Abstract: A new approach to technical indicators without lag.
problem Defining classical technical indicators as bounded operators for lag-free trading.
method Using linear algebra to redefine technical indicators as bounded operators in l∞(N) space. result Demonstrated the no-lag versions of technical indicators are simpler and more effective.
This paper tackles hidden technical debts in fair ML systems for Fintech.
problem Building fair machine learning systems in financial services.
method Examining key stages of ML system development and deployment.
result Technical debts exist in deploying fair ML systems in Fintech.
In this paper we use fuzzy systems theory to convert the technical trading rules commonly used by stock practitioners into excess demand functions which are then used to drive the price dynamics. The technical trading rules are recorded in natural languages where fuzzy words and vague expressions abound. In Part I of t…
In this survey, a short introduction in the recent discovery of log-normally distributed market-technical trend data will be given. The results of the statistical evaluation of typical market-technical trend variables will be presented. It will be shown that the log-normal assumption fits better to empirical trend data…
In this paper, a neural network-based stock price prediction and trading system using technical analysis indicators is presented. The model developed first converts the financial time series data into a series of buy-sell-hold trigger signals using the most commonly preferred technical analysis indicators. Then, a Mult…
This paper proposes a novel trading system which plays the role of an artificial counselor for stock investment. In this paper, the stock future prices (technical features) are predicted using Support Vector Regression. Thereafter, the predicted prices are used to recommend which portions of the budget an investor shou…
Algorithmic fairness is a field of study that addresses the systematic disadvantage of marginalized groups in machine learning systems.
problem Modern machine learning systems increasingly determine access to economic and social opportunities, leading to structural inequalities and prejudices.
method Statistical and structural approaches to algorithmic fairness.
result The field of algorithmic fairness emerged to address the systematic disadvantage of marginalized groups in machine learning systems.
Survey on LSTM-based anomaly detection for technical systems.
problem Detect anomalies in technical systems due to complex dynamics.
method Use LSTM networks and other AI techniques to detect anomalies considering temporal and contextual characteristics.
result Demonstrates the potential of LSTM networks and graph-based approaches for anomaly detection.
Technical analysis is used to discover investment opportunities. To test this hypothesis we propose an hybrid system using machine learning techniques together with genetic algorithms. Using technical analysis there are more ways to represent a currency exchange time series than the ones it is possible to test computat…
Improved NTL detection using human-in-the-loop approach with explainability.
problem Challenges in detecting NTL due to biased data and black-box models.
method Human-in-the-loop approach with explanatory methods to guide model training.
result Improved accuracy, interpretability, robustness, and flexibility of the prediction model.
The blockchain technology promises to transform finance, money and even governments. However, analyses of blockchain applicability and robustness typically focus on isolated systems whose actors contribute mainly by running the consensus algorithm. Here, we highlight the importance of considering trustless platforms wi…
The study redefines algorithmic fairness as a sociotechnical concept.
problem Systemic discrimination in automated decision-making.
method Literature review and sociotechnical analysis.
result Algorithmic fairness should be viewed through a sociotechnical lens.
Machine learning (ML) is increasingly deployed in real world contexts, supplying actionable insights and forming the basis of automated decision-making systems. While issues resulting from biases pre-existing in training data have been at the center of the fairness debate, these systems are also affected by technical a…
Hybrid AI system combines technical, sentiment analysis for adaptive equity trading.
problem Traditional trading strategies fail during high volatility and regime shifts.
method Combines trend-following, mean-reversion, sentiment analysis, machine learning, and market regime filtering.
result Hybrid model achieved 135.49% return on investment over 24 months.
Study finds similar companies in Dhaka Stock Exchange using technical data.
problem Analyzing all companies in Dhaka Stock Exchange is impractical.
method Used technical data to identify companies moving together.
result Technical data can reveal company relationships without fundamental data.
GA-MSSR optimizes forex trading rules for higher returns and reduced risk.
problem Noisy market data affects the consistency and profitability of trading algorithms.
method Optimized trading rules derived from technical indicators using a Genetic Algorithm.
result GA-MSSR achieved superior performance with significant positive returns and reduced risk factors.
