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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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137274411548 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for target parameters

A new method debiases multiple target parameters without IFs.

problem Debiasing multiple target parameters in nonparametric models.
method Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation (KDPE) using TMLE and reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result KDPE simultaneously debiases all pathwise differentiable target parameters.

Proposes a new method for estimating non-pathwise differentiable functional parameters.

problem Estimating dose-response curves for continuous exposure.
method Targeted Highly Adaptive Lasso (HAL) for non-pathwise differentiable functional parameters.
result The Targeted HAL-MLE achieves dimension-free rates up to log(n) factors and outperforms other methods in simulations.

We provide non-asymptotic excess risk guarantees for statistical learning in a setting where the population risk with respect to which we evaluate the target parameter depends on an unknown nuisance parameter that must be estimated from data. We analyze a two-stage sample splitting meta-algorithm that takes as input ar…

2019-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Double descent in transfer learning explained for linear regression problems.

problem Understanding generalization errors in transferring parameters between overparameterized linear regression tasks.
method Analytical characterization of generalization error in terms of transfer learning factors.
result Generalization error follows a two-dimensional double descent trend controlled by transfer learning factors.

Bayesian active learning tackles nuisance parameters, leading to bias and dilemmas.

problem Bayesian active learning with nuisance parameters leads to bias and dilemmas.
method Characterizes and mitigates negative interference by accurately estimating nuisance parameters.
result The extent of negative interference can be extremely large, and accurate estimation of nuisance parameters is critical.

Recent years, transfer learning has attracted much attention in the community of machine learning. In this paper, we mainly focus on the tasks of parameter transfer under the framework of extreme learning machine (ELM). Unlike the existing parameter transfer approaches, which incorporate the source model information in…

2018-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

AIS algorithm improves heavy-tailed distribution estimation.

problem Inconsistent estimators and slow convergence in AIS for heavy-tailed distributions.
method Adapts Student-t proposal distributions by matching escort moments and minimizing α-divergence.
result Improves estimation accuracy for heavy-tailed distributions.

Method aggregates models with different hyper-parameters to adapt to target domain.

problem Choosing hyper-parameters for unsupervised domain adaptation.
method Linear aggregation of models with different hyper-parameters using weighted least squares for vector-valued functions.
result The target error is asymptotically not worse than twice the error of the optimal aggregation.

Improved generalization with iterative self-distillation using weighted ground-truth targets.

problem Improving generalization accuracy in neural networks.
method Iterative kernel regression with weighted ground-truth targets and 2\ell_2 regularization.
result Closed-form solution for optimal weighting parameter and efficient estimation.

Randomized methods of neural network learning suffer from a problem with the generation of random parameters as they are difficult to set optimally to obtain a good projection space. The standard method draws the parameters from a fixed interval which is independent of the data scope and activation function type. This …

2019-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper identifies a problem with the usual procedure for L2-regularization parameter estimation in a domain adaptation setting. In such a setting, there are differences between the distributions generating the training data (source domain) and the test data (target domain). The usual cross-validation procedure requ…

2016-07-31abs ↗pdf ↗

HyperVAE encodes distributions of distributions using variational inference.

problem Modeling distributions of distributions efficiently and preserving information.
method Variational inference with Gaussian mixture models and matrix-network decoders.
result HyperVAE encodes parameters of a VAE in a low-dimensional Gaussian distribution, preserving more information.

ASVGD accelerates SVGD for efficient sampling from Gaussian targets.

problem Efficient sampling from Gaussian distributions using SVGD.
method Accelerated gradient flow in a metric space of probability densities, including momentum and Wasserstein regularization.
result ASVGD achieves optimal convergence rate for Gaussian targets, independent of covariance.

We examine in this article the pricing of target volatility options in the lognormal fractional SABR model. A decomposition formula by Ito's calculus yields a theoretical replicating strategy for the target volatility option, assuming the accessibilities of all variance swaps and swaptions. The same formula also sugges…

2018-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper investigates how target normalization and momentum affect dying ReLUs in neural networks.

problem Understanding and mitigating the dying ReLU problem in neural networks.
method Empirical analysis and theoretical modeling of a discrete-time linear autonomous system.
result Target variance plays a crucial role in the dying ReLU phenomenon, and momentum exacerbates this issue.

Develops a direct debiased machine learning framework using Bregman divergence.

problem Reduces bias in machine learning estimates of causal effects or structural models.
method Neyman targeted estimation and generalized Riesz regression using Bregman divergence.
result Improves estimation of parameters of interest in causal models.

Many tasks in natural language understanding require learning relationships between two sequences for various tasks such as natural language inference, paraphrasing and entailment. These aforementioned tasks are similar in nature, yet they are often modeled individually. Knowledge transfer can be effective for closely …

2018-04-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses neural networks to compress large portfolios of options, reducing risk and capital requirements.

problem Managing risk and capital requirements for large portfolios of financial options.
method Artificial neural network framework for portfolio compression, static hedging, and risk management.
result The compressed portfolio's risk profiles align closely with the target portfolio's, reducing capital requirements.

