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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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2715428121,083 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for target value optimization

Optimizes target value in stochastic black box functions.

problem Finding input to minimize expected squared error to target value.
method Derives acquisition functions for expected improvement, probability of improvement, and lower confidence bound, assuming Gaussian aleatoric effects.
result Acquisition functions can outperform classical Bayesian optimization under certain conditions.

Berry et al. (1997) initiated the development of the infinite arms bandit problem. They derived a regret lower bound of all allocation strategies for Bernoulli rewards with uniform priors, and proposed strategies based on success runs. Bonald and Proutière (2013) proposed a two-target algorithm that achieves the regret…

2018-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

When optimizing against the mean loss over a distribution of predictions in the context of a regression task, then even if there is a distribution of targets the optimal prediction distribution is always a delta function at a single value. Methods of constructing generative models need to overcome this tendency. We con…

2019-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

In many finite horizon episodic reinforcement learning (RL) settings, it is desirable to optimize for the undiscounted return - in settings like Atari, for instance, the goal is to collect the most points while staying alive in the long run. Yet, it may be difficult (or even intractable) mathematically to learn with th…

2019-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Experimental design is a process of obtaining a product with target property via experimentation. Bayesian optimization offers a sample-efficient tool for experimental design when experiments are expensive. Often, expert experimenters have 'hunches' about the behavior of the experimental system, offering potentials to …

2019-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates optimal personalized treatment rules from mixed data sources.

problem Combining RCT and observational data for personalized treatment rules.
method Doubly robust estimator for value function, maximizing within pre-specified ITR class.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal optimal value estimator with N1/3N^{-1/3} rate of convergence.

This work explores Target Networks and Functional Regularization in deep Reinforcement Learning.

problem Stability and performance issues in deep Reinforcement Learning due to target value instability.
method Proposes and studies an explicit Functional Regularization approach as a replacement for Target Networks.
result Functional Regularization improves performance and stability compared to Target Networks.

Framework improves policy generalizability under biased training data.

problem Learning policies that generalize to a target population from biased training data.
method Characterizes sample selection bias using a selection variable, optimizes minimax value over uncertainty set, derives efficient algorithm.
result Policies generalize to target population, outperform standard methods.

New method for estimating value of optimal policies in uncertain scenarios.

problem Inference for optimal policies when they are non-unique or nearly deterministic.
method Semiparametric efficiency bound, uniformly weighted estimator, NSAVE method.
result Proposes NSAVE method for robust inference in uncertain optimal policies.

Uncoupled regression is the problem to learn a model from unlabeled data and the set of target values while the correspondence between them is unknown. Such a situation arises in predicting anonymized targets that involve sensitive information, e.g., one's annual income. Since existing methods for uncoupled regression …

2019-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimality in safety-constrained Markov decision processes using asynchronous value iteration and modified Q-learning.

problem Optimality in safety-constrained Markov decision processes with multichain structure.
method Formulated as a zero-sum game, constructed asynchronous value iteration scheme and modified Q-learning algorithm.
result Resolved Bellman's principle of optimality for multichain Markov decision processes and provided learning algorithms.

Model-free reinforcement learning methods such as the Proximal Policy Optimization algorithm (PPO) have successfully applied in complex decision-making problems such as Atari games. However, these methods suffer from high variances and high sample complexity. On the other hand, model-based reinforcement learning method…

2018-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian optimization technique scaled using Vecchia approximations.

problem Scalability issue with Gaussian process surrogate models in Bayesian optimization.
method Adapted Vecchia approximation from spatial statistics to Gaussian processes, developed improvements and extensions.
result Methods compared favorably to state-of-the-art on various test functions and reinforcement learning problems.

Develops a method to estimate personalized treatment regimes from summary statistics.

problem Estimating optimal treatment regimes for a target population when individual-level data is unavailable.
method A weighting framework that tailors a treatment regime for the target population using summary statistics.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimator for optimal treatment regimes.

We present a novel algorithm to train a deep Q-learning agent using natural-gradient techniques. We compare the original deep Q-network (DQN) algorithm to its natural-gradient counterpart, which we refer to as NGDQN, on a collection of classic control domains. Without employing target networks, NGDQN significantly outp…

2018-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

With the increasing variety of services that e-commerce platforms provide, criteria for evaluating their success become also increasingly multi-targeting. This work introduces a multi-target optimization framework with Bayesian modeling of the target events, called Deep Bayesian Multi-Target Learning (DBMTL). In this f…

2019-02-25abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we introduce an actor-critic algorithm called Deep Value Model Predictive Control (DMPC), which combines model-based trajectory optimization with value function estimation. The DMPC actor is a Model Predictive Control (MPC) optimizer with an objective function defined in terms of a value function estimat…

2019-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proposes learning optimal priors from data for better Bayesian inference.

problem Challenges the use of noninformative uniform priors in Bayesian inference.
method Machine learning approach to learn optimal priors from data using a target function.
result Study models consistently outperformed baseline models in Wikipedia category classification.

Recent policy optimization approaches (Schulman et al., 2015a; 2017) have achieved substantial empirical successes by constructing new proxy optimization objectives. These proxy objectives allow stable and low variance policy learning, but require small policy updates to ensure that the proxy objective remains an accur…

2019-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

fCBO optimizes interventions in causal graphs using Gaussian processes.

problem Optimizing interventions in known causal graphs.
method Functional causal Bayesian optimization (fCBO) using Gaussian processes and expected improvement acquisition.
result Functional interventions can lead to better target effects and optimal conditional effects.

