Task shift from classification to regression is possible in overparameterized linear models with limited additional data.
problem Transferability of latent knowledge from classification to regression in overparameterized linear models.
method Investigation of task shift in overparameterized linear regression, zero-shot and few-shot cases, with a focus on minimum-norm interpolation.
result Minimum-norm interpolators can transfer latent knowledge from classification to regression with limited additional data.
DCASE 2022 Task 2 tackles domain shifts in ASD for machine condition monitoring.
problem Domain shifts change acoustic characteristics, affecting ASD performance.
method Domain generalization techniques to detect anomalies across unknown domains.
result Two types of domain generalization techniques were identified and analyzed.
Shifts dataset evaluates uncertainty in real-world tasks across modalities.
problem Lack of standard datasets for evaluating uncertainty estimation and robustness to distributional shift.
method Proposes Shifts Dataset for evaluation of uncertainty estimates and robustness to distributional shift across tabular, audio, text, and sensor data.
result Baseline results for tabular weather prediction, machine translation, and SDC vehicle motion prediction.
We describe a mechanism by which artificial neural networks can learn rapid adaptation - the ability to adapt on the fly, with little data, to new tasks - that we call conditionally shifted neurons. We apply this mechanism in the framework of metalearning, where the aim is to replicate some of the flexibility of human …
Extends Shifts dataset for MS lesion segmentation and marine vessel power estimation.
problem Distributional shift in training and deployment data for ML models.
method Develops new datasets for high-risk industrial applications.
result Demonstrates robustness and uncertainty estimation in new industrial tasks.
The paper analyzes how combining samples from two tasks can improve performance, especially in high dimensions.
problem Understanding when combining samples from two related tasks outperforms learning with one task alone.
method Applying random matrix theory to high-dimensional linear regression, focusing on proportional sample size increases.
result Precise high-dimensional asymptotics for bias and variance of HPS estimator, showing phase transitions in transfer performance.
Covariate shift relaxes the widely-employed independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption by allowing different training and testing input distributions. Unfortunately, common methods for addressing covariate shift by trying to remove the bias between training and testing distributions using importance weigh…
New framework identifies worst-case shifts for predictive resource allocation models.
problem Identifying harmful shifts in predictive models for resource allocation.
method Hierarchical model structure and submodular optimization for worst-case loss.
result Empirical evidence shows divergent worst-case shifts identified by different metrics.
Novel hyperparameter optimization for target tasks under covariate shift.
problem Hyperparameter optimization under multi-source covariate shift.
method Construct variance reduced estimator to unbiasedly approximate target objective; propose no-regret hyperparameter optimization procedure.
result Proposed framework broadens applications of automated hyperparameter optimization.
DCASE 2021 ASD task tackles domain-shifted anomalous sound detection.
problem Detecting unknown anomalous sounds under domain-shifted conditions.
method Ensemble of outlier exposure and inlier modeling detectors, feature learning from machine identification.
result Two types of remarkable approaches were adopted by top teams.
Paper proposes a framework to detect distribution shifts using embedding space geometry.
problem Detecting distribution shifts in candidate datasets to improve model generalizability.
method Non-parametric framework using embedding space geometry for two tests: robustness boundary and in-distribution/out-of-distribution classification.
result Both tests successfully detect distribution shifts in various scenarios for both synthetic and real-world datasets.
We created financial benchmarks for distribution shifts in crude oil prices and volatility.
problem Scarcity of task-labeled time-series benchmarks in finance.
method Transformed asset price data into volatility proxies, generated task labels based on distribution shifts, and made datasets publicly available.
result Inclusion of task labels improves continual learning algorithms' performance on real-world data.
MAGDiff detects data shifts in neural networks without retraining.
problem Neural networks' sensitivity to data distribution shifts.
method Extracts MAGDiff representations from neural networks to detect shifts.
result MAGDiff representations improve data set shift detection.
Conformal prediction fails under severe feature turnover in COVID-19 supply chain tasks.
problem Dealing with distribution shift in conformal prediction models.
method Using COVID-19 as a natural experiment across 8 supply chain tasks, analyzing SHAP explanations.
result Coverage drops vary widely (0% to 86.7%) and correlate with single-feature dependence.
Public pretraining improves private model training even in extreme distribution shift scenarios.
problem Improving private model training accuracy in settings with large distribution shift.
method Empirical evaluation and theoretical explanation of public representations improving private training accuracy.
result Public representations can improve private training accuracy by up to 67% over private training from scratch in settings with large distribution shift.
