This paper concentrates on the time series momentum or contrarian effects in the Chinese stock market. We evaluate the performance of the time series momentum strategy applied to major stock indices in mainland China and explore the relation between the performance of time series momentum strategies and some firm-speci…
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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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48 results for “time series momentum”
Unified model learns from both time-series and cross-sectional momentum features.
problem Separate time-series and cross-sectional momentum strategies do not consider concurrent relationships.
method Spatio-Temporal Momentum strategies using neural networks to combine both types of momentum.
result Simple neural network with single fully connected layer generates trading signals for all assets.
Deep Momentum Networks improve time series momentum strategies using deep learning.
problem Improving traditional time series momentum strategies.
method Hybrid approach combining deep learning and volatility scaling.
result Deep Momentum Networks outperform traditional methods by more than two times in backtesting.
DeepUnifiedMom uses deep learning to create better momentum portfolios.
problem Lack of unified momentum portfolios across different time frames.
method Multi-task learning with multi-gate mixture of experts.
result DeepUnifiedMom outperforms benchmark models in diverse asset classes.
Dynamic econometric models improve trading signals in momentum strategies.
problem Static momentum strategies are inefficient; dynamic models enhance accuracy.
method Dynamic binary classifier model to learn time-varying momentum importance.
result Dynamic classifier outperforms traditional naive time series momentum strategy.
Intelligent Momentum Transformer outperforms traditional trading strategies.
problem Improving time-series momentum and mean-reversion trading strategies.
method Attention-based deep-learning architecture (Momentum Transformer) combining attention and LSTM.
result Momentum Transformer outperforms benchmarks and adapts to new market regimes.
Simple model uses time series momentum to outperform benchmarks in equity and bond markets.
problem Finding systematic excess returns in various markets.
method Time series momentum applied to multiple investable indices without complex parameter estimation.
result Significant outperformance in equity and bond markets, nearly doubling returns.
Deep neural network learns portfolio construction and volatility forecasting.
problem Diversified risk-adjusted time-series momentum portfolios need robust volatility estimation.
method Multi-Task Learning in a deep neural network architecture.
result Deep learning approach outperforms existing TSMOM strategies.
MiM-StocR combines momentum indicators and adaptive ranking loss for better stock recommendation.
problem Lack of simultaneous short-term trend and ranking prediction in stock recommendation models.
method Integrates momentum indicators and proposes Adaptive-k ApproxNDCG for ranking optimization.
result MiM-StocR outperforms state-of-the-art MTL baselines in stock recommendation.
Enhanced trend-following strategy using network momentum for commodity futures.
problem Improving systematic trend-following in commodity futures markets.
method Combines univariate and cross-sectional trend indicators, including network momentum.
result Statistically significant improvements in portfolio performance metrics.
Enhanced Momentum Transformer outperforms traditional trading strategies.
problem Improving trading performance in equities with evolving market conditions.
method Building a Momentum Transformer using an attention mechanism combined with LSTM, capturing long-term dependencies and transaction costs.
result Average returns of 4.14% and Sharpe ratio of 1.12, similar to original results but with higher volatility.
The study of record statistics of correlated series is gaining momentum. In this work, we study the records statistics of the time series of select stock market data and the geometric random walk, primarily through simulations. We show that the distribution of the age of records is a power law with the exponent lyi…
SFAG generates realistic financial data that passes trading tests.
problem Financial generative models often produce unrealistic and unstable trading outcomes.
method Introduces SFAG, a GAN variant that aligns stylized facts and optimizes with adversarial loss.
result SFAG generates synthetic data that preserves stylized facts and supports robust trading strategies.
Optimizing Returns Using the Hurst Exponent and Q Learning on Momentum and Mean Reversion Strategiesq-fin.ST
Optimizes trading returns using Hurst exponent and Q-learning.
problem Maximizing returns from momentum and mean reversion strategies.
method Classifies assets using Hurst exponent and uses Q-learning to improve trading algorithms.
result Trading with Hurst exponent can achieve higher returns but at higher risk.
The multi dimensional string objects are introduced as a new alternative for an application of string models for time series forecasting in trading on financial markets. The objects are represented by open string with 2-endpoints and D2-brane, which are continuous enhancement of 1-endpoint open string model. We show ho…
Introduces VSMD to improve generative diffusion processes without high costs.
problem High training costs and scalability issues in generative diffusion processes.
method Introduces variational Schrödinger momentum diffusion (VSMD) with adaptively transport-optimized variational scores and critical-damping transform.
result Efficiently generates anisotropic shapes while maintaining transport efficacy, outperforming alternatives.
