Mathematical models with time dependent parameters are of great interest in financial Mathematics because they capture real life scenarios in the financial market. In this study, via the Lie group technique, we analyse evolution-type equations with time dependent parameters and give the general symmetry structure of th…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “time-dependent parameters”
Deep learning estimates time-varying Markov model parameters.
problem Estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov models.
method Reframes parameter estimation as an optimization problem using maximum likelihood.
result Real solution close to SDE with neural network-derived parameters under specific conditions.
Path integral method calculates PDBS option prices with time-dependent parameters.
problem Pricing proportional double-barrier step options with time-dependent interest rates and volatilities.
method Path integral method applied to a quantum mechanical analogy of barrier options.
result Derivation of pricing kernel for PDBS options with time-dependent parameters.
Study of time-dependent metrics and connections in geometry.
problem Understanding geodesics and connections in time-dependent Riemannian manifolds.
method Examine connections on product manifolds, explore parallel transport, geodesics, and torsion.
result Define the derivative of a one-parameter family of connections.
Models with time-dependent parameters using transform methods: application to Heston's modelq-fin.PR
This paper presents a methodology to introduce time-dependent parameters for a wide family of models preserving their analytic tractability. This family includes hybrid models with stochastic volatility, stochastic interest-rates, jumps and their non-hybrid counterparts. The methodology is applied to Heston's model. A …
Time-dependent Heston modelq-fin.PR
This work presents an exact solution to the generalized Heston model, where the model parameters are assumed to have linear time dependence The solution for the model in expressed in terms of confluent hypergeometric functions.
Semi-analytic pricing of double barrier options with time-dependent barriers and rebates at hitq-fin.CP
Efficient semi-analytic methods for pricing double barrier options with time-dependent parameters.
problem Pricing and calibration of double barrier options with time-dependent parameters.
method Two approaches: General Integral transform method and Heat Potential method.
result Semi-analytic techniques are more efficient for pricing double barrier options than traditional numerical methods.
Paper develops semi-analytic method for American options in time-dependent jump-diffusion models.
problem Pricing American options in models with time-dependent and exponential jumps.
method Generalizes existing methods for barrier and American options to handle arbitrary time dependencies and solves the problem through algebraic and Fredholm-Volterra equations.
result Presents a semi-analytic solution for American options in time-dependent jump-diffusion models with exponential jumps.
We present three models of stock price with time-dependent interest rate, dividend yield, and volatility, respectively, that allow for explicit forms of the optimal exercise boundary of the finite maturity American put option. The optimal exercise boundary satisfies the nonlinear integral equation of Volterra type. We …
New formulas for pricing Asian and basket options using stochastic expansion.
problem Pricing Asian and basket options under time-dependent parameters.
method Stochastic Taylor expansion around a log-normal proxy model.
result Highly accurate approximations for Asian options and vanilla options with discrete dividends.
A defining feature of non-stationary systems is the time dependence of their statistical parameters. Measured time series may exhibit Gaussian statistics on short time horizons, due to the central limit theorem. The sample statistics for long time horizons, however, averages over the time-dependent parameters. To model…
On absence of steady state in the Bouchaud-Mézard network modelcond-mat.stat-mech
In the limit of infinite number of nodes (agents), the Itô-reduced Bouchaud-Mézard network model of economic exchange has a time-independent mean and a steady-state inverse gamma distribution. We show that for a finite number of nodes the mean is actually distributed as a time-dependent lognormal and inverse gamma is q…
We consider stochastic volatility models using piecewise constant parameters. We suggest a hybrid optimization algorithm for fitting the models to a volatility surface and provide some numerical results. Finally, we provide an outlook on how to further improve the calibration procedure.
A new model adapts Hurst parameter in real-time for volatility forecasting.
problem Capturing volatility dynamics and clustering in financial markets.
method Rough Bergomi model with EWMA-driven time-dependent Hurst parameter.
result Empirical validation shows superior performance in diverse asset classes.
Proposes a Koopman operator method for time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear systems.
problem Challenges in time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Koopman operator approach for transforming nonlinear systems into linear ones, combined with deep learning for intrinsic coordinates.
result Robust and generalizable approach for time-dependent reliability analysis, superior to purely data-driven methods.
Improved online penalty selection for time series models.
problem Efficiently selecting penalty parameters for lasso in time series models.
method Enhanced autoregressive model with online penalty selection.
result Significantly improved computational performance and forecast accuracy.
