Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

3927841,1761,568 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for temporal learning

MTRGL learns temporal correlations from multi-modal data for improved pair trading.

problem Discerning temporal correlations among financial entities.
method Combines time series data and discrete features into a temporal graph, using a memory-based temporal graph neural network.
result MTRGL outperforms traditional methods in temporal graph link prediction and pair trading.

A framework uses deep learning for spatio-temporal data prediction.

problem Interpolation of continuous spatio-temporal fields on irregular points.
method Decomposes spatio-temporal processes into products of basis functions and spatial coefficients.
result Effectiveness in reconstructing coherent spatio-temporal fields.

TGAT learns node embeddings for evolving graphs, capturing both static and temporal features.

problem Learning node embeddings for dynamic graphs with evolving topological structures and temporal patterns.
method Temporal Graph Attention (TGAT) layer using self-attention and functional time encoding.
result TGAT model can inductively infer node embeddings for new and observed nodes as the graph evolves.

GTEA learns node representations in temporal interaction graphs.

problem Inductive representation learning on temporal interaction graphs.
method Integrates sequence model with time encoder and self-attention scheme for edge and node embeddings.
result GTEA learns comprehensive node representations capturing temporal and structural characteristics.

Networks evolve continuously over time with the addition, deletion, and changing of links and nodes. Such temporal networks (or edge streams) consist of a sequence of timestamped edges and are seemingly ubiquitous. Despite the importance of accurately modeling the temporal information, most embedding methods ignore it …

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new model for complex multivariate event data.

problem Modeling complex multivariate event data with spatio-temporal dynamics.
method Integrates spatial information into latent state evolution through learned temporal and spatial decay dynamics.
result Successfully recovers sensible temporal and spatial intensity structure in multivariate spatio-temporal point patterns.

New method predicts spatio-temporal data with short and long-range dependence.

problem Uncertainty in predicting the distribution of mixed moving average fields.
method Theory-guided machine learning approach using generalized Bayesian algorithm.
result Fixed-time and any-time PAC Bayesian bounds for ensemble forecasts.

Video sequences contain rich dynamic patterns, such as dynamic texture patterns that exhibit stationarity in the temporal domain, and action patterns that are non-stationary in either spatial or temporal domain. We show that a spatial-temporal generative ConvNet can be used to model and synthesize dynamic patterns. The…

2016-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

MLAT improves kNN performance in time series by learning metrics that align and capture temporal dependencies.

problem Improving kNN performance in time series by learning metrics that effectively handle variations and temporal dependencies.
method MLAT uses a sliding window to augment time series data and applies time-invariant metric learning to derive the most appropriate distance measure.
result MLAT outperforms other existing algorithms in various real-world data sets.

Temporal difference learning explained through gradient splitting, improving convergence times.

problem Learning value functions in Markov Decision Processes with linear approximations.
method Interpreting TD learning as gradient splitting and applying convergence proofs from gradient descent.
result Improved convergence times for TD learning, especially with a minor variation.

Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.

problem Predicting travel time under rare temporal conditions (e.g., holidays, school vacations) is challenging due to limited historical data and other temporal changes.
method Presented a vector-space model for encoding rare temporal conditions, allowing coherent representation learning across different conditions.
result Increased performance for travel time prediction over different baselines when using the vector-space encoding for representing the temporal setting.

Much work has been done refining and characterizing the receptive fields learned by deep learning algorithms. A lot of this work has focused on the development of Gabor-like filters learned when enforcing sparsity constraints on a natural image dataset. Little work however has investigated how these filters might expan…

2012-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

TOQ-Nets learn to recognize complex temporal events with varying objects and sequences.

problem Recognizing complex relational-temporal events with varying numbers of objects and sequence lengths.
method Neuro-symbolic networks with reasoning layers for finite-domain quantification over objects and time.
result TOQ-Nets can generalize to scenarios with more objects than training data and temporal warpings.

A reinforcement learning framework for Mars rover control using temporal logic.

problem Sparse rewards in continuous-state continuous-action MDPs with high-level temporal structures.
method Actor-critic, model-free, online RL framework with modular DDPG architecture.
result Success rate of synthesised policy in Mars rover experiment.

STACI uses neural nets to estimate spatio-temporal fields with valid uncertainty quantification.

problem Scalable spatio-temporal deep learning models fail to capture underlying correlation structure.
method Variational Bayesian neural network approximation of non-stationary spatio-temporal Gaussian Process (GP) with conformal inference.
result STACI provides accurate prediction intervals for spatio-temporal processes, outperforming competing methods.

Quantile TD learning outperforms classical TD learning for value estimation.

problem Temporal-difference learning in reinforcement learning.
method Quantile Temporal-Difference Learning (QTD) for policy evaluation.
result QTD offers superior performance to classical TD learning, even in tabular settings.

DGE learns event representations from image sequences without manual annotations.

problem Data hunger and domain adaptation issues in self-supervised learning for temporal segmentation.
method Dynamic Graph Embedding (DGE) learns event representations by iteratively updating a graph and its embedding.
result DGE achieves robust temporal segmentation on benchmark datasets, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

New training algorithm enhances SNNs for temporal signal processing.

problem Lack of robust training algorithms for large-scale SNNs.
method Formulated SNN as IIR filters, proposed training algorithm for optimal synapse filter kernels and weights.
result Model and training algorithm outperform state-of-the-art approaches in accuracy.

Model improves mortgage credit risk prediction with spatio-temporal machine learning.

problem Improving accuracy of default probabilities and loan portfolio loss distributions in mortgage credit risk.
method Combines tree-boosting with a latent spatio-temporal Gaussian process model.
result Predictive models outperform conventional methods due to non-linear and spatio-temporal effects.

