Machine learning detects survey validity from user behavior.
problem Detecting valid responses in web surveys.
method Uses mouse activity and machine learning models (LSTM, HMM).
result Predicts survey validity without analyzing specific answers.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,657 papers · 148 categories
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48 results for “survey validation”
SaML guides ML models to avoid survey biases.
problem ML models trained on survey data often ignore survey design metadata.
method Nine-step guideline for incorporating survey design metadata in ML lifecycle.
result SaML provides valid population inference from survey data.
AI-assisted interviews allow respondents to describe experiences naturally, but mapping those accounts into structured survey variables is fallible.
problem Mapping AI-assisted interview responses into structured survey variables is fallible.
method Adaptive Matrix Validation (AMV) is proposed, which involves mapping responses into tabular data and using a small set of structured questions for statistical adjustment.
result The estimator calibrates mapped values using validation answers from other respondents and corrects remaining error with validation answers observed for the target respondent.
The paper improves Lasso inference methods for survey data.
problem Improving inference methods for survey data.
method Extends Lasso inferential methods to survey data.
result Establishes asymptotic validity of inference procedures in survey environments.
Used to estimate the risk of an estimator or to perform model selection, cross-validation is a widespread strategy because of its simplicity and its apparent universality. Many results exist on the model selection performances of cross-validation procedures. This survey intends to relate these results to the most recen…
Survey of algorithms for testing AI-driven CPS safety.
problem Testing AI-driven CPS for safety in complex environments.
method Survey of applied algorithms for safety validation.
result Survey of existing tools and techniques for safety validation.
Surveying machine learning methods for economic forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy of economic forecasts using machine learning.
method Nowcasting, textual data, panel and tensor data, high-dimensional Granger causality tests, time series cross-validation, classification with economic losses.
result Recent advances in machine learning methods enhance economic forecasting accuracy.
Digital personas improve survey results for stable attributes but fail for subjective responses.
problem When can digital personas reliably approximate human survey findings?
method Using LISS panel, constructed personas from background variables and survey histories, tested against held-out post-cutoff answers.
result Digital personas improve alignment with human response distributions for stable attributes but fail for subjective responses.
Machine learning improves official statistics but needs rigorous validation.
problem Lack of methodological robustness in machine learning for official statistics.
method Total Machine Learning Error (TMLE) framework to validate ML models.
result TMLE addresses representativeness and measurement errors in ML models.
New method detects careless responding in long surveys.
problem Careless responding in long surveys threatens internal validity.
method Detects a changepoint in combined measurements of carelessness.
result Highly accurate in identifying carelessness onset.
This text is the rejoinder following the discussion of a survey paper about minimal penalties and the slope heuristics (Arlot, 2019. Minimal penalties and the slope heuristics: a survey. Journal de la SFDS). While commenting on the remarks made by the discussants, it provides two new results about the slope heuristics …
Improves survey sampling with unbiased machine learning methods.
problem Design-consistent model-assisted estimation lacks a general theory for machine learning.
method Proposes a subsampling Rao-Blackwell method for design-unbiased estimation.
result Yields efficiency gains over standard methods while ensuring valid estimation.
The paper tests the credibility of public and private surveys using linear regression and differential privacy.
problem Ensuring the validity of data analysis results from sample surveys using linear regression.
method Designing an algorithm to test the credibility of surveys and extending it to handle LDP.
result The algorithm achieves optimal estimation error bound for linear regression and reduces sample complexity.
The paper studies how to allocate human validation in AI-assisted tasks to minimize errors.
problem Heterogeneous reliability of AI-generated signals across tasks, products, and customer segments.
method Tuned prediction-powered inference, upper confidence bounds policy, Neyman square-root rule.
result The proposed policy outperforms uniform and epsilon-greedy allocation, closing most of the gap to the oracle when reliability is heterogeneous.
