A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Combines CNN and LSTM for spatio-temporal graph networks.
Temporal difference learning explained through gradient splitting, improving convergence times.
Networks are a fundamental tool for modeling complex systems in a variety of domains including social and communication networks as well as biology and neuroscience. Small subgraph patterns in networks, called network motifs, are crucial to understanding the structure and function of these systems. However, the role of…
Quantile TD learning outperforms classical TD learning for value estimation.
Temporal-difference and Q-learning learn feature representations that converge to optimal ones.
Model predicts travel time under rare conditions using a vector-space model.
Here, we provide a supplementary material for Takayuki Osogami, "Uncorrected least-squares temporal difference with lambda-return," which appears in {\it Proceedings of the 34th AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence} (AAAI-20).
New methods improve temporal difference learning for policy evaluation in Markov decision processes.
Video sequences contain rich dynamic patterns, such as dynamic texture patterns that exhibit stationarity in the temporal domain, and action patterns that are non-stationary in either spatial or temporal domain. We show that a spatial-temporal generative ConvNet can be used to model and synthesize dynamic patterns. The…
TD learning reduces prediction error in Markov chain problems.
In this work, we present a method for node embedding in temporal graphs. We propose an algorithm that learns the evolution of a temporal graph's nodes and edges over time and incorporates this dynamics in a temporal node embedding framework for different graph prediction tasks. We present a joint loss function that cre…
Quantile Temporal-Difference learning proved convergent with proof.
Understanding temporal dynamics has proved to be highly valuable for accurate recommendation. Sequential recommenders have been successful in modeling the dynamics of users and items over time. However, while different model architectures excel at capturing various temporal ranges or dynamics, distinct application cont…
In a dynamic network, the neighborhood of the vertices evolve across different temporal snapshots of the network. Accurate modeling of this temporal evolution can help solve complex tasks involving real-life social and interaction networks. However, existing models for learning latent representation are inadequate for …
Proposes a method to enhance exploration in RL using temporal difference uncertainties.
MRIF models dynamic user interests at multiple temporal-ranges.
Improved incremental sequence classification with temporal consistency.
Flow prediction (e.g., crowd flow, traffic flow) with features of spatial-temporal is increasingly investigated in AI research field. It is very challenging due to the complicated spatial dependencies between different locations and dynamic temporal dependencies among different time intervals. Although measurements of …
TD-Flow improves long-term predictions in agent learning.
To act and plan in complex environments, we posit that agents should have a mental simulator of the world with three characteristics: (a) it should build an abstract state representing the condition of the world; (b) it should form a belief which represents uncertainty on the world; (c) it should go beyond simple step-…
Temporal difference learning and Residual Gradient methods are the most widely used temporal difference based learning algorithms; however, it has been shown that none of their objective functions is optimal w.r.t approximating the true value function . Two novel algorithms are proposed to approximate the true value…
Paper tackles temporal overfitting in wind power curve modeling.
In this article, we propose a novel ECG classification framework for atrial fibrillation (AF) detection using spectro-temporal representation (i.e., time varying spectrum) and deep convolutional networks. In the first step we use a Bayesian spectro-temporal representation based on the estimation of time-varying coeffic…
Evolutionary clustering aims at capturing the temporal evolution of clusters. This issue is particularly important in the context of social media data that are naturally temporally driven. In this paper, we propose a new probabilistic model-based evolutionary clustering technique. The Temporal Multinomial Mixture (TMM)…
Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network framework to characterize the time-evolving correlation-based networks of stock…
Many real-world graphs or networks are temporal, e.g., in a social network persons only interact at specific points in time. This information directs dissemination processes on the network, such as the spread of rumors, fake news, or diseases. However, the current state-of-the-art methods for supervised graph classific…
Finite element method applied to Leland's model for option pricing with transaction costs.
New method uses neural networks to forecast spatial-temporal data.
Recent studies have demonstrated the power of recurrent neural networks for machine translation, image captioning and speech recognition. For the task of capturing temporal structure in video, however, there still remain numerous open research questions. Current research suggests using a simple temporal feature pooling…
Multi-step temporal difference (TD) learning is an important approach in reinforcement learning, as it unifies one-step TD learning with Monte Carlo methods in a way where intermediate algorithms can outperform either extreme. They address a bias-variance trade off between reliance on current estimates, which could be …
Paper improves TD learning algorithm bounds with linear approx.
Temporal mixture ensemble predicts cryptocurrency exchange volumes better than traditional methods.
New method uses MMAF-guided learning for spatio-temporal probabilistic forecasts.
A method for fast, accurate cross-temporal forecasts using machine learning.
Paper introduces a new reinforcement learning method with improved performance.
In kernel methods, temporal information on the data is commonly included by using time-delayed embeddings as inputs. Recently, an alternative formulation was proposed by defining a gamma-filter explicitly in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space, giving rise to a complex model where multiple kernels operate on different t…
Paper improves video categorization using temporal coherence.
Within many real-world networks the links between pairs of nodes change over time. Thus, there has been a recent boom in studying temporal graphs. Recognizing patterns in temporal graphs requires a proximity measure to compare different temporal graphs. To this end, we propose to study dynamic time warping on temporal …
Enhances speech emotion recognition by adapting to varying time scales.
Paper introduces a conformer-based system for streaming language identification in long-form speech.
Unified framework for PE and TD methods in continuous time and space.
Spatio-temporal (ST) data, which represent multiple time series data corresponding to different spatial locations, are ubiquitous in real-world dynamic systems, such as air quality readings. Forecasting over ST data is of great importance but challenging as it is affected by many complex factors, including spatial char…
CODA simulates future data to generalize models across different datasets.
A new correction term improves sample efficiency in deep reinforcement learning.
Temporal difference learning (TD) is a simple iterative algorithm used to estimate the value function corresponding to a given policy in a Markov decision process. Although TD is one of the most widely used algorithms in reinforcement learning, its theoretical analysis has proved challenging and few guarantees on its s…
Electronic records contain sequences of events, some of which take place all at once in a single visit, and others that are dispersed over multiple visits, each with a different timestamp. We postulate that fine temporal detail, e.g., whether a series of blood tests are completed at once or in rapid succession should n…
Temporal networks representing a stream of timestamped edges are seemingly ubiquitous in the real-world. However, the massive size and continuous nature of these networks make them fundamentally challenging to analyze and leverage for descriptive and predictive modeling tasks. In this work, we propose a general framewo…
Machine learning struggles with temporal data in finance, leading to inaccurate models.