The explosion of time series data in recent years has brought a flourish of new time series analysis methods, for forecasting, clustering, classification and other tasks. The evaluation of these new methods requires either collecting or simulating a diverse set of time series benchmarking data to enable reliable compar…
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48 results for “time series”
Volatility of Linear and Nonlinear Time Seriescond-mat.stat-mech
Previous studies indicate that nonlinear properties of Gaussian time series with long-range correlations, , can be detected and quantified by studying the correlations in the magnitude series , i.e., the ``volatility''. However, the origin for this empirical observation still remains unclear, and the exact …
Research into time series classification has tended to focus on the case of series of uniform length. However, it is common for real-world time series data to have unequal lengths. Differing time series lengths may arise from a number of fundamentally different mechanisms. In this work, we identify and evaluate two cla…
Modeling regime shifts in co-evolving time series with interactions and time-dependency.
problem Discovering and modeling regime shifts in multiple time series with relationships and time-dependent behaviors.
method Modeling interactions and time-dependency in co-evolving time series using a mapping grid and dynamic network representation for regime identification and time-dependent Cox regression for regime transition probabilities.
result A principled approach for modeling interactions and time-dependency in co-evolving time series.
We provide the proof that the space of time series data is a Kolmogorov space with -separation axiom using the loop space of time series data. In our approach we define a cyclic coordinate of intrinsic time scale of time series data after empirical mode decomposition. A spinor field of time series data comes fro…
Capturing the dynamical properties of time series concisely as interpretable feature vectors can enable efficient clustering and classification for time-series applications across science and industry. Selecting an appropriate feature-based representation of time series for a given application can be achieved through s…
Overview of high-dimensional time series regression methods.
problem Estimation and inference with high-dimensional time series data.
method Limit theory for high-dimensional dependent data, asymptotic theory for time series regression, statistical learning methods.
result Main limit theory results and asymptotic theory for high-dimensional time series regression.
Improved prediction of hierarchical time series using structured regularization.
problem Making coherent forecasts for hierarchical time series.
method Structured regularization method for bottom-level time series predictions.
result Superior prediction accuracy and computational efficiency compared to previous methods.
Time series motifs play an important role in the time series analysis. The motif-based time series clustering is used for the discovery of higher-order patterns or structures in time series data. Inspired by the convolutional neural network (CNN) classifier based on the image representations of time series, motif diffe…
Introduces a new benchmark for time series extrinsic regression.
problem Predicting a single continuous value from univariate or multivariate time series, not necessarily related to the predictor.
method Developed a new benchmarking archive for time series extrinsic regression.
result Initial benchmarking of existing models on the new TSER datasets.
In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important area of machine learning. In this work we developed a novel method that employs …
Few-shot learning improves time-series forecasting with limited data.
problem Limited data in target tasks degrade forecasting performance.
method A few-shot learning method using recurrent neural networks with attention.
result The model forecasts future values effectively with minimal data.
Meta-learning for Koopman spectral analysis with short time-series data.
problem Lack of long time-series for training embedding functions in Koopman spectral analysis.
method Meta-learning approach using bidirectional LSTM and neural network to estimate embedding functions from short time-series.
result The proposed method achieves better performance in eigenvalue estimation and future prediction compared to existing methods.
Transformers improve time series modeling by capturing long-range dependencies.
problem Capturing long-range dependencies in time series data.
method Summarized and reviewed adaptations of Transformers for time series analysis.
result Transformers enhance time series forecasting, anomaly detection, and classification.
Archive of 20 time series datasets for forecasting evaluation.
problem Lack of comprehensive time series forecasting datasets.
method Compilation and characterisation of 20 datasets from various domains.
result Characterisation and performance evaluation of datasets.
Multidimensional time series are sequences of real valued vectors. They occur in different areas, for example handwritten characters, GPS tracking, and gestures of modern virtual reality motion controllers. Within these areas, a common task is to search for similar time series. Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) is a common di…
theft package simplifies feature extraction for time series analysis in R.
problem Lack of a unified access point and methodological pipelines for feature-based time series analysis.
method theft package provides a unified framework for computing features from six open-source time series feature sets.
result theft enables comprehensive quantification and interpretation of time series structure.
