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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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52104156208 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for temporal distances

Within many real-world networks the links between pairs of nodes change over time. Thus, there has been a recent boom in studying temporal graphs. Recognizing patterns in temporal graphs requires a proximity measure to compare different temporal graphs. To this end, we propose to study dynamic time warping on temporal …

2018-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Learning a good distance measure for distance-based classification in time series leads to significant performance improvement in many tasks. Specifically, it is critical to effectively deal with variations and temporal dependencies in time series. However, existing metric learning approaches focus on tackling variatio…

2019-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New null distance bounds confirm Big Bang singularity in cosmological models.

problem Understanding the geometry of spacetime near Big Bang singularities.
method Developed a new null distance metric for temporal functions and applied it to cosmological models.
result Null distance is bounded by a constant multiple of Riemannian distance on level sets with constant gradient norm.

Study sharp convergence rates of empirical UOT for spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Statistical analysis of UOT for spatio-temporal point processes.
method Empirical plug-in estimators for Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between intensity measures.
result Sharp convergence rates of empirical UOT in terms of intrinsic dimensions of measures.

Efficiently reconstructs jump-diffusion processes from data using neural networks.

problem Reconstructing jump-diffusion processes from data.
method Temporally decoupled squared Wasserstein distance method using parameterized neural networks.
result Enhanced reconstruction of jump-diffusion processes from data.

The paper introduces metrics for robust unsupervised learning of vehicle interactions.

problem Robust representation learning of temporal dynamic interactions in robotics.
method Geometric approach using Procrustes distance and optimal transport for comparing interaction distributions.
result Metrics for assessing stability and comparing interaction learning algorithms.

New STH distance finds patterns in event timeseries without resampling.

problem Lack of efficient analysis methods for event and state timeseries.
method Define STE-ts, propose STH, leveraging both time and state duration.
result Improved precision and computation time compared to resampled metrics.

Develops MENT for interpreting and detecting changes in network trajectories.

problem Distortion of network geometry and invalidation of temporal comparisons in dynamic network analysis.
method Develops Multiscale Euclidean Network Trajectories (MENT) framework based on second-moment geometry.
result Validates and interprets network trajectories through isotropic normalization and orthogonal transformations.

In reinforcement learning (RL), temporal abstraction still remains as an important and unsolved problem. The options framework provided clues to temporal abstraction in the RL, and the option-critic architecture elegantly solved the two problems of finding options and learning RL agents in an end-to-end manner. However…

2019-04-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Geometric method captures rare topics and temporal alignment in co-author networks.

problem Missing rare topics and smooth temporal alignment in topic modeling.
method Integrates multimodal text and co-author network data using Hellinger distances and Ward's linkage.
result Effective identification of rare topics and visualization of topic drift over time.

CUDC collects diverse data for offline RL by predicting future states.

problem Challenges in collecting task-agnostic data for offline RL.
method Adaptive temporal distances for curiosity-driven data collection.
result CUDC outperforms existing unsupervised methods in offline RL tasks.

The literature postulates that the dynamic time warping (dtw) distance can cope with temporal variations but stores and processes time series in a form as if the dtw-distance cannot cope with such variations. To address this inconsistency, we first show that the dtw-distance is not warping-invariant. The lack of warpin…

2019-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Temporal data are increasingly prevalent in modern data science. A fundamental question is whether two time series are related or not. Existing approaches often have limitations, such as relying on parametric assumptions, detecting only linear associations, and requiring multiple tests and corrections. While many non-p…

2019-08-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a novel approach to improve temporal clustering of time series data.

problem Challenges in clustering temporal data with varying sampling rates and high dimensionality.
method Transform time series into Euclidean space using similarity measures, then use CNN-GRU autoencoder for latent representation.
result Approach outperforms existing methods by up to 32% on various time series datasets.

Differentiable adversarial attacks improve model robustness in MTPP models.

problem Improving model robustness against adversarial attacks in MTPP models.
method Proposed a differentiable adversarial attack scheme PERMTPP that addresses the sequential nature and varying time-scales of MTPPs.
result Demonstrated offensive and defensive capabilities, and reduced inference times on real-world datasets.

Study of convergence in Lorentzian spacetimes using temporal functions.

problem Non-compactness of spacetime isometries and convergence in semi-Riemannian settings.
method Introduced anchored convergence and used Cauchy temporal functions to define convergence for spacetimes.
result Established local and global regularity of Cauchy temporal functions and their properties.

A new model predicts network events with improved accuracy and interpretability.

problem Predicting and understanding complex dynamic relational data in networks.
method Mutually Exciting Latent Space Hawkes (LSH) model for continuous-time networks.
result The LSH model outperforms existing models in prediction accuracy and interpretability.

