Estimates yearly improvement rates for nearly all technologies using US patent data.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Geoeconomic analysis of venture capital portfolios reveals key emerging tech domains and countries.
Different technological domains have significantly different rates of performance improvement. Prior theory indicates that such differing rates should influence the relative speed of diffusion of the products embodying the different technologies since improvement in performance during the diffusion process increases th…
Digital technologies ignited a revolution in the agrifood domain known as precision agriculture: a main question for enabling precision agriculture at scale is if accurate product quality control can be made available at minimal cost, leveraging existing technologies and agronomists' skills. As a contribution along thi…
In the domain of technology startups, biotechnology has often been considered as specific. Their unique technology content, the type of founders and managers they have, the amount of venture capital they raise, the time it takes them to reach an exit as well as the technology clusters they belong to are seen as such un…
Machine Learning (ML) helps us to recognize patterns from raw data. ML is used in numerous domains i.e. biomedical, agricultural, food technology, etc. Despite recent technological advancements, there is still room for substantial improvement in prediction. Current ML models are based on classical theories of probabili…
Framework for responsible LLM deployment with human involvement and decentralized technologies.
BloombergGPT is a large language model trained on financial data, outperforming existing models on financial tasks.
Learning knowledge representation is an increasingly important technology applicable in many domain-specific machine learning problems. We discuss the effectiveness of traditional Link Prediction or Knowledge Graph Completion evaluation protocol when embedding knowledge representation for categorised multi-relational d…
DAISYnt evaluates synthetic data quality and privacy in regulated domains.
Technological change and innovation are vitally important, especially for high-tech companies. However, factors influencing their future research and development (R&D) trends are both complicated and various, leading it a quite difficult task to make technology tracing for high-tech companies. To this end, in this pape…
New approach improves cross-domain recommendation for sparse target domains.
The paper analyzes tech specialization and diversification at various scales.
How technology affects growth or employment has long been debated. With a hiatus, the debate revived once again in the form of how Information and Communications Technology, as a form of new technology, exerts on productivity and employment. Information and Communications Technology perceived as General Purpose Technol…
In this work we use a proven model to study a dynamic duopolistic competition between an old and a new technology which, through improved technical performance - e.g. data transmission capacity - fight in order to conquer market share. The process whereby an old technology fights a new one off through own improvements …
The prediction of epileptic seizure has always been extremely challenging in medical domain. However, as the development of computer technology, the application of machine learning introduced new ideas for seizure forecasting. Applying machine learning model onto the predication of epileptic seizure could help us obtai…
Quantum crypto-economics models price risks in blockchain technology.
Industry evolution caused by various reasons, among which technology progress driving industry development has been approved, but with the new trend of industry convergence, inter-industry convergence also plays an increasing important role. This paper plans to probe the industry synergetic evolution mechanism based on…
Paper reviews neurolinguistics and language technologies, emphasizing mutual enrichment.
At the heart of technology transitions lie complex processes of social and industrial dynamics. The quantitative study of sustainability transitions requires modelling work, which necessitates a theory of technology substitution. Many, if not most, contemporary modelling approaches for future technology pathways overlo…
New framework assesses extreme errors in machine learning models.
Natural language processing (NLP) can be done using either top-down (theory driven) and bottom-up (data driven) approaches, which we call mechanistic and phenomenological respectively. The approaches are frequently considered to stand in opposition to each other. Examining some recent approaches in deep learning we arg…
Tech sector decouples from non-tech sectors post-2015, predicting economic growth.
Qlib aims to integrate AI into quantitative investment.
Tool uses text mining to define innovative tech fields from abstracts.
FAT-GAN simulates electron-proton scattering without theoretical assumptions.
This paper analyzes the dynamic incentives for technology adoption under a transferable permits system, which allows for strategic trading on the permit market. Initially, firms can invest both in low-emitting production technologies and trade permits. In the model, technology adoption and allowance price are generated…
Modeling tech transfer to explain convergence in Central and Eastern Europe.
Smart contracts are a digital technology with potential but also flaws.
TechRank ranks companies and technologies based on investor preferences.
Shai-am simplifies ML for finance, solving code structure and scalability issues.
Margin trading and short selling boost green tech innovation in China.
Financial crime is a large and growing problem, in some way touching almost every financial institution. Financial institutions are the front line in the war against financial crime and accordingly, must devote substantial human and technology resources to this effort. Current processes to detect financial misconduct h…
New method assesses energy storage value beyond cost reduction.
In this paper, the agent-based modeling is employed to model the effect of intellectual property policy at the speed of technological advancement. Every agent has inborn preferences towards investing their capital into independent technological development, innovation appropriation, and production. The relative cost of…
Machine learning and blockchain are two of the most noticeable technologies in recent years. The first one is the foundation of artificial intelligence and big data, and the second one has significantly disrupted the financial industry. Both technologies are data-driven, and thus there are rapidly growing interests in …
GeMA learns latent manifolds to benchmark complex systems.
Forecasting technological progress is of great interest to engineers, policy makers, and private investors. Several models have been proposed for predicting technological improvement, but how well do these models perform? An early hypothesis made by Theodore Wright in 1936 is that cost decreases as a power law of cumul…
With the rapid development of high-throughput technologies, parallel acquisition of large-scale drug-informatics data provides huge opportunities to improve pharmaceutical research and development. One significant application is the purpose prediction of small molecule compounds, aiming to specify therapeutic propertie…
AI enhances quantitative investment for better returns and risk control.
National statistical systems are the enterprises tasked with collecting, validating and reporting societal attributes. These data serve many purposes - they allow governments to improve services, economic actors to traverse markets, and academics to assess social theories. National statistical systems vary in quality, …
The digitalization of the legal domain has been ongoing for a couple of years. In that process, the application of different machine learning (ML) techniques is crucial. Tasks such as the classification of legal documents or contract clauses as well as the translation of those are highly relevant. On the other side, di…
This paper presents a general theory that aims at explaining timescales observed empirically in technology transitions and predicting those of future transitions. This framework is used further to derive a theory for exploring the dynamics that underlie the complex phenomenon of irreversible and path dependent price or…
The optimal (`equilibrium') macroscopic properties of an economy with industries endowed with different technologies, commodities and one consumer are derived in the limit with fixed using the replica method. When technologies are strictly inefficient, a phase transition occurs upon increas…
This paper provides a quantitative method for estimating the risk associated with candidate transportation technology, before it is developed and deployed. The proposed solution extends previous methods that rely exclusively on low-fidelity human-in-the-loop experimental data, or high-fidelity traffic data, by adopting…
Automated anomaly detection is essential for managing information and communications technology (ICT) systems to maintain reliable services with minimum burden on operators. For detecting varying and continually emerging anomalies as differences from normal states, learning normal relationships inherent among cross-dom…
Being one of the most important factors of economic growth of the country, innovations became one of the key vectors in Russian economic policy. In this field technology parks are one of the most effective instruments which can provide growth of innovative activity in sectors, regions and economies. In this paper, we m…
This is an expository paper on Mom-technology, describing the recent work of the authors in this area (found in arXiv:math/0606072, arXiv:0705.4325, and arXiv:0809.0346) concerning the use of Mom-technology to find the minimum-volume compact hyperbolic 3-manifold and the 10 smallest cusped hyperbolic 3-manifolds. In ad…