Time series analysis is a key component of machine learning, with applications in various fields.
problem Time series analysis in machine learning
method Basic concepts, classical statistical models, modern machine learning approaches
result Machine learning techniques for time series analysis
New framework assesses and benchmarks ML methods for multivariate time series.
problem Benchmarking and explaining performance of machine learning methods.
method Proposes a new framework with systematized performance-explainability characteristics.
result Illustrates application to multivariate time series classifiers.
Precise financial series predicting has long been a difficult problem because of unstableness and many noises within the series. Although Traditional time series models like ARIMA and GARCH have been researched and proved to be effective in predicting, their performances are still far from satisfying. Machine Learning,…
HHT feature generation enhances financial time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting nonstationary financial time series.
method CEEMD and HHT for decomposition, machine learning integration.
result HHT-enhanced models outperform traditional models in forecasting.
MegazordNet combines stats and ML for better financial time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting financial time series is challenging due to its chaotic nature.
method MegazordNet integrates statistical features with a deep learning model.
result MegazordNet outperforms single statistical and machine learning methods in S&P 500 stock price prediction.
Merlion is a machine learning library for time series tasks.
problem Anomaly detection and forecasting on time series data.
method Unified interface for models, pre/post-processing layers, AutoML, model ensembling, live deployment simulation.
result Benchmark numbers across different models and ensembles.
A new method uses sinusoidal functions to represent timestamps as dense vectors for improving irregularly sampled time series learning.
problem Challenges in supervised learning with irregularly sampled time series due to irregular time intervals.
method Proposes a novel method to represent timestamps as dense vectors using sinusoidal functions, called Time Embeddings.
result Improves LSTM-based and classical machine learning models, especially with very irregular data.
Paper introduces machine learning for time series data, improving nowcasting accuracy.
problem Improving accuracy in nowcasting US GDP growth using machine learning.
method Sparse-group LASSO estimator for high-dimensional time series data, considering different sampling frequencies and financial/macroeconomic data tail properties.
result Sparse-group LASSO outperforms unstructured LASSO in nowcasting US GDP growth.
We present sktime -- a new scikit-learn compatible Python library with a unified interface for machine learning with time series. Time series data gives rise to various distinct but closely related learning tasks, such as forecasting and time series classification, many of which can be solved by reducing them to relate…
Quantum model generates complex time series data with preserved temporal dynamics.
problem Generating synthetic time series data with temporal correlations.
method Quantum Hamiltonian learning to encode temporal dynamics.
result The proposed quantum model captures unique temporal features of the learned time series.
In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important area of machine learning. In this work we developed a novel method that employs …
Paper uses machine learning for nowcasting corporate earnings from mixed-frequency data.
problem Predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with different frequency data.
method Structured machine learning regressions with sparse-group LASSO regularization for panel data.
result Machine learning models outperform traditional methods in nowcasting corporate earnings.
Survey of machine learning methods for time series forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy of time series predictions.
method Linear and nonlinear machine learning models, including neural networks and ensemble methods.
result Demonstrates superior predictive ability of certain machine learning models.
Estimates impulse response functions using machine learning in time series data.
problem Estimating causal effects of discrete treatments over time with flexible models.
method Double/debiased machine learning for nonparametric time series data.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimator for impulse response functions.
This paper presents a time series forecasting framework which combines standard forecasting methods and a machine learning model. The inputs to the machine learning model are not lagged values or regular time series features, but instead forecasts produced by standard methods. The machine learning model can be either a…
This research evaluates measures of dependence for financial time-series data.
problem Accurately preparing time series data and selecting an appropriate measure of dependence is challenging.
method Review and establishment of a comprehensive analysis framework for shaping time-series data and evaluating measures of dependence.
result A method, framework, and example for selecting and evaluating a suitable measure of dependence are presented.
Study compares forecasting methods for logistics time series.
problem Improving forecasting accuracy in logistics.
method Compared statistical and machine learning methods on simulated time series.
result Statistical methods outperformed machine learning in one-step forecasts.