Paper proposes a new method for learning compact representations of sequential data.

problem Learning compact representations of sequential data capturing spatio-temporal cues.
method Contrastive representation learning via adversarial optimal transport on the Grassmann manifold.
result Empirical results show competitive performance in human action recognition.

New method uses Cantor embeddings and Wasserstein distances to analyze predictive states in time series data.

problem Analyzing predictive states in stochastic processes using time series data.
method Wasserstein distances for detecting predictive equivalences in symbolic data, using Cantor embeddings for finite-dimensional representation.
result Exploratory analysis of temporal structure in various processes reveals insights.

Using a rolling windows analysis of filtered and aligned stock index returns from 40 countries during the period 2006-2014, we construct Granger causality networks and investigate the ensuing structure of the relationships by studying network properties and fitting spatial probit models. We provide evidence that stock …

2015-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

A new growth model for dynamic networks using Markovian latent points.

problem Modeling temporal dynamic networks with latent points and distances.
method Markovian latent space dynamic with Euclidean Sphere sampling and connection probabilities based on geodesic distances.
result Theoretical guarantees for non-parametric estimation of the latitude and envelope functions.

Latent feature models are widely used to decompose data into a small number of components. Bayesian nonparametric variants of these models, which use the Indian buffet process (IBP) as a prior over latent features, allow the number of features to be determined from the data. We present a generalization of the IBP, the …

2011-10-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proves uniform Temple charts and applies them to null distance metrics.

problem Proving the existence of uniform Temple charts and their applications to null distance metrics.
method Constructing uniform Temple charts and estimating gradients of optical functions; applying these charts to study spacetime metrics.
result Proves (N,d^τ)(N, \hat{d}_τ) is a rectifiable metric space and applies a Lorentzian isometry theorem.

Assume that an agent models a financial asset through a measure Q with the goal to price / hedge some derivative or optimize some expected utility. Even if the model Q is chosen in the most skilful and sophisticated way, she is left with the possibility that Q does not provide an "exact" description of reality. This le…

2019-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Novel bounds improve TD learning consistency in RL.

problem Analyzing Temporal Difference learning's performance.
method High-dimensional concentration inequalities and Berry-Esseen bounds for Markov chain induced martingales.
result Sharp high-probability consistency guarantee for TD learning, matching asymptotic variance up to logarithmic factors.

Paper tackles estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal processes from sparse data.

problem Estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal advection-diffusion processes from sparse data.
method Regularized convex optimization problem with Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers.
result Efficient solutions for non-uniform and shifted uniform sampling schemes.

A new machine learning method for spatial regression.

problem Spatial/temporal regression with scattered data and arbitrary dimensions.
method Modified Planar Rotator (MPRS) method, a non-parametric model with distance-dependent interactions.
result MPRS predictions are competitive with standard interpolation methods and superior in handling rough and non-Gaussian data.

Sequence models assign probabilities to variable-length sequences such as natural language texts. The ability of sequence models to capture temporal dependence can be characterized by the temporal scaling of correlation and mutual information. In this paper, we study the mutual information of recurrent neural networks …

2019-05-10abs ↗pdf ↗

MAYA learns bee foraging decisions with limited memory.

problem Reproducing and predicting bees' foraging decisions with limited memory.
method Sequential imitation learning model based on multi-armed bandits, considering a temporal window τ of 7 trials.
result MAYA outperforms imitation baselines and classical models, providing interpretability and realistic trajectories.

Hybrid model integrates GATv2 and geostatistics for better spatial prediction and uncertainty.

problem Accurate spatial prediction and uncertainty quantification in epidemiology and risk analysis.
method Integrates Graph Attention Network (GATv2) with model-based geostatistics (MBG) to capture relational and spatial dependencies.
result Hybrid model improves predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to standalone models.

Paper analyzes statistical efficiency of TD learning in Hilbert spaces with Freedman's inequality.

problem Statistical efficiency of distributional TD learning in Hilbert spaces.
method Non-parametric distributional TD (NTD) and variance-reduced variants of NTD and CTD.
result Sharp statistical rates achieved through novel Freedman's inequality in Hilbert spaces.

New model for clustering dependent community Hawkes processes in temporal networks.

problem Modeling strong dependence and community structure in temporal networks.
method Dependent Community Hawkes (DCH) models combining stochastic block models and Hawkes processes.
result Spectral clustering error bound derived for DCH models.

Proposes TNCM-VAE for generating causal financial time series.

problem Lack of causal reasoning in market generators.
method Combines VAE with structural causal models, enforcing causal constraints through DAGs and using causal Wasserstein distance.
result Superior performance in counterfactual probability estimation, L1 distances as low as 0.03-0.10.

We perform a systematic investigation on the components of the empirical multifractality of financial returns using the daily data of Dow Jones Industrial Average from 26 May 1896 to 27 April 2007 as an example. The temporal structure and fat-tailed distribution of the returns are considered as possible influence facto…

2009-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