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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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194388581775 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for time weightings

Extends double linear policy with time-varying weights and proves robust positive expectation.

problem Ensuring robustness in policy optimization with time-varying parameters.
method Employed a novel elementary symmetric polynomials characterization approach to prove robust positive expectation (RPE). Derived explicit expressions for expected cumulative gain-loss and variance.
result Proved the robust positive expectation property holds for the extended double linear policy.

A RL approach dynamically assigns and updates weights of ensemble models for better time series forecasting.

problem Static weight assignment for ensemble models fails to capture dynamic data changes.
method Reinforcement Learning (RL) to dynamically update weights of each model at different time instants.
result Dynamic weighted approach using RL learns weights better than static methods.

A new approach optimizes weights in DLP for better risk-adjusted performance.

problem Optimizing time-varying weights in Double Linear Policy (DLP) for better risk-adjusted performance.
method Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC) framework to maximize risk-adjusted returns while enforcing constraints.
result Empirical results show improved risk-adjusted performance and drawdown control.

Novel method for time-series prediction with tighter confidence intervals.

problem Improving prediction intervals for time-series data.
method Kernel-based Optimally Weighted Conformal Prediction Intervals (KOWCPI) using adaptive weights.
result KOWCPI achieves narrower confidence intervals with guaranteed coverage.

The study examines stable regions in weighted manifolds with boundary properties.

problem Studying stable regions in weighted manifolds with boundary properties.
method Using deformations constructed from parallel vector fields tangent to the boundary, the study deduces rigidity properties for stable sets.
result The classification of stable sets in some Riemannian cylinders and uniqueness results for minimizers.

The weighted Yamabe flow converges on smooth metric measure spaces.

problem Analyzing convergence of the weighted Yamabe flow on metric measure spaces.
method Introduced the weighted Yamabe flow and proved its long-time existence and convergence under certain conditions.
result Long-time existence and convergence of the weighted Yamabe flow on smooth metric measure spaces.

A method to improve time series forecasting by dynamically adjusting weights of forecasters.

problem Challenges in time series forecasting due to evolving data distributions.
method Dynamic re-weighting of forecasters based on evolving data distributions.
result Competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods for combining forecasters.

Maximizes probability of completing investment schedules with optimal portfolio weights.

problem Optimizing probability of completing investment schedules with optimal portfolio weights.
method Computing maximum probability and optimal portfolio weight functions for various rebalancing schedules.
result Noticeable improvements in probability to complete schedules with optimal portfolio weights.

Finite time for subsolutions on Riemannian manifolds proved.

problem Finite extinction time for subsolutions of a specific equation on Riemannian manifolds.
method Proved finite extinction time using weighted Sobolev inequality and assumptions on p, q, and ρ.
result Weak subsolutions to the equation have a finite extinction time.

Best-of-\infty improves LLM performance by efficiently allocating inference-time computation.

problem Achieving optimal performance in test-time LLM ensembling with infinite budget.
method Adaptive generation scheme and weighted ensembles of LLMs, formulated as mixed-integer linear program.
result Optimal ensemble weighting improves performance over individual models.

Proposes QDF to improve multi-step time-series forecasting.

problem Ignoring label autocorrelation and unequal task weights in training objectives.
method Quadratic-form weighted training objective and QDF learning algorithm.
result Improves performance of various forecast models, achieving state-of-the-art results.

Proposes DSW for unbiased ITE estimation with dynamic confounders.

problem Estimating ITE from dynamic observational data with time-varying confounders.
method Deep Sequential Weighting (DSW) infers hidden confounders using current treatment assignments and historical information.
result DSW generates unbiased and accurate treatment effects.

Economics tool predicts failure times in reliability systems.

problem Predicting optimal failure times in weighted k-out-of-n reliability systems with heterogeneous component failure.
method Using rational expectations to analyze and predict failure times in reliability systems with heterogeneous component failure.
result Different measures are optimal for predicting system failure depending on component failure distributions.

The paper estimates gradients for a weighted parabolic equation under geometric flow.

problem Estimating gradients for a specific parabolic equation on a weighted manifold.
method Obtained space-time gradient estimates through integrating the equation.
result Found corresponding Harnack inequalities through gradient estimates.

