A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Proposes DILATE and STRIPE++ for precise time series forecasting.
Fairness in machine learning has predominantly been studied in static classification settings without concern for how decisions change the underlying population over time. Conventional wisdom suggests that fairness criteria promote the long-term well-being of those groups they aim to protect. We study how static fairne…
We present turnpike-type results for the risk tolerance function in an incomplete market setting under time-monotone forward performance criteria. We show that, contrary to the classical case, the temporal and spatial limits do not coincide. We also show that they depend directly on the left- and right-end of the suppo…
In this paper we extend temporal difference policy evaluation algorithms to performance criteria that include the variance of the cumulative reward. Such criteria are useful for risk management, and are important in domains such as finance and process control. We propose both TD(0) and LSTD(lambda) variants with linear…
In this work, three lattice-free (LF) discriminative training criteria for purely sequence-trained neural network acoustic models are compared on LVCSR tasks, namely maximum mutual information (MMI), boosted maximum mutual information (bMMI) and state-level minimum Bayes risk (sMBR). We demonstrate that, analogous to L…
Paper proposes a new sparse VAR model for high-dimensional time series.
The paper introduces new metrics for evaluating generative models of behavior.
HRTPP improves TPP interpretability and accuracy in medical event modeling.
STAS selects optimal spatio-temporal scales for bias correction in precipitation forecasts.
Proposes a machine learning framework for more efficient economic dispatch.
Deep learning improves solar energy forecasting using physical and data-driven models.
Community detection has long been an important yet challenging task to analyze complex networks with a focus on detecting topological structures of graph data. Essentially, real-world graph data contains various features, node and edge types which dynamically vary over time, and this invalidates most existing community…
Bayesian method discovers PDEs with variable coefficients robustly.
Mathematical framework investigates fire sales amplification and stability.
We describe a method for unmixing mixtures of freely independent random variables in a manner analogous to the independent component analysis (ICA) based method for unmixing independent random variables from their additive mixtures. Random matrices play the role of free random variables in this context so the method we…
Unified framework evaluates synthetic financial data models.
A natural approach to analyze interaction data of form "what-connects-to-what-when" is to create a time-series (or rather a sequence) of graphs through temporal discretization (bandwidth selection) and spatial discretization (vertex contraction). Such discretization together with non-negative factorization techniques c…
We give some general criteria of being a homeomorphism for continuous mappings of topological manifolds, as well as criteria of being a diffeomorphism for smooth mappings of smooth manifolds. As an illustration, we apply these criteria to the problems arising in two- and three-dimensional grid generation.
The study reveals flaws in pruning criteria and proposes a new assumption for better filter selection.
New criteria for Heegaard splittings ensure strong irreducibility and finite Goeritz groups.
Paper presents a novel method to assess boundedness and stability of nonlinear systems with variable delays.
Multi-criteria recommender systems have been increasingly valuable for helping consumers identify the most relevant items based on different dimensions of user experiences. However, previously proposed multi-criteria models did not take into account latent embeddings generated from user reviews, which capture latent se…
Develops scenario theory for multi-criteria decision making.
We consider the problem of identifying patterns in a data set that exhibit anomalous behavior, often referred to as anomaly detection. In most anomaly detection algorithms, the dissimilarity between data samples is calculated by a single criterion, such as Euclidean distance. However, in many cases there may not exist …
The paper evaluates criteria for selecting cryptocurrencies based on historical data.
This paper considers the single factor Heath-Jarrow-Morton model for the interest rate curve with stochastic volatility. Its natural formulation, described in terms of stochastic differential equations, is solved through Monte Carlo simulations, that usually involve rather large computation time, inefficient from a pra…
Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) is a trending field of research, showing great promise in many challenging problems such as playing Atari, solving Go and controlling robots. While DRL agents perform well in practice we are still missing the tools to analayze their performance and visualize the temporal abstractions t…
We suggest a novel method of clustering and exploratory analysis of temporal event sequences data (also known as categorical time series) based on three-dimensional data grid models. A data set of temporal event sequences can be represented as a data set of three-dimensional points, each point is defined by three varia…
We present criteria for establishing a triangulation of a manifold. Given a manifold M, a simplicial complex A, and a map H from the underlying space of A to M, our criteria are presented in local coordinate charts for M, and ensure that H is a homeomorphism. These criteria do not require a differentiable structure, or…
When sufficient labeled data are available, classical criteria based on Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) or Precision-Recall (PR) curves can be used to compare the performance of un-supervised anomaly detection algorithms. However , in many situations, few or no data are labeled. This calls for alternative crite…
The paper analyzes performance criteria for competing fund managers in Ito-diffusion markets.
Unified statistical framework for LSTM model selection.
We shall give useful criteria of lips, beaks and swallowtail singularities of smooth map from the plane into the plane. As an application of criteria, we will discuss the singularities of Cauchy problem of single conservation law.
A new method for multi-criteria recommender systems using graph attention networks.
New framework for resilient bi-criteria optimization under noisy feedback.
New algorithms minimize risk in MNL bandits, achieving near-optimal performance.
A game-theoretic approach to multi-criteria ranking from ordinal data.
Stress, edge crossings, and crossing angles play an important role in the quality and readability of graph drawings. Most standard graph drawing algorithms optimize one of these criteria which may lead to layouts that are deficient in other criteria. We introduce an optimization framework, Stress-Plus-X (SPX), that sim…
Recent work on fairness in machine learning has focused on various statistical discrimination criteria and how they trade off. Most of these criteria are observational: They depend only on the joint distribution of predictor, protected attribute, features, and outcome. While convenient to work with, observational crite…
We present a new method for searching optimal hyperparameters among several tasks and several criteria. Multi-Task Multi Criteria method (MTMC) provides several Pareto-optimal solutions, among which one solution is selected with given criteria significance coefficients. The article begins with a mathematical formulatio…
Criteria found for graph drawings on surfaces.
The paper introduces risk consistency properties for credit ratings.
Many machine learning frameworks, such as resource-allocating networks, kernel-based methods, Gaussian processes, and radial-basis-function networks, require a sparsification scheme in order to address the online learning paradigm. For this purpose, several online sparsification criteria have been proposed to restrict …
Study tackles criterion collapse in learning criteria, showing conditions for loss minimization.
Simple criteria for codimension two surface singularities.
The paper characterizes when numerical criteria for PDE solvability fail and provides effective criteria for existence.
Managing risk in dynamic decision problems is of cardinal importance in many fields such as finance and process control. The most common approach to defining risk is through various variance related criteria such as the Sharpe Ratio or the standard deviation adjusted reward. It is known that optimizing many of the vari…
Study finite-type solutions of elliptic sinh-Gordon equation with Durham boundary conditions.