A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Paper examines floating exercise boundaries for American options in time-inhomogeneous models.
Time homogeneous polynomial processes are Markov processes whose moments can be calculated easily through matrix exponentials. In this work, we develop a notion of time inhomogeneous polynomial processes where the coeffiecients of the process may depend on time. A full characterization of this model class is given by m…
We introduce time-inhomogeneous stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a nonnegative function of a Volterra type continuous Gaussian process that may have very rough sample paths. The main results obtained in the paper are sample path and small-noise large deviation principles for the log…
We consider a heat kernel approach for the development of stochastic pricing kernels. The kernels are constructed by positive propagators, which are driven by time-inhomogeneous Markov processes. We multiply such a propagator with a positive, time-dependent and decreasing weight function, and integrate the product over…
This thesis is devoted to the study of affine processes and their applications in financial mathematics. In the first part we consider the theory of time-inhomogeneous affine processes on general state spaces. We present a concise setup for time-inhomogeneous Markov processes. For stochastically continuous affine proce…
This paper develops methods for pricing American Parisian options under general Markov models.
The goal of this paper is to specify dynamic term structure models with discrete tenor structure for credit portfolios in a top-down setting driven by time-inhomogeneous Lévy processes. We provide a new framework, conditions for absence of arbitrage, explicit examples, an affine setup which includes contagion and prici…
Probabilistic proof of smooth boundaries in optimal stopping problems.
The paper analyzes convergence of Langevin dynamics with time-dependent metrics.
A coupling by reflection of a time-inhomogeneous diffusion process on a manifold are studied. The condition we assume is a natural time-inhomogeneous extension of lower Ricci curvature bounds. In particular, it includes the case of backward Ricci flow. As in time-homogeneous cases, our coupling provides a gradient esti…
A new ML algorithm solves complex economic control problems.
We derive explicit valuation formulae for an exotic path-dependent interest rate derivative, namely an option on the composition of LIBOR rates. The formulae are based on Fourier transform methods for option pricing. We consider two models for the evolution of interest rates: an HJM-type forward rate model and a LIBOR-…
The existence of complete Radner equilibria is established in an economy which parameters are driven by a diffusion process. Our results complement those in the literature. In particular, we work under essentially minimal regularity conditions and treat time-inhomogeneous case.
Unified framework for pricing various debt securities.
In this article, we explore a class of tractable interest rate models that have the property that the price of a zero-coupon bond can be expressed as a polynomial of a state diffusion process. Our results include a classification of all such time-homogeneous single-factor models in the spirit of Filipovic's maximal deg…
This paper aims at transferring the philosophy behind Heath-Jarrow-Morton to the modelling of call options with all strikes and maturities. Contrary to the approach by Carmona and Nadtochiy (2009) and related to the recent contribution Carmona and Nadtochiy (2012) by the same authors, the key parametrisation of our app…
The latter author, together with collaborators, proposed a numerical scheme to calculate the price of barrier options. The scheme is based on a symmetrization of diffusion process. The present paper aims to give a mathematical credit to the use of the numerical scheme for Heston or SABR type stochastic volatility model…
We derive deterministic criteria for the existence and non-existence of equivalent (local) martingale measures for financial markets driven by multi-dimensional time-inhomogeneous diffusions. Our conditions can be used to construct financial markets in which the \emph{no unbounded profit with bounded risk} condition ho…
Improves predictions by integrating forward-looking views into dynamic factor models.
Second-order estimator improves continuous-time policy evaluation.
Efficient method for lookback option pricing under Markov models.
New financial models use tempered stable subordination for better correlation dynamics.
This paper proposes a market consistent valuation framework for variable annuities with guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit, death benefit and surrender benefit features. The setup is based on a hybrid model for the financial market and uses time-inhomogeneous Lévy processes as risk drivers. Further, we allow for d…
Paper applies theorem to find optimal investment boundary in stochastic capacity expansion.
In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite dimensional affine semimartingales under very weak assumptions. We show that the co…
Shot-Noise processes constitute a useful tool in various areas, in particular in finance. They allow to model abrupt changes in a more flexible way than processes with jumps and hence are an ideal tool for modelling stock prices, credit portfolio risk, systemic risk, or electricity markets. Here we consider a general f…
We develop algorithms for the numerical computation of the quadratic hedging strategy in incomplete markets modeled by pure jump Markov process. Using the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman approach, the value function of the quadratic hedging problem can be related to a triangular system of parabolic partial integro-differential…
In this article, exponential contraction in Wasserstein distance for heat semigroups of diffusion processes on Riemannian manifolds is established under curvature conditions where Ricci curvature is not necessarily required to be non-negative. Compared to the results of Wang (2016), we focus on explicit estimates for t…
Large deviation principles for multivariate stochastic volatility models.
It is well-known from the work of Schönbucher (2005) that the marginal laws of a loss process can be matched by a unit increasing time inhomogeneous Markov process, whose deterministic jump intensity is called local intensity. The Stochastic Local Intensity (SLI) models such as the one proposed by Arnsdorf and Halperin…
This paper studies subordinate Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes, i.e., OU diffusions time changed by Lévy subordinators. We construct their sample path decomposition, show that they possess mean-reverting jumps, study their equivalent measure transformations, and the spectral representation of their transition semigro…
In this paper we develop a framework for discretely compounding interest rates which is based on the forward price process approach. This approach has a number of advantages, in particular in the current market environment. Compared to the classical as well as the Lévy Libor market model, it allows in a natural way for…
The paper analyzes diffusion condensation for data geometry and topology.
Optimal reinsurance strategy with fixed cost and exponential preferences.
Neural Markov models improve time series analysis by balancing deep learning and classical models.
VOL optimizes RL with sparse rewards using weighted bounds.
We show a concise extension of the monotone stability approach to backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) that are jointly driven by a Brownian motion and a random measure for jumps, which could be of infinite activity with a non-deterministic and time inhomogeneous compensator. The BSDE generator function c…
In deep latent Gaussian models, the latent variable is generated by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain, where at each time step we pass the current state through a parametric nonlinear map, such as a feedforward neural net, and add a small independent Gaussian perturbation. This work considers the diffusion limit of suc…
A multi-task GP model tracks time-varying transition probabilities between two states.
In this paper we consider an energy storage optimization problem in finite time in a model with partial information that allows for a changing economic environment. The state process consists of the storage level controlled by the storage manager and the energy price process, which is a diffusion process the drift of w…
Bayesian BIC for multi-trial data improves VAR model order selection.
The paper explains how continuous language models can produce discrete, interpretable meanings.
LGS-Net improves NCO performance on combinatorial optimization tasks.
The paper optimizes retirement spending considering habit formation and pension income.
This paper studies pricing derivatives in an age-dependent semi-Markov modulated market. We consider a financial market where the asset price dynamics follow a regime switching geometric Brownian motion model in which the coefficients depend on finitely many age-dependent semi-Markov processes. We further allow the vol…
The challenge to fruitfully merge state-of-the-art techniques from mathematical finance and numerical analysis has inspired researchers to develop fast deterministic option pricing methods. As a result, highly efficient algorithms to compute option prices in Lévy models by solving partial integro differential equations…
Within the context of the banking-related literature on contingent convertible bonds, we comprehensively formalise the design and features of a relatively new type of insurance-linked security, called a contingent convertible catastrophe bond (CocoCat). We begin with a discussion of its design and compare its relative …
New method for pricing European options in rough LSV models.