To study users' travel behaviour and travel time between origin and destination, researchers employ travel surveys. Although there is consensus in the field about the potential, after over ten years of research and field experimentation, Smartphone-based travel surveys still did not take off to a large scale. Here, com…
Cross-validationmath.ST
This text is a survey on cross-validation. We define all classical cross-validation procedures, and we study their properties for two different goals: estimating the risk of a given estimator, and selecting the best estimator among a given family. For the risk estimation problem, we compute the bias (which can also be …
The paper proposes a method to assess survey data credibility without needing many samples, regardless of data dimension.
problem Assessing the credibility of survey data across different dimensions.
method Task-based approach and model-specific distance metric for verifying survey data credibility in regression models.
result The sample complexity of the proposed algorithm is independent of the data dimension, making it more efficient.
PPI uses predictions and weighting to infer from partially labeled data.
problem Valid inference with partially labeled data.
method Combines model-based predictions with bias correction from labeled data, using Horvitz-Thompson and Hájek corrections.
result IPW-adjusted PPI with estimated propensities performs similarly to known-probability case.
Validation of a recommender system for prompting omitted foods in online dietary assessment surveyscs.CY
Recall assistance methods are among the key aspects that improve the accuracy of online dietary assessment surveys. These methods still mainly rely on experience of trained interviewers with nutritional background, but data driven approaches could improve cost-efficiency and scalability of automated dietary assessment.…
Anomaly detection is a significant problem faced in several research areas. Detecting and correctly classifying something unseen as anomalous is a challenging problem that has been tackled in many different manners over the years. Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and the adversarial training process have been rec…
We describe a method to identify poor households in data-scarce countries by leveraging information contained in nationally representative household surveys. It employs standard statistical learning techniques---cross-validation and parameter regularization---which together reduce the extent to which the model is over-…
PPI uses survey sampling methods for inference, bridging ML and statistics.
problem Combining machine learning predictions with small labeled data for valid inference.
method Equivalence of PPI estimators to survey sampling methods.
result PPI estimators are algebraically equivalent to survey sampling methods.
Survey of determinism issues in financial AI systems.
problem Vulnerabilities in reproducibility of financial AI systems.
method Literature review and first-party experiments on public financial datasets.
result Proposed a layered evaluation framework linking modality-specific metrics to audit readiness.
PICZL improves photometric redshifts for AGN in all-sky surveys.
problem Challenges in accurately computing photo-z for AGN due to interplay of SMBH and host galaxy emissions.
method PICZL uses an ensemble of CNNs with cross-channel integration of image and catalog data, leveraging Gaussian mixture models.
result PICZL achieves a photo-z variance of 4.5% and outlier fraction of 5.6% on a validation sample of 8098 AGN, outperforming previous methods.
Decentralized Finance (Literacy) today and in 2034: Initial Insights from Singapore and beyondq-fin.GN
Experts predict significant adoption of decentralized finance by 2034, with traditional finance adapting.
problem Adoption and integration of decentralized finance (DeFi) in financial services.
method Survey analysis using New Institutional Economics and Dynamic Capabilities Theory.
result Experts expect adoption of DeFi to rise from negligible to 43% by 2034, with traditional finance likely to embrace it.
New framework learns complex AI attitudes from heterogeneous data.
problem Heterogeneous ordinal structure in AI attitudes, poorly captured by existing methods.
method Monotone Gaussian score embedding, BNP complexity discovery, confirmatory fixed-K estimation.
result Reduced holdout MSE by 25.8% over single-graph baseline.
Survey revisits vector calculus results using exterior derivative and provides a new formulation of Stokes' theorem.
problem Classical results in vector calculus and analysis.
method Generalised perspective on the exterior derivative and a higher-dimensional Mean Value Theorem.
result Provides a natural formulation of Stokes' theorem and a practical algorithm for exterior differentiation.
New estimator improves statistical validity of synthetic data integration.
problem Combining synthetic data generated by large language models with real data for valid inference.
method Generalized method of moments estimator with theoretical guarantees.
result Improves estimates of target parameter through interactions between synthetic and real data.
