Unified framework for sequence models using test-time regression.
problem Designing efficient sequence models with associative memory.
method Formalizing associative recall as regression over input tokens, deriving various sequence models.
result Clarifies the effectiveness of query-key normalization in softmax attention and offers new generalizations.
The study examines how extra compute during testing affects the performance of large language models.
problem Understanding the conditions under which test-time scaling improves model performance.
method An in-context weight prediction task for linear regression was used to train transformers. The performance was analyzed under varying levels of test-time compute.
result Training transformers on diverse, relevant, and hard tasks leads to the best performance for test-time scaling.
Recently it's been shown that neural networks can use images of human faces to accurately predict Body Mass Index (BMI), a widely used health indicator. In this paper we demonstrate that a neural network performing BMI inference is indeed vulnerable to test-time adversarial attacks. This extends test-time adversarial a…
A method to automatically learn proposal distributions for energy-based regression models.
problem Manual design and initial estimate of proposal distributions for energy-based regression models.
method Introduces a method to learn an effective proposal distribution automatically, parameterized by a separate network head, and derives a unified training objective to minimize KL divergence and negative log-likelihood.
result Consistently outperforms conventional MDN training on four real-world regression tasks within computer vision.
Analysis of ridge regression under concept shift reveals nontrivial effects on generalization performance.
problem Understanding and mitigating the impact of distribution shift in machine learning models.
method Derivation of exact prediction risk expression in the thermodynamic limit for ridge regression under concept shift.
result Reveals a phase transition and nonmonotonic data dependence of test performance under concept shift.
In few-shot learning, typically, the loss function which is applied at test time is the one we are ultimately interested in minimising, such as the mean-squared-error loss for a regression problem. However, given that we have few samples at test time, we argue that the loss function that we are interested in minimising…
As machine learning transitions increasingly towards real world applications controlling the test-time cost of algorithms becomes more and more crucial. Recent work, such as the Greedy Miser and Speedboost, incorporate test-time budget constraints into the training procedure and learn classifiers that provably stay wit…
New framework certifies robustness for regression models.
problem Certifying robustness for regression models is challenging.
method Derives a prediction-centered certificate that exploits local geometry.
result Gradient information yields tighter robustness certificates.
A TTA framework improves forecasting accuracy in non-stationary time series.
problem Improving forecasting accuracy in non-stationary time series.
method Normalization-based test-time adaptation for causal timeseries forecasting and direction classification.
result Normalization-based TTA improves forecasting error in synthetic gradual drift and can even hurt in aggressive norm-only adaptation in financial markets.
Study compares data-driven vs model-based MRS quantification strategies, focusing on resilience to out-of-distribution effects.
problem Resilience to out-of-distribution effects in data-driven MRS quantification.
method Compared three data-driven strategies (supervised regression, self-supervised learning, test-time adaptation) against model-based fitting tools.
result Test-time adaptation proved most resilient to out-of-distribution effects, while self-supervised learning achieved intermediate performance.
PRISM infers model structures and parameters from simulations, controlling complexity at test time.
problem Choosing among large model families for scientific discovery.
method Simulation-based encoder-decoder that infers model structures and parameters, with test-time complexity control.
result PRISM scales to large model families and performs model selection in biophysical diffusion MRI.
The paper explores robustness in linear regression models under adversarial attacks.
problem The impact of test-time adversarial attacks on linear regression models.
method Quantitative estimates and phase transitions analysis.
result Precise characterization of tradeoffs between adversarial robustness and accuracy.
Flow Annealing Posterior Sampling unifies stochastic-process regression and PDE inverse problems.
problem Function-space posterior sampling for stochastic processes and inverse problems.
method Flow Annealing Posterior Sampling (FAPS) using pretrained function-space flow-matching priors.
result Coherent posterior samples with accurate uncertainty quantification.
Despite the considerable success enjoyed by machine learning techniques in practice, numerous studies demonstrated that many approaches are vulnerable to attacks. An important class of such attacks involves adversaries changing features at test time to cause incorrect predictions. Previous investigations of this proble…
As machine learning algorithms enter applications in industrial settings, there is increased interest in controlling their cpu-time during testing. The cpu-time consists of the running time of the algorithm and the extraction time of the features. The latter can vary drastically when the feature set is diverse. In this…
Study reveals how depth of reasoning affects generalization in models.
problem Understanding scaling behavior of generalization with CoT depth.
method Theoretical model of CoT in linear regression using random matrix theory.
result Sharp phase transition between exponential and polynomial improvement, saturation, and overthinking.
