BayTiDe discovers time-delayed differential equations from noisy data.
problem Discovering time-delayed differential equations from data with large delays and noise.
method Bayesian inference with a sparsity-promoting prior.
result BayTiDe accurately identifies time-delayed differential equations with accuracy proportional to data resolution.
Study on synchronization in financial markets with time delays.
problem Understanding market dynamics and synchronization in financial systems with time delays.
method Examined a system of coupled non-linear delay-differential equations, linearized for small delays, and analyzed collective dynamics using bifurcation diagrams and numerical solutions.
result Demonstrated that limit cycles can be maintained in coupled N-asset models with appropriate parameterization, leading to market synchronization.
In this paper we investigate novel applications of a new class of equations which we call time-delayed backward stochastic differential equations. Time-delayed BSDEs may arise in finance when we want to find an investment strategy and an investment portfolio which should replicate a liability or meet a target depending…
Improved GRU model with weighted time-delay feedback for long-term dependencies.
problem Modeling long-term dependencies in sequential data.
method Introducing a gated recurrent unit (GRU) with a weighted time-delay feedback mechanism.
result τ-GRU outperforms state-of-the-art models on various tasks.
In this paper we consider backward stochastic differential equations with time-delayed generators of a moving average type. The classical framework with linear generators depending on (Y(t),Z(t)) is extended and we investigate linear generators depending on (t1∫0tY(s)ds,t1∫0tZ(s)ds). We…
We propose a quantum machine learning algorithm for efficiently solving a class of problems encoded in quantum controlled unitary operations. The central physical mechanism of the protocol is the iteration of a quantum time-delayed equation that introduces feedback in the dynamics and eliminates the necessity of interm…
Improved modeling of chaotic systems using time-delay embeddings and Frenet-Serret frame.
problem Identifying effective coordinate systems for nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Developed a new algorithm to identify more stable and accurate models from less data, leveraging the connection between HAVOK and Frenet-Serret frame.
result The sub- and super-diagonal entries of the linear model correspond to intrinsic curvatures in Frenet-Serret frame.
Proposes neural delay differential equations for stable system identification with partially observed states.
problem Learning stable models for systems with partial or delayed observations.
method Augments states with history, uses neural delay differential equations, and ensures stability through time delay analysis.
result The approach ensures stability of learned models for partially observed systems.
TSMB handles time delays in multivariate time series data.
problem Varying time delays in multivariate time series data complicate predictions.
method Time Series Model Bootstrap (TSMB) framework for nonparametric time delay estimation.
result TSMB improves model performance in dynamic data environments.
In this paper we studied about the wavelet identification of the thresholds and time delay for more general case without the constraint that the time delay is smaller than the order of the model. Here we composed an empirical wavelet from the SETAR (Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive) model and identified the thres…
New method estimates traffic congestion delays using statistical causality.
problem Accurate estimation of traffic congestion delays during accidents.
method Proposes a novel time delay estimation method using lag-specific transfer entropy (TE) and Markov bootstrap techniques.
result Validated the method's efficacy using simulated and real data.
This paper provides a mathematical framework for time-delay reservoir computing.
problem Lack of rigorous mathematical foundations for reservoir computing properties.
method Control-theoretic framework, formal definitions of separation and fading memory, explicit lower bound derivation.
result Established formal definitions and connections to stability notions for time-delay systems.
In this paper we show that several dynamical systems with time delay can be described as vector fields associated to smooth functions via a bracket of Leibniz structure. Some examples illustrate the theoretical considerations.
Time-delayed embeddings avoid self-intersections for high enough delay.
problem Analyzing self-intersections in time-delayed embeddings.
method Study of time-delayed coordinate maps for diffeomorphisms on compact manifolds.
result For high enough delay, time-delayed embeddings avoid self-intersections almost everywhere.
Backpropagation is explained as a diffusion process in neural networks.
problem The biological plausibility of Backpropagation is questioned.
method Demonstrated that time-delayed neurons and forward-backward waves approximate the gradient in deep networks.
result Backpropagation can be interpreted as a diffusion process, approximating the gradient for non-fast inputs.