Improves model calibration and selection in unsupervised domain adaptation.
problem Distribution shifts in unsupervised domain adaptation.
method Developed a novel importance weighted group accuracy estimator.
result Improves state-of-the-art performances by 22% in model calibration and 14% in model selection.
FakeEdge tackles dataset shift in link prediction tasks.
problem Dataset shift between training and testing sets in link prediction.
method Model-agnostic technique to mitigate graph topological gap.
result Extensive experiments show FakeEdge's superiority on multiple datasets.
Multi-task learning leverages shared information among data sets to improve the learning performance of individual tasks. The paper applies this framework for data where each task is a phase-shifted periodic time series. In particular, we develop a novel Bayesian nonparametric model capturing a mixture of Gaussian proc…
HySRL improves RL sample efficiency with shifted-dynamics data.
problem Leveraging historical data with shifted dynamics to improve sample efficiency in RL.
method HySRL, a hybrid transfer RL algorithm that uses prior information on dynamics shift to achieve better sample complexity.
result HySRL achieves problem-dependent sample complexity and outperforms pure online RL.
Proposes a method to improve regression model performance with limited target data using fused-regularizer.
problem Model shifts and covariate shifts in high-dimensional regression.
method Two-step method with fused-regularizer to leverage source data for target task.
result Robust to covariate shifts, minimax-optimal under certain conditions, and validated by numerical tests.
New bounds for contrastive learning handle domain shifts and generalization.
problem Domain shifts and generalization challenges in downstream tasks.
method Novel generalization bounds accounting for both domain shift and generalization.
result Performance of contrastively learned representations depends on statistical discrepancy between pretraining and downstream distributions.
Study shows cross-domain X-ray prediction performance discrepancies and label shifts.
problem Quantifying generalization limits across different X-ray datasets.
method Large-scale study on multiple X-ray datasets, focusing on performance and label shifts.
result Interesting discrepancies found between model performance and agreement, and concept similarity across tasks.
New method for valid prediction sets in high-dimensional covariate shifts.
problem Valid prediction sets in high-dimensional covariate shifts.
method Likelihood-ratio regularized quantile regression (LR-QR) algorithm.
result LR-QR constructs valid prediction sets with desired coverage in target domain.
JAWS audits predictive uncertainty under covariate shift using jackknife+ weighted methods.
problem Auditing predictive uncertainty under data distribution shifts.
method JAW and JAWA methods for distribution-free uncertainty quantification.
result JAW relaxes the jackknife+'s assumption of data exchangeability for covariate shift.
Improves overparameterized models' robustness to distribution shifts.
problem Accuracy drop on testing distributions different from training.
method Importance tempering to improve decision boundaries.
result State-of-the-art results on worst group classification tasks.
Federated learning method improves covariate shift adaptation for missing target values.
problem Missing target values in federated learning.
method Federated covariate shift adaptation algorithm for missing target output values.
result Asymptotically unbiased and efficient algorithm for federated learning.
New method adapts to structural shifts in graph data for better label prevalence estimation.
problem Structural shifts in graph data affect label prevalence estimation.
method Importance sampling variant of KDEy quantification approach.
result Adapts to structural shifts and outperforms standard approaches.
Improved vehicle motion prediction with uncertainty estimation.
problem Robust motion prediction for autonomous vehicles, especially under distributional shift.
method Presented an approach significantly improving the benchmark and taking 2nd place on the leaderboard.
result Significantly improved motion prediction and uncertainty measurement.
RAVEN improves weak-to-strong generalization under distribution shifts.
problem Weak models fail to supervise strong models effectively under distribution shifts.
method RAVEN dynamically learns optimal combinations of weak models and strong model parameters.
result RAVEN outperforms existing methods by over 30% on out-of-distribution tasks.
Proposes SGShift to identify shifted features causing model performance degradation under concept shift.
problem Concept shift leading to miscalibration in ML models across domains.
method SGShift method for identifying sparse set of shifted features using feature selection and statistical tools.
result SGShift identifies shifted features more accurately than baseline methods, requires few samples in the shifted domain, and is robust to complex cases.
Paper tackles backwards-compatible data adaptation for confounded covariate and label shifts.
problem Adapt covariates to predict labels confounded with covariate shifts.
method Proposes confounded shift framework based on minimizing divergence between source and target conditional distributions, conditioning on confounders.
result Demonstrates approach on synthetic and real datasets, achieving backwards-compatible data adaptation.
