The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
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Abstract: A new approach to technical indicators without lag.
Revisits life insurance surplus models with new technical bases.
In this paper, a neural network-based stock price prediction and trading system using technical analysis indicators is presented. The model developed first converts the financial time series data into a series of buy-sell-hold trigger signals using the most commonly preferred technical analysis indicators. Then, a Mult…
In this paper we use fuzzy systems theory to convert the technical trading rules commonly used by stock practitioners into excess demand functions which are then used to drive the price dynamics. The technical trading rules are recorded in natural languages where fuzzy words and vague expressions abound. In Part I of t…
Lie groups applied to tech progress in economic growth.
Technical trading rules have a long history of being used by practitioners in financial markets. Their profitable ability and efficiency of technical trading rules are yet controversial. In this paper, we test the performance of more than seven thousands traditional technical trading rules on the Shanghai Securities Co…
This paper provides the technical details of gradient flow construction and related problems, which are essential for our construction of Lagrangian torus fibrations for Calabi-Yau hypersurfaces.
Dematerialization is the reduction in the quantity of materials needed to produce something useful over time. Dematerialization fundamentally derives from ongoing increases in technical performance but it can be counteracted by demand rebound - increases in usage because of increased value (or decreased cost) that also…
In this survey, a short introduction in the recent discovery of log-normally distributed market-technical trend data will be given. The results of the statistical evaluation of typical market-technical trend variables will be presented. It will be shown that the log-normal assumption fits better to empirical trend data…
This study improves stock price prediction for Apple Inc. using feature selection and regression models with technical indicators.
Machine learning models outperform traditional technical analysis in Bitcoin trading.
Study finds traditional technical indicators underperform in high-frequency trading, suggesting risk management over prediction.
Recent work on stable minimal hypersurface singularities.
Study finds similar companies in Dhaka Stock Exchange using technical data.
RAGuard improves safety in LLMs for offshore wind maintenance.
TINs use neural networks to interpret technical indicators for trading.
This is a technical report accompanying the paper "All Principal Congruence Link Groups" (arXiv:1802.01275) classifying all principal congruence link complements in S^3 by the same authors. It provides a complete overview of all cases (d,I) that had to be considered, as well as describes the necessary computations and …
Paper compares stock price prediction models using Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion.
We investigate the performance of dynamic portfolios constructed using more than 21,000 technical trading rules on 12 categorical and country-specific markets over the 2004-2015 study period, on rolling forward structures of different lengths. We also introduce a discrete false discovery rate (DFRD+/-) method for contr…
Weak form of the Efficiency Market Hypothesis (EMH) excludes predictions of future market movements from historical data and makes the technical analysis (TA) out of law. However the technical analysis is widely used by traders and speculators who steadely refuse to consider the market as a "fair game" and survive with…
Technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets for a long time. The profitability remains controversial and few consider the stationarity of technical indicators used in trading rules. We convert MA, KDJ and Bollinger bands into stationary processes and investigate the profitability…
Study improves cryptocurrency price prediction using neural networks and technical indicators.
Predicting the intraday stock jumps is a significant but challenging problem in finance. Due to the instantaneity and imperceptibility characteristics of intraday stock jumps, relevant studies on their predictability remain limited. This paper proposes a data-driven approach to predict intraday stock jumps using the in…
Statistical learning theory provides the theoretical basis for many of today's machine learning algorithms. In this article we attempt to give a gentle, non-technical overview over the key ideas and insights of statistical learning theory. We target at a broad audience, not necessarily machine learning researchers. Thi…
In this dissertation, the main goal is visualisation of financial time series. We expect that visualisation of financial time series will be a useful auxiliary for technical analysis. Firstly, we review the technical analysis methods and test our trading rules, which are built by the essential concepts of technical ana…
AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.
This paper tackles hidden technical debts in fair ML systems for Fintech.
This paper proposes a novel trading system which plays the role of an artificial counselor for stock investment. In this paper, the stock future prices (technical features) are predicted using Support Vector Regression. Thereafter, the predicted prices are used to recommend which portions of the budget an investor shou…
CNN model predicts financial market movement with better performance.
We present a solution to an optimal stopping problem for a process with a wide-class of novel dynamics. The dynamics model the support/resistance line concept from financial technical analysis.
A3T-GCN model forecasts FTSE100 stock prices using technical indicators and financial ratios.
Study improves cryptocurrency price prediction using deep learning with trading and social media indicators.
Researchers compute link surgery modules for 2-component L-space links.
We propose a new indicator for technical analysis. The indicator emphasizes maximums and minimums in price series with inherent smoothing and has a potential to be useful in both mechanical trading rules and chart pattern analysis.
GA-MSSR optimizes forex trading rules for higher returns and reduced risk.
Much of modern practice in financial forecasting relies on technicals, an umbrella term for several heuristics applying visual pattern recognition to price charts. Despite its ubiquity in financial media, the reliability of its signals remains a contentious and highly subjective form of 'domain knowledge'. We investiga…
The abstract reviews Markov models in life insurance surplus.
We generalize the momentum indicator idea taking into account the volume of transactions as a multiplicative factor. We compare returns obtained following strategies based on the classical or the generalized technical analysis, taking into account a sort of risk investor criterion.
Scalable GPLVM reduces complexity in scRNA-seq data, accounting for technical and biological confounders.
This work tried to detect the existence of a relationship between the graphic signals - or patterns - observed day by day in the Brazilian stock market and the trends which happen after these signals, within a period of 8 years, for a number of securities. The results obtained from this study show evidence of the exist…
This note presents in a technical though hopefully pedagogical way the three most common forms of neural network architectures: Feedforward, Convolutional and Recurrent. For each network, their fundamental building blocks are detailed. The forward pass and the update rules for the backpropagation algorithm are then der…
A novel algorithm for actively trading stocks is presented. While traditional expert advice and "universal" algorithms (as well as standard technical trading heuristics) attempt to predict winners or trends, our approach relies on predictable statistical relations between all pairs of stocks in the market. Our empirica…
NEAT algorithm optimizes stock trading with reduced risk.
A new oscillator measures trending behavior of financial instruments.
For a compact surface , Thurston introduced a compactification of its Teichmüller space by completing it with a boundary consisting of projective measured geodesic laminations. We introduce a similar bordification for the Teichmüller space of a noncompact Ri…
The main goal of the present paper is the construction of twisted generalized differential cohomology theories and the comprehensive statement of its basic functorial properties. Technically it combines the homotopy theoretic approach to (untwisted) generalized differential cohomology developed by Hopkins-Singer and la…
Advanced ML/DL models predict stock prices using technical analysis.