Predicting conversion rates (CVRs) in display advertising (e.g., predicting the proportion of users who purchase an item (i.e., a conversion) after its corresponding ad is clicked) is important when measuring the effects of ads shown to users and to understanding the interests of the users. There is generally a time de…
This paper presents a stochastic logic time delay reservoir design. The reservoir is analyzed using a number of metrics, such as kernel quality, generalization rank, performance on simple benchmarks, and is also compared to a deterministic design. A novel re-seeding method is introduced to reduce the adverse effects of…
Measures time-delay embedding for noisy, sparse data.
problem Applying Takens' embedding theorem to real-world, noisy data.
method Formulated a measure-theoretic generalization of the embedding theorem, using optimal transport.
result Reconstructed full state of dynamical systems from time-lagged partial observations robust to noise and sparsity.
Develops variable-lag Granger causality for more accurate time series analysis.
problem Fixed time delay assumption in Granger causality does not fit many real-world applications.
method Variable-lag Granger causality, inferring with arbitrary time delays.
result Performs better than existing methods in coordinated collective behavior studies.
Survey of RL methods for control systems with time delays.
problem Time delays in cyber-physical systems degrade RL performance and stability.
method Categorizes and analyzes five major families of RL methods for time delays.
result Identifies key trade-offs and practical guidelines for selecting RL methods.
Develops variable-lag Granger causality and Transfer Entropy for time series analysis.
problem Fixed time delay assumption in Granger causality and Transfer Entropy does not hold in many applications.
method Variable-lag Granger causality and Transfer Entropy, using optimal warping path of Dynamic Time Warping (DTW).
result Proposed methods perform better than existing methods in both simulated and real-world datasets.
New method disentangles latent variables in nonstationary data.
problem Disentangling latent variables in nonstationary sequential data.
method NCTRL framework exploiting Markov assumption and temporal structure.
result Independent latent components can be recovered from nonlinear mixture without auxiliary variables.
ERDMD discovers sparse, nonuniformly timed DMD models from chaotic attractors.
problem Discovering high-fidelity, nonuniformly timed DMD models from chaotic data.
method Entropic regression for nonlinear information flow detection, combined with multi-step DMD.
result ERDMD produces highly efficient and robust models with minimal complexity.
Latency (i.e., time delay) in electronic markets affects the efficacy of liquidity taking strategies. During the time liquidity takers process information and send marketable limit orders (MLOs) to the exchange, the limit order book (LOB) might undergo updates, so there is no guarantee that MLOs are filled. We develop …
In this paper we study the problem of convergence and generalization error bound of stochastic momentum for deep learning from the perspective of regularization. To do so, we first interpret momentum as solving an ℓ2-regularized minimization problem to learn the offsets between arbitrary two successive model para…
TreeDOX predicts chaotic systems without hyperparameter tuning.
problem Forecasting chaotic systems requires hyperparameter tuning, limiting adoption.
method TreeDOX uses time delay overembedding and Extra-Trees Regressors.
result TreeDOX achieves state-of-the-art performance on chaotic systems.
Neural Laplace Control tackles offline RL for continuous-time delayed systems with irregular observations.
problem Offline reinforcement learning problems involving continuous-time environments with delays and irregular observations.
method Combines a Neural Laplace dynamics model with a model predictive control (MPC) planner.
result Achieves near expert policy performance on continuous-time delayed environments.
Algorithm improves RL by discovering delayed causal relations.
problem Improving data-efficiency and interpretability in RL.
method Predicts observations with Markov assumption, introduces hidden variables to explain past events.
result Significantly improves RL performance on simulated and real tasks.
In this paper we present a continuous time dynamical model of heterogeneous agents interacting in a financial market where transactions are cleared by a market maker. The market is composed of fundamentalist, trend following and contrarian agents who process information from the market with different time delays. Each …
We review the spectral analysis and the time-dependent approach of scattering theory for manifolds with asymptotically cylindrical ends. For the spectral analysis, higher order resolvent estimates are obtained via Mourre theory for both short-range and long-range behaviors of the metric and the perturbation at infinity…
We consider the static and dynamic models of Cournot duopoly with tax evasion. In the dynamic model we introduce the time delay and we analyze the local stability of the stationary state. There is a critical value of the delay when the Hopf bifurcation occurs.
Studies projective geometry and partial differential equations prolongation.
problem Understanding the prolongation of overdetermined geometric partial differential equations.
method Introduction to differential geometry and tractor calculus, study of prolongation of equations.
result Recovery of projective tractor and cotractor connections via partial differential equations prolongation.