The study characterizes hypersurfaces in weighted cylinders and generalizes confinement properties.

problem Characterizing hypersurfaces in weighted Riemannian products.
method Analyzing parabolic hypersurfaces with boundary in weighted cylinders.
result Generalized confinement properties of hypersurfaces in weighted cylinders.

This paper improves forecast stability without sacrificing accuracy using dynamic loss weighting.

problem Rolling origin forecast instability in time series forecasting.
method Dynamic loss weighting algorithms applied to the N-BEATS model.
result Dynamic loss weighting can further improve forecast stability without compromising accuracy.

RSO uses random weight perturbations to train deep networks without gradients.

problem Training deep neural networks efficiently and without gradient information.
method RSO is a gradient-free Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach that updates weights based on mini-batch loss reduction.
result RSO achieves high accuracy (99.1% on MNIST) with significantly fewer updates than traditional methods.

New method speeds up neural network training by preprocessing weight-data correlation.

problem Slow neural network training due to high time complexity.
method Stores weight-data correlation in a tree structure for quick detection of firing neurons.
result Achieves o(nmd)o(nmd) time per iteration with only O(nmd)O(nmd) preprocessing time.

The paper generalizes K-stability results to singular and weighted settings.

problem Generalizing K-stability to singular and weighted settings.
method Generalization of results in \cite{Li22a} to singular and weighted settings.
result The \(\mathbb{G}\)-uniform weighted K-stability for models implies \(\mathbb{G}\)-coercivity of the weighted Mabuchi functional.

The paper predicts edge weights in weighted directed networks using metric geometry.

problem Predicting edge weights in weighted directed networks.
method Introducing new types of weighted directed networks (AWDNs), constructing metrics, and proposing modified kNN and SVM methods.
result The proposed methods outperform traditional approaches in predicting edge weights.

Online learning makes sequence of decisions with partial data arrival where next movement of data is unknown. In this paper, we have presented a new technique as multiple times weight updating that update the weight iteratively forsame instance. The proposed technique analyzed with popular state-of-art algorithms from …

2018-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a new time series prediction method using weighted past data and optimization.

problem Predicting time series data with improved accuracy considering both deterministic and stochastic assumptions.
method The approach uses a weighted sum of past data, solving a constrained linear optimization problem to minimize an outer bound of prediction error.
result The method can outperform existing non-parametric methods in short-term forecasts.

A study on optimizing data augmentation weights for improved test-time predictions.

problem Improving robustness of predictions during testing with data augmentation methods.
method A weighted Test-Time Augmentation (TTA) approach based on variational Bayesian framework to optimize weights.
result Optimizing weights suppresses unwanted data augmentations and improves prediction performance.

A method to reduce memory usage in deep learning models by adding inducing weights.

problem Memory inefficiency in Bayesian neural networks and deep ensembles.
method Augmenting the weight matrix with inducing weights and using Matheron's conditional Gaussian sampling rule.
result Reduces parameter size to 24.3% of a single neural network while maintaining competitive performance.

This paper extends liquidity returns in geometric mean markets to time-varying weights.

problem Understanding returns and no-arbitrage prices in geometric mean markets with time-varying weights.
method Extending known results for constant-weight G3Ms to the general case of G3Ms with time-varying and potentially stochastic weights.
result LP shares can replicate the payoffs of financial derivatives and various trading strategies.

BetaDataWeighter learns weights for unlabelled data to improve self-supervised learning accuracy.

problem Improving unsupervised representations with domain shift between unlabelled and target data.
method Learning Bayesian instance weights for unlabelled data to prioritize useful instances.
result BetaDataWeighter achieves highest average accuracy and prunes up to 78% of images without significant loss in accuracy.

We introduce a novel scheme to train binary convolutional neural networks (CNNs) -- CNNs with weights and activations constrained to {-1,+1} at run-time. It has been known that using binary weights and activations drastically reduce memory size and accesses, and can replace arithmetic operations with more efficient bit…

2017-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