Enhances time series comparison by simplifying warping paths.
problem Lack of qualitative comparison on top of elastic distance measures.
method Proposes a technique to simplify warping paths for better visualization and interpretation.
result Clearer representation of how subsequences match between time series.
Algorithm finds critical subsequences in ECG beats for classification.
problem Classifying ECG beats accurately and understanding why.
method Optimized implementation of nearest neighbor algorithm with DTW distance.
result Algorithm discovers important subsequences for ECG classification.
UniShape improves time series classification by selecting relevant subsequences.
problem Classifying time series data requires capturing interpretable shapelets.
method UniShape uses a shape-aware adapter to aggregate multiscale subsequences into class tokens.
result UniShape achieves state-of-the-art classification performance.
Pattern sampling reduces time series classification complexity.
problem High computational complexity of exhaustive search for shapelets.
method Pattern sampling using a weighted trie to extract discriminative patterns.
result Significant reduction in computational and memory resources.
New method finds local anomalies in time series by considering context information.
problem Finding anomalous subsequence in long time series is difficult.
method Introduces semantic discord, an approach that incorporates context information.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in locating anomalies.
Efficiently identifies users from walking activity data using kernel-based DTW.
problem Identifying users from walking activity data streams.
method Learning a kernel to approximate DTW for efficient analysis of streaming data from wearable sensors.
result The proposed approach reduces computational burden compared to traditional DTW.
Study examines how different time series cross-validation methods affect anomaly detection in multivariate time series.
problem Evaluating anomaly detection in multivariate time series requires preserving temporal dependencies, especially for subsequence anomalies.
method Systematically investigates walk-forward and sliding window methods across various validation configurations and classifier types.
result Sliding window method consistently yields higher precision-recall scores and reduced fold-to-fold performance variance, particularly for deep learning models.
We provide the proof that the space of time series data is a Kolmogorov space with T0-separation axiom using the loop space of time series data. In our approach we define a cyclic coordinate of intrinsic time scale of time series data after empirical mode decomposition. A spinor field of time series data comes fro…
A new tool, matrix profile, finds all pair similarities in time series data.
problem Finding all pair similarities in time series data.
method Near universal time series data mining tool called matrix profile.
result Matrix profile solves the all-pairs-similarity-search problem for time series subsequences.
Theoretical study of random forests for nonlinear time series.
problem Theoretical justification for using random forests in time series modeling.
method Uniform concentration inequality for regression trees and random forests consistency proof.
result Consistency of random forests for nonlinear autoregressive processes.
Paper uses autoencoders for time series clustering with energy data.
problem Challenges in time series clustering, especially with outliers.
method Combines convolutional autoencoder and k-medoids for clustering.
result Improves clustering robustness to outliers and finer clusters.
Study measures irreversibility in crypto trends using Kullback-Leibler divergence.
problem Assessing irreversibility in cryptocurrency trends.
method Defined irreversibility index using Kullback-Leibler divergence between uptrend and downtrend distributions.
result Strong irreversibility in all analyzed cryptocurrencies, with trends evolving over time.
Algorithm detects lead-lag relationships in multivariate time series.
problem Understanding temporal dependencies between time series.
method Cluster-driven methodology based on dynamic time warping.
result Robust detection of lead-lag relationships in lagged multi-factor models.
Recurrent Neural Processes model time series with conditional independence to capture slow variabilities efficiently.
problem Modeling time series data with slow long-term variabilities efficiently.
method Recurrent Neural Processes (RNP) model state space with conditional independence among subsequences.
result RNP state spaces improve predictive performance on real-world time-series data and nonlinear system identification.
An image-driven approach for time series forecasting.
problem Time-series forecasting as a computer vision task.
method Capture input data as an image and train a model to produce the subsequent image.
result Our method outperforms various baselines, including ARIMA, using image-based evaluation metrics.
Warped Gaussian process model for non-stationary time series forecasting.
problem Non-stationary time series with gradually varying volatility, change points, or both.
method Non-parametric warping of input distances with Gaussian process, gradient optimization for training.
result State-of-the-art forecasting performance at lower implementation and computation cost.
New study on time series anomaly detection shows overlapping inference improves performance.
problem Heterogeneous evaluation practices and inference procedures in time series anomaly detection.
method Unified training, tuning, and evaluation protocol on TSB-AD benchmark, analyzing overlapping vs. disjoint inference.
result Overlapping inference yields consistent improvements, with average relative gain up to +28%.