OML-AD detects anomalies in non-stationary time series data.
problem Anomaly detection in non-stationary time series data.
method Online machine learning for anomaly detection.
result OML-AD outperforms state-of-the-art methods in accuracy and efficiency.
The study improves Bitcoin price prediction using hybrid machine learning and enhances interpretability.
problem Improving Bitcoin price prediction accuracy and interpretability.
method Hybrid machine learning algorithms (OLS, LASSO, LSTM, decision tree regressors) and preprocessing techniques for time-series data.
result Linear regression achieves the best performance in predicting Bitcoin prices.
Develops a machine learning pipeline for learning causal structure in time-series data.
problem Current ML algorithms fail to learn causal structure in time-series data due to lack of temporal order consideration.
method Integrates machine learning with chaos theory using ChaosFEX feature extractor to learn generalized causal structure.
result Successfully learns generalized causal structure in time-series data.
This article studies the financial time series data processing for machine learning. It introduces the most frequent scaling methods, then compares the resulting stationarity and preservation of useful information for trend forecasting. It proposes an empirical test based on the capability to learn simple data relation…
Survey evaluates 20 anomaly detection methods for time-series data.
problem Comparing statistical, machine learning, and deep learning methods for anomaly detection.
method Comprehensive evaluation of 20 methods from three categories on public datasets.
result Provides insights into the performance and suitability of anomaly detection methods.
EAMDrift improves time series prediction accuracy by 20%.
problem Handling unpredictable patterns in time series data.
method Combines forecasts from multiple individual predictors, retraining models automatically.
result EAMDrift outperforms individual baseline models by 20%.
Survey on learning models for irregularly sampled time series data.
problem Challenges in learning from non-uniformly sampled time series data.
method Survey of recent models and architectures based on temporal discretization, interpolation, recurrence, attention, and structural invariance.
result Significant progress in machine learning for irregularly sampled time series data.
timeXplain bridges AI and time series, making predictions understandable.
problem Making time series classifier predictions interpretable.
method Developed a framework that combines time series data with model-agnostic explainers.
result timeXplain improves the interpretability of time series classifiers.
Paper tackles missing data in irregularly-sampled time series.
problem Modeling irregularly-sampled time series data.
method Encoder-decoder framework based on variational autoencoders and generative adversarial networks.
result Models achieve competitive or better classification results on irregularly-sampled multivariate time series.
Survey categorizes time series anomaly detection methods.
problem Need for anomaly detection in time series data.
method Process-centric taxonomy of anomaly detection methods.
result Meta-analysis of time series anomaly detection trends.
Study shows topological features improve time series classification.
problem Classifying stochastic processes with varying noise and sampling.
method Topological data analysis features compared to statistical and raw features.
result Topological features lead to better classification performance.
Paper studies Time Series Extrinsic Regression, improving on existing methods.
problem Learning relationship between time series and continuous scalar variables.
method Motivated and studied TSER, benchmarked TSC and ML algorithms.
result Rocket algorithm achieves highest overall accuracy in TSER.
Proposes a neural network for accurate and reconciled hierarchical time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting and reconciling hierarchical time series data.
method Uses a deep neural network to directly produce accurate and reconciled forecasts, minimizing a customized loss function at training time.
result Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art competitors in hierarchical forecasting on real-world datasets.
Research compares ML and Time Series methods for generating trading signals.
problem Efficiency of on-line learning Algorithms in generating trading signals.
method Used technical indicators and ensemble of Random Forests, also Kalman Filter.
result Kalman Filter outperformed Random Forests in on-line learning predictions of stock prices.
Study compares price patterns of cryptocurrencies and stocks using machine learning.
problem Investor behavior in cryptocurrencies vs. stocks.
method Machine learning models (LR, RF, SVM) classify price time series of cryptocurrencies and stocks.
result Cryptocurrencies and stocks have distinct price patterns, explained by various statistical features.
