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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for technical result

The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.

problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.

Abstract: A new approach to technical indicators without lag.

problem Defining classical technical indicators as bounded operators for lag-free trading.
method Using linear algebra to redefine technical indicators as bounded operators in l(N)l^\infty(\mathbb{N}) space.
result Demonstrated the no-lag versions of technical indicators are simpler and more effective.

In this survey, a short introduction in the recent discovery of log-normally distributed market-technical trend data will be given. The results of the statistical evaluation of typical market-technical trend variables will be presented. It will be shown that the log-normal assumption fits better to empirical trend data…

2016-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This study improves stock price prediction for Apple Inc. using feature selection and regression models with technical indicators.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy for Apple Inc. using technical indicators.
method Evaluation of 123 technical indicators and 10 regression models on 13 years of Apple Inc. data.
result Combining feature selection with regression models significantly improves prediction accuracy.

Machine learning models outperform traditional technical analysis in Bitcoin trading.

problem Maximizing profits in the Bitcoin market using trading signals.
method Comparison of machine learning models (LightGBM, LSTM) and technical analysis strategies (EMA, MACD+ADX).
result LSTM model achieved a 65.23% cumulative return over a year, significantly outperforming other strategies.

Study finds traditional technical indicators underperform in high-frequency trading, suggesting risk management over prediction.

problem Inadequately explored effectiveness of technical indicators in high-frequency trading, particularly at minute-level frequency.
method Evaluation of random forest models with traditional technical indicators on minute-level SPY data.
result In-sample performance is superior to out-of-sample, with risk-adjusted metrics not outperforming a simple buy-and-hold strategy.

RAGuard improves safety in LLMs for offshore wind maintenance.

problem Conventional LLMs fail with specialised or unexpected scenarios in offshore wind maintenance.
method Integrates safety-critical documents alongside technical manuals in RAG framework.
result RAGuard increases safety recall from almost 0% to over 50% while maintaining technical recall above 60%.

TINs use neural networks to interpret technical indicators for trading.

problem Lack of interpretable neural architectures for technical indicators in trading.
method Introduced TINs, a neural architecture that reformulates technical indicators into trainable modules.
result Improved risk-adjusted performance compared to traditional indicator-based strategies.

This is a technical report accompanying the paper "All Principal Congruence Link Groups" (arXiv:1802.01275) classifying all principal congruence link complements in S^3 by the same authors. It provides a complete overview of all cases (d,I) that had to be considered, as well as describes the necessary computations and …

2019-02-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper compares stock price prediction models using Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately.
method Developed Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion models using Ito's lemma and Euler-Maruyama methods.
result Models outperform statistical indicators in predicting stock prices.

Weak form of the Efficiency Market Hypothesis (EMH) excludes predictions of future market movements from historical data and makes the technical analysis (TA) out of law. However the technical analysis is widely used by traders and speculators who steadely refuse to consider the market as a "fair game" and survive with…

1999-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves cryptocurrency price prediction using neural networks and technical indicators.

problem Improving cryptocurrency price prediction accuracy.
method Integrates technical indicators, Transformer neural network, and BiLSTM.
result Demonstrates superior performance in predicting cryptocurrency prices.

Statistical learning theory provides the theoretical basis for many of today's machine learning algorithms. In this article we attempt to give a gentle, non-technical overview over the key ideas and insights of statistical learning theory. We target at a broad audience, not necessarily machine learning researchers. Thi…

2008-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.

This paper proposes a novel trading system which plays the role of an artificial counselor for stock investment. In this paper, the stock future prices (technical features) are predicted using Support Vector Regression. Thereafter, the predicted prices are used to recommend which portions of the budget an investor shou…

2019-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A3T-GCN model forecasts FTSE100 stock prices using technical indicators and financial ratios.

problem Forecasting closing stock prices of FTSE100 constituents.
method Hybrid A3T-GCN architecture using technical indicators, financial ratios, and sector correlations.
result A3T-GCN model improves prediction accuracy with annualized log-returns and shorter sequence lengths.

Study improves cryptocurrency price prediction using deep learning with trading and social media indicators.

problem Predicting price movements of cryptocurrencies using deep learning.
method Used deep learning algorithms (MLP, CNN, LSTM, ALSTM) on hourly and daily data of Bitcoin and Ethereum.
result Unrestricted model with trading and social media indicators outperforms restricted model.

GA-MSSR optimizes forex trading rules for higher returns and reduced risk.

problem Noisy market data affects the consistency and profitability of trading algorithms.
method Optimized trading rules derived from technical indicators using a Genetic Algorithm.
result GA-MSSR achieved superior performance with significant positive returns and reduced risk factors.

Scalable GPLVM reduces complexity in scRNA-seq data, accounting for technical and biological confounders.

problem Complexity and confounders in scRNA-seq data hamper interpretation.
method Extended Gaussian process latent variable model (GPLVM) to handle large datasets.
result Framework reconstructs latent signatures and captures disease-specific gene expression.

This note presents in a technical though hopefully pedagogical way the three most common forms of neural network architectures: Feedforward, Convolutional and Recurrent. For each network, their fundamental building blocks are detailed. The forward pass and the update rules for the backpropagation algorithm are then der…

2017-09-05abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel algorithm for actively trading stocks is presented. While traditional expert advice and "universal" algorithms (as well as standard technical trading heuristics) attempt to predict winners or trends, our approach relies on predictable statistical relations between all pairs of stocks in the market. Our empirica…

2011-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

NEAT algorithm optimizes stock trading with reduced risk.

problem Maximizing earnings while minimizing risk in stock trading.
method Applied NEAT algorithm to stock trading with multiple technical indicators, using progressive training data and a multi-objective fitness function.
result NEAT model achieved similar returns to Buy & Hold but with lower risk and stability.

For a compact surface X0X_0, Thurston introduced a compactification of its Teichmüller space T(X0)\mathcal T(X_0) by completing it with a boundary PML(X0)\mathcal{PML}(X_0) consisting of projective measured geodesic laminations. We introduce a similar bordification for the Teichmüller space T(X0)\mathcal T(X_0) of a noncompact Ri…

2018-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The main goal of the present paper is the construction of twisted generalized differential cohomology theories and the comprehensive statement of its basic functorial properties. Technically it combines the homotopy theoretic approach to (untwisted) generalized differential cohomology developed by Hopkins-Singer and la…

2014-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