CENNSurv models cumulative effects of time-dependent exposures on survival outcomes.
problem Challenges in modeling cumulative effects of time-dependent exposures on survival outcomes.
method CENNSurv, a novel deep learning approach that captures dynamic risk relationships from time-dependent data.
result CENNSurv reveals multi-year lagged and short-term behavioral shifts in survival outcomes.
Coping with Negative Short-Ratesq-fin.MF
We discuss a simple extension of the Ho and Lee model with generic time-dependent drift in which: 1) we compute bond prices analytically; 2) the yield curve is sensible and the asymptotic yield is positive; and 3) our analytical solution provides a clean and simple way of separating volatility from the drift in the sho…
Robust feature-weighted jump models for time-dependent clustering
problem Temporal clustering
method Robust feature-weighted jump model
result Accurate recovery of true cluster sequence and feature identification
New method uses randomized sparse neural networks to solve time-dependent PDEs more accurately and efficiently.
problem Numerical challenges in training neural networks sequentially in time to solve time-dependent PDEs.
method Introduces Neural Galerkin schemes that update randomized sparse subsets of network parameters at each time step.
result Up to two orders of magnitude more accurate and two orders of magnitude faster than dense update schemes.
Neural networks estimate time-varying parameters in AR(p) models with different noise types.
problem Forecasting time-dependent parameters in AR(p) processes with varying noise.
method Deep learning for time-varying coefficients, Gaussian and Laplace noise models.
result Simple model with time-varying parameters can effectively forecast complex dynamics.
We consider the scenario where the parameters of a probabilistic model are expected to vary over time. We construct a novel prior distribution that promotes sparsity and adapts the strength of correlation between parameters at successive timesteps, based on the data. We derive approximate variational inference procedur…
We propose a particularly structured Boltzmann machine, which we refer to as a dynamic Boltzmann machine (DyBM), as a stochastic model of a multi-dimensional time-series. The DyBM can have infinitely many layers of units but allows exact and efficient inference and learning when its parameters have a proposed structure…
We consider a class of time dependent finite energy multi-soliton solutions of the U(N) integrable chiral model in dimensions. The corresponding extended solutions of the associated linear problem have a pole with arbitrary multiplicity in the complex plane of the spectral parameter. Restrictions of these exten…
LR-EDNN reduces PDE solver complexity by limiting network weights to low-rank subspace.
problem Efficiently solving time-dependent PDEs with deep neural networks.
method Low-rank constraint on network weights using SVD for efficient parameter updates.
result LR-EDNN achieves comparable accuracy to full EDNN with fewer parameters and lower cost.
We define a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) in which each hidden state has time-dependent that drive transitions and emissions, and show how to estimate its parameters. Our construction is motivated by the problem of inferring human mobility on sub-daily time scales from, for example, mobile phone …
In this paper, we obtain Li-Yau type gradient estimates with time dependent parameter for positive solutions of the heat equation that are different with the estimates by Li-Xu \cite{LX} and Qian \cite{Qi}. As an application of the estimate, we also obtained improvements of Davies' Li-Yau type gradient estimate.
Improves inverse uncertainty quantification for time-dependent data using PCA and deep neural networks.
problem Efficiently quantify model input uncertainties from time-dependent experimental data.
method Functional PCA for dimensionality reduction, deep neural networks for surrogate modeling, Bayesian neural networks for uncertainty estimation.
result The proposed method reduces the computational cost and improves the agreement with experimental data.
In this paper, we prove a differential Harnack inequality for positive solutions of time-dependent heat equations with potentials. We also prove a gradient estimate for the positive solution of the time-dependent heat equation.
In this paper, we extend the classical Ho-Lee binomial term structure model to the case of time-dependent parameters and, as a result, resolve a drawback associated with the model. This is achieved with the introduction of a more flexible no-arbitrage condition in contrast to the one assumed in the Ho-Lee model.
Paper explores solving HJB equations using neural networks.
problem Solving high-dimensional time-dependent HJB equations.
method Neural Galerkin methods with nonlinearly parametrized trial functions.
result Closed-form solutions for trial functions.
Study on relativistic nonholonomic mechanics with time-dependent constraints.
problem Formulating classical time-dependent nonholonomic mechanics.
method Invariant formulation using moving frames and Chaplygin systems.
result Hamiltonization of time-dependent constraints achieved.
The aim of this paper is to geometrize time dependent Lagrangian mechanics in a way that the framework of second order tangent bundles plays an essential role. To this end, we first introduce the concepts of time dependent connections and time dependent semisprays on a manifold and their induced vector bundle struc…
Proposes a method to estimate time-dependent probability density functions using binary classifiers.
problem Estimating time-dependent probability density functions of stochastic processes.
method Trains a time-dependent binary classifier to discriminate between realizations of a stochastic process at two nearby time instants.
result Explicitly models and accurately reconstructs complex time-dependent, multi-modal, and near-degenerate densities.