Comparative study of neural networks for short-term FOREX forecasting.
problem Simulating expert judgment in foreign exchange market forecasting.
method Implemented and compared LSTM and ANN architectures for short-term FOREX forecasting.
result ANN custom architecture outperforms LSTM in prediction quality and resource efficiency.
The discovery of adversarial examples has raised concerns about the practical deployment of deep learning systems. In this paper, we demonstrate that adversarial examples are capable of manipulating deep learning systems across three clinical domains. For each of our representative medical deep learning classifiers, bo…
Fatal accidents are a major issue hindering the wide acceptance of safety-critical systems using machine-learning and deep-learning models, such as automated-driving vehicles. Quality assurance frameworks are required for such machine learning systems, but there are no widely accepted and established quality-assurance …
Cryptocurrency forecasting model considers macro, sentiment, and technical indicators.
problem High price volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
method Dual-prediction mechanism incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes.
result The proposed model outperforms ten comparison methods in short-term cryptocurrency forecasting.
The paper describes flat Hessian metrics on surfaces and their potentials.
problem Understanding Hessian metrics on surfaces.
method Theoretical description and explicit construction using integrable systems.
result Explicit construction of potentials for flat Hessian metrics on surfaces.
CNN model predicts financial market movement with better performance.
problem Difficult to predict financial markets due to complex dynamics.
method Proposes a novel one-dimensional CNN model for financial market prediction.
result CNN model achieves more robust and profitable performance than previous approaches.
Review of algorithms for linear system approximations.
problem Linear approximation of high-dimensional dynamical systems.
method State-of-the-art algorithms for low-rank DMD.
result Provides additional details for comprehensive understanding.
Society's drive toward ever faster socio-technical systems, means that there is an urgent need to understand the threat from 'black swan' extreme events that might emerge. On 6 May 2010, it took just five minutes for a spontaneous mix of human and machine interactions in the global trading cyberspace to generate an unp…
Recently software development companies started to embrace Machine Learning (ML) techniques for introducing a series of advanced functionality in their products such as personalisation of the user experience, improved search, content recommendation and automation. The technical challenges for tackling these problems ar…
System designs for analyzing and pricing non-performing consumer credit portfolios.
problem Technical challenges in analyzing and pricing portfolios of non-performing consumer credit loans.
method Bottom-up architecture, simultaneous quantile regression, R-copula, Gaussian one-factor copula model.
result Successfully developed a methodology for analyzing credit portfolio risks of consumer loans.
FinGPT uses LLMs for real-time market sentiment analysis.
problem Real-time market sentiment analysis for trading.
method Synthesizes financial news and social media data, integrates with technical indicators, uses FinGPT for sentiment analysis.
result Generates actionable trading signals using LLMs.
We generalize the Weinstein-Moser theorem on the existence of nonlinear normal modes (i.e., periodic orbits) near an equilibrium in a Hamiltonian system to a theorem on the existence of relative periodic orbits near a relative equilibrium in a Hamiltonian system with continuous symmetries. More specifically we signific…
Advanced ML/DL models predict stock prices using technical analysis.
problem Accurately predicting stock prices in a complex market.
method Use of deep learning models for stock price prediction.
result Deep learning models can predict stock prices with high accuracy.
Overview of integrable systems with symmetries, focusing on toric and semitoric systems.
problem Classifying and understanding integrable systems with symmetries.
method Using decorated polygons and controlled bifurcations in one-parameter families of systems.
result Construction of explicit semitoric systems with prescribed invariants.
The paper extends static Systemic Risk Measures to a conditional setting.
problem Investigating how static Systemic Risk Measures can be adapted to a conditional framework.
method Providing a general dual representation result, analyzing Conditional Shortfall Systemic Risk Measures, and providing explicit formulas for exponential preferences.
result Explicit formulas for Conditional Shortfall Systemic Risk Measures and a time consistency property.
Research creates a taxonomy to bridge AI security and regulatory gaps.
problem Disciplinary disconnect between technical and legal teams in AI risk assessment.
method Developed an AI System Threat Vector Taxonomy with 9 domains and 53 sub-threats.
result Empirically validated and aligned with ISO/IEC 42001 controls and NIST AI RMF functions.
