Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

25.0%50.0%75.0%100.0% · Jun 199319922001200920172026
48 results for time series motif discovery

New method discovers time series motifs under DTW, significantly reducing computations.

problem Discovering time series motifs under DTW is computationally challenging.
method Exact scalable method using novel lower bounds hierarchy.
result Prunes up to 99.99% of DTW computations under realistic settings.

The discovery of time series motifs has emerged as one of the most useful primitives in time series data mining. Researchers have shown its utility for exploratory data mining, summarization, visualization, segmentation, classification, clustering, and rule discovery. Although there has been more than a decade of exten…

2018-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Complex systems, such as airplanes, cars, or financial markets, produce multivariate time series data consisting of a large number of system measurements over a period of time. Such data can be interpreted as a sequence of states, where each state represents a prototype of system behavior. An important problem in this …

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New PEMs improve network inference from time-series data.

problem Causal inference from time-series data with trade-off between accuracy and feasibility.
method Infer networks via process motifs for lagged correlation in linear stochastic processes.
result Proposed PEMs achieve high accuracy and efficiency in network inference.

Parameterized state space models in the form of recurrent networks are often used in machine learning to learn from data streams exhibiting temporal dependencies. To break the black box nature of such models it is important to understand the dynamical features of the input driving time series that are formed in the sta…

2019-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved time series causal discovery with bootstrap aggregation and confidence measures.

problem Uncertainty estimation in time series causal discovery.
method Bootstrap aggregation and confidence measures for time series causal discovery.
result Bagged-PCMCI+ improves precision and recall compared to PCMCI+.

HiGraphDTI learns drug and target representations from molecular graphs to predict DTIs.

problem Inaccurate drug-target interaction prediction due to insufficient chemical information extraction.
method Hierarchical graph representation learning to extract chemical information from atoms, motifs, and molecules.
result HiGraphDTI outperforms state-of-the-art methods in DTI prediction and interaction interpretation.

Develops a new method to discover causal relationships from nonstationary time series data.

problem Challenges in inferring causal relationships from observational data, especially for nonstationary time series.
method State-Dependent Causal Inference (SDCI) for conditionally stationary time series.
result SDCI can recover underlying causal dependencies with provable identifiability for state-dependent causal structures.

Paper presents a new dataset for testing causal discovery methods in industrial systems.

problem Lack of real-world datasets for evaluating causal discovery methods on time series data.
method Develops a dataset from an industrial system and its known causal graph.
result Provides a benchmark for evaluating causal discovery methods in complex systems.

Amortized Causal Discovery learns to infer causal graphs from time-series data, improving performance.

problem Inference of causal graphs from time-series data is inefficient due to fitting new models for each sample.
method Proposes Amortized Causal Discovery, a variational model that leverages shared dynamics across samples with different causal graphs.
result Significant improvements in causal discovery performance demonstrated experimentally.

Proposes a new framework to evaluate causal discovery methods for time series data.

problem Lack of ground truth for causal discovery in time series data.
method Flexible framework for generating synthetic time series data.
result Demonstrates degradation in performance when assumptions are violated.

TimeGraph creates synthetic datasets for robust time-series causal discovery.

problem Lack of reliable synthetic benchmark datasets for robust time-series causal discovery.
method Developed comprehensive synthetic datasets with temporal properties, including trends, seasonality, and noise.
result Demonstrated significant variations in algorithm performance under realistic temporal conditions.

odeN efficiently approximates multiple temporal motifs in large networks.

problem Efficiently counting multiple temporal motifs in large temporal networks.
method odeN is a sampling-based algorithm that provides accurate probabilistic approximations of motif counts.
result odeN provides accurate approximations of motif counts in a fraction of the time needed by state-of-the-art methods.

Temporal networks representing a stream of timestamped edges are seemingly ubiquitous in the real-world. However, the massive size and continuous nature of these networks make them fundamentally challenging to analyze and leverage for descriptive and predictive modeling tasks. In this work, we propose a general framewo…

2019-10-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved scaffold generation for protein motifs using SE(3) flow matching.

problem Lack of structural diversity in generated scaffolds for protein motifs.
method Extended FrameFlow for motif-scaffolding with motif amortization and motif guidance.
result 2.5 times more designable and unique motif-scaffolds compared to state-of-the-art.

New rules control false discoveries in online anomaly detection for time series data.

problem Controlling false discoveries in anomaly detection for time series data.
method Novel online false discovery rate control (FDRC) rules for time series anomaly detection.
result Ensures high power in detecting anomalies even when the alternative is rare and test statistics are serially dependent.