Density-Regression improves deep uncertainty estimation with faster inference.
problem Efficient uncertainty estimation under distribution shifts with modern deep models.
method Leverages density function for fast inference and distance-aware feature space.
result Density-Regression achieves competitive uncertainty estimation performance.
This paper improves test-time adaptation for distribution shifts using confidence maximization and input transformation.
problem Improving deep networks' performance on data shifted from the training distribution.
method Proposes a novel loss function combining confidence maximization and batch-wise entropy maximization with an input transformation module.
result Significantly improves robustness of pretrained networks to corruptions on benchmarks like ImageNet-C.
A probabilistic framework for online test-time adaptation
problem Adapting models to new data under distributional shift
method State-space modelling architecture
result Characterizing parameter learning, time evolution, prior tuning, and prediction
QAlign improves language model alignment with less compute, outperforming existing methods.
problem Improving language model performance with limited test-time computation.
method QAlign: sampling from optimal aligned distribution using Markov chain Monte Carlo.
result Consistent improvements over existing methods on various benchmarks.
Test-time data augmentation−averaging the predictions of a machine learning model across multiple augmented samples of data−is a widely used technique that improves the predictive performance. While many advanced learnable data augmentation techniques have emerged in recent years, they are focused on the training p…
Risk monitoring detects when TTA models degrade at test time.
problem Detecting when TTA models degrade at test time.
method Extended risk monitoring tools based on sequential testing with confidence sequences.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of TTA monitoring framework across various datasets and methods.
This work explores test-time scaling strategies for LLMs, improving sample efficiency and expressiveness.
problem Understanding the sample efficiency and expressiveness of test-time scaling strategies for LLMs.
method Established separation and expressiveness results for self-consistency, best-of-n, and self-correction strategies. result Self-correction enables Transformers to simulate online learning over multiple tasks without prior knowledge.
Machine Learning models have been shown to be vulnerable to adversarial examples, ie. the manipulation of data by a attacker to defeat a defender's classifier at test time. We present a novel probabilistic definition of adversarial examples in perfect or limited knowledge setting using prior probability distributions o…
Implicit models can match or exceed explicit models with more test-time compute.
problem Understanding the expressive power and scaling of implicit models.
method Nonparametric analysis of expressive power, mathematical characterization of implicit operators, and test-time scaling experiments.
result Implicit models can progressively express more complex mappings through iteration, matching a richer function class with test-time compute.
New method optimizes language model performance for test-time strategies.
problem Mismatch between training objectives and test-time deployment of large language models.
method Tail-Extrapolated estimators to approximate best-of-N performance from limited training rollouts.
result Improved performance of best-of-N deployment across various models and datasets.
The study examines how verifier imperfections impact test-time scaling techniques.
problem Understanding how verifier imperfections affect test-time scaling methods.
method Proves the instance-level accuracy of Best-of-N and Rejection Sampling methods using the geometry of the verifier's ROC curve.
result RS outperforms BoN for fixed compute, but both converge to the same accuracy in the infinite-compute limit.
Study robust regression learning under adversarial attacks.
problem Understanding which function classes are learnable in the presence of adversarial attacks.
method Introduced a novel agnostic sample compression scheme and used fat-shattering dimension to construct adversarially robust sample compression schemes.
result Finite fat-shattering dimension classes are learnable in both realizable and agnostic settings.
Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have tremendous potential in advancing the vision for self-driving cars. However, the security of DNN models in this context leads to major safety implications and needs to be better understood. We consider the case study of steering angle prediction from camera images, using the dataset fro…
We show that several popular few-shot learning benchmarks can be solved with varying degrees of success without using support set Labels at Test-time (LT). To this end, we introduce a new baseline called Centroid Networks, a modification of Prototypical Networks in which the support set labels are hidden from the metho…
A new method for handling missing values in data.
problem Handling missing values in machine learning models.
method Sharing pattern submodels with sparsity-inducing regularization.
result Sharing pattern submodels provide robust predictions and maintain/improve pattern submodel performance.
VCoTTA uses variational Bayesian methods to adapt models under continuous domain shifts.
problem Error accumulation in continual test-time adaptation.
method VCoTTA employs variational Bayesian techniques to update a Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) during testing, combining priors from source and teacher models.
result VCoTTA effectively mitigates error accumulation in CTTA, as shown by experimental results on three datasets.