In this article, we discuss various implementation of L1 filtering in order to detect some properties of noisy signals. This filter consists of using a L1 penalty condition in order to obtain the filtered signal composed by a set of straight trends or steps. This penalty condition, which determines the number of breaks…
Slow Momentum with Fast Reversion: A Trading Strategy Using Deep Learning and Changepoint Detectionstat.ML
Improved trading strategy using deep learning and changepoint detection for market changes.
problem Traditional momentum strategies struggle with rapid market changes, especially after trend reversals.
method Inserted an online changepoint detection module into a Deep Momentum Network (DMN) pipeline.
result Improvement in Sharpe ratio by one-third over 1995-2020 period, especially beneficial in nonstationary periods.
Establishes inequality for multiple black holes, proving mass lower bound.
problem Proving mass-angular momentum inequality for multiple black holes.
method Novel flow of singular harmonic maps with hyperbolic plane target.
result Mass lower bound for ADM mass and angular momentum.
NoxTrader predicts stock returns using LSTM for profitable trading.
problem Predicting profitable stock returns for quantitative trading.
method LSTM model for time-series analysis of stock data.
result Improved investment return from -60% to 325%.
X-Trend quickly adapts to new financial regimes, increasing Sharpe ratio by 18.9%.
problem Adapting to rapidly changing financial market conditions.
method Few-shot learning and cross-attention mechanism.
result X-Trend increases Sharpe ratio by 18.9% over a neural forecaster and 10-fold over a conventional strategy.
This study uses continuous-time analysis to understand how momentum affects the optimisation of diagonal linear networks.
problem The effect of momentum on the optimisation trajectory of gradient descent.
method Leveraging a continuous-time approach to analyze momentum gradient descent with step size γ and momentum parameter β.
result Small values of λ help recover sparse solutions in overparametrised regression settings.
Deep RL strategies outperform classical models in trading.
problem Designing profitable trading strategies for futures contracts.
method Deep Reinforcement Learning with volatility scaling.
result Deep RL algorithms outperformed classical models with positive profits.
Continuous time analysis of momentum methods in neural networks.
problem Understanding the role of momentum in training neural networks.
method Deriving continuous time approximations of discrete algorithms to expose mechanisms.
result Fixed momentum methods approximate a time-rescaled gradient descent flow asymptotically.
I prove that if markets are weak-form efficient, meaning current prices fully reflect all information available in past prices, then P = NP, meaning every computational problem whose solution can be verified in polynomial time can also be solved in polynomial time. I also prove the converse by showing how we can "progr…
Paper glues characteristic data to Kerr spacetime, proving spacelike gluing.
problem Solving characteristic gluing problem for Einstein vacuum equations.
method Detailed characteristic gluing of strongly asymptotically flat data to Kerr spacetime.
result Alternative proof of spacelike gluing construction for strongly asymptotically flat spacelike initial data.
AuON is a linear-time optimizer that improves upon Muon's performance without approximate orthogonal matrices.
problem High memory and computational costs of orthogonal momentum updates.
method AuON uses normalized nonlinear scaling and a 'emergency brake' to handle exploding attention logits.
result AuON achieves strong performance without approximate orthogonal matrices, preserving structural alignment and reconditioning.
The study analyzes momentum-based optimization algorithms from dynamical systems perspective.
problem Understanding convergence rates of momentum-based optimization algorithms.
method Exploits dynamical systems, control theory, and symplectic perspectives to analyze convergence rates.
result Provides closed-form expressions relating algorithm parameters to convergence rates.
A new accelerated method with simpler momentum update rules.
problem Optimizing parameters in machine learning models.
method Proposes a novel accelerated stochastic gradient method with simpler momentum update rules.
result The method outperforms Sgdm and Adam in practical problems.
Study finds physical momentum portfolios in Indian stock market yield higher returns than benchmarks.
problem Determining abnormal returns for physical momentum portfolios in the Indian stock market.
method Constructed physical momentum portfolios for daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly timescales, evaluated historical returns and risk profiles.
result Daily time scale physical momentum portfolios showed the strongest reversal with a 16-fold profit.
Momentum SGD fails to track nonstationary optima due to drift amplification.
problem Tracking nonstationary optima in stochastic optimization.
method Theoretical analysis of SGD and momentum variants under strong convexity and smoothness.
result Momentum incurs a drift-amplification penalty that diverges as the momentum parameter approaches 1, leading to systematic lag.
The paper analyzes momentum in deep learning from a regularization viewpoint.
problem Convergence and generalization error in stochastic momentum for deep learning.
method Interprets momentum as solving an -regularized minimization problem, proposes time-delay momentum, and proves convergence and generalization bounds.
result The proposed algorithm converges to a stationary point with rate and generalization error bound with high probability.