Framework isolates causal effects from time series data, improving accuracy under non-stationarity and autocorrelation.

problem Causal inference in non-stationary, autocorrelated time series data.
method Decomposes time series into trend, seasonal, and residual components; performs component-specific causal analysis.
result Framework more accurately recovers ground-truth causal structure than state-of-the-art baselines, especially under strong non-stationarity and temporal autocorrelation.

Motivation: Prediction of the interaction affinity between proteins and compounds is a major challenge in the drug discovery process. WideDTA is a deep-learning based prediction model that employs chemical and biological textual sequence information to predict binding affinity. Results: WideDTA uses four text-based inf…

2019-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Networks are a fundamental tool for modeling complex systems in a variety of domains including social and communication networks as well as biology and neuroscience. Small subgraph patterns in networks, called network motifs, are crucial to understanding the structure and function of these systems. However, the role of…

2016-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Detects change points in time series focusing on specific components.

problem Identifying moments when specific components of multivariate time series change distributions.
method Two-stage non-parametric algorithm: causal structure learning followed by change point detection.
result Validated the approach on synthetic and real-world datasets.

New method identifies nonstationary causal structures in time series data.

problem Identifying causal relationships in time series data that change over time.
method High-order Markov Switching Models for regime-dependent causal discovery.
result Scalable approach for estimating high-order regime-dependent causal structures.

TSSC images enhance chaotic signal classification using ConvNets.

problem Classifying chaotic signals accurately and robustly.
method Triad State Space Construction (TSSC) for image encoding, Convolutional Neural Network (ConvNet) for classification.
result TSSC-ConvNet achieves high accuracy and robustness in chaotic signal classification.

New method improves causal discovery in time series with latent confounders.

problem Low recall in causal discovery for autocorrelated time series with latent confounders.
method Iterative procedure that includes causal parents in conditioning sets, using novel orientation rules.
result Significantly higher recall compared to existing methods, especially in strong autocorrelation cases.

CausalRivers benchmarks causal discovery methods on real-world river discharge data.

problem Lack of in-the-wild evaluation of causal discovery methods on complex, real-world data.
method Introduces CausalRivers, a large-scale dataset of river discharge data for benchmarking.
result Demonstrates the utility of CausalRivers in evaluating causal discovery methods.

Unified kernel-based methods improve nonlinear causal discovery.

problem Identifying nonlinear causal relationships between time series variables.
method Unified Kernel Principal Component Regression (KPCR) and Gaussian Process score-based model with Smooth Information Criterion.
result Improved performance in time series nonlinear causal discovery.

Paper proposes methods to discover causal models with unobserved variables.

problem Discovering causal relationships in data with unobserved variables.
method Two methods leveraging prior knowledge for causal discovery in CAM-UV models.
result Accuracy of causal discovery improves with more prior knowledge.

New method for identifying causal relationships in financial time series data.

problem Identifying causal relationships in nonstationary financial time series data.
method Refined constraint-based causal discovery algorithm (CD-NOTS) for nonstationary time series data.
result CD-NOTS effectively identifies causal connections in financial applications.

The study learns causal graphs from time series data using entropy measures.

problem Learning causal graphs from time series data.
method Constraint-based framework, information-theoretic measures, generalized causation entropy, PC and FCI algorithms.
result The methods effectively construct causal graphs from time series data.

This paper reviews causal inference methods for time series data.

problem Estimating treatment effects and identifying causal relations from time series data.
method Comprehensive review of approaches for treatment effect estimation and causal discovery.
result Provides a list of evaluation metrics and datasets for time series causal inference.

Causal relationships in time series with latent variables are discovered using LPCMCI.

problem Discovering causal relationships in complex, time-series data with hidden variables.
method Evaluated LPCMCI algorithm for finding generators compatible with multi-dimensional, autocorrelated time series with latent variables.
result LPCMCI performs better than random guessing but is not optimal.

Proposes DCNAR for dynamic causal inference from neural time series.

problem Uncertainty and evolution of causal structure in real-world domains.
method Two-stage neural causal modeling integrating discovery and inference.
result Dynamic causal inferences are more stable and meaningful than alternatives.

The paper discovers and evaluates support and resistance levels in financial time series.

problem Understanding and predicting support and resistance levels in financial markets.
method Developed a heuristic discovery algorithm to identify SR levels in intraday price series.
result Discovered SR levels statistically significantly reverse price trends and have a decay aspect over time.