Neural moving average model speeds up state space model inference for time series data.
problem Efficiently scaling approximate Bayesian inference for time series data.
method Proposes a novel generative model (neural moving average model) for latent temporal states in state space models.
result Achieves accurate parameter estimation in a short time for various models.
DDD reformulated for sparse matrices, integrating trajectory and snapshot time series data.
problem Efficiently integrate trajectory and snapshot time series data.
method Reformulate DDD to use compact basis functions, reducing parameter scaling.
result Inference of sparse matrices reduces the number of parameters in DDD.
Paper benchmarks and customizes energy forecasting methods.
problem Energy forecasting challenges and differences from traditional time series.
method Collected large-scale load datasets and renewable energy datasets. Developed feature engineering and customized loss functions.
result Comprehensive evaluation of 21 forecasting methods in energy datasets.
Survey evaluates 20 anomaly detection methods for time-series data.
problem Comparing statistical, machine learning, and deep learning methods for anomaly detection.
method Comprehensive evaluation of 20 methods from three categories on public datasets.
result Provides insights into the performance and suitability of anomaly detection methods.
A novel time series clustering method that considers segment typologies.
problem Lack of consideration for the similarity of different subsequences in time series clustering.
method Two-stage clustering: polynomial segmentation followed by hierarchical clustering of segments, then final clustering of time series.
result The method outperforms state-of-the-art techniques on UCR Time Series Classification Archive datasets.
Improved anomaly detection in time series data using kervolutional neural networks.
problem Anomaly detection in time series data.
method Mixed kervolutional and convolutional layers in a temporal auto-encoder.
result The mixed model detects anomalies more sensitively in time series data.
A new metric measures time series divergence efficiently.
problem Quantifying subtle differences in time series data.
method Sequence Likelihood (SL) divergence, a generalized KL divergence for time series.
result Efficient estimators of SL divergence from finite sample paths.
Multi-SpaCE generates valid counterfactual explanations for multivariate time series data.
problem Lack of transparency in deep learning models for multivariate time series data.
method Multi-objective counterfactual explanation method using NSGA-II for multivariate time series data.
result Ensures perfect validity and superior performance compared to existing methods.
RPSF improves shapelet-based random forest accuracy and speed.
problem Limitations of random shapelet forest, including high training cost and limited information per node.
method Combines pairs of shapelets, omits threshold searching, and uses DMDI for interpretability.
result Improves accuracy and training speed of shapelet-based random forest.
We propose in this work a new family of kernels for variable-length time series. Our work builds upon the vector autoregressive (VAR) model for multivariate stochastic processes: given a multivariate time series x, we consider the likelihood function p_θ(x) of different parameters θin the VAR model as features to descr…
LSAR efficiently estimates AR models for big time series data.
problem Efficiently analyzing large-scale time series data with high accuracy.
method Developed a fast algorithm to estimate leverage scores and an efficient LSAR algorithm for fitting AR models.
result LSAR algorithm finds maximum likelihood estimates with high probability and improved worst-case running time.
TDA improves stock portfolio selection by analyzing data structure.
problem Traditional portfolio selection methods fail to handle stock market data complexities.
method Two-stage method involving time series generation and clustering with TDA features.
result TDA-based portfolio outperforms other methods consistently over different time frames.
Method detects lead-lag relationships in multivariate time series.
problem Discovering lead-lag relationships in multivariate time series.
method Clustering-driven methodology using sliding window and various clustering techniques.
result Robust lead-lag estimates across clusters enhance consistent relationships identification.
A new algorithm predicts periodic time series data efficiently in cloud environments.
problem Efficiently identifying and predicting periodic patterns in large-scale time-series data.
method Proposes a Periodicity-based Parallel Time Series Prediction (PPTSP) algorithm using TSDCA, MTSPPR, and PTSP methods.
result Significant improvements in prediction accuracy and performance compared to existing algorithms.
KZImputer improves time series data quality with adaptive imputation for short to medium-sized gaps.
problem Missing data in time series analysis.
method Adaptive imputation method for univariate time series with tailored strategies for different gap positions.
result KZImputer achieves strong performance, especially for high missingness rates and high-sparsity regimes.
Neural controlled DEs model irregular time series by adjusting based on observations.
problem Modeling irregularly sampled multivariate time series with memory-efficient adjoint-based backpropagation.
method Neural controlled differential equations (CDEs) that adjust based on subsequent observations.
result Achieves state-of-the-art performance on various datasets.
