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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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77155232309 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for test-negative design

Estimates vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates in TND studies with missing data.

problem Confounding and missing data in TND studies of vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates.
method Targeted maximum likelihood estimation using a semiparametric logistic regression model.
result Valid causal inference of vaccine effectiveness and immune correlates in TND studies with missing exposure data.

A new method improves estimation of COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness.

problem Estimating vaccine effectiveness under the test-negative design.
method A doubly robust estimator (TNDDR) using cross-fitting and machine learning.
result The TNDDR estimator is n\sqrt{n}-consistent, asymptotically normal, and doubly robust.

A framework for faster, better infographic design by non-experts and experts alike.

problem Designing infographics is time-consuming and tedious for non-experts and even professionals.
method Semi-automated infographic framework for structured and flow-based designs, including automatic design ranking and customization options.
result Designers from all expertise levels can generate generic infographic designs faster than existing methods while maintaining quality.

The paper proposes a method to reliably select design algorithms for machine learning-guided design tasks.

problem Choosing the right design algorithm for machine learning-guided design tasks.
method Combining designs' predicted property values with held-out labeled data to reliably forecast characteristics of the label distributions produced by different design algorithms.
result The method is guaranteed to return design algorithms that yield successful label distributions.

We propose a new low-cost machine-learning-based methodology which assists designers in reducing the gap between the problem and the solution in the design process. Our work applies reinforcement learning (RL) to find the optimal task-oriented design solution through the construction of the design action for each task.…

2019-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

MO-PaDGAN generates diverse, high-performance designs with multiple metrics.

problem Challenges in generating diverse, high-performance designs with multiple metrics.
method MO-PaDGAN uses a new Determinantal Point Processes based loss function for probabilistic modeling of diversity and performances.
result MO-PaDGAN expands the design space towards high-performance regions and generates new designs with high diversity and performances.

MCD automates counterfactual design searches for multi-modal tasks.

problem Designing for multi-objective goals and complex constraints.
method Model-agnostic counterfactual search method for multi-modal design modifications.
result MCD streamlines and automates counterfactual search, recommending effective design modifications.

ANN with GA optimizes flexible disc design for lower mass and stress.

problem Design flexible disc elements for lower mass and stress without compromising torque transmission and misalignment.
method Artificial Neural Network (ANN) coupled with Genetic Algorithm (GA) for design exploration.
result Optimized designs meet specified criteria with minimum mass and stress.

New method for mixed-variable GSA improves material design efficiency.

problem Designing materials with both quantitative and qualitative variables.
method Integrates LVGP with Sobol' analysis for mixed-variable GSA.
result Accelerates exploration of novel MOF candidates in combinatorial design spaces.

Efficient deep learning computing requires algorithm and hardware co-design to enable specialization: we usually need to change the algorithm to reduce memory footprint and improve energy efficiency. However, the extra degree of freedom from the algorithm makes the design space much larger: it's not only about designin…

2019-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

DAD learns to design experiments quickly, outperforming traditional methods.

problem Real-time decision-making in sequential Bayesian experimental design.
method Amortized design network trained with contrastive information bounds.
result DAD outperforms alternative strategies on various problems.

Enhances scenario approach for certifying design properties post-design.

problem Certifying additional useful properties in designs not considered during the design phase.
method Two-level framework of appropriateness: baseline and post-design. Distribution-free upper bounds on risk derived.
result Distribution-free upper bounds on the risk of failing to meet post-design appropriateness.

MO-PaDGAN improves multi-objective optimization by generating diverse and high-performing designs.

problem Challenges in parameterizing engineering designs for multi-objective optimization.
method MO-PaDGAN uses a generative adversarial network with a Determinantal Point Processes loss function to address these challenges.
result MO-PaDGAN generates designs with improved performance and coverage, even surpassing training data.

Generative thermal design learns optimal shapes using multi-agent reinforcement learning.

problem Complex thermal design challenges due to convection-diffusion equation and boundary interactions.
method Cooperative multi-agent deep reinforcement learning with continuous geometric representation.
result Framework learns optimal design strategies without shape derivation or differentiable objectives.

Adaptive designs achieve strong Neyman regret guarantees for ATE estimation.

problem Estimating unbiased average treatment effect in sequential experiments.
method Proposed adaptive designs with O~(logT)\widetilde{O}(\log T) Neyman regret under boundedness assumptions and O~(T)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) multigroup Neyman regret in covariate-based settings.
result Adaptive designs outperform non-adaptive designs in terms of Neyman regret, especially in covariate-based settings.

iDAD uses neural networks to quickly adapt experiments without likelihoods.

problem Performing adaptive experiments in real-time with implicit models.
method iDAD learns a design policy network upfront to make quick design decisions.
result iDAD can make design decisions in milliseconds, unlike traditional BOED approaches.

