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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,181 papers · 148 categories

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8162432 · Jan 202019922001200920182026
48 results for technology startups

Business cycles affect startup valuations, both directly and indirectly.

problem How do business cycles impact startup valuations?
method Structural Equation Model approach using a dataset of 1,089 venture capital investments.
result Business cycles impact startup valuations both directly and indirectly.

This paper evaluates investment risks in LATAM AI startups using DCF method.

problem Unique challenges and risks faced by LATAM tech startups.
method Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics; Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method.
result Developed a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment.

The paper analyzes sectoral diversity in startup ecosystems in Europe and the USA.

problem Investigating sectoral diversity in startup ecosystems.
method Analysis of 20+ startup ecosystems in Europe and the USA using a new visualization tool and numerical simulations.
result Emerging diversity of startup ecosystems can be explained by a preferential attachment model based on sectoral funding.

Study shows startup competition and investor network influence fundraising success at different stages.

problem Misunderstanding of fundraising success factors across startup stages.
method Used Word2Vec for competition measures and Graph Neural Networks for investor network analysis.
result Startup competition is crucial for early-stage fundraising, while growth-stage fundraising is influenced by investor network features.

Enhances VC startup success predictions using graph augmented time series models.

problem Challenges in predicting startup success due to limited financial data and subjective forecasts.
method Integrates inter-company relationships into time series analysis using GraphRAG.
result Significantly outperforms previous models in startup success predictions.

Geoeconomic analysis of venture capital portfolios reveals key emerging tech domains and countries.

problem Quantifying geoeconomic power and technological sovereignty through venture capital data.
method Economic complexity methods applied to venture capital portfolios and RVA metrics.
result Cloud Computing, Cybersecurity Tools, and Medtech have the highest concentration of specialization among high-GCI countries.

YC Bench forecasts startup success in Y Combinator batches with a short-term metric.

problem Difficult forecasting of startup success due to sparse meaningful outcomes and slow evaluation cycles.
method Developed a live benchmark using publicly available traction signals and web visibility metrics.
result Revealed 6 out of 11 top performers at YC Demo Day with a simple proxy for prior brand recognition.

Study finds internal view preferred over external view in defining startups.

problem Insufficient understanding of how to start a new business.
method Empirical study with 701 entrepreneurs reflecting on nine resource categories and three business mission elements.
result Tendency to favor internal view over external view, stronger in stable economies.

Study predicts startup outcomes like funding, patenting, IPOs using machine learning.

problem Forecasting startup success metrics like funding, patenting, IPOs.
method Developed interpretable machine learning framework, used preprocessing, class imbalance handling, and compared multiple models.
result Achieved high AUROC values for patent, funding, and exit predictions.

Designed to compete with fiat currencies, bitcoin proposes it is a crypto-currency alternative. Bitcoin makes a number of false claims, including: solving the double-spending problem is a good thing; bitcoin can be a reserve currency for banking; hoarding equals saving, and that we should believe bitcoin can expand by …

2013-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

This research examines relationship between staging of Venture Capital (VC) investments and social feedback visible in publicly available data on the Web. We address the question of Venture Capital investment sensitivity to performance and prospects of new venture, given as likelihood of obtaining future financing, ava…

2012-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes how venture investment strategies have evolved over time in different sectors.

problem Understanding changes in venture investment strategies across sectors over time.
method Applied PCA and TCA to analyze a dataset of 52,000 startups and 110,000 funding rounds.
result There has been a shift in venture investment towards lower-tech sectors and a rise in accelerator investments.

Study evaluates early-stage cybersecurity firms' performance using Crunchbase data.

problem Assessing performance of early-stage cybersecurity startups.
method Empirical analysis of 19 cybersecurity sectors using Crunchbase data.
result Significant variations in capital raised and post-money valuations across cybersecurity sectors.

Develops a deep learning framework to predict future tech directions for high-tech companies.

problem Difficult task in predicting future R&D trends for high-tech companies due to complexity and variety of factors.
method Deep Technology Forecasting (DTF) framework with three components: PCR, CTR, and DTT neural network.
result DTF framework precisely predicts future tech emphasis of companies using hybrid factors.

Study of dynamic competition between old and new technologies using a nonlinear map.

problem Dynamic competition between old and new technologies in market share.
method Simulations with three key parameters: scientific-technological, purely technological, and economic.
result Different outcomes in terms of technology prevalence based on interaction of key parameters.

The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.

problem Trade-offs between specialization and diversification in economic development.
method Patent data and Economic Complexity framework.
result Technological Coherence positively impacts growth at metropolitan areas but negatively at larger scales.

How technology affects growth or employment has long been debated. With a hiatus, the debate revived once again in the form of how Information and Communications Technology, as a form of new technology, exerts on productivity and employment. Information and Communications Technology perceived as General Purpose Technol…

2017-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum crypto-economics models price risks in blockchain technology.

problem Quantum technology's potential to undermine blockchain security.
method Building financial models to price quantum risk in blockchain scenarios.
result Quantum crypto-economics models can assess and price quantum risks in blockchain.

Estimates yearly improvement rates for nearly all technologies using US patent data.

problem Providing a comprehensive account of technological change rates.
method Mapping patents to technology domains, calculating average centrality, and estimating improvement rates.
result Variation in improvement rates from 1.9% to 228.8% per year, with software-based domains often the fastest.

Paper reviews neurolinguistics and language technologies, emphasizing mutual enrichment.

problem Understanding brain activity during language processing.
method Brain imaging studies and natural language representations.
result Development of brain-aware natural language representations.

At the heart of technology transitions lie complex processes of social and industrial dynamics. The quantitative study of sustainability transitions requires modelling work, which necessitates a theory of technology substitution. Many, if not most, contemporary modelling approaches for future technology pathways overlo…

2013-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

PHBench predicts Series A funding from Product Hunt launch signals with 7.8% accuracy.

problem Predicting startup Series A funding from launch signals on Product Hunt.
method Constructed PHBench from 67,292 Product Hunt posts, linked to funding records, and used a three-component ensemble model.
result Best-performing model achieved F0.5 = 0.097 and AP = 0.037, with a statistically significant advantage over logistic regression.

This paper analyzes the dynamic incentives for technology adoption under a transferable permits system, which allows for strategic trading on the permit market. Initially, firms can invest both in low-emitting production technologies and trade permits. In the model, technology adoption and allowance price are generated…

2011-03-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Modeling tech transfer to explain convergence in Central and Eastern Europe.

problem Understanding mechanisms of technological diffusion in developing economies.
method Introducing a herding-based mechanism to model technological adoption and productivity growth.
result Explicit analytical solution showing nonlinear convergence to a moving frontier.

Speed bumps reduce but do not fully eliminate investment in fast trading technology.

problem Limiting low-latency trading to curb investment in fast trading technology.
method Built an experimental trading platform to test the effects of speed bumps on investment in fast trading technology.
result Asymmetric speed bumps reduce investment in speed by only 20%, and increasing the magnitude further reduces investment by 8.33%. Symmetric speed bumps have no effect on investment levels.