Deep learning improves time series classification accuracy.
problem Classifying time series data efficiently.
method Developed deep neural networks for time series classification.
result Demonstrated superior performance of deep learning methods.
Paper detects and estimates breaks in high-dimensional functional time series.
problem Detecting and estimating structural breaks in heterogeneous mean functions of high-dimensional functional time series.
method Proposes a new test statistic combining functional CUSUM and power enhancement components, with a clustering algorithm for group structure estimation.
result The proposed techniques have satisfactory performance in finite samples, detecting and estimating breaks effectively.
BiN normalizes financial time-series for better forecasting.
problem Non-stationarity and multimodality in financial time-series data.
method Bilinear Normalization (BiN) incorporated into TABL networks.
result BiN-TABL outperforms other normalization methods in financial forecasting.
Structured subsampling improves privacy in deep time series forecasting.
problem Incompatible privacy guarantees with time series forecasting.
method Structured subsampling of sequential data for privacy amplification.
result Structured subsampling enables training with strong privacy guarantees.
A new CNN approach for time series forecasting outperforms traditional RNNs.
problem Time series forecasting using conventional RNNs.
method Temporally folded convolutional neural networks (TFC's) for sequence forecasting.
result TFC's outperform conventional RNNs on sequential MNIST and JSB chorals datasets.
Working on the daily closing prices and logreturns, in this paper we deal with the use of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to forecast the price of the EUR/USD Futures. The aim of our work is to understand how the HMMs describe different financial time series depending on their structure. Subsequently, we analyse the foreca…
Paper presents a new time-series segmentation technique for mobile phone user behavior.
problem Current segmentation techniques do not accurately capture individual user behavior over time.
method Behavior-Oriented Time Segmentation (BOTS) technique that considers temporal coverage and number of incidences.
result BOTS technique better captures user behavior at various times of day and week.
Shapelet transform improves time series classification for earthquake, wind, and wave events.
problem Autonomous detection of specific events from large time series datasets in civil engineering.
method Shapelet transform for local similarity in time series subsequences, combined with machine learning.
result Shapelet transform yields a new feature representation for time series signals in civil engineering.
A new deep neural network detects and diagnoses anomalies in multivariate time series data.
problem Detecting and diagnosing anomalies in multivariate time series data with temporal and inter-correlation dependencies.
method Multi-Scale Convolutional Recurrent Encoder-Decoder (MSCRED) that constructs multi-scale signature matrices, encodes inter-sensor correlations, and captures temporal patterns.
result MSCRED outperforms state-of-the-art methods in detecting and diagnosing anomalies in multivariate time series data.
New imputation strategies improve signature models for irregular time series.
problem Applying signature models to irregular time series requires continuous path construction.
method Characterized imputation as a problem, evaluated various strategies, proposed GP-PoM.
result Gaussian process adapters improve predictive performance and robustness.
New method detects anomalies in time series data using HMMs.
problem Detect anomalies in discrete time series data.
method HMM gauge likelihood analysis (HMM GLA) using Baum-Welch algorithm and clustering.
result Successfully detects anomalies in synthetic and real-world syslog data.
CONFETTI improves interpretability of deep learning models for MTS by providing counterfactual explanations.
problem Lack of transparency in deep learning models for multivariate time series classification.
method CONFETTI is a novel multi-objective counterfactual explanation method that balances prediction confidence, proximity, and sparsity.
result CONFETTI outperforms state-of-the-art methods in various metrics, improving interpretability and decision support.
A simple analytically solvable model exhibiting a 1/f spectrum in an arbitrarily wide frequency range was recently proposed by Kaulakys and Meskauskas (KM). Signals consisting of a sequence of pulses show that inherent origin of the 1/f noise is Brownian fluctuations of the average intervent time between subsequent pul…
X-Trend quickly adapts to new financial regimes, increasing Sharpe ratio by 18.9%.
problem Adapting to rapidly changing financial market conditions.
method Few-shot learning and cross-attention mechanism.
result X-Trend increases Sharpe ratio by 18.9% over a neural forecaster and 10-fold over a conventional strategy.
A distributed framework for reducing high-dimensional matrix-variate time series data.
problem Reducing dimensionality of high-dimensional, heterogeneous matrix-variate time series data.
method Data partitioning, distributed two-dimensional tensor PCA, aggregation, final PCA, factor matrix computation.
result Preserves latent matrix structure, improves computational efficiency and information utilization.