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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,932 papers · 148 categories

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6.3%12.5%18.8%25.0% · Apr 199319922001200920172026
48 results for temporal perturbations

Paper defends against adversarial videos by detecting and reducing imperceptible perturbations.

problem Adversarial videos can fool well-trained video classification models.
method Temporal consistency between frames and spatial denoising to detect and reduce perturbations.
result The proposed method significantly improves robustness against adversarial attacks.

DualVDT improves time-series forecasting with a novel dual reparametrized structure.

problem Time-series forecasting with improved performance and analytical rigor.
method Dual reparametrized variational mechanisms on VAE, latent score based generative model, reverse time stochastic differential equation, variational ancestral sampling, KL divergence reduction.
result Advanced performance in time-series forecasting with reduced KL divergence.

Generative model identifies temporal count data components with regime-dependent contributions.

problem Modeling temporal count data with regime-dependent dynamics.
method Generative framework combining regime-adaptive dynamics with Poisson log-normal emissions.
result Established identifiability of the model and revealed co-variation patterns and regime shifts.

New method learns cell trajectories and network interactions from single-cell data.

problem Network inference in systems biology from steady-state data.
method Min-entropy estimation for stochastic dynamics, leveraging both temporal and perturbational data.
result Jointly learns cellular trajectories and network interactions.

Develops a new framework for temporal anchoring in deep embedding spaces.

problem Temporal anchoring in deep embedding spaces, especially drift and convergence issues.
method Operator-theoretic framework with drift maps and event-indexed blocks, proving convergence theorems and equivalence theorems.
result Proves convergence theorems and equivalence theorems for the proposed framework.

This research investigates reliable local explanations for machine listening models.

problem Generating reliable local explanations for machine listening models.
method Investigates the sensitivity of SoundLIME explanations to input perturbations and proposes a novel method for identifying suitable content types.
result SoundLIME explanations are sensitive to the content in occluded input regions, and the average magnitude of input mel-spectrogram bins is the most suitable content type for temporal explanations.

Paper improves confidence intervals for LSA with multiplier bootstrap.

problem Improving confidence intervals for parameter estimation in LSA.
method Berry-Esseen bound for multivariate normal approximation and multiplier bootstrap.
result Valid confidence intervals for parameter estimation in LSA.

Deep neural networks reduce weather forecast uncertainty estimation costs.

problem Accurate estimation of weather forecast uncertainty using ensemble prediction systems.
method Modified 3D U-Net architecture and models incorporating temporal data.
result Deep neural networks can estimate weather forecast uncertainty with fewer simulations.

New bounds for KANs trained with DP-SGD, addressing correlated noise.

problem Risk bounds for Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks trained by DP-SGD with correlated noise.
method Established new optimization and population risk analysis for KANs trained with DP-SGD, addressing correlated noise.
result First optimization and population risk analysis of correlated-noise mechanisms for DP training in non-convex settings, including neural networks.

Inserts proximal mapping into deep networks for better regularization.

problem Effective regularization of deep learning models to handle adversarial perturbations and correlations between modalities.
method Proposes a new layer that directly produces regularized hidden layer outputs using proximal mapping.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art methods in robust temporal learning and multiview modeling.

This work optimizes reservoir computing models by linking recurrence and non-linear dynamics.

problem Understanding how recurrence and non-linear dynamics in cortical networks contribute to their function.
method Transformed time-continuous, recurrent dynamics into an effective feed-forward structure of linear and non-linear temporal kernels.
result Optimal time-series classifiers can be built from random reservoir networks, demonstrating significant performance gains.

New privacy method for eye tracking data reduces correlations and maintains accuracy.

problem Privacy concerns in eye tracking data from VR/AR glasses.
method Transform-coding based differential privacy mechanism for eye movement data.
result Significant reductions in sample correlations and query sensitivities, providing high privacy without loss in accuracy.

Differentiable adversarial attacks improve model robustness in MTPP models.

problem Improving model robustness against adversarial attacks in MTPP models.
method Proposed a differentiable adversarial attack scheme PERMTPP that addresses the sequential nature and varying time-scales of MTPPs.
result Demonstrated offensive and defensive capabilities, and reduced inference times on real-world datasets.

SPECTRA improves probabilistic energy forecasting by separating trends and uncertainties.

problem Interacting uncertainties from renewable intermittency, demand flexibility, market volatility, and weather impact probabilistic forecasts.
method Adaptive state-space exogenous context and temporal-frequency resolution architecture.
result Achieved best CRPS in 14 out of 18 settings, reducing CRPS by 5.74% and upper-tail quantile risk by 7.27%.

We consider streaming principal component analysis when the stochastic data-generating model is subject to perturbations. While existing models assume a fixed covariance, we adopt a robust perspective where the covariance matrix belongs to a temporal uncertainty set. Under this setting, we provide fundamental limits on…

2019-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficient attacks on DRL models without model access and low computation.

problem Vulnerabilities of DRL models to adversarial attacks.
method Adapting black-box attacks, introducing efficient online sequential attacks, exploring perturbations in environment dynamics, and generating robust physical perturbations.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of proposed attacks on real-world robots.

The study analyzes consistency-based SSL methods and proposes a new framework.

problem Improving performance in semi-supervised learning with minimal labeled data.
method Analysis of consistency-based SSL methods, including the ΠΠ-model, and proposing a new framework.
result A simple extension of the Hidden Manifold Model that incorporates data-augmentation schemes.

