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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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250499749998 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for technical bases

AI models predict stock trends using historical data and public sentiment.

problem Improving stock market prediction accuracy using AI.
method Employed regression and classification ML algorithms for technical and fundamental analysis respectively.
result Median performance suggests AI is not yet superior to stock markets.

TINs use neural networks to interpret technical indicators for trading.

problem Lack of interpretable neural architectures for technical indicators in trading.
method Introduced TINs, a neural architecture that reformulates technical indicators into trainable modules.
result Improved risk-adjusted performance compared to traditional indicator-based strategies.

Transformer model predicts stock trends using technical data and sentiment analysis.

problem Lack of accurate long-term stock trend prediction using traditional models.
method Developed a Transformer-based model integrating technical stock data and sentiment analysis.
result Transformer model shows significant improvement in directional accuracy over RNNs, especially for longer sequence lengths.

Machine learning models outperform traditional technical analysis in Bitcoin trading.

problem Maximizing profits in the Bitcoin market using trading signals.
method Comparison of machine learning models (LightGBM, LSTM) and technical analysis strategies (EMA, MACD+ADX).
result LSTM model achieved a 65.23% cumulative return over a year, significantly outperforming other strategies.

Study shows adding similar investors can either increase or decrease profits, depending on their strategy.

problem Investors argue conflictingly about the impact of adding similar investors on their profits.
method Built an agent-based financial market model with additional agents and investigated their earnings.
result Adding similar fundamental agents stabilizes market prices and decreases profits, while adding similar technical agents makes prices unstable and increases profits.

This paper proposes a novel trading system which plays the role of an artificial counselor for stock investment. In this paper, the stock future prices (technical features) are predicted using Support Vector Regression. Thereafter, the predicted prices are used to recommend which portions of the budget an investor shou…

2019-03-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This study improves stock price prediction for Apple Inc. using feature selection and regression models with technical indicators.

problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy for Apple Inc. using technical indicators.
method Evaluation of 123 technical indicators and 10 regression models on 13 years of Apple Inc. data.
result Combining feature selection with regression models significantly improves prediction accuracy.

Study finds traditional technical indicators underperform in high-frequency trading, suggesting risk management over prediction.

problem Inadequately explored effectiveness of technical indicators in high-frequency trading, particularly at minute-level frequency.
method Evaluation of random forest models with traditional technical indicators on minute-level SPY data.
result In-sample performance is superior to out-of-sample, with risk-adjusted metrics not outperforming a simple buy-and-hold strategy.

Paper compares stock price prediction models using Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately.
method Developed Heston and Geometric Brownian Motion models using Ito's lemma and Euler-Maruyama methods.
result Models outperform statistical indicators in predicting stock prices.

The paper limits the profitability of technical trading rules and finds they are not better than random trading.

problem The profitability of technical trading rules in stock markets is controversial.
method Proves the upper bound of cumulative return and investigates the profitability of technical trading rules using bootstrap methodology.
result Technical trading rules are not better than random trading and less profitable than the market.

GA-MSSR optimizes forex trading rules for higher returns and reduced risk.

problem Noisy market data affects the consistency and profitability of trading algorithms.
method Optimized trading rules derived from technical indicators using a Genetic Algorithm.
result GA-MSSR achieved superior performance with significant positive returns and reduced risk factors.

Cryptocurrency forecasting model considers macro, sentiment, and technical indicators.

problem High price volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
method Dual-prediction mechanism incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes.
result The proposed model outperforms ten comparison methods in short-term cryptocurrency forecasting.

Technical trading represents a class of investment strategies for Financial Markets based on the analysis of trends and recurrent patterns of price time series. According standard economical theories these strategies should not be used because they cannot be profitable. On the contrary it is well-known that technical t…

2011-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Predicts short-term futures contract direction using neural networks and order flow data.

problem Challenges in predicting short-term directional movement of futures contracts.
method Engineering features from technical analysis, order flow, and order-book data; training a Tabnet neural network.
result Achieved an accuracy of 0.601 in predicting directional change on the Silver Futures Contract.

A3T-GCN model forecasts FTSE100 stock prices using technical indicators and financial ratios.

problem Forecasting closing stock prices of FTSE100 constituents.
method Hybrid A3T-GCN architecture using technical indicators, financial ratios, and sector correlations.
result A3T-GCN model improves prediction accuracy with annualized log-returns and shorter sequence lengths.

Abstract: A new approach to technical indicators without lag.

problem Defining classical technical indicators as bounded operators for lag-free trading.
method Using linear algebra to redefine technical indicators as bounded operators in l(N)l^\infty(\mathbb{N}) space.
result Demonstrated the no-lag versions of technical indicators are simpler and more effective.

Improved NTL detection using human-in-the-loop approach with explainability.

problem Challenges in detecting NTL due to biased data and black-box models.
method Human-in-the-loop approach with explanatory methods to guide model training.
result Improved accuracy, interpretability, robustness, and flexibility of the prediction model.

Study improves cryptocurrency price prediction using deep learning with trading and social media indicators.

problem Predicting price movements of cryptocurrencies using deep learning.
method Used deep learning algorithms (MLP, CNN, LSTM, ALSTM) on hourly and daily data of Bitcoin and Ethereum.
result Unrestricted model with trading and social media indicators outperforms restricted model.

VTA combines verbal and latent reasoning for accurate stock time-series forecasts.

problem Challenges in combining textual analysis with time-series data for financial forecasting.
method Converts stock price data into textual annotations, optimizes reasoning trace using inverse MSE, conditions time-series model outputs on reasoning attributes.
result VTA achieves state-of-the-art forecasting accuracy and interpretable reasoning traces.

Survey on LSTM-based anomaly detection for technical systems.

problem Detect anomalies in technical systems due to complex dynamics.
method Use LSTM networks and other AI techniques to detect anomalies considering temporal and contextual characteristics.
result Demonstrates the potential of LSTM networks and graph-based approaches for anomaly detection.

Weak form of the Efficiency Market Hypothesis (EMH) excludes predictions of future market movements from historical data and makes the technical analysis (TA) out of law. However the technical analysis is widely used by traders and speculators who steadely refuse to consider the market as a "fair game" and survive with…

1999-02-03abs ↗pdf ↗

NEAT algorithm optimizes stock trading with reduced risk.

problem Maximizing earnings while minimizing risk in stock trading.
method Applied NEAT algorithm to stock trading with multiple technical indicators, using progressive training data and a multi-objective fitness function.
result NEAT model achieved similar returns to Buy & Hold but with lower risk and stability.

Hybrid AI system combines technical, sentiment analysis for adaptive equity trading.

problem Traditional trading strategies fail during high volatility and regime shifts.
method Combines trend-following, mean-reversion, sentiment analysis, machine learning, and market regime filtering.
result Hybrid model achieved 135.49% return on investment over 24 months.

While historically, economists have been primarily occupied with analyzing the behaviour of the markets, electronic trading gave rise to a new class of unprecedented problems associated with market fairness, transparency and manipulation. These problems stem from technical shortcomings that are not accounted for in the…

2019-10-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a randomized algorithm for SPCA with high probability approximation.

problem Sparse Principal Component Analysis (SPCA) is NP-hard.
method Based on basic SDP relaxation, the algorithm constructs deterministic and randomized solutions.
result The algorithm achieves an approximation ratio of at most the sparsity constant with high probability.

In this survey, a short introduction in the recent discovery of log-normally distributed market-technical trend data will be given. The results of the statistical evaluation of typical market-technical trend variables will be presented. It will be shown that the log-normal assumption fits better to empirical trend data…

2016-05-11abs ↗pdf ↗