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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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76152227303 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for temporal Gaussian mixture

The paper proposes a structure learning model for efficient reinforcement learning.

problem Efficient sample-based decision making in complex environments.
method Temporal Gaussian Mixture Model with structure learning.
result The model discovers the number of states and transition probabilities.

Latent Dirichlet Allocation models discrete data as a mixture of discrete distributions, using Dirichlet beliefs over the mixture weights. We study a variation of this concept, in which the documents' mixture weight beliefs are replaced with squashed Gaussian distributions. This allows documents to be associated with e…

2011-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling glucose distribution changes over time using neural ODEs.

problem Analyzing how continuous glucose distribution changes over time in diabetic patients.
method Combines Gaussian mixture, MMD, and Neural ODE to model temporal evolution of glucose distribution.
result Highly interpretable model detects subtle distribution shifts and remains computationally efficient.

This paper tackles online reinforcement learning for unseen tasks with unknown boundaries.

problem Real-world tasks violate assumptions of task distributions, independence, and clear task delineations.
method A mixture of Gaussian Processes models different dynamics, and a transition prior handles temporal dependencies.
result The approach reliably handles task distribution shifts and outperforms alternatives in non-stationary tasks.

A new MFG framework for evolving clusters from Gaussian mixtures.

problem Evolutionary clustering of time-dependent Gaussian mixtures.
method Control-theoretic framework based on Mean Field Games (MFG) with coupled HJB and Fokker-Planck systems.
result MFG dynamics recover classical EM algorithm trajectories with mass conservation.

We present a novel Neural Embedding Spatio-Temporal (NEST) point process model for spatio-temporal discrete event data and develop an efficient imitation learning (a type of reinforcement learning) based approach for model fitting. Despite the rapid development of one-dimensional temporal point processes for discrete e…

2019-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider evidence integration from potentially dependent observation processes under varying spatio-temporal sampling resolutions and noise levels. We develop a multi-resolution multi-task (MRGP) framework while allowing for both inter-task and intra-task multi-resolution and multi-fidelity. We develop shallow Gauss…

2019-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved VB algorithm for NIG mixtures outperforms Gaussian mixtures for non-Gaussian data.

problem Clustering non-Gaussian data, especially heavy-tailed and asymmetric.
method Proposed an improved VB algorithm for NIG mixture models and extended Dirichlet process mixture models.
result Outperforms Gaussian mixtures and existing NIG mixture models, especially for highly non-normative data.

Predicting ambulance demand accurately at a fine resolution in time and space (e.g., every hour and 1 km2^2) is critical for staff / fleet management and dynamic deployment. There are several challenges: though the dataset is typically large-scale, demand per time period and locality is almost always zero. The demand …

2016-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we introduce a method for segmenting time series data using tools from Bayesian nonparametrics. We consider the task of temporal segmentation of a set of time series data into representative stationary segments. We use Gaussian process (GP) priors to impose our knowledge about the characteristics of the …

2020-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper uses Gaussian mixture models for Bayesian networks and proposes an optimization algorithm.

problem Modeling nodes in Bayesian networks with complex distributions.
method Gaussian mixture models combined with double iteration algorithm.
result The double iteration algorithm optimizes Gaussian mixture models effectively.

The study bounds the stability of Gaussian mixtures under small perturbations.

problem Stability of Gaussian mixtures under small changes in distribution.
method Deriving an explicit bound on parameter stability of spherical Gaussian Mixture Models (sGMM) in a pre-defined model class.
result Upper bound on parameter distance of close sGMMs to the original sGMM, dependent only on the original model.

Deep neural networks converge to Gaussian mixtures as layer width increases.

problem Understanding the distribution of outputs from deep neural networks.
method Proof and experiments with a simple model showing the convergence of neural network outputs to Gaussian mixtures.
result Neural networks converge to Gaussian mixtures as the width of the last hidden layer increases.

Optimal transport for vector Gaussian mixtures improves efficiency and structure preservation.

problem Optimal mass transport for vector-valued Gaussian mixtures.
method Vectorizing Gaussian mixture models and studying optimal mass transport problems.
result Computational efficiency and structure preservation in optimal mass transport.

A method models continuous-time glucose distributions in children with diabetes.

problem Capturing subtle temporal changes in glucose distributions.
method Probabilistic framework using Gaussian mixtures and neural ODEs.
result Detects treatment-related improvements in glucose dynamics.

Theoretical analysis of entropy approximation for Gaussian mixtures.

problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for entropy approximation of Gaussian mixtures.
method Theoretical analysis of the error between true and approximate entropy.
result The error converges to zero as the ratios of means to variances tend to infinity, providing a guarantee for high-dimensional problems.