Method summarizes and predicts time series data for COVID-19 cases and deaths.
problem Summarizing and predicting time series data for multiple related time series.
method Hierarchical algorithm generating shapelets for centroids, nearest neighbor search for labeling, dynamic time warping for non-uniform lengths.
result Predictive model for individual time series based on aggregated statistics.
Research into the classification of time series has made enormous progress in the last decade. The UCR time series archive has played a significant role in challenging and guiding the development of new learners for time series classification. The largest dataset in the UCR archive holds 10 thousand time series only; w…
Feature-based time series representations have attracted substantial attention in a wide range of time series analysis methods. Recently, the use of time series features for forecast model averaging has been an emerging research focus in the forecasting community. Nonetheless, most of the existing approaches depend on …
AR model forecasts partially observed dynamical time series by estimating evolution function and imputing missing variables.
problem Forecasting dynamical time series with missing variables.
method Autoregressive with slack time series (ARS) model.
result ARS model forecasts future time series with time-invariant and linear assumptions.
New deep probabilistic model handles missing data in time series forecasting.
problem Handling missing data in time series forecasting.
method Combination of deep learning and probabilistic methods.
result Advantage in forecasting and novelty detection with missing data.
Fuzzy clustering of ordinal time series based on two novel distances with economic applicationsstat.ML
Paper introduces novel distances for clustering ordinal time series.
problem Clustering ordinal time series with discrete response.
method Introduces two novel distances and fuzzy clustering algorithms.
result Fuzzy clustering algorithms accurately group series from similar stochastic processes.
A new framework for generating predictive features in noisy multivariate time series.
problem Predicting noisy multivariate time series with limited user effort.
method Develops a feature programming framework based on spin-gas dynamical Ising models.
result Validated the method on synthetic and real-world datasets.
Study improves GFM accuracy with time series augmentation.
problem Limited time series data hinders GFM performance.
method Data augmentation techniques (GRATIS, MBB, DBA) and transfer learning.
result Significant improvement in GFM accuracy over baseline.
CATS enhances MTSF by generating ATS from OTS to improve forecasting accuracy.
problem Recent deep learning models often outperform multivariate ones in MTSF.
method CATS constructs ATS from OTS using a 2D temporal-contextual attention mechanism.
result CATS achieves state-of-the-art performance with reduced complexity.
Bayesian QFSTS model tackles feature selection in quantile time series analysis.
problem Quantile feature selection in correlated multivariate time series data.
method Bayesian dimension reduction methodology using QFSTS model with multivariate asymmetric Laplace distribution, spike-and-slab prior, Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, and Bayesian model averaging.
result QFSTS model outperforms in feature selection, parameter estimation, and forecasting.
HopCPT improves conformal prediction for time series with temporal dependencies.
problem Uncertainty quantification in time series data.
method HopCPT, a novel conformal prediction approach for time series that leverages temporal dependencies.
result HopCPT outperforms state-of-the-art methods on multiple real-world time series datasets.
MPPN network improves long-term time series forecasting accuracy.
problem Inaccurate long-term time series forecasting due to noise and lack of interpretability.
method MPPN network constructs context-aware multi-resolution semantic units and employs multi-periodic pattern mining and channel adaptive module.
result MPPN significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on nine real-world benchmarks.
Highly comparative time-series analysis: The empirical structure of time series and their methodsphysics.data-an
The process of collecting and organizing sets of observations represents a common theme throughout the history of science. However, despite the ubiquity of scientists measuring, recording, and analyzing the dynamics of different processes, an extensive organization of scientific time-series data and analysis methods ha…
Time series are series of values ordered by time. This kind of data can be found in many real world settings. Classifying time series is a difficult task and an active area of research. This paper investigates the use of transfer learning in Deep Neural Networks and a 2D representation of time series known as Recurrenc…
Survey of data augmentation techniques for time series classification with neural networks.
problem Small datasets in time series recognition.
method Four families of data augmentation: transformation-based, pattern mixing, generative models, and decomposition methods.
result Empirical evaluation of 12 data augmentation methods on 128 datasets.