Unified framework for combinatorial and rounding algorithms in experimental design.

problem Designing and analyzing combinatorial and rounding algorithms for experimental design problems.
method Local search framework for combinatorial algorithms and regret minimization framework for rounding algorithms.
result Unified approach to match and improve all known results in D/A/E-design and obtain new results in unknown settings.

A new method achieves optimal uniformity in designs with minimal flexibility.

problem Achieving optimal uniformity in designs with minimal flexibility.
method Derive a lower bound on the uniformity constant and use a greedy construction to achieve this bound, then extend the scheme for more flexibility.
result A simple greedy construction achieves the optimal uniformity constant.

RID-Noise improves robust design under noisy conditions using neural networks.

problem Design robustness under noisy environments.
method Robust Inverse Design under Noise (RID-Noise) using conditional invertible neural networks (cINNs).
result RID-Noise achieves more effective robust design compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Dataset of 4500 bicycle designs aids in design analysis and synthesis.

problem Identify gaps in bicycle market and design space, classify bicycles, synthesize new designs.
method Processed dataset, unsupervised dimensionality reduction, supervised classification, machine learning synthesis.
result Identified design parameters and factors influencing bicycle classification.

Layout design with complex constraints is a challenging problem to solve due to the non-uniqueness of the solution and the difficulties in incorporating the constraints into the conventional optimization-based methods. In this paper, we propose a design method based on the recently developed machine learning technique,…

2018-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New deep learning method simplifies parameter estimation design.

problem Optimal experimental design for parameter estimation with non-linear systems.
method Training a deep network as a Likelihood Free Estimator to simplify design process.
result Deep design improves parameter recovery quality and simplifies design process.

vsOED optimizes experiment design with reinforcement learning for Bayesian models.

problem Optimizing the sequence of experiments in Bayesian models for efficient data collection.
method Reinforcement learning with variational posterior approximations to optimize design policy.
result vsOED achieves superior sample efficiency compared to existing methods.

PSO improves GG-optimal designs for up to 5 factors, reducing computation time.

problem Computing highly GG-optimal designs for response surface models is computationally expensive.
method Extended Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for optimal design problems.
result PSO generates improved GG-optimal designs for up to 5 factors with comparable computational cost.

SDRF estimates complex survey designs for conditional distributions.

problem Estimating conditional distributions under complex survey designs.
method Survey-calibrated distributional random forest (SDRF) with pseudo-population bootstrap and MMD split criterion.
result Established design consistency and model consistency for survey designs.

We introduce Bayesian optimization, a technique developed for optimizing time-consuming engineering simulations and for fitting machine learning models on large datasets. Bayesian optimization guides the choice of experiments during materials design and discovery to find good material designs in as few experiments as p…

2015-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

GBS uses machine learning to design products based on consumer preferences.

problem Designing products to meet consumer preferences.
method GBS is a discrete choice experiment that uses machine learning to adaptively construct paired comparison questions.
result GBS outperforms existing methods in accuracy and sample efficiency.

Bayesian sOED uses PG reinforcement learning for efficient experiment design.

problem Optimizing sequential experiments for nonlinear models with limited data.
method Formulated as POMDP, solved via PG methods with neural network parameterization.
result Demonstrated advantages over batch and greedy designs in contaminant source inversion.

Study evaluates reinforcement learning algorithms for sequential experimental design.

problem Lack of generalization in reinforcement learning for experimental design.
method Investigated several reinforcement learning algorithms for sequential experimental design.
result Certain algorithms, using dropout or ensemble approaches, show attractive generalization properties.

A new framework designs experiments for better decision-making.

problem Suboptimal experimental designs for downstream decision-making.
method Amortized decision-aware Bayesian Experimental Design (BED) with Transformer Neural Decision Process (TNDP).
result TNDP effectively designs experiments and facilitates accurate decision-making.

Shared Keyboard design improves phase I clinical trials by borrowing information across doses.

problem Interim decisions based on current dose data may overlook signals from neighboring doses.
method Bayesian model-assisted design using Beta kernel process with kernel-weighted pseudo-counts.
result Significant improvements in identifying maximum tolerated dose and safety.

Step-DAD improves BED by periodically updating a design policy during experiments.

problem Improving flexibility and robustness in Bayesian experimental design.
method Semi-amortized, policy-based approach that updates a design policy during data collection.
result Consistently superior decision-making and robustness compared to current BED methods.