DetectShift framework detects and quantifies dataset shifts in various data types.
problem Frequent dataset shifts decrease supervised learning performance.
method DetectShift framework quantifies and tests for multiple dataset shifts in various data types.
result DetectShift framework effectively detects dataset shifts even in higher dimensions.
Proposes a FoE prior for improving CNN performance in distribution shifts.
problem Improving CNN performance in image analysis tasks with distribution shifts.
method Uses a field-of-experts (FoE) prior to match feature distributions of test and training images.
result Outperforms previous TTA methods in lesion segmentation and most healthy tissue segmentation tasks.
New framework identifies and reduces errors in machine learning under distribution shift.
problem Errors in machine learning models when distributions change.
method Developed a principled framework to characterize and eliminate epistemic errors in imperfect multitask learning.
result Provided a decompositional epistemic error bound for general settings of distribution shift.
Dynamic memory prevents forgetting in continuous learning of medical images.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in machine learning models over time due to domain shifts.
method Dynamic memory to store and replay diverse training data subsets.
result Dynamic memory mitigates forgetting without knowing when shifts occur.
Method identifies shifts leading to large model performance differences.
problem Detecting shifts in distribution that affect model performance.
method Parametric changes in causal mechanisms define robustness sets; worst-case optimization problem approximated as non-convex quadratic.
result Second-order approximation of worst-case loss for small shifts, leading to efficient algorithms.
This work uses adversarial learning to detect and correct feature shifts in various datasets.
problem Detecting and correcting feature shifts in real-world datasets.
method Adversarial learning applied to multiple discriminators to detect and correct feature shifts.
result Mainstream classifiers can effectively localize and correct feature shifts, outperforming existing techniques.
CoDrug uses KDE to create valid prediction sets for drug molecules under covariate shift.
problem Creating reliable uncertainty estimates for drug properties from computational models.
method CoDrug employs an energy-based model and KDE to assess and rectify distribution shift.
result CoDrug reduces the coverage gap by over 35% compared to non-adjusted conformal prediction sets.
We consider the problem of function estimation in the case where the data distribution may shift between training and test time, and additional information about it may be available at test time. This relates to popular scenarios such as covariate shift, concept drift, transfer learning and semi-supervised learning. Th…
Paper tackles efficient risk estimation under dataset shift conditions.
problem Limited data from target population; auxiliary data available.
method Semiparametric efficiency theory; efficient and multiply robust estimators.
result Developed estimators for various dataset shift conditions.
Reweighting training data to better represent new tasks.
problem Deploying machine learning models to new tasks is challenging due to training data distribution.
method Formulate an exponential tilt distribution shift model and learn train data importance weights to minimize KL divergence.
result The learned train data weights improve target performance evaluation, fine-tuning, and model selection.
Imitation learning has gained immense popularity because of its high sample-efficiency. However, in real-world scenarios, where the trajectory distribution of most of the tasks dynamically shifts, model fitting on continuously aggregated data alone would be futile. In some cases, the distribution shifts, so much, that …
This work evaluates graph models' robustness to structural distributional shifts.
problem Evaluating graph models' robustness to structural distributional shifts.
method Proposes a general approach for inducing diverse distributional shifts based on graph structure.
result Simple models often outperform more sophisticated methods on structural distributional shifts.
DORO improves DRO's performance and stability in tasks with subpopulation shift.
problem DRO's poor performance and instability in tasks with subpopulation shift.
method DORO, a refined risk function that prevents overfitting to outliers.
result DORO improves DRO's performance and stability on large modern datasets.
Active learning method balances bias and variance under class imbalance.
problem Active learning under label shift when class proportions differ.
method Mediated Active Learning under Label Shift (MALLS) using a 'medial distribution'.
result MALLS reduces asymptotic sample complexity under arbitrary label shift.
Paper introduces a method to create robust representations against covariate shifts.
problem Distribution shift between training and testing data in machine learning.
method Introduces a variational objective with two components: discriminative representation and invariant support.
result Optimal representations ensure robustness to covariate shifts, improving performance on DomainBed.
Study improves conformal prediction for EEG classification in healthcare, enhancing coverage.
problem Uncertainty quantification in clinical predictions, especially in distribution-shifted settings.
method Personalized calibration strategies to improve coverage of prediction sets.
result Coverage improved by over 20 percentage points with comparable prediction set sizes.
Simple method improves uncertainty estimation for distribution shifts.
problem Improving uncertainty estimation in deep image classification under distribution shifts.
method Exposing original model to corrupted images and performing simple statistical calibration.
result Superior performance on various distribution shifts and unsupervised domain adaptation tasks.