A family of non-radial solutions of the Yamabe equation, with reference the hyperbolic space, is constructed using power series. As a result, we obtain a family of asymptotically hyperbolic metrics, with spherical conformal infinity, with scalar curvature greater than -n(n - 1), but which are a priori not complete. Mor…
The paper investigates momentum and liquidity in crypto markets.
problem Exploring the relationship between momentum effects and liquidity in cryptocurrency markets.
method Formed and rebalanced portfolios based on momentum-liquidity bivariate sorts across various cryptocurrencies over time.
result Strong momentum effect in the most liquid cryptocurrencies supports herding behavior theories.
This paper presents generalized momentum mappings for covariant Hamiltonian field theories. The new momentum mappings arise from a generalization of symplectic geometry to , the bundle of vertically adapted linear frames over the bundle of field configurations . Specifically, the generalized field momentum obs…
The paper examines properties of -curvature tensor in relativistic space-times.
problem Investigating the properties and implications of the -curvature tensor in relativistic space-times.
method Analyzing the semi-symmetry and divergence properties of the energy-momentum tensor in relation to the -curvature tensor.
result Space-times with specific properties of the -curvature tensor are classified as Einstein or Codazzi type.
In this paper we study several classes of stochastic optimization algorithms enriched with heavy ball momentum. Among the methods studied are: stochastic gradient descent, stochastic Newton, stochastic proximal point and stochastic dual subspace ascent. This is the first time momentum variants of several of these metho…
Study of closed trajectories in hyperbolic plane with specific curvature constraints.
problem Critical trajectories in hyperbolic plane for a specific energy function.
method Classification of critical trajectories based on momentum causal character, proof of existence of closed trajectories.
result Existence of countably many closed trajectories with time-like momentum.
Novel method for solving ODEs on k-polysymplectic manifolds.
problem Solving ordinary differential equations on k-polysymplectic manifolds.
method k-polysymplectic energy-momentum method.
result Novel stability analysis techniques applied to Hamiltonian systems.
Momentum speeds up evolutionary processes in machine learning.
problem Accelerating convergence in evolutionary dynamics.
method Combining momentum from machine learning with evolutionary dynamics using information divergences as Lyapunov functions.
result Momentum accelerates convergence of evolutionary dynamics, including the replicator equation and Euclidean gradient descent.
Unified algorithm for stochastic optimization with time-varying momentum converges under general conditions.
problem Optimizing functions with time-varying gradients and biases.
method Unified algorithm using a time-varying momentum term.
result Convergence of the unified algorithm under general conditions.
Application of Langevin Dynamics to Advance the Quantum Natural Gradient Optimization Algorithmquant-ph
New algorithm Momentum-QNG improves optimization of quantum circuits.
problem Optimizing variational quantum circuits to avoid local minima.
method Applied Langevin dynamics to QNG, introducing momentum term.
result Momentum-QNG outperforms basic QNG and other optimizers.
This paper proves a positive energy-momentum theorem for oriented Riemannian 3-manifolds that are asymptotic to a standard hyperbolic slice in anti de Sitter space-time. Analogously to the original Witten's proof in the asymptotically flat case, this result relies on spinorial methods. We also give a rigidity theorem: …
The paper analyzes how hyperparameters affect SGD with momentum's convergence rate.
problem The role of hyperparameters in SGD with momentum's convergence rate.
method Theoretical analysis using a hyperparameters-dependent stochastic differential equation (hp-dependent SDE).
result The optimal linear rate of convergence depends on both the learning rate and the momentum coefficient.
Generalizes momentum methods using Hamiltonian dynamics.
problem Optimization in constrained Euclidean and non-Euclidean spaces.
method Hamiltonian perspective to generalize momentum methods.
result Generic and unifying nonasymptotic analysis of convergence.
This paper proves a canonical foliation on null infinity for Kerr-like black holes.
problem Establishing well-defined physical quantities on null infinity for Kerr-like black holes.
method Existence and uniqueness results for GCM spheres by Klainerman-Szeftel.
result Existence of a canonical foliation on future null infinity with well-defined physical quantities.
DANA mitigates gradient staleness in asynchronous distributed SGD with momentum.
problem Gradient staleness in asynchronous distributed SGD with momentum.
method DANA: a novel technique for asynchronous distributed SGD with momentum that computes the gradient on an estimated future position of the model's parameters.
result DANA fully incorporates momentum in asynchronous training with almost no ramifications to final accuracy.
The paper studies momentum-based minimization for Ginzburg-Landau on Euclidean spaces and graphs.
problem Minimizing the Ginzburg-Landau functional on Euclidean spaces and graphs.
method Momentum-based minimization using a convex-concave splitting-based FISTA-type time discretization.
result Momentum can lead to faster convergence if the time step size is large but not too large.