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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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199398596795 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for theoretical estimates

We study the problem of robust subspace recovery (RSR) in the presence of adversarial outliers. That is, we seek a subspace that contains a large portion of a dataset when some fraction of the data points are arbitrarily corrupted. We first examine a theoretical estimator that is intractable to calculate and use it to …

2019-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A new robust PCA estimator combining M-estimators and minimum divergence estimators.

problem Adverse effect of outlying observations in PCA for high-dimensional data.
method Minimum density power divergence estimator combined with a computationally efficient algorithm.
result High breakdown guarantee regardless of data dimension with theoretical support and practical applications.

Study robust mean estimation under coordinate-level corruptions using Hamming distance.

problem Robust mean estimation under realistic coordinate-level corruptions.
method Introduce a novel Hamming distance-based measure and present information-theoretic analysis.
result Data cleaning-inspired approaches can match information theoretic bounds for robust mean estimation.

The paper provides a statistical decision-theoretical derivation of the Two-Stage approach for parameter estimation.

problem Theoretical justification for the Two-Stage approach in situations where likelihood is difficult to evaluate.
method Statistical decision-theoretical derivation leading to Bayesian and Minimax estimators.
result The Two-Stage approach is justified theoretically and applied to independent and identically distributed samples.

This research provides theoretical guarantees for hyperparameter estimation in complex network dynamical systems.

problem Theoretical guarantees for hyperparameter estimation in large, inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems.
method Formulating the system's evolution in a measure transport perspective, proposing a theoretical framework for estimating hyperparameters with mean-type observations.
result A nonasymptotic bound for the deviation of hyperparameter estimates in inhomogeneous complex network dynamical systems with respect to network population size.

REMEDI improves neural entropy estimation across various tasks.

problem Challenges in estimating information theoretic quantities in high-dimensional data.
method Combines minimization of cross-entropy with estimation of deviation from data density.
result Improves accuracy in entropy estimation on synthetic and natural data.

We provide a theoretical analysis of the representation learning problem aimed at learning the latent variables (design matrix) ΘΘ of observations YY with the knowledge of the coefficient matrix XX. The design matrix is learned under the assumption that the latent variables ΘΘ are smooth with respect to a (known) t…

2019-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework converts offline to online estimation using black-box offline estimators.

problem Convert offline estimation algorithms to online estimation algorithms.
method Oracle-Efficient Online Estimation (OEOE) framework.
result Achieves near-optimal online estimation error via black-box offline estimators.

Unified framework for implicit generative models with theoretical guarantees.

problem Learning implicit generative models with theoretical guarantees.
method Integrating optimal transport, numerical ODE, density-ratio estimation, and deep neural networks.
result Unified framework with theoretical guarantees for implicit generative learning.

Paper introduces a new histogram estimator for nonparametric density estimation that improves performance.

problem Smoothness-based nonparametric density estimators are not optimal for all types of data.
method Incorporates a multi-view latent variable model into histogram-style estimators.
result A new histogram estimator converges faster to multi-view models in L1L^1 error.

Unified framework for stable RL learning with theoretical guarantees.

problem Lack of systematic theoretical principles guiding RL post-training methods.
method Unified theoretical framework for policy-gradient estimators and optimization algorithms.
result Establishes unbiasedness, variance expressions, and convergence guarantees.

Subbagging estimation for big data reduces memory usage while maintaining statistical consistency.

problem Memory constraints in analyzing massive datasets.
method Randomly subsample the data, aggregate estimators from subsamples, and use incomplete U-statistics theory.
result Subbagging estimator achieves N\sqrt{N}-consistency and asymptotic normality under certain conditions.

Multiple regression has been the go-to method for data analysis for generations of scholars due to its transparency, interpretability, and desirable theoretical properties. However, the method's simplicity precludes the discovery of complex heterogeneities in the data. We introduce the Method of Direct Estimation and I…

2017-03-16abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method selects a representative subsample for efficient kernel density estimation.

problem Selecting a representative subsample without model assumptions.
method Optimal transport techniques for model-free subsampling with an efficient algorithm.
result The selected subsample can be used for efficient density estimation with derived convergence rates and optimal bandwidth.

New framework explains why nonconvex methods work well in low-rank matrix estimation.

problem Nonconvex low-rank matrix estimation problems in machine learning.
method Developed a theoretical framework revealing a benign regularizer.
result Nonconvex procedures can behave well due to a disguised convexity.