The key idea of Bayesian optimization is replacing an expensive target function with a cheap surrogate model. By selection of an acquisition function for Bayesian optimization, we trade off between exploration and exploitation. The acquisition function typically depends on the mean and the variance of the surrogate mod…

2019-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We reveal a model rank that predicts successful recovery of target functions at overparameterization.

problem Understanding the mysterious good generalization performance of overparameterized nonlinear models.
method Rank stratification and linear stability theory for general nonlinear models.
result Linearly stable functions are preferred by nonlinear training, and model rank predicts minimal training data size.

This work evaluates PDA methods without target labels, revealing significant accuracy drops.

problem Evaluating PDA methods without target labels and inconsistent experimental settings.
method Realistic evaluation of 7 PDA methods with 7 model selection strategies on 2 datasets.
result Accuracy drops up to 30 percentage points without target labels, only one method performs well.

RTE enables extrapolation to new tasks by learning task transformations.

problem Learning systems struggle to generalize to unseen tasks.
method Relational Task Extrapolator (RTE) learns task transformations to enable extrapolation.
result RTE substantially outperforms existing approaches on extrapolation tasks.

Bayesian transfer learning improves predictive performance with limited source data.

problem Improving statistical procedures with limited target and source datasets.
method Total risk prior for joint parameter distribution, Bayesian Lasso, model averaging, Gibbs sampling.
result Superior predictive performance compared to frequentist baseline, especially with limited source data.

New method corrects bias in datasets using cumulative distribution functions.

problem Varying domains and biased datasets lead to differences between training and target distributions.
method Empirical cumulative distribution function estimates of the target distribution, rigorously generalized.
result Method is more robust, not reliant on parameter tuning, and performs similarly to state-of-the-art techniques.

New phases identified in neural scaling laws with compute limits.

problem Understanding neural scaling laws under compute constraints.
method Solved neural scaling model with stochastic gradient descent, derived loss curves, analyzed model-parameter-count phases.
result Identified 4 phases (+3 subphases) in data-complexity/target-complexity phase-plane, derived exponents.

This paper consider penalized empirical loss minimization of convex loss functions with unknown non-linear target functions. Using the elastic net penalty we establish a finite sample oracle inequality which bounds the loss of our estimator from above with high probability. If the unknown target is linear this inequali…

2013-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Black-box variational inference tries to approximate a complex target distribution though a gradient-based optimization of the parameters of a simpler distribution. Provable convergence guarantees require structural properties of the objective. This paper shows that for location-scale family approximations, if the targ…

2019-01-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A scalable method for accurate inference of low-dimensional parameters in high-dimensional linear regression.

problem Statistical inference for low-dimensional parameters in high-dimensional linear regression models.
method Mean-field variational Bayes approach, focusing on nuisance parameters and conditional distributions.
result Competitive numerical performance and theoretical guarantees for estimation and uncertainty quantification.

T-BFA targets and misleads specific DNN inputs to a chosen output.

problem Targeted attack on DNN weight parameters to hijack function.
method Identifies critical weight bits, ranks them by class dependence, and flips them to mislead inputs.
result Successfully misclassifies images from 'Hen' to 'Goose' class with 100% success rate, maintaining 59.35% validation accuracy.

Method improves volatility targeting for index construction.

problem High turnover, leverage spikes, and sensitivity to estimation error in existing volatility-targeting strategies.
method Proportional-control approach for setting index weights that corrects tracking error through feedback.
result The proportional-control approach achieves the target volatility more effectively than open-loop alternatives.

TILT improves target domain performance by penalizing an auxiliary component on unlabeled target inputs.

problem Improving performance on target domain under covariate shift.
method TILT uses a novel objective function to decompose the source predictor and penalize an auxiliary component on unlabeled target inputs.
result TILT improves target domain performance over source-only training and other baselines.

This work extends diffusion models to handle heavy-tailed targets, improving score estimation and sampling guarantees.

problem Score estimation and sampling guarantees for heavy-tailed targets in diffusion models.
method Kernel density estimation and minimax rates analysis for score estimation and sampling guarantees.
result Sharp minimax rates for score estimation and sampling guarantees for heavy-tailed targets, revealing qualitative differences between exponential and polynomial tails.

Deep learning framework predicts surface texture parameters and their uncertainties.

problem Predicting surface texture parameters and their uncertainties from multi-instrument datasets.
method Reproducible deep learning framework using multi-instrument dataset, quantile and heteroscedastic heads for uncertainty modeling, and post-hoc conformal calibration.
result High fidelity predictions (R2: Ra 0.9824, Rz 0.9847, RONt 0.9918) and well-modelled uncertainty targets (Ra_uncert 0.9899, Rz_uncert 0.9955).

The use of target networks has been a popular and key component of recent deep Q-learning algorithms for reinforcement learning, yet little is known from the theory side. In this work, we introduce a new family of target-based temporal difference (TD) learning algorithms and provide theoretical analysis on their conver…

2019-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

PETAL adapts models to changing target domains over time.

problem Lifelong test-time adaptation in changing target domains.
method Probabilistic framework with student-teacher model and data-driven parameter restoration.
result PETAL achieves better results than state-of-the-art for online lifelong test-time adaptation.