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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for temporal topic modeling

Geometric method captures rare topics and temporal alignment in co-author networks.

problem Missing rare topics and smooth temporal alignment in topic modeling.
method Integrates multimodal text and co-author network data using Hellinger distances and Ward's linkage.
result Effective identification of rare topics and visualization of topic drift over time.

A single, stationary topic model such as latent Dirichlet allocation is inappropriate for modeling corpora that span long time periods, as the popularity of topics is likely to change over time. A number of models that incorporate time have been proposed, but in general they either exhibit limited forms of temporal var…

2012-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes HMHP for joint modeling of user-topic interactions.

problem Complex interactions between users, topics and time on social media.
method Hidden Markov Hawkes Process (HMHP) incorporating topical Markov Chains.
result HMHP outperforms state-of-the-art models in generalization and accuracy.

Detects changes in topic proportions over time in large text datasets.

problem Unsupervised detection of structural changes in topic distributions over time.
method Specialised temporal topic model with changepoint detection, approximate inference using sample splitting and likelihood ratio statistic.
result Automated detection of changepoints in topic proportions, facilitating interpretable results.

System detects relevant financial news and predictions from unstructured text.

problem Manual extraction of relevant financial information from news is cumbersome and error-prone.
method Topic modeling with LDA, co-reference resolution, multi-paragraph segmentation, and temporal analysis.
result ROUGE-L values for relevant text and predictions/forecasts were 0.662 and 0.982, respectively.

Topic model captures health journeys of multiple authors.

problem Challenges in topic modeling health journals due to asynchronous writing.
method Dynamic Author-Persona topic model (DAP) with regularized variational inference.
result Significant improvements over competing models, especially with regularization.

We examine the problem of learning a probabilistic model for melody directly from musical sequences belonging to the same genre. This is a challenging task as one needs to capture not only the rich temporal structure evident in music, but also the complex statistical dependencies among different music components. To ad…

2012-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This study investigates the content of the published scientific literature in the fields of operations research and management science (OR/MS) since the early 1950s. Our study is based on 80,757 published journal abstracts from 37 of the leading OR/MS journals. We have developed a topic model, using Latent Dirichlet Al…

2015-10-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In dynamic topic modeling, the proportional contribution of a topic to a document depends on the temporal dynamics of that topic's overall prevalence in the corpus. We extend the Dynamic Topic Model of Blei and Lafferty (2006) by explicitly modeling document level topic proportions with covariates and dynamic structure…

2015-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey on modeling event sequences through temporal processes.

problem Modeling phenomena with sequences of events over continuous time.
method Probabilistic models based on point processes, categorized into simple, marked, and spatio-temporal.
result Analysis of existing approaches and their applicability to prediction and modeling.

Latent Dirichlet Allocation models discrete data as a mixture of discrete distributions, using Dirichlet beliefs over the mixture weights. We study a variation of this concept, in which the documents' mixture weight beliefs are replaced with squashed Gaussian distributions. This allows documents to be associated with e…

2011-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new RNN for language generation capturing long-range dependencies.

problem Capturing long-range word dependencies and sentence order in text corpora.
method Recurrent Hierarchical Topic-Guided RNN with dynamic deep topic model.
result Outperforms larger-context RNN-based language models and learns interpretable topics.

New DTMs model text evolution with Gaussian processes and scalable inference.

problem Challenges in modeling text evolution with continuous stochastic processes.
method Extended tractable priors to Gaussian processes and developed scalable inference methods.
result Found interesting patterns in large-scale datasets not accessible before.

Novel hybrid model combines image feature discovery and topic modeling for marine robot mission data.

problem Insufficient analysis of robot mission data due to data complexity and lack of suitable models.
method Convolutional autoencoders for feature discovery in images and Bayesian nonparametric topic models for thematic structure.
result Hybrid model outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in unsupervised seafloor terrain characterization.

A new model for content diffusion over social media networks.

problem Modeling content diffusion with complex longitudinal dependency.
method Hierarchical Nonparametric Point Process (HNP3) with a mixture intensity function and a hierarchical dependent nonparametric approach.
result The proposed model effectively models content diffusion over networks.

Paper proposes a new learning principle based on least cognitive action.

problem Learning from temporal data, especially with time involved.
method Introduces a new learning principle based on the principle of Least Cognitive Action, which is better suited for temporal learning.
result The new principle leads to a learning process driven by differential equations, similar to natural laws.

New framework detects policy changes in black-box DMS over time.

problem Lack of transparency in black-box decision making systems.
method Proposes temporal transparency, maps to time series changepoint detection, develops framework.
result Reveals policy changes in real-world DMS, including announced and unannounced.

ReGENN improves time series forecasting by considering inter and intra-temporal relationships.

problem Achieving reliable predictions in real-world time series applications.
method ReGENN combines graph evolution with deep recurrent learning to model dynamic dependencies among multiple variables.
result Sound improvement of up to 64.87% over competing algorithms in time-series forecasting.

Proposes a new multi-layer model for topic distributions.

problem Leveraging deep structures for learning word distributions of topics.
method A multi-layer generative process on word distributions of topics, where each topic is drawn from a mixture of topics from the layer above.
result Discover interpretable topic hierarchies and improve topic models' accuracy and interpretability.

This work extends the options framework to learn at multiple temporal resolutions.

problem Autonomous creation of temporal abstractions from data in reinforcement learning.
method Developed a hierarchical option-critic architecture capable of learning at multiple temporal resolutions.
result Derived policy gradient theorems for a deep hierarchy of options.

Topic models are probabilistic models for discovering topical themes in collections of documents. In real world applications, these models provide us with the means of organizing what would otherwise be unstructured collections. They can help us cluster a huge collection into different topics or find a subset of the co…

2013-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Document clustering and topic modeling are two closely related tasks which can mutually benefit each other. Topic modeling can project documents into a topic space which facilitates effective document clustering. Cluster labels discovered by document clustering can be incorporated into topic models to extract local top…

2013-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph-based multi-view model predicts trading volume movement from various sources.

problem Lack of comprehensive understanding of trading volume movement from different sources.
method Graph-based approach incorporating long-term, short-term, and sudden event information.
result Our method outperforms strong baselines by a large margin.

Modeling social network activity through user and topic interaction.

problem Understanding complex dynamics of opinion formation in social networks.
method Mixture of Interacting Cascades (MIC) model of marked multidimensional Hawkes processes.
result MIC achieves superior performance in modeling information cascade spread.

Predictive topic models retain only relevant terms for better prediction and topic coherence.

problem Misspecification of topic models leads to poor prediction and topic coherence.
method Uses supervisory signal to select vocabulary terms improving prediction performance.
result Prediction-focused topic models learn more coherent topics while maintaining competitive predictions.

TopicEq model generates equations and text from scientific papers.

problem Communicating ideas in scientific texts using both mathematics and text.
method Joint topic and equation generation model using correlated topic model and RNN.
result Joint model outperforms existing topic and equation models for scientific texts.