled multivariate time series anomalies.
method OracleAD encodes past sequences into causal embeddings, projects them into a latent space, and identifies anomalies based on deviations from a stable latent structure.
result OracleAD achieves state-of-the-art results and is interpretable.
Improves time series classification with forest proximities.
problem Time series classification accuracy and efficiency.
method PF-GAP, an extension of RF-GAP proximities to proximity forests, combined with Multi-Dimensional Scaling and Local Outlier Factors.
result Forest proximities show stronger connection between misclassified points and outliers.
A new contrastive learning method extracts asset embeddings from financial time series.
problem Extracting meaningful latent features from noisy financial data.
method Contrastive learning framework using hypothesis testing for positive and negative samples.
result Effective asset embeddings significantly outperform existing methods on financial tasks.
DeepEDM forecasts time series by learning dynamics from embeddings.
problem Precise future prediction of complex nonlinear time series.
method Integrates nonlinear dynamical systems modeling with deep neural networks.
result DeepEDM outperforms state-of-the-art methods in forecasting accuracy.
A neural network learns phase space properties for time series analysis.
problem Lack of consistency and robustness in estimating embedding parameters.
method Forgetting mechanism neural network to learn phase space properties.
result Neural network approach is competitive or superior to state-of-the-art strategies.
A new stable similarity measure for time series using persistent homology.
problem Constructing a robust measure of time series similarity.
method Persistent homology for stability, bi-conditional periodicity score for similarity.
result Stability of the bi-conditional periodicity score under perturbations and dimension reduction.
Linear autoregressive models serve as basic representations of discrete time stochastic processes. Different attempts have been made to provide non-linear versions of the basic autoregressive process, including different versions based on kernel methods. Motivated by the powerful framework of Hilbert space embeddings o…
Recent work has developed Bayesian methods for the automatic statistical analysis and description of single time series as well as of homogeneous sets of time series data. We extend prior work to create an interpretable kernel embedding for heterogeneous time series. Our method adds practically no computational cost co…
While ubiquitous, textual sources of information such as company reports, social media posts, etc. are hardly included in prediction algorithms for time series, despite the relevant information they may contain. In this work, openly accessible daily weather reports from France and the United-Kingdom are leveraged to pr…
HyFAD improves time series imputation by combining time and frequency diffusion.
problem Improve time series imputation by handling frequency-sensitive denoising and balancing global and local dynamics.
method HyFAD is a hybrid time-frequency diffusion model with frequency-aware embedding, built on DDPM paradigm.
result HyFAD achieves state-of-the-art performance in time series imputation.
LETS-GZSL tackles GZSL for time series classification, achieving high accuracy.
problem Recognizing unseen classes from time series data when only seen examples are labeled.
method Embedding-based approach combined with attribute vectors.
result Achieves a harmonic mean of at least 55% on most UCR datasets.
New method uses Cantor embeddings and Wasserstein distances to analyze predictive states in time series data.
problem Analyzing predictive states in stochastic processes using time series data.
method Wasserstein distances for detecting predictive equivalences in symbolic data, using Cantor embeddings for finite-dimensional representation.
result Exploratory analysis of temporal structure in various processes reveals insights.
Phase2vec learns embeddings of dynamical systems without supervision.
problem Predicting the classes of 2D dynamical systems from data.
method Physics-informed convolutional network that extracts geometric features and minimizes reconstruction loss.
result Learned embeddings respect the semantics of physical systems and outperform blackbox classifiers.
Proposes a new model for online anomaly detection in multivariate time series.
problem Inaccurate anomaly detection in multivariate time series due to spurious correlations and lack of temporal causality.
method Clusters channels based on correlations, embeds each cluster, and integrates information through a causal mixer while maintaining temporal causality.
result Consistently superior performance across six public benchmark datasets.
We propose an approximation algorithm for efficient correlation search in time series data. In our method, we use Fourier transform and neural network to embed time series into a low-dimensional Euclidean space. The given space is learned such that time series correlation can be effectively approximated from Euclidean …
Knowledge Graph (KG) embedding has attracted more attention in recent years. Most KG embedding models learn from time-unaware triples. However, the inclusion of temporal information beside triples would further improve the performance of a KGE model. In this regard, we propose ATiSE, a temporal KG embedding model which…
Paper tackles class-incremental time series classification with dual-stream feature extraction.
problem Class-incremental continual learning for multivariate time series data.
method Dual-stream feature extraction pipeline combining deep temporal embedding features and statistical features.
result Competitive average accuracy across multiple datasets with low forgetting rates.
A new method uses sinusoidal functions to represent timestamps as dense vectors for improving irregularly sampled time series learning.
problem Challenges in supervised learning with irregularly sampled time series due to irregular time intervals.
method Proposes a novel method to represent timestamps as dense vectors using sinusoidal functions, called Time Embeddings.
result Improves LSTM-based and classical machine learning models, especially with very irregular data.
