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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for systems approach

New method improves predictive systems with better theoretical guarantees.

problem Constructing predictive systems with out-of-sample calibration guarantees.
method Residual Distribution Predictive Systems (RDPs) that nest conformal predictive systems and offer flexibility.
result Empirically, RDPs perform competitively with conformal predictive systems and can be implemented with various regression methods.

Study systemic risk measures and capital allocation rules, showing commonalities.

problem Systemic risk measures and capital allocation in financial systems.
method Developed a general framework to embed axiomatic and injective capital approaches, introduced Aumann-Shapley CAR.
result Aumann-Shapley CAR provides a universal method for capital allocation regardless of risk measurement.

Adversarial validation detects concept drift in user targeting systems.

problem Concept drift in user targeting automation systems deteriorates model performance over time.
method Adversarial validation approach to detect and adapt to concept drift.
result Adversarial validation effectively addresses concept drift in user targeting systems.

This work uses a scalable approach to identify partially observed nonlinear systems.

problem Offline identification of partially observed nonlinear systems.
method Certainty-equivalent expectation-maximization (CEEM) as block coordinate-ascent.
result The CEEM approach can identify high-dimensional systems reliably and efficiently.

Bayesian filtering approach identifies nonlinear restoring forces in dynamic systems.

problem Identification of nonlinear dynamic systems in engineering.
method Modeling the nonlinear restoring force as a Gaussian process, converting it to a state-space model, and inferring internal states and the nonlinear restoring force through filtering and smoothing.
result The approach effectively identifies nonlinear restoring forces in both simulated and experimental datasets.

dynoGP uses deep Gaussian processes for dynamic system identification.

problem System identification for complex dynamical systems.
method Interconnecting linear dynamic GPs and static GPs to model dynamic and static nonlinearities.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the approach using both simulated and real-world data.

The financial crisis has dramatically demonstrated that the traditional approach to apply univariate monetary risk measures to single institutions does not capture sufficiently the perilous systemic risk that is generated by the interconnectedness of the system entities and the corresponding contagion effects. This has…

2015-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a Koopman operator method for time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear systems.

problem Challenges in time-dependent reliability analysis of nonlinear dynamical systems.
method Koopman operator approach for transforming nonlinear systems into linear ones, combined with deep learning for intrinsic coordinates.
result Robust and generalizable approach for time-dependent reliability analysis, superior to purely data-driven methods.

Financial networks reveal systemic risk, suggesting new regulatory strategies.

problem Global financial interconnectedness and inadequacy of traditional risk models.
method Network-based models of financial systems to understand contagion and risk.
result Financial networks exhibit 'robust-yet-fragile' properties, informing cost-effective regulation.

In this paper we develop a general conceptual approach to the problem of existence of action-angle variables for dynamical systems, which establishes and uses the fundamental conservation property of associated torus actions: anything which is preserved by the system is also preserved by the associated torus actions. T…

2017-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes a system-agnostic policy for dynamic scheduling.

problem Dynamic scheduling in changing systems is challenging due to system-specific optimal policies.
method Descriptive policy that learns a system-agnostic scheduling principle.
result System-agnostic meta-learning enables adaptation to unseen system characteristics.

Discrete-time systems can be characterized by simple flat coordinates and their shifts.

problem Characterizing flatness of discrete-time systems.
method Developed a map from flat coordinates and their shifts to system state and input, fulfilling system equations identically.
result Derived necessary conditions for a system to be flat, without requiring differential geometry methods.

A novel approach to analyzing time series generated by complex systems, such as markets, is presented. The basic idea of the approach is the {\it Law of Self-Similar Evolution}, according to which any complex system develops self-similarly. There always exist some internal laws governing the evolution of a system, say …

2001-10-15abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method uses modified Boltzmann weights to infer system configurations from observed data.

problem Inference of system configurations from limited observed data.
method Data-driven approach based on re-weighting observed configurations to achieve a flat distribution probability.
result Accurate inference of system configurations with high-temperature re-weighting of observations.