CPATTA uses conformal prediction for efficient test-time adaptation.
problem Low data selection efficiency in existing ATTA methods.
method Conformal Prediction, online weight-update algorithm, domain-shift detector, staged update scheme.
result CPATTA consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 5% in accuracy.
Paper tackles test-time adaptation for tabular data.
problem Performance degradation due to distribution shifts in testing.
method Proposes FTAT for robustly adapting tabular models during testing.
result FTAT outperforms state-of-the-art methods on benchmark datasets.
This paper addresses detection of a reverse engineering (RE) attack targeting a deep neural network (DNN) image classifier; by querying, RE's aim is to discover the classifier's decision rule. RE can enable test-time evasion attacks, which require knowledge of the classifier. Recently, we proposed a quite effective app…
Popular graph neural networks implement convolution operations on graphs based on polynomial spectral filters. In this paper, we propose a novel graph convolutional layer inspired by the auto-regressive moving average (ARMA) filter that, compared to polynomial ones, provides a more flexible frequency response, is more …
We propose CAVIA for meta-learning, a simple extension to MAML that is less prone to meta-overfitting, easier to parallelise, and more interpretable. CAVIA partitions the model parameters into two parts: context parameters that serve as additional input to the model and are adapted on individual tasks, and shared param…
The abstract explores connections between reinforcement learning, scaling, and diffusion.
problem Aligning reinforcement learning with human feedback and scaling techniques.
method Clarifying connections between reinforcement learning, scaling, and diffusion.
result Introducing a resampling approach for alignment and reward-directed diffusion models.
Machine learning models are often used at test-time subject to constraints and trade-offs not present at training-time. For example, a computer vision model operating on an embedded device may need to perform real-time inference, or a translation model operating on a cell phone may wish to bound its average compute tim…
Transformers enable in-context learning with guarantees for a wide range of tasks.
problem How to enable in-context learning with transformers for various tasks.
method Developed a universal approximation theory integrating Barron's function approximation with transformer capabilities.
result Transformers can approximate any target function with vanishingly small risk using a few in-context examples.
Enhances image quality to improve test-time adaptation accuracy.
problem Reducing accuracy loss due to distribution shift in deep networks.
method Integrates image enhancement with TTA methods to reduce prediction uncertainty.
result TECA method increases accuracy of TTA methods without hyperparameters.
A new approach for test-time adaptation detects and reacts to distribution shifts.
problem Improving test-time accuracy under distribution shifts.
method Online self-training with a detection tool based on entropy values and betting martingales.
result The classifier's entropy values match those of the source domain, building invariance to distribution shifts.
DAD++ improves test-time adversarial defense without access to training data.
problem Improving adversarial robustness of pre-trained models without access to training data.
method Test-time Data-free Adversarial Defense (DAD++) with detection and correction schemes.
result DAD++ significantly improves adversarial robustness with minimal clean accuracy drop.
New scaling laws optimize model size, training, and inference for better performance.
problem Trade-off between model size and inference cost in modern LLMs.
method Train-to-Test (T2) scaling laws that jointly optimize model size, training tokens, and inference samples. result Optimal pretraining decisions shift into overtraining regime, leading to stronger performance.
Tent adapts models during testing by minimizing entropy of predictions.
problem Adapting models to new data during testing with limited information.
method Test entropy minimization (tent) and online channel-wise affine transformations.
result Reduces generalization error on various datasets and benchmarks.
Adapts CNN for robust medical image segmentation across different scanners and protocols.
problem Performance degradation of CNNs in medical image segmentation due to mismatch between training and test images.
method Designs a segmentation CNN as a concatenation of a shallow normalization CNN and a deep CNN. At test time, adapts the normalization sub-network for each test image using a denoising autoencoder.
result Consistently improves performance on multi-center MRI datasets of brain, heart, and prostate.
New method predicts and optimizes test-time scaling for LLMs.
problem Lack of principled guidance on scaling LLMs efficiently.
method Tail-guided search to predict and allocate compute.
result SLG Search achieves higher rewards with less compute.
Method adapts frozen models for few-shot tasks without training.
problem Deployment constraints limit model updates, necessitating new adaptation methods.
method Exponential tilting of latent distribution for inference.
result Method outperforms parameter-update methods across benchmarks.