In this article we get a time-dependent Sobolev inequality along the Ricci flow which generalizes the earlier results of Zhang, Ye, Hsu. As an application of the time-dependent Sobolev inequality, we also get a growth of the ratio of bob-collapsing along the Ricci flow.
Paper adapts causal analysis for time-dependent systems, especially energy management.
problem Challenges in root-cause analysis for systems with lagged time-dependencies, particularly in energy management.
method Adapts causal root-cause analysis method to time-dependent systems, discusses two truncation approaches.
result Extension effectively localizes root-causes in feature and time domain with enough lags.
The aim of this paper is to obtain on the dual 1-jet space J^{1*}(R;M) the main geometrical objects used in the dual jet geometry of time-dependent Hamiltonians. We talk about distinguished (d-) tensors, time-dependent semisprays, nonlinear connections and their mathematical connections.
The paper extends Marsden-Weinstein reduction to mechanical presymplectic structures for time-dependent Hamiltonian systems.
problem Limitations of Marsden-Weinstein reduction for cosymplectic structures in time-dependent Hamiltonian systems.
method Developed Marsden-Weinstein reduction for mechanical presymplectic structures.
result Mechanical presymplectic structures provide a more suitable framework for time-dependent Hamiltonian systems than cosymplectic structures.
In this paper, we elucidate the key role played by the cosymplectic geometry in the theory of time dependent Hamiltonian systems. In particular, we generalize the cosymplectic structures to time-dependent Nambu-Poisson Hamiltonian systems and corresponding Jacobi's last multiplier for 3D systems. We illustrate our cons…
In this paper, we obtain a Li-Yau type gradient estimate with time dependent parameter for positive solutions of the heat equation, so that the Li-Yau type gradient estimate of Li-Xu are special cases of the estimate. We also obtain improvements of Davies' Li-Yau type gradient estimate. The argument is different with t…
New method predicts heat load in thermal grids using latent variables.
problem Predicting heat load in district energy systems.
method Combines nominal model for outdoor temperature with latent variable model for residual heat load.
result Proposed method achieves better prediction accuracy than artificial neural networks.
Flexible Cox model for time-dependent covariates with complex sparsity patterns.
problem Lack of flexibility in enforcing specific sparsity patterns in time-dependent Cox models.
method Proposes a flexible framework for variable selection in time-dependent Cox models, accommodating complex selection rules.
result Achieves accurate estimation with low false alarm rates for complex covariate structures.
Jet-Ricci Geometry of Time-Dependent Human Biomechanicsphysics.bio-ph
We propose the time-dependent generalization of an `ordinary' autonomous human biomechanics, in which total mechanical + biochemical energy is not conserved. We introduce a general framework for time-dependent biomechanics in terms of jet manifolds derived from the extended musculo-skeletal configuration manifold. The …
Paper shows how scattering maps of Schrödinger equations relate to metrics.
problem Relating scattering maps of time-dependent Schrödinger equations to metrics.
method Analyzes scattering maps for specific classes of metrics and diffeomorphisms.
result Scattering maps differ by a compact operator if and only if metrics are related by diffeomorphism.
The usual formulation of time-dependent mechanics implies a given splitting of an event space . This splitting, however, is broken by any time-dependent transformation, including transformations between inertial frames. The goal is the frame-covariant formulation of time-dependent mechanics on a bundle…
We report an empirical study of the Ibovespa index of the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange in which we detect the existence of long-range correlations. To analyze our data we introduce a rescaled variant of the usual Detrended Fluctuation Analysis that allows us to obtain the Hurst exponent through a one-parameter fitting. We …
NODEs with explicit time dependence can interpolate and generalize like piecewise-constant estimators.
problem Learning from finite datasets with neural ODEs.
method Control-theoretic perspective applied to semi-autonomous NODEs.
result SA-NODEs can interpolate and satisfy SCC, leading to generalization rates similar to histogram and nearest-neighbor estimators.
The time-dependent maximum principle for systems of parabolic equations subject to an avoidance setmath.DG
In this paper we prove two extensions of Hamilton's maximal principle for systems pf parabolic equations which sould be useful for the study of the Ricci flow and some other geometric evolution equations. One extension is a time-dependent maximum principle and the other is a time-dependent maximum principle subject to …