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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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151302453604 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for time reversal

TRS-ODENs learn dynamics with time-reversal symmetry for more efficient learning.

problem Learning dynamics with time-reversal symmetry for more efficient learning.
method Proposed a loss function and a new framework (TRS-ODENs) to learn dynamics efficiently.
result TRS-ODENs can learn dynamics from noisy and complex trajectories efficiently.

A new trading strategy using reinforcement learning for statistical arbitrage.

problem Traditional statistical arbitrage models rely on model assumptions and price deviations from a long-term mean.
method Empirical reversion time metric, reinforcement learning framework, and state space optimization.
result Optimal mean reversion strategy identified through reinforcement learning.

Time reversal invariance can be summarized as follows: no difference can be measured if a sequence of events is run forward or backward in time. Because price time series are dominated by a randomness that hides possible structures and orders, the existence of time reversal invariance requires care to be investigated. …

2007-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Inferring causal interactions from observed data is a challenging problem, especially in the presence of measurement noise. To alleviate the problem of spurious causality, Haufe et al. (2013) proposed to contrast measures of information flow obtained on the original data against the same measures obtained on time-rever…

2015-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Conformer encoder reverses sequence in time dimension, affecting decoder training.

problem Reversal of sequence in Conformer encoder impacts decoder training.
method Analyzed initial behavior of decoder cross-attention and proposed methods to avoid flipping.
result Self-attention module of Conformer starts dominating, allowing only reversed information to pass.

NSGLD improves SGLD for non-convex optimization problems.

problem Optimizing non-convex objectives efficiently.
method Introducing non-reversible SGLD by adding an anti-symmetric matrix to the drift term of the Langevin diffusion.
result NSGLD converges faster to the same stationary distribution with non-asymptotic guarantees.

Empirical analysis of financial market trends and reversions across various time scales.

problem Understanding trends and reversions in financial markets over different time scales.
method Analysis of 14 years of futures tick data, 30 years of daily futures prices, 330 years of monthly asset prices, and yearly financial data since medieval times.
result Markets exhibit trending and reversion regimes with different time scales, explaining trends persistence and reversions.

We investigate the large-fluctuation dynamics in financial markets, based on the minute-to-minute and daily data of the Chinese Indices and German DAX. The dynamic relaxation both before and after the large fluctuations is characterized by a power law, and the exponents p±p_\pm usually vary with the strength of the lar…

2013-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A new sampler speeds up Bayesian mixture models.

problem Sampling from Bayesian finite mixture models is slow and hard.
method Introduces a non-reversible sampling scheme for Bayesian finite mixture models.
result The new sampler outperforms classical samplers in many scenarios, especially during convergence.

New ODE solvers improve training efficiency and accuracy.

problem Training Neural ODEs requires efficient and accurate gradient calculation.
method Presented algebraically reversible ODE solvers that are time and memory efficient, calculate exact gradients, and are numerically stable.
result Reversible solvers strictly improve upon previous architectures in efficiency and accuracy.

We study two procedures (reverse-mode and forward-mode) for computing the gradient of the validation error with respect to the hyperparameters of any iterative learning algorithm such as stochastic gradient descent. These procedures mirror two methods of computing gradients for recurrent neural networks and have differ…

2017-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This study bridges discrete and continuous state spaces using the Ehrenfest process and diffusion models.

problem Understanding the relationship between discrete and continuous state spaces in stochastic processes.
method Investigates time-continuous Markov jump processes on discrete state spaces and their correspondence to state-continuous diffusion processes.
result The time-reversal of the Ehrenfest process converges to the time-reversed Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, bridging discrete and continuous state spaces.

mfBm models and forecasts volatility with different Hurst exponents and correlations.

problem Modeling and forecasting volatility with varying Hurst exponents and correlations.
method Multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) with component-wise Hurst exponents, novel estimation method, time-reversibility test.
result mfBm reduces forecasting errors compared to a one-dimensional model and outperforms HAR model.

Pairs of elements in quaternionic hyperbolic space have zero measure of being strongly doubly reversible.

problem Characterizing pairs of elements in quaternionic hyperbolic space that are strongly doubly reversible.
method Analyzing conjugacy conditions and using Haar measure.
result The set of strongly doubly reversible pairs has Haar measure zero in $\PSp(n,1) imes \PSp(n,1)$.

The paper proves a reverse isoperimetric inequality and applies it to analyze surface flows.

problem Analyzing the negative gradient flow of the Willmore energy plus volume.
method Proved a quantitative reverse isoperimetric inequality and applied it to the flow.
result Initial surfaces converge to a round point in finite or infinite time.