Study evaluates interpretability of time series foundation models' latent spaces.
problem Improving interpretability of latent spaces in time series models for visual analytics.
method Evaluated MOMENT family of transformer-based models on five datasets, fine-tuning for performance.
result Fine-tuning improved latent space clarity but limited interpretability remained.
This paper proposes an out-of-sample extension framework for a global manifold learning algorithm (Isomap) that uses temporal information in out-of-sample points in order to make the embedding more robust to noise and artifacts. Given a set of noise-free training data and its embedding, the proposed framework extends t…
Proposes a neural network for handling multi-sensor time series with varying input dimensions.
problem Handling multi-sensor time series with varying input dimensions.
method Graph neural network conditioning vectors for zero-shot transfer learning.
result Better generalization in activity recognition and equipment prognostics datasets.
Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be applied to yield a single forecast combining multiple forecasts derived from va…
Proposes BHT-ARIMA for forecasting multiple short time series.
problem Forecasting multiple short time series with mutual correlations.
method Block Hankel tensors, Tucker decomposition, generalized tensor ARIMA.
result Improves forecasting accuracy and reduces computational cost.
ElasTST improves time-series forecasting across varying horizons.
problem Robust forecasting across different time horizons in varied industrial sectors.
method Elastic Time-Series Transformer (ElasTST) with non-autoregressive design, rotary position embedding, and multi-scale patching.
result ElasTST provides robust forecasts across varying horizons without retraining.
DArtNet predicts time series data using graph structure and dynamic attributes.
problem Predicting time series data using graph structure and dynamic attributes.
method DArtNet learns static and dynamic embeddings for graph nodes and encodes history information using RNN for joint link and attribute prediction.
result Improved time series prediction accuracy on five datasets.
This paper studies how to find compact state embeddings from high-dimensional Markov state trajectories, where the transition kernel has a small intrinsic rank. In the spirit of diffusion map, we propose an efficient method for learning a low-dimensional state embedding and capturing the process's dynamics. This idea a…
M2VN forecasts financial volatility by fusing time series data with news embeddings.
problem Forecasting financial volatility with unstructured news data.
method Combines deep neural networks with open-source market features and news embeddings.
result M2VN outperforms existing models in financial volatility forecasting.
Time series modeling has attracted extensive research efforts; however, achieving both reliable efficiency and interpretability from a unified model still remains a challenging problem. Among the literature, shapelets offer interpretable and explanatory insights in the classification tasks, while most existing works ig…
Paper proposes a forecasting model combining autoregressive models with spectral attention.
problem Time series forecasting across various domains.
method Combines deep autoregressive models with Spectral Attention (SA) module.
result SAAM consistently demonstrates improved forecasting accuracy compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
New method uses Transformers for flu forecasting.
problem Forecasting influenza-like illness trends.
method Transformer-based machine learning models with self-attention.
result Forecasting results are competitive with state-of-the-art methods.
Neural RDEs extend CDEs to irregular time series.
problem Modeling long irregular time series efficiently.
method Representing time series through log-signature and solving RDEs.
result Significant training speed-ups and improved model performance.
Time series constitute a challenging data type for machine learning algorithms, due to their highly variable lengths and sparse labeling in practice. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by proposing an unsupervised method to learn universal embeddings of time series. Unlike previous works, it is scalable with respe…
New RNN model forecasts unseen time series with little training data.
problem Lack of data for RNNs to generalize well in time series forecasting.
method Proposes a novel RNN-based model that learns shared feature embeddings over quantised time series.
result Accurately forecasts unseen time series with minimal training data.
This paper presents a novel time series clustering method, the self-organising eigenspace map (SOEM), based on a generalisation of the well-known self-organising feature map (SOFM). The SOEM operates on the eigenspaces of the embedded covariance structures of time series which are related directly to modes in those tim…
Improved electrical load forecasting model using Fourier-enhanced RNN.
problem Electrical load time series downscaling with high accuracy and low error.
method Combines recurrent neural network with Fourier seasonal embeddings and self-attention.
result Significantly reduces RMSE across different time horizons compared to existing methods.
CMoS improves time series forecasting with minimal parameters.
problem Efficiently forecasting time series data with limited resources.
method CMoS directly models chunk-wise spatial correlations, using Correlation Mixing and Periodicity Injection techniques.
result CMoS outperforms state-of-the-art models with minimal parameters.
Paper proposes using online text data to predict CPI with LLMs.
problem Forecasting Consumer Price Index (CPI) using low-frequency survey-based data.
method Develops an LLM-based approach combining online text time series with monthly CPI data.
result Establishes the asymptotic properties and provides prediction intervals for CPI forecasts.
Time Series Classification (TSC) has seen enormous progress over the last two decades. HIVE-COTE (Hierarchical Vote Collective of Transformation-based Ensembles) is the current state of the art in terms of classification accuracy. HIVE-COTE recognizes that time series data are a specific data type for which the traditi…
IntDC framework uncovers causal relationships from non-interventional data.
problem Detecting causal relationships in non-interventional complex systems.
method Interventional Embedding Entropy (IEE) for causal strength measurement.
result IEE accurately finds causal edges and quantifies causal strength robustly.