Unified analysis of TD learning using MJLS theory for linear function approximators.

problem Characterizing the exact behaviors of TD learning algorithms with linear function approximators.
method Exploiting connections to Markov jump linear systems (MJLS) theory to analyze TD learning algorithms.
result Closed-form expressions for mean and covariance matrix of TD estimation error at any time step.

Proposes a novel method for generating hard negatives near time series data boundaries.

problem Challenges in generating effective negative samples for time series anomaly detection.
method Reconstruction-driven boundary negative generation framework using reinforcement learning.
result Improves anomaly representation learning and achieves competitive detection performance.

New method learns time-invariant rewards from demonstrations.

problem Learning robust rewards for tasks with varying execution times.
method Model-based inverse reinforcement learning with time-invariant costs.
result Approach enables learning from misaligned demonstrations and generalizes spatially.

Study identifies key drivers and spatio-temporal trends of extreme Mediterranean wildfires.

problem Understanding and predicting the impacts of climate change on wildfire activity.
method Statistical deep-learning model combining meteorological, land cover, and orographic data.
result Vapour-pressure deficit significantly affects wildfire occurrence, while air temperature and drought affect spread.

Analyzes learning dynamics of RNNs under locality constraints.

problem Understanding learning dynamics in RNNs with locality constraints.
method Dynamical systems theory applied to data-aligned linear RNNs.
result RFLO solutions are restricted to low-rank perturbations of initial parameters.

We model how Lipschitz continuity changes during neural network training.

problem Understanding how Lipschitz continuity evolves during training.
method We use a system of stochastic differential equations to capture the dynamics of Lipschitz continuity under SGD.
result We identify three factors driving the evolution of Lipschitz continuity: gradient flow projection, gradient noise, and Hessian projection.

Deep reinforcement learning (RL) methods generally engage in exploratory behavior through noise injection in the action space. An alternative is to add noise directly to the agent's parameters, which can lead to more consistent exploration and a richer set of behaviors. Methods such as evolutionary strategies use param…

2017-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Regularization is important for end-to-end speech models, since the models are highly flexible and easy to overfit. Data augmentation and dropout has been important for improving end-to-end models in other domains. However, they are relatively under explored for end-to-end speech models. Therefore, we investigate the e…

2017-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper calibrates geophysical predictions using marginal distributions and machine learning.

problem Sensitivity to initial conditions in geophysical systems leads to large deviations in long-term forecasts.
method The method introduces a calibration algorithm based on normalization and Kernelized Stein Discrepancy (KSD) to enhance ML predictions.
result The method improves the fidelity of ML predictions to known physical distributions, ensuring consistency with non-local statistical structures.

This research explores principles of Lipschitz continuity in neural networks for robustness and generalization.

problem Ensuring robustness and generalization in neural networks, especially to small input perturbations and out-of-distribution data.
method Two complementary perspectives: internal (training dynamics) and external (frequency signal propagation).
result Advances in understanding the principles of Lipschitz continuity in neural networks.

Enhances SNNs for spatio-temporal feature extraction.

problem Insufficient temporal dependencies in existing SNN synaptic structures.
method Integrates temporal convolution and attention mechanisms into synaptic connections.
result Improves SNN performance on classification tasks.

MTRGL learns temporal correlations from multi-modal data for improved pair trading.

problem Discerning temporal correlations among financial entities.
method Combines time series data and discrete features into a temporal graph, using a memory-based temporal graph neural network.
result MTRGL outperforms traditional methods in temporal graph link prediction and pair trading.

Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.

problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.

Networks evolve continuously over time with the addition, deletion, and changing of links and nodes. Such temporal networks (or edge streams) consist of a sequence of timestamped edges and are seemingly ubiquitous. Despite the importance of accurately modeling the temporal information, most embedding methods ignore it …

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

TG-GAN models dynamic graph evolution for continuous-time temporal graphs.

problem Challenges in modeling dynamic temporal graphs, especially in continuous time.
method Temporal Graph Generative Adversarial Network (TG-GAN) that models truncated edge sequences, time budgets, and node attributes.
result TG-GAN significantly outperforms existing methods in efficiency and effectiveness.

ATiSE embeds temporal information into KGs using time series decomposition.

problem Improving KG embedding models by incorporating temporal information.
method ATiSE uses Additive Time Series decomposition to map temporal KGs into multi-dimensional Gaussian distributions.
result ATiSE achieves state-of-the-art performance on link prediction over four temporal KGs.

New framework for unbiased sampling of temporal networks.

problem Challenges in analyzing and modeling large, continuous temporal networks.
method General framework for unbiased temporal network sampling with online, single-pass algorithms and unbiased estimators.
result Effective algorithms for fast, accurate, and memory-efficient statistical estimation of temporal network patterns and properties.

TGAT learns node embeddings for evolving graphs, capturing both static and temporal features.

problem Learning node embeddings for dynamic graphs with evolving topological structures and temporal patterns.
method Temporal Graph Attention (TGAT) layer using self-attention and functional time encoding.
result TGAT model can inductively infer node embeddings for new and observed nodes as the graph evolves.

Improved algorithm speeds up generation of universal adversarial perturbations.

problem Slow generation of universal adversarial perturbations.
method Optimized algorithm based on orientation of perturbation vectors.
result Significantly faster generation of universal perturbations with higher fooling rates.