Paper solves a class of differential equations with specific solutions.
problem Identifying solutions to a class of nonlinear ODEs.
method Solves using a proposed side condition involving a third-order linear ODE.
result New closed and integral-form solutions for the Tzitzeica curve equation.
The paper generalizes Monge-Ampère equations and their solutions in differential geometry.
problem Understanding the structure of Monge-Ampère equations and their solutions.
method Generalizing Monge-Ampère equations to higher-order systems and proving their solutions correspond to integral manifolds of exterior differential systems.
result The Korteweg-de Vries (KdV) equation and Cauchy-Riemann equations are examples of generalized Monge-Ampère equations.
We propose a novel {\it Equilibrated Recurrent Neural Network} (ERNN) to combat the issues of inaccuracy and instability in conventional RNNs. Drawing upon the concept of autapse in neuroscience, we propose augmenting an RNN with a time-delayed self-feedback loop. Our sole purpose is to modify the dynamics of each inte…
DiffEqFlux.jl is a library for fusing neural networks and differential equations. In this work we describe differential equations from the viewpoint of data science and discuss the complementary nature between machine learning models and differential equations. We demonstrate the ability to incorporate DifferentialEqua…
Classifies scalar second-order PDEs with low-dimensional symmetry groups.
problem Classifying differential equations with specific symmetry groups.
method Algebraic technique based on covariant form for constructing equations.
result Complete classification of quasi-linear scalar second-order PDEs with free symmetry groups of dimension ≤3.
Neural differential equations combine deep learning and differential equations for modeling complex systems.
problem Modeling complex systems with high capacity and efficiency.
method Combining neural networks and differential equations, focusing on neural ordinary, controlled, and stochastic differential equations.
result NDEs offer high-capacity function approximation, strong priors, and handle irregular data efficiently.
New method efficiently computes gradients for stochastic differential equations.
problem Computing gradients for stochastic differential equations efficiently.
method Generalized adjoint sensitivity method to stochastic differential equations.
result Time-efficient and memory-efficient computation of gradients with high-order solvers.
This paper considers an often forgotten relationship, the time delay between a cause and its effect in economies and finance. We treat the case of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and economic growth, - measured through a country Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The pertinent data refers to 43 countries, over 1970-2015, - …
Neural networks can approximate complex stochastic equations well.
problem Approximating general stochastic differential equations.
method Identified neural network classes approximating continuous functions.
result Neural stochastic differential equations can approximate general stochastic differential equations arbitrarily well.
New method solves PDEs for any initial condition without retraining.
problem Solving PDEs for different initial conditions requires retraining neural solvers.
method Formulate solution as conditional probability distribution.
result Approximates PDE solution for arbitrary initial conditions.
Paper discovers governing equations from data using differential invariants.
problem Discovering partial differential equations from data is challenging.
method The paper proposes a pipeline based on differential invariants to reduce the search space and adhere to symmetry.
result DI-SINDy method outperforms other symmetry-informed methods in PDE discovery.
Framework LiLY recovers latent causal variables from time-series data under distribution shifts.
problem Learning and correcting models under unknown distribution shifts in time-series data.
method LiLY framework that recovers latent causal variables and identifies their relations from temporal data under different distribution shifts.
result The framework reliably identifies time-delayed latent causal influences from observed variables under different distribution changes.
A reliable controller is critical and essential for the execution of safe and smooth maneuvers of an autonomous vehicle.The controller must be robust to external disturbances, such as road surface, weather, and wind conditions, and so on.It also needs to deal with the internal parametric variations of vehicle sub-syste…
We formulate stochastic partial differential equations on Riemannian manifolds, moving surfaces, general evolving Riemannian manifolds (with appropriate assumptions) and Riemannian manifolds with random metrics, in the variational setting of the analysis to stochastic partial differential equations. Considering mainly …
New variational principle found for non-variational differential equations.
problem Non-variational differential equations without variational multipliers.
method Connecting functional forms with antiexact differential forms to identify obstructions.
result Formulation of variational problem for non-variational equations.
In this paper we propose a novel observer-based method to improve the safety and security of connected and automated vehicle (CAV) transportation. The proposed method combines model-based signal filtering and anomaly detection methods. Specifically, we use adaptive extended Kalman filter (AEKF) to smooth sensor reading…