Theoretical framework for M-posteriors connects Bayesian and frequentist statistics.

problem Connecting Bayesian and frequentist approaches in statistical inference.
method Developed a theoretical framework for M-posteriors, showing asymptotic normality and frequentist consistency.
result M-posteriors are robust and contract around M-estimators under mild conditions.

This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which guarantees the global consistency of distributed estimators, provided the local estimator…

2014-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines Lasso performance in high-dimensional MoE models.

problem Estimating MoE models in high-dimensional settings with Lasso.
method Investigates SGMoE models with Lasso regularization under mild assumptions.
result Provides non-asymptotic bounds for Lasso regularization parameter.

Paper improves REINFORCE for VI without restrictive assumptions.

problem Improves REINFORCE for VI without restrictive assumptions.
method Introduces VIMCO-\star gradient estimator to overcome SNR collapse.
result VIMCO-\star achieves N\sqrt{N} SNR scaling, superior to existing VIMCO.

New unbiased variance estimator for random forests using Hoeffding decomposition.

problem Uncertainty quantification in random forests with large kernel sizes and small sample sizes.
method Proposes a new Hoeffding decomposition view for variance estimation, establishing unbiased estimators and ratio consistency.
result Establishes the ratio consistency of the proposed variance estimator, justifying confidence interval coverage rates.

BOE reformulates BO as a classifier for scalable batch optimisation.

problem Scalable batch optimisation of expensive functions.
method Reformulates BO as density-ratio estimation, removing need for explicit function prior.
result Theoretical guarantees and improved uncertainty estimates for batch optimisation.

DDSME outperforms SME in estimating multimodal distributions.

problem Efficiency of score matching in multimodal distributions.
method Diffusion-based denoising score matching (DDSME) compared to vanilla score matching (SME).
result DDSME avoids the error bound deterioration of SME with increasing mode separation.

High-dimensional predictive models, those with more measurements than observations, require regularization to be well defined, perform well empirically, and possess theoretical guarantees. The amount of regularization, often determined by tuning parameters, is integral to achieving good performance. One can choose the …

2016-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves level set estimation with theoretical guarantees.

problem Efficiently estimating level sets of expensive-to-evaluate functions.
method Randomized straddle algorithm for level set estimation.
result The method provides theoretical guarantees and better practical performance.

This paper studies distributed estimation and support recovery for high-dimensional linear regression model with heavy-tailed noise. To deal with heavy-tailed noise whose variance can be infinite, we adopt the quantile regression loss function instead of the commonly used squared loss. However, the non-smooth quantile …

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We solve matrix denoising with both row and column correlations, setting limits and designing optimal methods.

problem Matrix denoising with doubly heteroscedastic noise (both row and column correlations).
method Established information-theoretic and algorithmic limits, designed a novel spectral estimator with optimality guarantees.
result The novel spectral estimator achieves positive correlation with the signal and Bayes-optimal error under one-sided heteroscedasticity.

This work sets theoretical limits on meta-learning performance.

problem Understanding the difficulty of adapting machine learning models to real-world data distributions.
method Information-theoretic lower bounds on convergence rates for meta-learning algorithms.
result Theoretical bounds on parameter estimation error for hierarchical Bayesian models of meta-learning.

This paper improves DNN generalization by accurately estimating mutual information.

problem Intractability of estimating mutual information in DNNs.
method Introduces a probabilistic representation of DNNs to accurately estimate mutual information.
result Derives a tighter generalization bound than previous relaxations.

New framework for discrete-state diffusion models reduces sample complexity.

problem Lack of theoretical understanding and sample complexity analysis for discrete-state diffusion models.
method Developed a principled theoretical framework, decomposing score estimation error.
result Established sample complexity bound of O~(ε2)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(ε^{-2}).

Paper improves neural network robustness certification with tighter radii estimates.

problem Certifying neural networks' robustness against adversarial attacks.
method Advanced algorithms for discrete and continuous domains, optimizing sample size, standard deviation, and temperature.
result Significant improvement in certified test-set accuracy with tighter certified radii bounds.

The paper improves Bayesian precision matrix estimation for high-dimensional sparse data.

problem Estimating sparse precision matrices in high-dimensional settings.
method Tempered posterior with fully specified horseshoe prior.
result Concentration results and theoretical oracle inequality for posterior.