A three-state model based on the Potts model is proposed to simulate financial markets. The three states are assigned to "buy", "sell" and "inactive" states. The model shows the main stylized facts observed in the financial market: fat-tailed distributions of returns and long time correlations in the absolute returns. …
A model simulates financial market dynamics with three states: buy, sell, or inactive.
problem Simulate financial market dynamics with heterogeneous investor types.
method Agent-based model with three states: noise traders and contrarians. Probabilistic dynamics with local and global influences.
result Model accurately captures real financial time series features like heavy-tailed distributions and volatility clustering.
We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description exhibiting sophisticated statistical features. Along with power-law probability …
We propose a formula of time-series prediction by means of three states random field Ising model (RFIM). At the economic crisis due to disasters or international disputes, the stock price suddenly drops. The macroscopic phenomena should be explained from the corresponding microscopic view point because there are existi…
The three-state agent-based 2D model of financial markets as proposed by Giulia Iori has been extended by introducing increasing trust in the correctly predicting agents, a more realistic consultation procedure as well as a formal validation mechanism. This paper shows that such a model correctly reproduces the three f…
The three-state agent-based 2D model of financial markets in the version proposed by Giulia Iori in 2002 has been herein extended. We have introduced the increase of herding behaviour by modelling the altering trust of an agent in his nearest neighbours. The trust increases if the neighbour has foreseen the price chang…
This study uses HMM and RL to dynamically allocate equities, Treasuries, and gold based on market regimes.
problem Developing a dynamic portfolio allocation strategy for different market conditions.
method Characterizes market regimes using Markov switching models and HMM, then applies RL for allocation decisions.
result RL-based allocation outperforms passive strategies, providing lower drawdowns and higher Sharpe ratios.
In this paper, we put the issue of dynamic equivalence of control systems in the context of pullbacks of coframings on infinite jet bundles over the state manifolds. While much attention has been given to differentially flat systems, i.e. systems dynamically equivalent to linear control systems, the advantage of this a…
EvalGAN evaluates GANs by measuring reconstruction quality and likelihood.
problem Evaluating the quality of generated images from GANs.
method EvalGAN uses a test set to measure reconstruction quality and likelihood in the original sample space.
result EvalGAN provides a direct and agnostic method for evaluating GANs.
We study theoretical and empirical aspects of the mean exit time of financial time series. The theoretical modeling is done within the framework of continuous time random walk. We empirically verify that the mean exit time follows a quadratic scaling law and it has associated a pre-factor which is specific to the analy…
Optimizes crypto-oriented neural architectures for faster secure inference.
problem Privacy conflicts between model users and providers in neural network applications.
method Proposes a novel Partial Activation layer to optimize the initial design of crypto-oriented neural architectures.
result Significant improvement in the efficiency of secure inference on common evaluation metrics.
New method detects changes by maximizing cross-entropy, outperforming existing techniques.
problem Detecting abrupt changes in data streams without labeled examples.
method Maximizes cross-entropy between segments to find change points, using dynamic programming.
result Outperforms three state-of-the-art approaches on challenging datasets.
ECP method improves image classifier uncertainty sets.
problem Generating reliable uncertainty sets for deep classifiers.
method Evidential Conformal Prediction (ECP) based on EDL.
result ECP outperforms state-of-the-art methods in set size and adaptivity.
Paper presents a graph-based semi-supervised method for hyperspectral image classification.
problem Hyperspectral image classification with limited labeled data.
method Novel superpixel algorithm based on spectral covariance matrix, followed by superpixel graph construction and classification.
result The method outperforms state-of-the-art approaches, especially in scenarios with minimal labeled data.
In regression problems, the use of TSK fuzzy systems is widely extended due to the precision of the obtained models. Moreover, the use of simple linear TSK models is a good choice in many real problems due to the easy understanding of the relationship between the output and input variables. In this paper we present FRU…
We proposed the agent-based model of financial markets where agents (or traders) are represented by three-state spins located on the plane lattice or social network. The spin variable represents only the individual opinion (advice) that each trader gives to his nearest neighbors. In the model the agents can be consider…
We study the problem of utility maximization from terminal wealth in which an agent optimally builds her portfolio by investing in a bond and a risky asset. The asset price dynamics follow a diffusion process with regime-switching coefficients modeled by a continuous-time finite-state Markov chain. We consider an inves…
Study validates machine learning models for patient outcomes using various methods.
problem Validating machine learning models for patient outcomes in electronic health records.
method Used three state-of-the-art machine learning methods (random forest, gradient boosting, logistic regression) to predict patient outcomes and assess feature importance.
result Permutation tests applied to random forest and gradient boosting models showed the most agreement with clinical interpretation of feature importance.