SWoTTeD discovers hidden temporal patterns in EHR data.

problem Complex temporal patterns in EHR data.
method Sliding Window for Temporal Tensor Decomposition (SWoTTeD) with constraints and regularizations.
result SWoTTeD achieves at least as accurate reconstruction as state-of-the-art models and extracts meaningful temporal phenotypes.

Algorithm learns causal structures from time-series data, reducing tests for temporal vs. contemporaneous relations.

problem Learning causal structures from time-series data with latent confounders.
method Constraint-based algorithm that refines a causal graph by learning temporal relations first, then contemporaneous ones.
result Reduces the number of statistical tests and improves accuracy for synthetic and real-world data.

Develops a hybrid deep learning model for stock price prediction.

problem Predicting daily stock prices in the stock market.
method Representation learning with Stock2Vec embedding and temporal convolutional layers.
result Achieves better performance on stock price prediction than benchmarks.

Machine learning struggles with temporal data in finance, leading to inaccurate models.

problem Machine learning models struggle with temporal data in finance, leading to inaccurate predictions.
method Review and critique current machine learning approaches for temporal data in finance.
result Current approaches to machine learning in finance often ignore the temporal richness of data.

LEAP identifies latent causal variables from temporal data.

problem Recovering time-delayed latent causal variables from general temporal data.
method Proposes LEAP, a framework that extends VAEs with constraints for temporally causal latent processes.
result Successfully identifies temporally causal latent processes from observed variables under various dependency structures.

DGRCL integrates dynamic and static graph relations for financial market prediction.

problem Capturing the evolving nature of stock markets while considering both temporal changes and static relational structures.
method Dynamic Graph Representation with Contrastive Learning (DGRCL) framework, including Embedding Enhancement (EE) and Contrastive Constrained Training (CCT) modules.
result DGRCL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art TGL baselines on NASDAQ and NYSE datasets.

New neural networks model for spatio-temporal data.

problem Building a mapping from spatially encoded time series covariates to real-valued response data.
method Proposed two novel extensions of Functional Neural Network (FNN) for spatio-temporal regression.
result Demonstrated effectiveness in handling varying spatial correlations through comprehensive simulation studies.

In this work, we present a method for node embedding in temporal graphs. We propose an algorithm that learns the evolution of a temporal graph's nodes and edges over time and incorporates this dynamics in a temporal node embedding framework for different graph prediction tasks. We present a joint loss function that cre…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced deep learning model forecasts household leverage series accurately.

problem Forecasting household leverage series due to complex temporal-spatial dynamics.
method TSEN model with multiple RNN-based layers and an attention layer.
result Captures temporal-spatial dynamics and provides more accurate predictions.

Dynamic sample pruning speeds up spatio-temporal forecasting models.

problem Training deep learning models on large, redundant datasets is computationally expensive.
method Dynamic sample pruning based on real-time learning state.
result Significant acceleration of training speed with improved performance.

We address the problem of predicting spatio-temporal processes with temporal patterns that vary across spatial regions, when data is obtained as a stream. That is, when the training dataset is augmented sequentially. Specifically, we develop a localized spatio-temporal covariance model of the process that can capture s…

2018-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles spatio-temporal information preservation in machine learning.

problem Conventional machine learning assumes orthogonal data attributes, disrupting spatio-temporal information.
method Shift-invariant k-means, convolutional dictionary learning, and spatio-temporal hypercomplex encoding schemes are proposed.
result Gabor feature extraction outperforms convolutional dictionary learning in spatio-temporal information preservation.

Study compares deep learning models for volatility prediction using multivariate data.

problem Predicting volatility using multivariate data.
method Evaluated multiple deep learning models including MLP, RNN, TCN, and Temporal Fusion Transformer.
result Temporal Fusion Transformer and TCN variants outperform classical models and shallow networks.

Temporal-difference and Q-learning learn feature representations that converge to optimal ones.

problem Understanding how feature representations evolve in temporal-difference and Q-learning with neural networks.
method Mean-field theory applied to overparameterized two-layer neural networks.
result The feature representation converges to the optimal one, generalizing previous results.

Novel deep learning model for multivariate time series prediction.

problem Challenges in multivariate time series prediction with correlations and complex temporal patterns.
method Temporal Tensor Transformation Network (TTNT) that transforms multivariate time series into tensors for improved feature extraction.
result TTNT outperforms state-of-the-art methods in window-based predictions across various tasks.

ATiSE embeds temporal information into KGs using time series decomposition.

problem Improving KG embedding models by incorporating temporal information.
method ATiSE uses Additive Time Series decomposition to map temporal KGs into multi-dimensional Gaussian distributions.
result ATiSE achieves state-of-the-art performance on link prediction over four temporal KGs.

New unsupervised deep learning method improves temporal resolution in tMRA.

problem Limited temporal resolution in tMRA due to fixed view-sharing scheme.
method Optimal transport driven cycle-consistent generative adversarial network (cycleGAN) without fully sampled k-space reference data.
result Can generate high quality reconstructions at various temporal resolutions.

Improved incremental sequence classification with temporal consistency.

problem Updating predictions as new sequence elements are revealed.
method Temporal-difference learning and a temporal-consistency condition for successive predictions.
result Optimizing a novel loss function improves data efficiency and predictive accuracy.

Spatio-temporal graphs such as traffic networks or gene regulatory systems present challenges for the existing deep learning methods due to the complexity of structural changes over time. To address these issues, we introduce Spatio-Temporal Deep Graph Infomax (STDGI)---a fully unsupervised node representation learning…

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