Model combines long-term and short-term memory using conceptors.
problem Transfer between long-term and short-term memory.
method Recurrent neural network with gated reservoir for short-term memory and conceptors for long-term memory.
result Standard operations on conceptors allow combining long-term memories and describing their effect on short-term memory.
Kernel method estimates long-term effects from short-term data.
problem Estimating long-term effects from short-term data in continuous actions.
method Kernel ridge regression to embed and extrapolate long-term effects.
result Uniform consistency and nonasymptotic error bounds for the estimator.
End-to-end model extracts nested terms without extra features.
problem Automatic term extraction for nested terms.
method Deep learning model that predicts conceptual terms within fixed sentence lengths.
result High recall and comparable precision on term extraction task.
New framework estimates long-term outcomes from short-term data.
problem Estimating long-term outcomes from short-term data.
method Reward function decomposition-based framework (LOPE).
result LOPE outperforms existing methods, especially when surrogacy is violated.
The paper identifies short-term and long-term time scales in stock markets with and without structural breaks.
problem Understanding the nature of stock markets at short-term and long-term time scales.
method Applied Zivot and Andrews structural trend break model to identify structural breaks. Used empirical mode decomposition and Hurst exponent to analyze time scales.
result Identified short-term and long-term time scales in stock markets, with short-term scales within few days to 3 months and long-term scales greater than 5 months.
TimeBridge addresses non-stationarity in long-term time series forecasting.
problem Non-stationarity in multivariate time series leads to spurious regressions and obscures long-term relationships.
method TimeBridge segments series into patches, applying Integrated Attention for short-term non-stationarity and Cointegrated Attention for long-term cointegration.
result TimeBridge achieves state-of-the-art performance in both short-term and long-term forecasting.
This paper balances short-term and long-term rewards in policy learning.
problem Balancing short-term and long-term rewards in policy learning.
method Formalizes a new framework to balance rewards, identifies rewards under mild assumptions, deduces efficiency bounds, and develops a policy learning approach.
result The proposed method improves the estimator of long-term reward and reduces regret.
Study proves global existence of weak solutions for mean curvature flow with transport and forcing terms.
problem Existence of weak solutions for mean curvature flow with non-smooth terms.
method Used modified Allen-Cahn equation with properties like monotonicity formula to prove existence.
result Global existence of weak solutions for the mean curvature flow with transport and forcing terms.
This paper proposes a framework to predict long-term trends and short-term fluctuations in multivariate time series.
problem Existing prediction methods often ignore the distinction between long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.
method The paper introduces a MTS forecasting framework that uses both original time series and its first difference to capture long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.
result The proposed method improves forecasting performance by using more supervision information.
MTAdam optimizes multiple loss terms in neural models, balancing gradients dynamically.
problem Balancing multiple loss terms in neural model training is challenging and computationally demanding.
method Generalized Adam algorithm that computes separate derivatives and balances gradients across layers dynamically.
result Training with MTAdam leads to faster recovery from suboptimal initial loss weighting and matches conventional training outcomes.
We introduce here for the first time the long-term swap rate, characterised as the fair rate of an overnight indexed swap with infinitely many exchanges. Furthermore we analyse the relationship between the long-term swap rate, the long-term yield, see Biagini et al. [2018], Biagini and Härtel [2014], and El Karoui et a…
Enhanced word embedding creates new consumer-friendly health terms.
problem Laymen's health terms are often jargon and hard to understand.
method Developed an enhanced GloVe word embedding technique to generate new consumer-friendly terms.
result New CHV terms generated from consumer-generated text.
This paper uses Bayesian models to analyze CTA returns across short and long-term trends.
problem The relative merits and interactions of short- and long-term trend systems in CTA replication remain controversial.
method Dynamic decomposition of CTA returns into short-term trend, long-term trend, and market beta factors using a Bayesian graphical model.
result The blend of horizons shapes the strategy's risk-adjusted performance.
RNNs excel at both short-term and long-term user interaction prediction.
problem Modeling user preferences over short and long time horizons.
method Evaluating RNN-based models on both short-term and long-term recommendation tasks.
result RNNs can predict immediate and distant user interactions.
The paper tackles long-term treatment effects with persistent confounders using sequential short-term outcomes.
problem Estimating long-term treatment effects with persistent unmeasured confounders.
method Exploiting the sequential structure of short-term outcomes, the paper develops three novel identification strategies and corresponding estimators.
result The proposed methods outperform existing approaches in handling persistent confounders.