We consider the problem of learning a classifier from observed functional data. Here, each data-point takes the form of a single time-series and contains numerous features. Assuming that each such series comes with a binary label, the problem of learning to predict the label of a new coming time-series is considered. H…
Unified framework for integrating linear constraints in time series forecasting.
problem Challenges in traditional time series forecasting algorithms.
method Unified framework combining linear constraints in time series forecasting.
result Exact minimizer of the constrained empirical risk can be computed efficiently using linear algebra.
WOODS benchmarks improve understanding of time series OOD generalization.
problem Limited understanding of OOD generalization in time series.
method Presented eight open-source time series benchmarks and revised OOD algorithms.
result Large room for improvement in OOD generalization algorithms for time series.
Paper proposes counterfactual explanations for ML on multivariate time series data.
problem Lack of user trust and difficulty in debugging ML frameworks using multivariate time series data.
method Proposes a novel explainability technique for providing counterfactual explanations.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art explainability methods in metrics like faithfulness and robustness.
Paper compares modern regression methods for time series data.
problem Regression analysis of time series data with time-indexed predictors.
method Classical statistical and recent machine learning approaches compared.
result Advantages and disadvantages of current methods identified.
MTS-CycleGAN adapts multivariate time series data for ironmaking industry.
problem Creating a domain invariant dataset from multivariate time series data of different blast furnaces.
method Adversarial-based deep mapping learning network (CycleGAN) with LSTM-based AutoEncoder and discriminator.
result MTS-CycleGAN successfully translates multivariate time series data between different blast furnaces.
R package otsfeatures analyzes ordinal time series data.
problem Lack of tools for analyzing ordinal time series data.
method Provides functions for extracting statistical features and performing inferential tasks.
result Package enables traditional machine learning tasks on ordinal time series.
Multivariate time series is a very active topic in the research community and many machine learning tasks are being used in order to extract information from this type of data. However, in real-world problems data has missing values, which may difficult the application of machine learning techniques to extract informat…
Develops framework for understanding deep learning in time series data.
problem Understanding and explaining decisions made by deep learning models in time series data.
method Uses deep neural networks to capture and explain temporal dependencies in time series data.
result Framework successfully captures and explains temporal dependencies in various synthetic and real-world datasets.
PyPOTS simplifies machine learning on time series with missing data.
problem Handling missing data in time series analysis.
method Unified interface for imputation, forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, and clustering.
result Robust and scalable Python toolkit for multivariate partially-observed time series.
Dynamic Time Warping improves regression accuracy on spectroscopy data.
problem Improving regression accuracy on spectroscopy data with DTW when data is across multiple wavelengths.
method Illustrated DTW's effectiveness on spectroscopy time-series data, showing its benefits in improving regression accuracy when only a single wavelength is considered. DTW combined with k-Nearest Neighbour reveals similarities and differences at the time-series level.
result DTW improves regression accuracy on spectroscopy data, especially when considering a single wavelength.
TSGM generates synthetic time series data for ML research.
problem Scarce or sensitive real-time series data.
method Generative models, probabilistic, and simulator-based approaches.
result Framework evaluates data quality from multiple angles.
Paper uses topological data analysis for time series classification.
problem Classifying univariate time series data, especially physiological signals.
method Persistent homology for feature engineering, followed by machine learning.
result Higher accuracy achieved with fewer features compared to traditional methods.
MPSTime uses matrix-product states for efficient time-series ML.
problem Learning complex correlations in time-series data.
method Developed an MPS-based algorithm for joint probability distribution learning.
result MPSTime efficiently learns time-series probability distributions.
Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial problems, with better prediction than machine learning methods. Moreover, many resea…
Methodology to measure lag relevance in time series models.
problem Measuring lag relevance in machine learning models for univariate time series.
method Ghost variables, Shapley values, additive importance measures, auto-relevance and partial auto-relevance functions, one-step forecast.
result Calculated relevance measures successfully demonstrate expected lag structure in almost all cases.