We address the problem of estimating the mixing time tmixt_{\mathsf{mix}} of an arbitrary ergodic finite-state Markov chain from a single trajectory of length mm. The reversible case was addressed by Hsu et al. [2019], who left the general case as an open problem. In the reversible case, the analysis is greatly facilita…

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

A distributed system identification method for LTI systems using reverse experience replay.

problem Online system identification of LTI systems over multi-agent networks.
method DSGD-RER, a distributed variant of SGD-RER with backward updates.
result The estimation error decreases as the network size grows.

A new ML method predicts long-time-step molecular dynamics, preserving symplectic and time-reversible properties.

problem Limited computational efficiency in long-time-step molecular dynamics simulations.
method Learning data-driven structure-preserving maps to generate long time-step classical dynamics.
result The method eliminates artifacts like lack of energy conservation and loss of equipartition.

Study on how non-reversible diffusion processes affect homology on manifolds.

problem Understanding the asymptotic behavior of random homology in diffusion processes.
method Investigation of asymptotic properties of random homology associated with stochastic diffusion processes on compact Riemannian manifolds.
result For quadratic rate, manifold is a locally trivial fiber bundle over a flat torus with minimal fibers.

DualVDT improves time-series forecasting with a novel dual reparametrized structure.

problem Time-series forecasting with improved performance and analytical rigor.
method Dual reparametrized variational mechanisms on VAE, latent score based generative model, reverse time stochastic differential equation, variational ancestral sampling, KL divergence reduction.
result Advanced performance in time-series forecasting with reduced KL divergence.

Injectivity of geodesic ray transform on specific Finsler manifolds proven.

problem Injectivity of geodesic ray transform on spherically symmetric reversible Finsler manifolds.
method Reduction to invertibility of generalized Abel transforms using angular Fourier series and Taylor expansions of geodesics.
result Injectivity of geodesic ray transform proven on specified Finsler manifolds.

Study homology products on loop spaces with orientation reversal.

problem Computing homology products on loop spaces with orientation reversal.
method Defined transfer product on loop space quotients using transfer maps and Chas-Sullivan loop product.
result Computed homology of loop spaces with orientation reversal and defined product.

We investigate the large-volatility dynamics in financial markets, based on the minute-to-minute and daily data of the Chinese Indices and German DAX. The dynamic relaxation both before and after large volatilities is characterized by a power law, and the exponents p±p_\pm usually vary with the strength of the large vo…

2010-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes the probabilistic structure of DDPMs and bounds their sampling error.

problem Understanding and controlling errors in discrete-time DDPMs.
method Structural analysis of score functions, Schrödinger's problem, and FBSDEs.
result Explicit upper bound for total variation distance between sampling and target distributions.

New loops found in universe's timeline, challenging traditional time direction.

problem Signature changing spacetimes and time origins.
method Developed framework for signature changing manifolds, adapted Lorentzian tools.
result Pseudo-timelike loops exist in every point on the time origin hypersurface.

In a market with a rough or Markovian mean-reverting stochastic volatility there is no perfect hedge. Here it is shown how various delta-type hedging strategies perform and can be evaluated in such markets in the case of European options. A precise characterization of the hedging cost, the replication cost caused by th…

2018-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Classifies reversible and strongly reversible elements in quaternionic groups.

problem Classifying reversible and strongly reversible elements in quaternionic groups.
method Proves elements are reversible if and only if they are products of skew-involutions (resp. involutions).
result Proves elements are reversible if and only if they are products of skew-involutions (resp. involutions).

We show that univariate and symmetric multivariate Hawkes processes are only weakly causal: the true log-likelihoods of real and reversed event time vectors are almost equal, thus parameter estimation via maximum likelihood only weakly depends on the direction of the arrow of time. In ideal (synthetic) conditions, test…

2017-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate a hybrid quantum-classical solution method to the mean-variance portfolio optimization problems. Starting from real financial data statistics and following the principles of the Modern Portfolio Theory, we generate parametrized samples of portfolio optimization problems that can be related to quadratic b…

2018-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper studies sections of time-like twistor spaces with specific covariant derivatives.

problem Sections of time-like twistor spaces with light-like or zero covariant derivatives.
method Analyzes conformal Gauss maps of time-like minimal surfaces and properties of almost paracomplex structures.
result Sections of time-like twistor spaces have light-like or zero covariant derivatives.