New approach measures systemic risk by absorbing shocks before financial systems deteriorate.

problem Systemic risk evaluation without considering initial shocks.
method Linearized DebtRank and spectral graph theory for localized and uniform shocks; Monte Carlo simulations for heterogeneous shocks.
result Explicit computation and clear visualization of financial distress onset.

Extracts interpretable potential energy from Hamiltonian systems.

problem Learning an interpretable potential energy function from Hamiltonian systems.
method Constructs a neural network model of the potential and applies equation discovery to extract a closed-form algebraic expression.
result Close agreement between learned neural potentials and ground truth potentials, including correct effective potential for a central force problem.

New method integrates sparse parametric and nonparametric techniques for complex system modeling.

problem Lack of accurate modeling for complex biological systems due to nonlinearities.
method Sparse nonparametric estimation framework combining parametric and nonparametric techniques.
result Accurately captures nonlinearities in complex systems without prior information.

New Lagrangian approach for optimal control of second-order systems.

problem Optimal control of second-order differential equations derived from force-controlled Lagrangian systems.
method Proposes a new hyperregular control Lagrangian and control Hamiltonian, providing necessary optimality conditions.
result Defines an extended Tulczyjew's triple with controls and studies the relationship between Noether symmetries.

Develops a new method to discover stochastic systems with non-Gaussian noise.

problem Discovering governing laws from complex systems with non-Gaussian noise.
method Theoretical framework and numerical algorithm to extract stochastic differential equations with Gaussian and non-Gaussian noise.
result Demonstrated the efficacy and accuracy of the approach on various systems.

Systems of partial differential equations lie at the heart of physics. Despite this, the general theory of these systems has remained rather obscure in comparison to numerical approaches such as finite element models and various other discretisation schemes. There are, however, several theoretical approaches to systems…

2001-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper proposes a new system ID method from noisy data.

problem System identification of linear and nonlinear non-autonomous systems from noisy and sparse data.
method Bayesian formulation for learning a hidden Markov model with stochastic dynamics, analyzed in the context of least squares and multiple shooting approaches.
result The proposed approach outperforms existing methods in terms of mean squared error and model generalizability.

Unified framework identifies nonlinear systems using characteristic curves and neural networks.

problem Balancing interpretability and flexibility in nonlinear system identification.
method Combines differential equation structure with neural networks, using characteristic curves as modular components.
result NN-CC approach outperforms other methods in complex nonlinear systems.

Study connects bank default models using dynamic contagion.

problem Understanding default contagion in heterogeneous interbank systems.
method Proposes a dynamic default contagion model with endogenous early defaults for a finite set of banks, reformulating as a stochastic particle system.
result Existence of clearing systems and continuity of the system response for the mean-field problem.

Graph neural networks detect structural perturbations from time series data.

problem Detecting structural causes of disturbances in complex systems.
method Graph neural network approach to infer structural perturbations from functional time series.
result Data-driven approach outperforms typical reconstruction methods and meets Bayesian inference accuracy.

Method converts sparse systems to dense ones for statistical mechanics problems.

problem Statistical mechanics on sparse graphs
method Extracts a Feedback Vertex Set, learns variational distribution, estimates free energy.
result More accurate and faster than existing methods for sparse systems.

Abstract: A new approach to technical indicators without lag.

problem Defining classical technical indicators as bounded operators for lag-free trading.
method Using linear algebra to redefine technical indicators as bounded operators in l(N)l^\infty(\mathbb{N}) space.
result Demonstrated the no-lag versions of technical indicators are simpler and more effective.

A new method predicts dynamical systems better by using two different latent spaces.

problem Predicting the future of dynamical systems with optimal accuracy.
method Uses two different latent mappings for present and future states.
result Optimal 2-mapping method significantly outperforms single latent representation methods.