Research integrates sentiment analysis with reinforcement learning for better trading strategies.
problem Improving trading performance by integrating sentiment data.
method Developed a sentiment-driven trading system using a large language model and reinforcement learning.
result Sentiment signals from FinGPT improve trading performance when combined with technical indicators.
In this paper, we consider a problem of failure prediction in the context of predictive maintenance applications. We present a new approach for rare failures prediction, based on a general methodology, which takes into account peculiar properties of technical systems. We illustrate the applicability of the method on th…
A trading system predicts stock prices using DNNs for Abercrombie & Fitch Co. shares.
problem Complexity and unpredictability of stock market prices.
method Feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) for price prediction, technical indicators for trade generation.
result Increased profitability with high Sharpe, Sortino, and Calmar ratios.
This paper evaluates LLMs for technical market analysis, finding GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks.
problem Evaluating LLMs for technical market analysis in financial markets.
method Structured evaluation of five LLMs (GPT-4 Turbo, Claude 3 Opus, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Llama 3 70B, FinGPT) on four tasks: candlestick pattern recognition, directional signal generation, backtesting, and financial report comprehension.
result GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks in simulated backtesting, with GPT-4 Turbo achieving the highest annualized return and Sharpe ratio.
GNN improves financial risk detection in dynamic networks.
problem Complex, changing financial networks make traditional risk identification methods ineffective.
method Graph Neural Networks (GNN) for embedded representation learning of financial data.
result GNN enhances the detection of hidden risks and abnormal behaviors in financial networks.
We developed an automated deep learning system to detect hip fractures from frontal pelvic x-rays, an important and common radiological task. Our system was trained on a decade of clinical x-rays (~53,000 studies) and can be applied to clinical data, automatically excluding inappropriate and technically unsatisfactory …
System tackles indeterminacies in automated audio captioning.
problem Word selection and sentence length indeterminacies in automated audio captioning.
method Solves caption generation and sub-indeterminacy problems through multi-task learning to estimate keywords and sentence length.
result Model achieved 20.7 SPIDEr score, significantly outperforming baseline.
Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) are mainstay tools for assessing the long-term interactions between climate and the economy and for deriving optimal policy responses in the form of carbon prices. IAMs have been criticized for controversial discount rate assumptions, arbitrary climate damage functions, and the inade…
Order matching systems form the backbone of modern equity exchanges, used by millions of investors daily. Thus, their operation is strictly controlled through numerous regulatory directives to ensure that markets are fair and transparent. Despite these efforts, market manipulation remains an open problem. In this work,…
As the Securities and Exchange Commission(SEC) has implemented a new regulation on short-sellings, short-sellers are required to repurchase stocks once the clearing risk rises to a certain level. Avellaneda and Lipkin proposed a fully coupled SDE system to describe the mechanism which is referred as Hard-To-Borrow(HTB)…
The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.
problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.
Introduces gauge theory for string algebroids, solving Calabi system.
problem Solving coupled equations for Calabi problem and Hull-Strominger system.
method Moment map picture with Hamiltonian gauge action, inner automorphisms of Courant algebroids.
result Moduli space carries pseudo-Kähler metric with Kähler potential given by dilaton functional.
Algorithm learns dynamics from past observations.
problem Learning a nonlinear dynamical system.
method Spectral filtering, online convex optimization.
result Vanishing prediction error for marginally stable systems.
Study shows certainty equivalent policy minimizes regret in continuous-time systems.
problem Minimizing regret in continuous-time stochastic linear-quadratic systems.
method Theoretical analysis of randomized certainty equivalent policy.
result Establishes square-root of time regret bounds and linear scaling with parameters.
Fair ML systems can be safe ML systems by considering uncertainty.
problem Safety of data-driven decision systems is often neglected.
method Viewing ML systems as socio-technical, uncertainty-aware modeling.
result Fair models should be uncertainty-aware, e.g. through distributional regression.
Seq2Seq models perform well in generating If-Then programs from natural language.
problem Creating If-Then programs for business process automation without technical expertise.
method Modeling If-Then programs as a sequence learning task using Seq2Seq approaches.
result Seq2Seq models can effectively generate If-Then programs from natural language.