Optimal transport aligns source and target distributions for linear regression in 2D.

problem Domain adaptation for linear regression in 2D with limited target data.
method Combining K-means and optimal transport for estimating geometric transformations.
result Optimal transport recovers geometric transformations like rotations, translations, and homotheties.

Study optimal bidding strategies for digital ads targeting purchases and health campaigns.

problem Optimizing advertising strategies in digital channels.
method Continuous-time models encoding user behavior and auction mechanisms, semi-explicit formulas for optimal bidding.
result Semi-explicit formulas for optimal value and bidding policy for different types of advertising.

Optimal rates for vector-valued regression on various norms.

problem Optimal rates for vector-valued ridge regression on continuous norms.
method Combining standard capacity assumptions with tensor product constructions of vector-valued interpolation spaces.
result Optimal rates for vector-valued ridge regression, independent of output space dimension.

This paper improves traditional Markowitz optimization by considering variance at multiple time scales.

problem Traditional Markowitz optimization limits to a single time scale, ignoring variance across different frequencies.
method Introduces multifrequency optimization allowing specification of target Hurst exponents across multiple time scales.
result Effective risk management strategy that aligns with investor preferences at various time scales.

DVA framework attributes value of predictive models to features, configurations, and interactions.

problem Lack of explanation for how predictive models influence operational decisions.
method Shapley-based cooperative game theory applied to predict-then-optimize systems.
result DVA can guide targeted interventions to align model beliefs with operational performance.

Optimal weights improve particle-based approximations of discrete distributions.

problem Improving particle-based approximations of discrete distributions.
method Proving optimality of weights and showing how to compute them efficiently.
result Optimal weights can be computed from existing particle-based methods without extra costs.

We introduce a framework for statistical estimation that leverages knowledge of how samples are collected but makes no distributional assumptions on the data values. Specifically, we consider a population of elements [n]=1,,n[n]={1,\ldots,n} with corresponding data values x1,,xnx_1,\ldots,x_n. We observe the values for a "sample…

2019-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Presents SPEED, an algorithm for optimal policy evaluation in linear bandits with heteroscedastic noise.

problem Optimal data collection for policy evaluation in linear bandits with heteroscedastic reward noise.
method Formulated an optimal design for weighted least squares estimates, derived the optimal sample allocation, introduced SPEED algorithm, and derived regret bounds.
result SPEED leads to policy evaluation with MSE comparable to oracle strategy and significantly lower than random policy execution.

A large body of animation research focuses on optimization of movement control, either as action sequences or policy parameters. However, as closed-form expressions of the objective functions are often not available, our understanding of the optimization problems is limited. Building on recent work on analyzing neural …

2019-09-17abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper investigates how target normalization and momentum affect dying ReLUs in neural networks.

problem Understanding and mitigating the dying ReLU problem in neural networks.
method Empirical analysis and theoretical modeling of a discrete-time linear autonomous system.
result Target variance plays a crucial role in the dying ReLU phenomenon, and momentum exacerbates this issue.

Optimal transport aligns rotated linear regression models across domains.

problem Aligning rotated linear regression models across domains with differing statistical properties.
method Combines K-means clustering, OT, and SVD to estimate rotation angle and adapt regression model.
result Optimal transport map recovers underlying rotation in R2\mathbb{R}^2.

Quantifying the value of data is a fundamental problem in machine learning. Data valuation has multiple important use cases: (1) building insights about the learning task, (2) domain adaptation, (3) corrupted sample discovery, and (4) robust learning. To adaptively learn data values jointly with the target task predict…

2019-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

A non-Euclidean generalization of conditional expectation is introduced and characterized as the minimizer of expected intrinsic squared-distance from a manifold-valued target. The computational tractable formulation expresses the non-convex optimization problem as transformations of Euclidean conditional expectation. …

2017-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Investor aims to meet financial goals with deadlines and target amounts, considering stock trading costs.

problem Goal-based portfolio selection with fixed transaction costs.
method Stochastic Perron's method to show value function is unique viscosity solution to quasi-variational inequalities. Existence of optimal strategy established.
result Optimal trading strategy differs significantly from frictionless case, revealing complex regions and strategies.

In the problem of domain adaptation for binary classification, the learner is presented with labeled examples from a source domain, and must correctly classify unlabeled examples from a target domain, which may differ from the source. Previous work on this problem has assumed that the performance measure of interest is…

2018-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

VERA uses variational inference to jailbreak LLMs without manual optimization.

problem Lack of principled objective for gradient-based optimization in jailbreaking LLMs.
method VERA casts black-box jailbreak prompting as a variational inference problem, training a small attacker LLM to approximate the target LLM's posterior over adversarial prompts.
result VERA achieves strong performance across various target LLMs, demonstrating the value of probabilistic inference for adversarial prompt generation.

The use of target networks is a common practice in deep reinforcement learning for stabilizing the training; however, theoretical understanding of this technique is still limited. In this paper, we study the so-called periodic Q-learning algorithm (PQ-learning for short), which resembles the technique used in deep Q-le…

2020-02-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We aim to understand the value of additional labeled or unlabeled target data in transfer learning, for any given amount of source data; this is motivated by practical questions around minimizing sampling costs, whereby, target data is usually harder or costlier to acquire than source data, but can yield better accurac…

2020-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper improves bond market making by adjusting hit-ratios for client flow quality.

problem Economic misleading of raw hit-ratios in corporate bond market making.
method Stochastic-control framework with residual-quality-adjusted hit-ratio.
result Optimal quotes decompose into various components, improving service/economics frontier.