Study optimal times to buy and sell stocks using support/resistance lines.
problem Optimal times to buy and sell stocks based on support and resistance lines.
method Mathematical model with probabilistic methods to solve optimal stopping problems.
result Best times to buy and sell stocks are determined by solving free boundary problems.
New study shows complex sparsity techniques perform inconsistently on large datasets.
problem Evaluating sparsity techniques in deep neural networks on large-scale tasks.
method Compared three state-of-the-art sparsity techniques on two large-scale learning tasks.
result Simple magnitude pruning achieves comparable or better results than complex techniques.
Active graph-based semi-supervised learning (AG-SSL) aims to select a small set of labeled examples and utilize their graph-based relation to other unlabeled examples to aid in machine learning tasks. It is also closely related to the sampling theory in graph signal processing. In this paper, we revisit the original fo…
Paper proposes a RL approach for ALM with superior performance.
problem Dynamic asset-liability management in financial markets.
method Continuous-time RL with LQ formulation, policy gradient, adaptive and scheduled exploration.
result Method outperforms traditional and state-of-the-art RL algorithms in ALM.
Efficient ADMM algorithm solves nonconvex SVMs with various penalties.
problem Solving nonconvex penalized SVMs due to nondifferentiability, nonsmoothness, and nonconvexity.
method ADMM-based algorithm for a wide range of nonconvex penalties.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms other methods on benchmark datasets.
In this paper, we investigate the common scenario where every candidate item for recommendation is characterized by a maximum capacity, i.e., number of seats in a Point-of-Interest (POI) or size of an item's inventory. Despite the prevalence of the task of recommending items under capacity constraints in a variety of s…
Review of deep learning methods for remote sensing with limited data.
problem Deep learning requires large labeled data, but remote sensing often has limited labeled data.
method Transfer learning, unsupervised learning, and generative adversarial networks.
result Current solutions have gaps that need addressing.
A framework for privacy-preserving DNN pruning and acceleration.
problem Privacy concerns in DNN weight pruning for mobile devices.
method ADMM-based iterative pruning with synthetic data, compiler optimizations.
result 4.2X, 2.5X, and 2.0X speedup with almost no accuracy loss.
The paper analyzes optimal retirement timing considering age-dependent mortality risk.
problem Optimal retirement timing under age-dependent mortality risk.
method Formulated as a stochastic control and optimal stopping problem, transformed into a finite time horizon, three-dimensional degenerate optimal stopping problem.
result Existence of an optimal retirement boundary, characterized as a unique solution to a nonlinear integral equation.
FSNN learns causal relationships in complex systems using neural nets.
problem Inferring causality in directed cyclic graphs.
method Constructs a non-linear system of ODEs using feed forward neural nets.
result Accurately models complex, non-linear systems with causal relationships.
Study uses topic modeling and sentiment analysis to uncover hedge fund performance insights.
problem Hedge fund opacity and limited disclosure make them hard to analyze.
method Applied topic modeling and sentiment analysis to hedge fund documents using DistilBERT and Top2Vec.
result Automated topic modeling and sentiment analysis can predict hedge fund performance.
We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling framework, which may provide qualitative and quantitative understanding of the financial…
The paper evaluates and improves reinforcement learning algorithms for portfolio management.
problem Improving reinforcement learning for financial portfolio optimization.
method Implemented and compared DDPG, PPO, and PG algorithms; introduced adversarial training.
result Policy Gradient (PG) outperforms DDPG and PPO in financial markets.
DL models for MTS regression are vulnerable to adversarial attacks, posing risks in safety-critical applications.
problem Vulnerability of DL models to adversarial examples in MTS regression.
method Adversarial attack generation techniques from image classification were adapted for MTS.
result All state-of-the-art DL regression models (CNN, LSTM, GRU) are vulnerable to adversarial attacks.
Parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas have experienced increased rates of seismicity in recent years, providing new datasets of earthquake recordings to develop ground motion prediction models for this particular region of the Central and Eastern North America (CENA). This paper outlines a framework for using Artificial…
New method learns nonlinear projections for reduced-order modeling of complex dynamical systems.
problem Modeling transient dynamics near a manifold in nonlinear systems.
method Constrained autoencoder neural networks with invertible activation functions and biorthogonal weight matrices.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on a vortex shedding model, learning oblique fibers for fast dynamics.
