A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New algorithm for identifying Condorcet team in noisy comparisons.
A faster algorithm for ranking from pairwise comparisons.
Dynamic paired comparison models, such as Elo and Glicko, are frequently used for sports prediction and ranking players or teams. We present an alternative dynamic paired comparison model which uses a Gaussian Process (GP) as a prior for the time dynamics rather than the Markovian dynamics usually assumed. In addition,…
In this work we present STEVE - Soccer TEam VEctors, a principled approach for learning real valued vectors for soccer teams where similar teams are close to each other in the resulting vector space. STEVE only relies on freely available information about the matches teams played in the past. These vectors can serve as…
Multiplayer Online Battle Arena (MOBA) games are among the most played digital games in the world. In these games, teams of players fight against each other in arena environments, and the gameplay is focused on tactical combat. Mastering MOBAs requires extensive practice, as is exemplified in the popular MOBA Defence o…
In this paper, we employ machine learning techniques to analyze seventeen seasons (1999-2000 to 2015-2016) of NBA regular season data from every team to determine the common characteristics among NBA playoff teams. Each team was characterized by 26 predictor variables and one binary response variable taking on a value …
New method ranks competitors from multiple types of comparisons.
Proposes a nonparametric model for dynamic team rankings.
Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We achieve this by replacing the static parameters of a class of popular pairwise-compari…
Attackers can significantly reduce team rewards in cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning.
Paper studies competitive networks where teams aim to minimize their own objectives, adapting to each other's strategies.
GNNRank uses neural networks to learn global rankings from competition match data.
Human-AI teaming suffers from calibration issues.
New model for pairwise comparisons without stochastic transitivity.
Technology offers new ways to measure the locations of the players and of the ball in sports. This translates to the trajectories the ball takes on the field as a result of the tactics the team applies. The challenge professionals in soccer are facing is to take the reverse path: given the trajectories of the ball is i…
An online labor platform faces an online learning problem in matching workers with jobs and using the performance on these jobs to create better future matches. This learning problem is complicated by the rise of complex tasks on these platforms, such as web development and product design, that require a team of worker…
CGAs estimate team performance from data, simplifying SV computation.
The study uses unsupervised machine learning to identify top European football teams.
Develops a method to infer partial rankings from sparse comparisons.
Paper presents Transfer Portal model for accurate player performance predictions.
Coordinated defensive escorts can aid a navigating payload by positioning themselves in order to maintain the safety of the payload from obstacles. In this paper, we present a novel, end-to-end solution for coordinating an escort team for protecting high-value payloads. Our solution employs deep reinforcement learning …
New approach for open ad hoc teamwork using graph-based policy learning.
The paper offers algorithms for managing freelancers and in-house workers in online labor markets.
Introduces LTQL for factored policies in cooperative MARL.
BC-Aligner maintains backward compatibility of embeddings after frequent updates.
The paper designs tests for comparing ranked preference data and finds significant differences.
Many cooperative multiagent reinforcement learning environments provide agents with a sparse team-based reward, as well as a dense agent-specific reward that incentivizes learning basic skills. Training policies solely on the team-based reward is often difficult due to its sparsity. Furthermore, relying solely on the a…
Study fair team formation in online labor marketplaces.
ContestTrade uses competitive teams to improve LLM trading performance.
Human players in professional team sports achieve high level coordination by dynamically choosing complementary skills and executing primitive actions to perform these skills. As a step toward creating intelligent agents with this capability for fully cooperative multi-agent settings, we propose a two-level hierarchica…
We aim to reduce the burden of programming and deploying autonomous systems to work in concert with people in time-critical domains, such as military field operations and disaster response. Deployment plans for these operations are frequently negotiated on-the-fly by teams of human planners. A human operator then trans…
We study the relationship between social media output and National Football League (NFL) games, using a dataset containing messages from Twitter and NFL game statistics. Specifically, we consider tweets pertaining to specific teams and games in the NFL season and use them alongside statistical game data to build predic…
We propose an original model for inferring team strengths using a Markov Random Field, which can be used to generate historical estimates of the offensive and defensive strengths of a team over time. This model was designed to be applied to sports such as soccer or hockey, in which contest outcomes take value in a limi…
Study on academic finance evolution over 30 years.
A number of applications (e.g., AI bot tournaments, sports, peer grading, crowdsourcing) use pairwise comparison data and the Bradley-Terry-Luce (BTL) model to evaluate a given collection of items (e.g., bots, teams, students, search results). Past work has shown that under the BTL model, the widely-used maximum-likeli…
This paper reports the method and evaluation results of MedAusbild team for ISIC challenge task. Since early 2017, our team has worked on melanoma classification [1][6], and has employed deep learning since beginning of 2018 [7]. Deep learning helps researchers absolutely to treat and detect diseases by analyzing medic…
Algorithm learns to switch control among agents in a team.
While multi-agent interactions can be naturally modeled as a graph, the environment has traditionally been considered as a black box. We propose to create a shared agent-entity graph, where agents and environmental entities form vertices, and edges exist between the vertices which can communicate with each other. Agent…
AI benchmarks evaluate football team performance using generative models.
The way developers collaborate inside and particularly across teams often escapes management's attention, despite a formal organization with designated teams being defined. Observability of the actual, organically formed engineering structure provides decision makers invaluable additional tools to manage their talent p…
The paper uses belief propagation to analyze rankings and partial orders from partial information.
Framework for real-time win probability and player ability in sports.
Proposes RPG-RT for red-teaming T2I models without internal access.
AI systems are being deployed to support human decision making in high-stakes domains. In many cases, the human and AI form a team, in which the human makes decisions after reviewing the AI's inferences. A successful partnership requires that the human develops insights into the performance of the AI system, including …
Study predicts individual treatment effects in ride-sharing competitions.
Algorithm for decentralized competition among adaptive agents.
New framework assesses LLM security risks in BFSI.
The kind of realized mission inflows the sensitivity to risk. Among other factors, the risk results from decision about liquid assets investment level and liquid assets financing. The higher the risk exposure, the higher the level of liquid assets. If the specific risk exposure is smaller, the more aggressive could be …