TimeMixer predicts global financial asset volatility, excelling in short-term forecasts.
problem Predicting volatility in global financial markets is challenging due to complexity and non-linear dynamics.
method Uses TimeMixer, a multiscale-mixing model for forecasting across different scales.
result TimeMixer performs exceptionally well in short-term volatility forecasting but less so in longer-term predictions.
A new method learns term weights for better text classification.
problem Improving text classification performance using term weighting.
method Learning to Weight (LTW) approach that optimizes term weights on training data.
result Learning to Weight (LTW) outperforms previous term weighting approaches in text classification.
The study finds solar terms significantly impact China's stock market returns and volatility.
problem Investigating the effect of solar terms on China's stock market.
method Regression framework, analyzing multiple solar terms and their impact on return and volatility.
result Solar terms 1, 3, and 4 cause significant positive returns, while 8, 11, and 14 bring high volatility.
Established a relation between short-term and long-term arbitrage measures.
problem Non-equilibrium effects in financial markets.
method Geometric Arbitrage Theory and Stochastic Portfolio Theory.
result A connection between short-term and long-term arbitrage measures.
We derive a closed formula for the Heegaard Floer correction terms of lens spaces in terms of the classical Dedekind sum and its generalization, the Dedekind-Rademacher sum. Our proof relies on a reciprocity formula for the correction terms established by Ozsvath and Szabo. A consequence of our result is that the Casso…
Estimates long-term effects from short-term experiments and observational data with unobserved confounders.
problem Estimating long-term causal effects from short-term experiments and long-term observational data with unobserved confounding.
method Combining regression residuals with short-term experimental outcomes to create an instrumental variable for estimating long-term causal effects.
result The estimator is unbiased and its variance is analytically studied.
A new term weighting scheme TF-IDFC-RF outperforms others in sentiment analysis.
problem Improving text classification in sentiment analysis.
method Proposes a novel supervised term weighting scheme TF-IDFC-RF and compares it with other schemes.
result TF-IDFC-RF outperforms all other schemes on two sentiment analysis datasets.
Paper proves existence of Lévy term structure models.
problem Existence proof for Lévy term structure models.
method Proof of existence and uniqueness for Heath-Jarrow-Morton type equation.
result Full proof of existence and uniqueness of Lévy term structure models.
Investment strategies differ based on short-term and long-term market time scales.
problem Identifying and understanding different time scales in stock market dynamics.
method Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) and Hurst Exponent analysis.
result Short-term market dynamics are random, while long-term are correlated with company fundamentals.
Combines CNN and Transformer for financial time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting financial time series, especially stock prices, is challenging due to short-term and long-term dependencies.
method Uses CNN for short-term dependencies and Transformer for long-term dependencies.
result Demonstrated superior performance in forecasting stock price changes compared to traditional methods.
Combining experimental and observational data for long-term causal effects.
problem Estimating causal effects of treatment on long-term outcomes using mixed data types.
method Three approaches for fusing experimental and observational data: equal confounding, shared confounder, and proxy variables.
result Developed estimators for each approach and analyzed their robustness.
The paper models term structures under volatility uncertainty using G-Brownian motion.
problem Modeling term structures with volatility uncertainty.
method Modeling instantaneous forward rates as a diffusion process driven by G-Brownian motion.
result Derives a sufficient condition for the absence of arbitrage under volatility uncertainty.
Study curve flows with global forcing terms using a distance comparison principle.
problem Analyse the behavior of curves under curve flows with global forcing terms.
method Prove a distance comparison principle for curve shortening flow with arbitrary global forcing terms.
result Established a distance comparison principle for curve flows with global forcing terms.
We study the long-term memory in diverse stock market indices and foreign exchange rates using the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis(DFA). For all daily and high-frequency market data studied, no significant long-term memory property is detected in the return series, while a strong long-term memory property is found in th…
Much work has been done on feature selection. Existing methods are based on document frequency, such as Chi-Square Statistic, Information Gain etc. However, these methods have two shortcomings: one is that they are not reliable for low-frequency terms, and the other is that they only count whether one term occurs in a …
New algorithm optimizes for long-term user satisfaction in delayed reward settings.
problem Optimizing for long-term user satisfaction in delayed reward settings.
method Developed a predictive model of delayed rewards and a bandit algorithm that combines rewards and surrogate outcomes.
result Our algorithm significantly outperforms methods that optimize for short-term proxies or rely solely on delayed rewards.
Proves existence and uniqueness of solutions to a complex equation with gradient term.
problem Existence and uniqueness of solutions to complex Monge-Ampère equation with gradient term.
method Existence and uniqueness proved using complex Hermitian manifolds.
result Existence and uniqueness of solutions proved.