Survey on LLMs for time series analytics across various domains.
problem Cross-modality gap between LLMs and time series data.
method Taxonomy of approaches, cross-modality strategies, and experiments on multimodal datasets.
result Effective combinations of textual data and cross-modality strategies enhance time series analytics.
FinTSBridge evaluates financial time series models for asset pricing.
problem Lack of effective evaluation methods for financial time series models.
method Developed FinTSBridge suite with new metrics and tasks.
result Showcased new metrics for financial time series models.
This paper presents a novel time series clustering method, the self-organising eigenspace map (SOEM), based on a generalisation of the well-known self-organising feature map (SOFM). The SOEM operates on the eigenspaces of the embedded covariance structures of time series which are related directly to modes in those tim…
Paper introduces a new method for classifying interval-valued time series.
problem Classification of interval-valued time series.
method Extends point-valued time series imaging methods to interval-valued scenarios using -distance and employs deep learning for classification.
result Proposed method achieves superior classification performance compared to existing methods.
EDICT learns evidential distributions for irregular time series, improving predictions and uncertainty quantification.
problem Challenges in predicting and characterizing uncertainty for irregular time series data.
method EDICT (Evidential Distributions for Irregular Time Series) learns a continuous-time evidential distribution.
result EDICT achieves competitive performance on time series classification tasks and provides better uncertainty quantification.
Global models outperform local models in forecasting intermittent time series.
problem Forecasting intermittent time series with zeros in supply chains.
method Comparison of state-of-the-art probabilistic local and global models on five datasets.
result TiDE, a simple neural network architecture, achieves the best accuracy among global models.
Proposes a new approach to time series representation learning by embedding patches independently.
problem Capturing dependencies between time series patches is not optimal for representation learning.
method 1) Patch reconstruction task, 2) Patch-wise MLP, 3) Complementary contrastive learning.
result Improves time series forecasting and classification performance compared to state-of-the-art models.
Paper studies Time Series Extrinsic Regression, improving on existing methods.
problem Learning relationship between time series and continuous scalar variables.
method Motivated and studied TSER, benchmarked TSC and ML algorithms.
result Rocket algorithm achieves highest overall accuracy in TSER.
Proposes GDTW for aligning time series on different, incomparable spaces.
problem Dynamic time warping requires comparable spaces, but time series can live on different, incomparable spaces.
method Gromov dynamic time warping (GDTW) considers intra-relational geometry to avoid comparability requirements.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of GDTW in aligning, combining, and comparing time series on incomparable spaces.
GACAN combines multi-granularity time series for traffic forecasting.
problem High dynamics and complex spatial-temporal dependency of road networks in traffic forecasting.
method Graph Attention-Convolution-Attention Networks (GACAN) with Att-Conv-Att (ACA) block.
result GACAN outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in traffic forecasting.
Quantum model generates financial data with fewer parameters.
problem Generating financial data with fewer parameters.
method Applied time-series quantum generative model to financial data.
result Fewer parameters required compared to classical methods.
Investigates chaotic financial time series with monthly contributions and devaluation.
problem Analyzing chaotic behavior in financial processes with piecewise contributions and negative interest rates.
method Examines a financial process with monthly contributions and devaluation, showing dichotomy in behavior.
result Financial time series exhibit either periodic sequences or Cantor set of ω-limit points, with chaotic behavior at points of a Cantor attractor.
Time series clustering is the process of grouping time series with respect to their similarity or characteristics. Previous approaches usually combine a specific distance measure for time series and a standard clustering method. However, these approaches do not take the similarity of the different subsequences of each …
New kernel handles irregularly-spaced multivariate time series.
problem No kernel exists for irregularly-spaced multivariate time series.
method Built a series kernel from vector kernels, ensuring it's PSD.
result Validated the series kernel on multiple datasets and time series classification.
Quantum model generates complex time series data with preserved temporal dynamics.
problem Generating synthetic time series data with temporal correlations.
method Quantum Hamiltonian learning to encode temporal dynamics.
result The proposed quantum model captures unique temporal features of the learned time series.
Multivariate time series classification is a high value and well-known problem in machine learning community. Feature extraction is a main step in classification tasks. Traditional approaches employ hand-crafted features for classification while convolutional neural networks (CNN) are able to extract features automatic…