Algorithm estimates mixtures of arbitrary Gaussians robustly in presence of corruptions.

problem Estimating mixtures of arbitrary Gaussians in the presence of a constant fraction of arbitrary corruptions.
method Polynomial-time algorithm using partial clustering and tensor decomposition.
result Resolves the main open problem in several previous works on algorithmic robust statistics.

Deep learning is a hierarchical inference method formed by subsequent multiple layers of learning able to more efficiently describe complex relationships. In this work, Deep Gaussian Mixture Models are introduced and discussed. A Deep Gaussian Mixture model (DGMM) is a network of multiple layers of latent variables, wh…

2017-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uniform rates for estimating Gaussian mixtures without separation assumption.

problem Estimating parameters in two-component Gaussian mixtures without separation.
method Uniform convergence rates derived using minimax lower bounds and careful analysis of polynomial equalities.
result Phase transition in optimal estimation rate based on mixture balance.

GGMPs improve non-Gaussian conditional density estimation.

problem Multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity in conditional density estimation.
method GGMP combines local Gaussian mixture fitting, cross-input component alignment, and per-component heteroscedastic GP training.
result GGMPs improve distributional approximation on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Temporal mixture ensemble predicts cryptocurrency exchange volumes better than traditional methods.

problem Intraday volume forecasting in cryptocurrency markets.
method Temporal mixture ensemble model using transaction and order book data.
result The model outperforms traditional time series and machine learning methods.

Heavy-tailed distributions are widely used in robust mixture modelling due to possessing thick tails. As a computationally tractable subclass of the stable distributions, sub-Gaussian αα-stable distribution received much interest in the literature. Here, we introduce a type of expectation maximization algorithm that e…

2017-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A new model DKMPP integrates covariates and uses an integration-free method for spatio-temporal point processes.

problem Training intractable deep spatio-temporal point processes with multimodal covariates.
method DKMPP uses a deep kernel to model complex relationships and an integration-free score matching method.
result DKMPP and score-based estimators outperform baseline models in spatio-temporal point processes.

The mixture of Gaussian distributions, a soft version of k-means , is considered a state-of-the-art clustering algorithm. It is widely used in computer vision for selecting classes, e.g., color, texture, and shapes. In this algorithm, each class is described by a Gaussian distribution, defined by its mean and covarianc…

2016-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Sharp inequality between TV and Hellinger distances for Gaussian mixtures.

problem Understanding the relationship between total variation and Hellinger distances for Gaussian mixtures.
method Established a general upper bound on Hellinger distance in terms of TV distance raised to a power, demonstrating sharpness with specific examples.
result The Hellinger distance between two Gaussian mixtures is bounded by the TV distance raised to a power 1o(1)1-o(1), where o(1)o(1) is of order 1/loglog(1/TV)1/\log\log(1/\mathrm{TV}).

A novel optimization-based Gaussian mixture reduction method using composite transportation divergence.

problem Exponential increase in Gaussian mixture order leads to intractable inference.
method Optimization-based Gaussian mixture reduction (GMR) using composite transportation divergence (CTD).
result Unified framework for selecting optimal cost function in various applications.

New findings show Gaussian universality breaks down in high-dimensional linear factor mixtures.

problem The limitations of Gaussian universality in high-dimensional classification.
method Characterization of empirical risk minimization for classification under linear factor mixture models.
result Gaussian universality breaks down under high-dimensional linear factor mixtures.

SFSVI uses Gaussian mixtures to approximate neural network outputs for continual learning.

problem Learning new tasks without forgetting old ones in neural networks.
method Sequential function-space variational inference with Gaussian mixture approximation.
result Gaussian mixture SFSVI outperforms other methods in continual learning.

Study finds the minimum number of finite Gaussian mixtures for best approximation.

problem Finding the minimum number of finite Gaussian mixtures for best approximation.
method Local moment matching for upper bound and spectral analysis for lower bound.
result Corrects a previous lower bound in the case of Gaussian mixing distributions.

We propose a greedy variational method for decomposing a non-negative multivariate signal as a weighted sum of Gaussians, which, borrowing the terminology from statistics, we refer to as a Gaussian mixture model. Notably, our method has the following features: (1) It accepts multivariate signals, i.e. sampled multivari…

2019-09-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study exact community detection in k-community Gaussian mixtures with different intensities.

problem Community detection in k-community Gaussian mixtures with varying intensities.
method Explicitly find the threshold for exact recovery of maximum likelihood estimation.
result Threshold for exact recovery of maximum likelihood estimation is identified.

The paper develops efficient algorithms for variational inference with mixtures of isotropic Gaussians.

problem Efficiently approximating multimodal Bayesian posteriors.
method Develops a variational framework and efficient algorithms for mixtures of isotropic Gaussians.
result The approach provides accurate approximations of multimodal Bayesian posteriors while being memory and computationally efficient.