Study analyzes fintech terms in news and blogs, revealing specialized attributes of fintech companies.
problem Understanding specialized attributes of fintech companies through term analysis.
method Large scale analysis of fintech terms in news and blogs, using complex networks and statistically validated networks.
result Companies with fintech terms have over-expressions of specific attributes related to geography and economy.
This paper examines the volatility and covariance dynamics of cash and futures contracts that underlie the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) across different hedging time horizons. We examine whether hedge ratios calculated over a short term hedging horizon can be scaled and successfully applied to longer term horizons. We als…
New algorithm optimizes long-term user satisfaction in recommendation systems.
problem Optimizing long-term user satisfaction in recommendation systems with delayed rewards.
method Developed a predictive model of delayed rewards and a bandit algorithm that balances exploration and exploitation.
result Our approach results in substantially better performance compared to short-term or delayed optimization.
Digital transformation boosts corporate financial asset allocation, especially short-term.
problem Understanding how digital transformation affects corporate financial decisions.
method Fixed-effects models and staggered DID design using A-share listed companies data.
result Digital transformation significantly promotes corporate financial asset allocation, more pronounced in short-term.
The paper targets optimal interventions for long-term outcomes using imputed data and policy learning.
problem Maximizing long-term outcomes observed only in the future.
method Imputing missing long-term outcomes and using a doubly-robust approach for policy evaluation and optimization.
result The approach outperforms simple short-term proxies and achieves significant revenue impact over three years.
A new CIR# model preserves volatility and tractability for short-term interest rates.
problem Inadequacy of CIR model for negative short rates and skewed distributions.
method Developed CIR# model to fit term structure of short interest rates.
result Preserves volatility and analytical tractability of original CIR model.
Framework improves resilience in operations through joint long-term and short-term decision-making.
problem Resilient operations in global markets require adaptive decision rules.
method Developed a two-timescale hierarchical reinforcement learning framework.
result Framework increases mean profit by 9.2% under joint demand-supply shocks and 11.8% under prolonged shocks.
New formulas with quadratic curvature terms on Kähler manifolds for Hodge number estimates.
problem Estimating Hodge numbers under weak curvature conditions.
method Established new Bochner-Kodaira formulas with quadratic curvature terms.
result Derivation of Weitzenböck-Bochner-Kodaira formulas with quadratic curvature terms on compact Kähler manifolds.
Improved genetic algorithm optimizes SVR for robust long-term stock index forecasting.
problem Inaccurate long-term stock price predictions.
method Adaptive Weighted Genetic Algorithm-Optimized SVR (IGA-SVR).
result Reduction in MAPE by 19.87% compared to LSTM and 50.03% compared to OGA-SVR.
We analyze the structure of the boundary terms in the conformal anomaly integrated over a manifold with boundaries. We suggest that the anomalies of type B, polynomial in the Weyl tensor, are accompanied with the respective boundary terms of the Gibbons-Hawking type. Their form is dictated by the requirement that they …
New algorithm samples from log concave distributions efficiently.
problem Sampling from log concave distributions efficiently.
method Stochastic Proximal Langevin Algorithm (SPLA) with potential splitting.
result Established nonasymptotic convergence rates for SPLA.
Study curve flows with a global forcing term, proving distance comparison and convexity.
problem Analyzing the behavior of curves under curve shortening flow with a global forcing term.
method Distance comparison principle, finite time exclusion of singularities, convexity and convergence analysis.
result Convexity and smooth exponential convergence to a circle for closed curves.
Graph-based semi-supervised learning for aspect term extraction.
problem Aspect term detection and sentiment analysis in reviews.
method Label spreading algorithm on graph sparsified by kNN for efficient classification.
result The approach achieves good results with limited labeled data.
The major perspective of this paper is to provide more evidence into the empirical determinants of capital structure adjustment in different macroeconomics states by focusing and discussing the relative importance of firm-specific and macroeconomic characteristics from an alternative scope in U.S. This study extends th…
The problem of detecting terms that can be interesting to the advertiser is considered. If a company has already bought some advertising terms which describe certain services, it is reasonable to find out the terms bought by competing companies. A part of them can be recommended as future advertising terms to the compa…
A new model for pricing ultra-short-term options with complex volatility patterns.
problem Complex pricing of ultra-short-term options due to oscillations in implied volatility.
method Edgeworth++ model with nonparametric stochastic volatility and deterministic shift extension.
result Fast and accurate closed-form option pricing for ultra-short-term options.