Study option pricing in sideways markets and target zones.
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Paper presents a WiFi-based indoor sensor localization technique.
We study optimal trading in an Almgren-Chriss model with running and terminal inventory costs and general predictive signals about price changes. As a special case, this allows to treat optimal liquidation in "target zone models": asset prices with a reflecting boundary enforced by regulatory interventions. In this cas…
In this note we discuss - in what is intended to be a pedagogical fashion - FX option pricing in target zones with attainable boundaries. The boundaries must be reflecting. The no-arbitrage requirement implies that the differential (foreign minus domestic) short-rate is not deterministic. When the band is narrow, we ca…
Central bank strategy to maintain currency exchange rate within limits.
Proposes a multilingual email segmentation benchmark and model.
We study optimal buying and selling strategies in target zone models. In these models the price is modeled by a diffusion process which is reflected at one or more barriers. Such models arise for example when a currency exchange rate is kept above a certain threshold due to central bank intervention. We consider the op…
Brillouin zones were introduced by Brillouin in the thirties to describe quantum mechanical properties of crystals, that is, in a lattice in . They play an important role in solid-state physics. It was shown by Bieberbach that Brillouin zones tile the underlying space and that each zone has the same area. We gene…
Machine learning predicts CO2 emissions in power grids, reducing uncertainty.
Study shows critical width for rigidity of equatorial zones on spheres.
Paper introduces a new power-dominance axis in estimator design.
For a given lattice, we establish an equivalence involving a closed zone of the corresponding Voronoi polytope, a lamina hyperplane of the corresponding Delaunay partition and a quadratic form of rank 1 being an extreme ray of the corresponding L-type domain.
We consider the effects of the 2008 global financial crisis on the global stock market before, during, and after the crisis. We generate complex networks from a cross-correlation matrix such as the threshold network (TN) and the minimal spanning tree (MST). In the threshold network, we assign a threshold value by using…
The Zeeman-Hamilton operators of free charged particles are identified with the Laplacians of certain Riemannian manifolds, called Zeeman manifolds. The quantum Hilbert space decomposes into subspaces (Zeeman zones) which are invariant under the actions both of the Zeeman operator and the natural Heisenberg group repre…
The Zone of Avoidance makes it difficult for astronomers to catalogue galaxies at low latitudes to our galactic plane due to high star densities and extinction. However, having a complete sky map of galaxies is important in a number of fields of research in astronomy. There are many unclassified sources of light in the…
Model predicts and optimizes trading of electricity price spreads across multiple zones.
Optimizes portfolio with two controls to minimize trades and maintain signal integrity.
CoDeQ simplifies joint model compression by integrating pruning and quantization.
In the present paper which a sequel to dg-ga/9511005 and dg-ga//9610013 a global Weierstrass representation of an arbitrary closed oriented surface of genus in the the three-space is constructed. The Weierstrass spectrum of a torus immersed into is introduced and finite-zone planes as well as finite-zone…
We study the problem of optimal trading using general alpha predictors with linear costs and temporary impact. We do this within the framework of stochastic optimization with finite horizon using both limit and market orders. Consistently with other studies, we find that the presence of linear costs induces a no-tradin…
Study reveals different drivers of electricity price volatility across Europe.
We explore the loss landscape of fully-connected and convolutional neural networks using random, low-dimensional hyperplanes and hyperspheres. Evaluating the Hessian, , of the loss function on these hypersurfaces, we observe 1) an unusual excess of the number of positive eigenvalues of , and 2) a large value of $…
Algorithm finds safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.
We study the performance of the euro/Swiss franc exchange rate in the extraordinary period from September 6, 2011 and January 15, 2015 when the Swiss National Bank enforced a minimum exchange rate of 1.20 Swiss francs per euro. Based on the analogy between Brownian motion in finance and physics, the first-order effect …
Hierarchical GANs reduce anomaly detection costs.
We propose a novel defense against all existing gradient based adversarial attacks on deep neural networks for image classification problems. Our defense is based on a combination of deep neural networks and simple image transformations. While straightforward in implementation, this defense yields a unique security pro…
Unified principle LZN unifies generative modeling, representation learning, and classification.