Designing a controller for autonomous vehicles capable of providing adequate performance in all driving scenarios is challenging due to the highly complex environment and inability to test the system in the wide variety of scenarios which it may encounter after deployment. However, deep learning methods have shown grea…
Can humans impute missing data with similar proficiency as machines? This is the question we aim to answer in this paper. We present a novel idea of converting observations with missing data in to a survey questionnaire, which is presented to crowdworkers for completion. We replicate a multiple imputation framework by …
Synthetic data can be used to ask more questions and accelerate discovery with provable validity guarantees.
problem Valid inference with synthetic data
method Task exchangeability
result Provable validity guarantees for synthetic data inference
Survey updates knowledge on homogeneous Einstein spaces.
problem Understanding homogeneous Einstein spaces.
method Building on previous surveys by Wang and Lauret.
result Current state of homogeneous Einstein spaces.
Survey on submanifolds in nearly Kähler spaces.
problem Understanding submanifolds in nearly Kähler spaces.
method No specific method mentioned, just a survey of existing results.
result Summarizes existing results on submanifolds in nearly Kähler spaces.
The Minimal Genus Problemmath.GT
Survey of minimal genus problem progress.
problem Finding the smallest genus surface in 3-manifolds.
method Survey and review of existing research.
result Summarizes recent advancements in the minimal genus problem.
An important application of intelligent vehicles is advance detection of dangerous events such as collisions. This problem is framed as a problem of optimal alarm choice given predictive models for vehicle location and motion. Techniques for real-time collision detection are surveyed and grouped into three classes: ran…
Survey on L^2-invariants for 3-manifolds.
problem Understanding L^2-invariants for 3-manifolds.
method Survey and focus on L^2-invariants for 3-manifolds.
result Survey results on L^2-invariants for 3-manifolds.
Machine learning (especially reinforcement learning) methods for trading are increasingly reliant on simulation for agent training and testing. Furthermore, simulation is important for validation of hand-coded trading strategies and for testing hypotheses about market structure. A challenge, however, concerns the robus…
Survey of global Calderón-Zygmund inequalities on Riemannian manifolds.
problem Validity and failure of regularity for Poisson equation solutions.
method Various geometric conditions and methods to obtain -Hessian estimates.
result Integral inequality may fail even with lower sectional curvature bound.
Survey examines LLMs for financial data analysis.
problem Challenges in processing multifaceted financial data.
method Synthesizes recent LLM developments.
result Promises new avenues for financial data analysis.
The tremendous growth of positioning technologies and GPS enabled devices has produced huge volumes of tracking data during the recent years. This source of information constitutes a rich input for data analytics processes, either offline (e.g. cluster analysis, hot motion discovery) or online (e.g. short-term forecast…
Survey on DDVV-type inequalities, their history, and recent developments.
problem None explicitly stated; focuses on surveying existing work.
method None explicitly stated; focuses on surveying existing work.
result Survey of DDVV-type inequalities and their history and recent developments.
Study shows non-systematic bias in customer satisfaction surveys limits data value.
problem Non-systematic bias in customer satisfaction surveys limits data value.
method Used real customer satisfaction survey data of a large retail bank to show the irreducible error and suggest thoughtful survey design methods.
result A thoughtful survey design can reduce non-systematic error in customer satisfaction surveys.
Survey of recent measures of association, including a new coefficient.
problem Exploring new measures of association in statistics.
method Survey and introduction of a new correlation coefficient.
result Proposed a new extension of the correlation coefficient to standard Borel spaces.
ION-C solves overlapping network integration problems efficiently.
problem Integrating overlapping networks with different datasets.
method Formulated as an ASP problem and solved with clingo.
result Significantly improved efficiency in runtime and solution graphs.
Survey discusses recent advances on Brakke flows and their properties.
problem Existence and regularity of Brakke flows.
method Analyzes recent progress including new theorems and proofs.
result Proof that branching singularities trigger dynamical instability.
Survey on stated skein algebras and their representations.
problem None explicitly stated in the abstract.
method None explicitly stated in the abstract.
result None explicitly stated in the abstract.
Chiseling finds valid subgroups interactively, improving on existing methods.
problem Finding valid subgroups with inferential guarantees in regression and causal inference.
method Interactive subgroup refinement with inferential validity guarantees.
result Chiseling identifies better subgroups than existing methods with inferential guarantees.
Survey article on multibranched surfaces in 3-manifolds.
problem Embedding multibranched surfaces into 3-manifolds.
method Survey and review of existing methods.
result Overview of current research and techniques.