This paper optimizes PCE for efficient surrogate modeling in engineering.
problem Efficiently selecting polynomial regressors for surrogate modeling in computationally expensive models.
method Three state-of-the-art basis-adaptive sparse PCE methods are compared and analyzed.
result Automatic selection of the best solver and basis-adaptive scheme improves surrogate model accuracy.
Neural interaction discoveries can be real or artifacts of model flexibility.
problem Identifying real neural interactions from data.
method Using a multiplicative-gating extension of neural additive vector autoregression.
result Effective rank of the joint lag-block covariance predicts interaction recoverability.
PCONV combines fine-grained and coarse-grained pruning for efficient DNN inference on mobile devices.
problem Achieving high sparsity and accuracy in DNN weight pruning for real-time mobile execution.
method PCONV introduces a new sparsity dimension by combining fine-grained pruning patterns inside coarse-grained structures.
result PCONV outperforms state-of-the-art frameworks in speed and efficiency without accuracy loss.
Paper identifies resting positions using EGG, ECG, respiration rate, and SpO2.
problem Identifying the resting position for health monitoring.
method Hybrid stacked ensemble machine learning model combining Decision tree, Random Forest, and Xgboost.
result 100% accurate prediction of resting positions.
This paper models insurance company insolvency using Lévy processes.
problem Imitating real-world liquidation process in insurance companies.
method Three-barrier model with spectrally negative Lévy processes.
result Rigorous definition and semi-explicit expressions for liquidation ruin.
A 3-stage method enhances hyperspectral image classification accuracy.
problem Classifying detailed classes in hyperspectral images with limited labeled data.
method Uses Nested Sliding Window and PCA for spatial consistency, SVM for spectral estimation, and TV model for spatial smoothing.
result Our method outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms, especially in scenarios with small training sets.
This paper presents a method to automatically generate high-quality prediction intervals for neural networks.
problem Accurate uncertainty quantification for deep learning models in real-world applications.
method Dual neural network approach with a novel loss function to balance prediction interval width and coverage.
result Our method produces significantly narrower prediction intervals with higher probability coverage compared to state-of-the-art methods.
New method improves signal classification accuracy.
problem Traditional dictionary learning struggles with signal classification accuracy.
method Incorporates discriminative information into sparse-inducing models.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in multi-class classification.
This paper shows how cyber-attacks can undermine predictive maintenance systems.
problem Cyber-attacks on IoT sensors and DL algorithms in predictive maintenance systems.
method Used LSTM, GRU, and CNN for RUL prediction; modeled false data injection attacks; evaluated impact on accuracy and resilience.
result False data injection attacks can severely impact RUL prediction, but GRU-based models are more resilient.
Bayesian neural networks predict stress fields and uncertainty in materials.
problem Uncertainty in stress field predictions for complex materials.
method Modified Bayesian U-net architecture with three inference algorithms.
result High accuracy predictions and interpretable uncertainty estimates.
Proposes an online pool generation method for DCS to improve classifier selection accuracy.
problem Difficulty in selecting competent classifiers in dynamic classifier selection techniques.
method Online local pool generation method that considers classification difficulty of samples.
result Significantly greater recognition rates compared to other pool generation methods.
Improved Compressed Sensing by optimizing sparse solutions with mixed integer programming.
problem Finding sparse solutions to linear measurements with numerical tolerance.
method Introducing an ℓ2 regularized formulation, reformulating as a mixed integer second order cone program, deriving a second order cone relaxation, and developing a custom branch-and-bound algorithm. result Our approach produces solutions that are on average 6.22% more sparse compared to state-of-the-art methods.
Study develops time-continuous models and probabilistic descriptions for agent-based economic market models.
problem Formulating and describing agent-based economic market models in a time-continuous and probabilistic manner.
method Derived time-continuous formulations, discussed impact of time-scaling, proved stability, presented probabilistic descriptions using kinetic theory.
result Time-continuous formulations and probabilistic descriptions for agent-based economic market models.
Hybrid model combines interpretable and black-box models for better transparency and performance.
problem Balancing interpretability and predictive performance in machine learning models.
method Proposes a Hybrid Predictive Model (HPM) integrating an interpretable model with a black-box model, using principled objective functions and customized training algorithms.
result Hybrid models achieve an efficient trade-off between transparency and predictive performance.