Chagas disease is a neglected disease, and information about its geographical spread is very scarse. We analyze here mobility and calling patterns in order to identify potential risk zones for the disease, by using public health information and mobile phone records. Geolocalized call records are rich in social and mobi…
Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. In this paper we use social welfare as the measure to assess quality of various zonal divisions. The social welfare is calculated by Market Coupling algorithm. The analyzed divisions are found by the usage of extended Locational …
We discuss the idea of a purely algorithmic universal world iCurrency set forth in [Kakushadze and Liew, 2014] (https://ssrn.com/abstract=2542541) and expanded in [Kakushadze and Liew, 2017] (https://ssrn.com/abstract=3059330) in light of recent developments, including Libra. Is Libra a contender to become iCurrency? A…
We consider a stochastic game between a trader and a central bank in a target zone market with a lower currency peg. This currency peg is maintained by the central bank through the generation of permanent price impact, thereby aggregating an ever increasing risky position in foreign reserves. We describe this situation…
Proportional transaction costs present difficult theoretical problems in trading algorithm design, on account of their lack of analytical tractability. The author derives a solution of DT-NT-DT form for an arbitrary model in which the the traded asset has diffusive dynamics described by one or more stochastic risk fact…
Our analysis of financial data, in terms of super-exponential growth, suggests that the seed of the 2002/03 crisis of the Dutch supermarket giant AHOLD was planted in 1996. It became quite visible in 1999 when the post-bubble destabilization regime was well-developed and acted as the precursor of an inevitable collapse…
Optimal trading strategy with predictor and costs, derived equations and shape.
With developing of computation tools in the last years, data analysis methods to find insightful information are becoming more common among industries and researchers. This paper is the first part of the times series analysis of New England electricity price and demand to find anomaly in the data. In this paper time-se…
This paper presents a recognition system for handwritten Pashto letters. However, handwritten character recognition is a challenging task. These letters not only differ in shape and style but also vary among individuals. The recognition becomes further daunting due to the lack of standard datasets for inscribed Pashto …
We introduce a mathematical model on the dynamics of demand and supply incorporating collectability and saturation factors. Our analysis shows that when the fluctuation of the determinants of demand and supply is strong enough, there is chaos in the demand-supply dynamics. Our numerical simulation shows that such a cha…
In this paper, we introduce an insurance ruin model with adaptive premium rate, thereafter refered to as restructuring/refraction, in which classical ruin and bankruptcy are distinguished. In this model, the premium rate is increased as soon as the wealth process falls into the red zone and is brought back to its regul…
Optimizing nonlinear systems involving expensive computer experiments with regard to conflicting objectives is a common challenge. When the number of experiments is severely restricted and/or when the number of objectives increases, uncovering the whole set of Pareto optimal solutions is out of reach, even for surrogat…
Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of people within a city is crucial to many planning applications. Obtaining data to create required knowledge, currently involves costly survey methods. At the same time ubiquitous mobile sensors from personal GPS devices to mobile phones are collecting massive amounts of d…
Epilepsy is the fourth most common neurological disorder, affecting about 1% of the population at all ages. As many as 60% of people with epilepsy experience focal seizures which originate in a certain brain area and are limited to part of one cerebral hemisphere. In focal epilepsy patients, a precise surgical removal …
The fuzzy ROC extends Receiver Operating Curve (ROC) visualization to the situation where some data points, falling in an indeterminacy region, are not classified. It addresses two challenges: definition of sensitivity and specificity bounds under indeterminacy; and visual summarization of the large number of possibili…
In this paper, we propose a novel asymmetric -insensitive pinball loss function for quantile estimation. There exists some pinball loss functions which attempt to incorporate the -insensitive zone approach in it but, they fail to extend the -insensitive approach for quantile estimation in true sense. The propo…
We describe a new public-domain open-source simulator of an electronic financial exchange, and of the traders that interact with the exchange, which is a truly distributed and cloud-native system that been designed to run on widely available commercial cloud-computing services, and in which various components can be pl…
Optimal trading patterns adjust based on market efficiency and slippage costs.
Gaussian beams describe the amplitude and phase of rays and are widely used to model acoustic propagation. This paper describes four new results in the theory of Gaussian beams. (1) A new version of the Červený equations for the amplitude and phase of Gaussian beams is developed by applying the equivalence of Hamilton-…
Study improves motor insurance claim prediction using geographic data.
Bayesian method improves deep learning for noisy EEG seizure detection.